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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Daily CLS I Model O I CLS low will be visited...Yo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries. 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

 Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Comment with requests for analysis, just post instrument. I will answer with my opinion.
Short
by David_Perk
24
EURUSD Under Pressure After Hot CPI – More Downside Ahead?Today, the US released key inflation figures : Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (vs 0.3% forecast) CPI m/m: 0.3% (as expected) CPI y/y: 2.7% (vs 2.6% forecast, up from 2.4%) Fundamental Analysis ( EURUSD ): The slightly lower Core CPI suggests some easing in underlying inflation pressures. However, the headline CPI y/y came in hotter than expected at 2.7%, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is not yet ready to ease policy aggressively. This combination supports the US dollar, as sticky inflation could delay rate cuts. EURUSD is likely to remain under pressure in the short term unless the ECB signals a more hawkish stance or US data starts showing broader weakness. Now let's move on to the technical analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) on the 4-hour timeframe . EURUSD is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1802-$1.1602) , having simultaneously managed to break the Support lines and the lower line of the Descending Channel , and is also trying to break the Support zone($1.1642-$1.1578) . I expect EURUSD to continue its downtrend and decline to the Support zone($1.1549-$1.1520) at the first target . Second target : $1.15043 Third target : $1.1464 Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1660 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
25
Euro may fall to support area and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price previously moved inside a wedge formation, where it tested the buyer zone and showed a strong reaction from this area. After that, the pair broke out upward and started to trade inside an upward channel, building momentum and forming a clear bullish structure. Later, the price created a pennant pattern, often considered a continuation signal. But before continuing the upward trend, I expect the Euro to first exit from the pennant and decline toward the support area. This zone was previously resistantce, and now it may turn into a strong support. Now the price is trading near the pennant resistance, but I don’t expect a breakout right away. The market needs to correct before it resumes the uptrend. Once the price reaches the current support level or slightly lower, it may find demand again and bounce. That’s why I expect the Euro to retest the support zone and then grow further toward TP 1 - 1.1850 points. This target aligns with the upper border of the upward channel and would complete the continuation move after the pennant breakout. Given the previous structure, bullish momentum, and patterns on the chart, I remain bullish after the correction and expect the price to rise from the support zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
26
EU's Wild Drop: A Sneaky Trap or Reversal Time?Hey Fellow Traders! 😎 What a ride yesterday, right? The EUR/USD took a massive plunge, smashing through the descending channel like a wrecking ball and sweeping up all that liquidity. 💥 But hold up—was that just a clever market manipulation to shake out the bulls? I think so! 🧠 Right now, the price is chilling in a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), and I’m expecting some serious action here. This could be the perfect setup for a reversal! The market makers pulled a fast one—tricking bullish traders into flipping bearish after that dramatic drop. But guess what? That’s the trap! 🕸️ Don’t fall for it. I’m eyeing a long entry right at this level. Here’s the plan: Entry: Right now—let’s catch this wave! 🌊 Stop Loss: Set it tight around 1.15360 to keep risk in check. Take Profit: Aiming for those juicy highs (check the chart I shared in my last post for the exact levels). 📈 This setup is screaming opportunity, so let’s talk about it! 💬 What’s your take—are we reversing or is the market still playing games? Drop your thoughts below, smash that Like button if you’re with me, and Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀 Let’s keep the community buzzing. 🐝 #Trading #EURUSD #MarketAnalysis #ReversalSetup
Long
by Mr_Masab
7
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1584 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1670 Safe Stop Loss - 1.1546 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD : Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently breaking through the 1.16–1.158 zone. If it manages to hold below 1.159, we can expect further downside movement. The next targets for EURUSD are 1.15580, 1.154, and 1.148. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
15
EUR/USD - Daily Chart (Wedge Breakout) (16.07.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the D1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0956 2nd Support – 1.0625 💡 Fundamental & Sentiment Context Euro under pressure amid renewed concerns over EU‑US trade friction . The USD is strengthening, supported by safe‑haven flows amid tariff uncertainties. 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
32
Euro Steady, EU Prepares $84B RetaliationEUR/USD hovered near 1.1670 in Tuesday’s Asian session as markets awaited US-EU trade updates. Despite Trump’s 30% tariff announcement on EU imports, he confirmed that negotiations with Brussels are ongoing ahead of the August 1 deadline. According to Bloomberg, the EU is ready to respond with proportional tariffs targeting $84B (€72B) worth of US goods, including Boeing jets, bourbon, cars, and machinery. Resistance for the pair is at 1.1715, while support is at 1.1645.
by ChartMage
EURUSD Under Pressure as Macro Divergence WidensEURUSD is facing renewed downward pressure after rallying from 1.02 to 1.18 in a strong multi-month move. However, diverging inflation expectations between the EU and the U.S. are now weighing heavily on the pair. One major signal comes from real yields. The Germany–U.S. 10-year real yield spread currently sits at -1.1182, the same level seen during the 2024 top near 1.11 and the 2023 top near 1.10. By that measure, EURUSD appears expensive. Over the past five years, 69% of EURUSD’s moves can be statistically explained by this real yield spread, making it a key macro indicator. Inflation expectations are also diverging. The U.S. 5y5y inflation swap is trending upward, while the EU’s equivalent has remained flat. This suggests the Fed may keep rates elevated for longer than initially expected. Beyond bond market dynamics, the August 1 tariff deadline is approaching with no deal in sight. In fact, tensions are rising, as the EU prepares possible countermeasures targeting $84 billion worth of U.S. goods. Adding to the pressure, political risk in France is building due to ongoing budget negotiations. Technically, the recent break of both the uptrend (yellow) and the downtrend channel was significant. Euro bulls now need to reclaim and hold above 1.1660 to avoid deeper losses. If they fail, 1.1445 could become the next key support level, with further downside possible depending on how the news develops.
Short
by ftdsystem
EUR/USