USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD weekly analysis for Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025This week the 1.14203 is ready to be traded. This week on Thursday the Monetary Policy Statement of ECB, could change the pair direction. Also, the ECB Press Conference could make unpredictable market fluctuations. Avoid considering those moves as a signal of market trigger, unless all the statements in press conference be in same direction, which is a rare phenomenon.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
EURUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Can look for buy opportunities?EUR/USD Analysis Based on Engulfing Zones:
The red zone that has been marked is based on a weekly engulfing sell. The market has already touched this zone and dropped from there.
Now, among the green zones marked, the first one is taken from a 4H (4-hour) engulfing pattern, which has slightly less potential compared to the weekly one. However, the market can still go for a buy from here.
For now, wait until the market taps into any of the buy zones—then we can look for buy opportunities.
Three zones have been marked.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research)! Not Financial Advice.
Bullish trend, respected upper quadrant of weekly DRBullish trend, respected upper quadrant of weekly DR, market clearing SSL which makes it high probability to hunt BSL (unless DXY do the opposite)
this is my personnel approach to market, do your own homework.
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
A Reuters survey projects the eurozone economy to grow by 0.9% in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026, indicating improved economic expectations.
Meanwhile, a surge in U.S. initial jobless claims and weak economic data have weighed on the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s upward revision of Q1 GDP contraction estimates introduces some uncertainty.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows a stable "stepped" upward structure. A valid break above the 1.1420 zone could drive prices toward 1.1460–1.1500, while a drop below 1.1330 may extend the pullback to near 1.1200.
Trading Recommendations:
If price fails to break above 1.1420, consider initiating a light short position with a stop-loss set above 1.1450.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@1.14200-1.14000
TP:1.13000-1.12600
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD is still trading below a key resistance zone, showing signs of weakness and lack of strong bullish momentum. At this stage, it seems unlikely that the pair will break above the resistance in the short term.
We expect a downward correction toward the specified support levels, before any potential resumption of the uptrend.
Despite short-term weakness, our long-term outlook remains bullish, and this pullback could offer a better entry opportunity in line with the broader trend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Story behind EURUSD chart and US10Y and DE10Y risk premiumLet’s have a look at the Currency and Bond markets today after an eventful last few weeks in both markets. After Moody’s downgrade of the US Gov bonds the markets look seemingly quiet. There has been no sudden spike in the US10Y. But it makes lot of sense to look beneath the hood and compare the Bond and the currency markets. Today we are looking into the 2 largest currency pairs, i.e. FX:EURUSD and the largest bond markets i.e. US10Y and German 10Y.
It is astounding to observe how the Fib retracement levels from the peak and troughs in the FX:EURUSD and TVC:US10 - TVC:DE10Y charts coincide. Both indicators at @ 0.618 Fib levels. As anyone would expect when the FX:EURUSD makes new highs the diff between TVC:US10Y and TVC:DE10Y hits new highs as investors long the FX:EURUSD chart and in that way hedge the risk in the TVC:US10Y without going short TVC:US10Y which will then adversely affect the investors portfolio. Institutional investors have been unwinding the long position in the TVC:US10Y by going long EUR, YEN and CHF in the currency markets without explicitly selling the US10Y.
Going back to the charts, what can we expect in the medium to long term? In my expectation both the charts can reach 0.786 Fib level and subsequently the 1.0 Levels. This will take the FX:EURUSD from 1.13 to 1.18 by the end of 2025 and then to our long-term target of 1.25. If those levels hold onto in the currency markets, then the risk premium of TVC:US10Y over TVC:DE10Y which is denoted in the chart by TVC:US10Y - TVC:DE10Y will go from 1.9% to 2.1% and then top out at 2.3%. May be this is the way USD will lose some of its market share as world reserve currency status.
Verdict: USD Reserve currency status weakening. Buoyant FX:EURUSD marching towards 1.25. TVC:US10Y - TVC:DE10Y can reach 2.3%.
Using The Zig-Zag Indicator To Gain Clarity On Your Price ChartIn my experience, learning how to read a price chart, specifically understanding the ebbs and flows of a trend, is the biggest hurdle that newer traders face. At least on the technical side of things.
Something that helped me shorten that learning curve at the beginning of my trading career was the "Zig-Zag" indicator. Now, I didn't use it as part of a strategy or anything like that. Rather, it was a tool that helped train my eyes to read extensions and retracements in the markets both at a beginner and advanced level.
If you're someone that is struggling, hopefully it can do the same for you.
Please remember to support by hitting that like button and if you thought this video was helpful please share so other traders can benefit as well.
Akil
What's your view ( scenerio 1 or 2 )
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📈 EUR/USD Weekly Chart – Wave 4 in Progress?
Wave 3 looks complete and price is now hovering in a key correction zone, hinting at the start of Wave 4.
Two possible paths are unfolding:
🔴 Scenario 1: Shallow Wave 4 correction → breakout to Wave 5, targeting 1.16667 and beyond.
🔵 Scenario 2: Deeper Wave 4 correction → retest of demand zone near 1.08, followed by a strong Wave 5 rally.
🧠 Elliott Wave traders, it’s time to stay sharp!
The reaction near the mid-box and support zone could define the next major move for the Euro.
💬 What’s your bias here — is this the start of Wave 5 or a fakeout before a deeper drop?
Comment your view 👇
#EURUSD #ElliottWave #ForexWeekly #GreenFireForex #WaveAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand
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Most Traders Want Certainty. The Best Ones Want Probability.Hard truth:
You’re trying to trade like an engineer in a casino.
You want certainty in an environment that only rewards probabilistic thinking.
Here’s how that kills your edge:
You wait for “confirmation” — and enter too late.
By the time it feels safe, the market has moved.
You fear losses — but they’re the cost of data.
Good traders don’t fear being wrong. They fear not knowing why.
You need to think in bets, not absolutes.
Outcomes don’t equal decisions. Losing on a great setup is still a good trade.
🎯 Fix it with better framing.
That’s exactly what we designed TrendGo f or — to help you see trend strength and structure without delusions of certainty.
Not perfect calls. Just cleaner probabilities.
🔍 Train your brain for the game you’re playing — or you’ll keep losing by default.
EurUsd AnalysisStrategy Suggestion
Bullish Bias above 1.1210 with breakout confirmation above 1.1418.
Price is above both 50-EMA (green) and 200-EMA (red), signaling medium to long-term bullish trend.
Recent strong bullish candles suggest continuation, but price shows some consolidation near highs.
RSI (14) ≈ 65: Near overbought, but not extreme, leaves room for more upside.
Volume: Elevated on recent bullish move, then tapered slightly—momentum slowing, but not reversing.
EURUSD Support & Resistance LevelsThese zones have been generated using a custom-built software tool, developed and refined over an extended period of time. The tool is the result of dedicated effort and research, aiming to identify high-probability support and resistance areas with precision.
EURUSD 1hr Chart Analaysis Market outlook for EUR/USD suggests a sustained bearish trend this week, targeting the 1.11459 support level. This zone is expected to act as a potential turning point, where bullish momentum may begin to build. Traders should watch for reversal signals around this area.
How to Secure Prop Firm Funding: Proven Strategies to Pass1️⃣ How to Secure Prop Firm Funding: Proven Strategies to Pass Challenges 📈
Introduction ✨
Securing prop firm funding opens the door to trading substantial capital and achieving financial freedom. However, passing these evaluations requires meticulous strategy, disciplined execution, and smart risk management. This article provides actionable strategies, optimized trading setups, and insights on leveraging AI to ensure you successfully navigate and pass your prop firm challenges.
Understanding Prop Firm Evaluations 📊🔍
Prop firm challenges typically include specific trading objectives:
💰 Profit targets (8–10% within 30 days)
⛔ Daily loss limits (usually 5%)
📉 Maximum drawdown limits (typically 10%)
💡 Tip: Print the rules and display them at your workspace to avoid rule breaches.
Focus on One High-Probability Strategy 📌🎯
Consistently profitable traders use one rigorously tested strategy. For example, a popular setup:
🔄 Liquidity Sweep: Wait for price to clear stops above recent highs or lows.
⚡ Market Structure Break (BOS): Enter after price breaks and confirms a new trend.
📥 Entry: Order block (OB) or Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Example Trade:
🔗 Pair: EUR/USD
🔽 Entry: OB after sweep at 1.0800
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0820
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.0740
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 3:1
Start Small, Think Big 🧠🌱
Initially, risk only 0.5% per trade to maintain psychological comfort and buffer against drawdowns. Increase risk gradually once you have a profit cushion.
Leverage AI Insights 🤖📊
Modern traders enhance decision-making using AI-driven tools:
🟢 AI indicators for real-time liquidity detection
🔵 Predictive analytics for entry confirmations
Efficient Risk Management 🛡️⚖️
Set daily and weekly risk limits. For instance:
⏳ Maximum daily risk: 1%
📅 Weekly drawdown cap: 3%
Practical Example:
💵 If trading a $100,000 account, never risk more than $1,000 in a single day.
Journaling for Improvement 📒📝
Record every trade’s rationale, execution details, and outcome. This fosters accountability and improvement.
Conclusion ✅
Securing prop funding isn't about luck but disciplined, strategic execution. Optimize your trading, leverage technology, and strictly manage risk to ensure long-term success. 🏆
EURUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Bearish Path to Target Zone📈 Market Narrative – Understanding EURUSD's Path with MMC
The EURUSD pair is currently navigating a critical phase in its macro price structure, aligning closely with the Mind Market Concept (MMC) methodology — a trading framework rooted in institutional price behavior, psychological arcs, and structured market mapping.
This chart reveals a story of accumulation, expansion, manipulation, and rebalancing — classic smart money behavior playing out on the higher timeframe. The current move is not just price action — it's a strategic delivery of price toward imbalance, guided by volume vacuums, liquidity zones, and engineered traps.
🧩 Phase-by-Phase Technical Analysis
🔷 1. Arc Accumulation Zone – The Beginning of Institutional Positioning
In the latter half of 2024, EURUSD entered a rounded arc formation, which marks a textbook accumulation phase.
This "bowl-like" curve represents gradual absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutions.
The lows became progressively higher, indicating demand stepping in while supply weakened.
Volume during this time was suppressed — another smart money tactic to accumulate without causing price spikes.
📌 Why This Matters: Arcs often precede explosive breakouts, particularly when aligned with time-based liquidity cycles (quarterly/yearly rebalancing). This zone gave birth to the breakout that followed.
🔷 2. The Central Zone – Consolidation Before Expansion
Once the arc base was complete, price broke out impulsively, then pulled back into what is labeled the Central Zone.
This zone acts as a mid-range liquidity pocket — where orders are stacked and reaccumulation occurs.
It also became the launchpad for the final markup wave that tapped the previous target around 1.1250.
🔍 This move was the realignment phase, where smart money took price above key highs to:
Hit their internal targets.
Trap breakout traders.
Induce euphoria before distribution.
🔷 3. Major BOS – Break of Macro Structure
The breakout through 1.1150–1.1200 confirmed a Major Break of Structure (BOS).
This BOS acted as a signal for:
Trend reversal confirmation for many retail traders.
A "green light" to buy — which was anticipated and exploited by institutions.
But here’s the twist:
Price rejected the SR Interchange Zone (support turned resistance), signaling that the breakout was engineered to trap liquidity.
🔷 4. Distribution & Manipulation – The Trap Layer
The chart clearly shows two critical supply areas:
Minor Resistance (around 1.1400s)
Major Resistance (around 1.1550–1.1600s)
Price briefly approached these zones but failed to hold, forming a complex distribution range.
This is where:
Smart money distributed their long positions.
Retail buyers got trapped.
Volume increased during sell-side preparation.
📌 The rejection from these zones sent price into a clean markdown, forming lower highs and confirming the bearish structure mapping.
🔷 5. Structural Mapping – Downtrend Control
Price action is now clearly in a bearish delivery phase, as shown by:
Lower highs & lower lows
Repeated rejections from minor resistance
Large red candles with little retracement (showing momentum)
This phase is often misunderstood by retail traders. But within MMC, it’s identified as the delivery to imbalance — a controlled descent into unmitigated demand.
🔷 6. Target + Reversal Zone – Where the Real Opportunity Begins
We are approaching the most important area on the chart:
🟡 Target + Reversal Zone (around 1.0950–1.1000)
This zone is not randomly drawn:
It's the origin of the arc breakout, a high-volume node.
It's a discounted price level where institutions may re-engage.
It’s untapped demand from the earlier accumulation — meaning no major reaction has occurred here yet.
If price slows down here, forms a liquidity sweep, or gives a bullish engulfing on the lower timeframe — this could be the reversal point.
But:
If price slices through with strong momentum, it may signal macro weakness, opening room to test the 1.0800 region.
🧭 Trade Plan & Execution Guide
Setup Type Actionable Guidance
📉 Bearish Pullback Entry Short entries near 1.1300–1.1350 with stop above minor resistance
🟡 Demand Reversal Watch Wait for reaction in 1.0950–1.1000, assess volume & candle response
📊 Structure Confirmation Use lower timeframe BOS for entry alignment
🛡️ Risk Management Keep risk below 1% per trade, avoid chasing mid-zone prices
💬 Key Takeaways
EURUSD has completed its accumulation → expansion → manipulation cycle.
We are now entering the rebalancing phase, where the market returns to fair value (demand).
Smart money flow is visible — from engineered highs to controlled selloffs.
The Target + Reversal Zone will likely dictate the next macro direction.
EURUSD: weekly focus on jobs dataThe previous week started with US macro data related to Durable Goods Orders. This indicator surprisingly dropped by -6,3% in April compared to the previous month. Although negative, the indicator was better from the market estimate of -6,8%. The second estimate of US GDP Growth rate for Q1 was -0,2%, and was a bit better from the market estimate of -0,3%. Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE data, was posted during the previous week. The PCE in April increased by 0,1%, which was in line with market anticipation. Core PCE was also standing at the level of 0,1% for the month. At the same time, Personal Income was higher by 0,8% in April, highly above forecasted 0,4%, while Personal Spending was higher by 0,2% for the month, and in line with market estimate. The week was closed with University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment. Final indicator level for May was 52,2, modestly above market expectation of 51. The five years inflation expectations were also modestly decreased to the level of 4,2%, which was below market estimate of 4,6%.
The GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany continues to move in a negative territory in June with the level of -19,9, a bit higher from market consensus at -19. The Unemployment rate in Germany in May remained unchanged from the previous month, at the level of 6,3%, and in line with market expectations. The Retail Sales in Germany in April dropped by -1,1% on a monthly basis, bringing the indicator to 2,3% when compared with the previous year. Preliminary Inflation estimate for Germany in May stands at 0,1% for the month and 2,1% on a yearly basis.
The currency pair moved in a mixed manner during the previous week. The highest weekly level at 1,1414 marked the start of the week, however, eurusd is ending the week lower, at the level of 1,1348. Still the lowest weekly level was shortly touched at Thursday's trading session at the level of 1,1213. The RSI moved between levels of 53 and 59, without a clear indication that the market is heading toward either side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period.
The week ahead brings some important news, which the market is currently following with high anticipation. The US jobs data will be in focus in the week ahead, including the Non-farm payrolls for May. This might bring some higher volatility in case that the official data are not in line with market anticipation. On the other hand, the ECB meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, where ECB members will make a decision whether to cut interest rates for another time during this year. As per Reuters pool, there is a high probability that the ECB will make another cut at the June 5th meeting, by 25bps, bringing the facility rate to the level of 2%. This day might be another volatile day on the market. As per current charts, there is probability for eurusd to test 1,1250 short term support level in the week ahead, and this would be the level to watch. If it holds, then the eurusd will revert back with high probability to reach levels above the previous week's highs at 1,14. In this case, the currency pair will head to test 1,15 levels for one more time, but it might occur in more than one week. For the week ahead, the 1,14 resistance would be the level to watch. Current charts are showing low probability that the short term support at 1,1250 will be breached to the downside. Just in case that this move occurs, then the next level to watch will be 1,11. However, such a move currently has a low probability of occurrence.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Inflation rate in EuroZone, flash for May, ECB rate decision, ECB Press conference, Trade Balance for Germany in April,
USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI for May, JOLTs Jobs Openings in April, ISM Services PMI for May, Non-farm Payrolls in May, Unemployment rate in May.
EUR/USD4H Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection with 3:1 RRR🔷 Trend Overview
📈 Price was in a rising channel (trend line + support line).
❌ Channel broken on downside → potential trend reversal.
🟧 🔼 Supply Zone (Sell Area)
📍 Zone: 1.13707 – 1.14432
🟠 Price faced rejection here.
💡 Institutional selling likely in this zone.
🔥 This is the ideal short-entry area.
🟦 🔽 Entry Point
🎯 Entry: Around 1.13694
🧩 Sits just below supply zone = safer trigger.
✅ Wait for a bearish confirmation candle before entering.
🟨 Support Level
📉 Support Zone: ~1.13100 – 1.13400
📊 Recently broken with a strong bearish candle.
🧱 Used to act as a floor, now may act as resistance.
🟩 🎯 Target Point
✅ Take Profit: 1.10970
📎 Matches previous structure support.
💰 Lock in profits before the psychological level at 1.1100.
🟥 ⛔ Stop Loss
❌ Stop: 1.14419
📏 Placed above the supply zone for protection.
🛡️ Shields from false breakouts or spikes.
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
💡 Approx. 3:1 ✅
📉 Risk: ~70 pips
📈 Reward: ~270 pips
🔥 High-probability setup
📌 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – 70)
📍 EMA 70 at 1.13102
🔻 Price is below the EMA → favors bearish momentum
🧠 Pro Tips:
🔍 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles at the entry zone.
🗓️ Be aware of major news events (ECB, Fed).
🧮 Adjust lot size for risk management (based on SL size).
✅ Summary:
🧩 Element 📊 Value
Trade Type 🔻 Short (Sell)
Entry Point 📌 1.13694
Stop Loss ⛔ 1.14419
Take Profit 🎯 1.10970
RRR ⚖️ ~3:1
Sentiment 📉 Bearish
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Goal of this ideas is not to provide bias you can see that in my other analysis. Here Im just tracking order flow.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EURUSD 4H ELLIOTT WAVE COUNT – DOWNSIDE TARGET CONFIRMED!Good Morning, Traders,
I’m sharing my wave analysis for EURUSD with you. After completing its first five waves, it formed the A-B wave and is now expected to move into the C wave.
The target level for the C wave is currently 1.11838.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers
EUR-USD Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD will soon hit a
Strong horizontal resistance
Level around 1.1420 so as
It is a strong level a local
Bearish pullback and a move
Down are to be expected
On Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR_USD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 1.1425
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target
Below at 1.1310on Monday!
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
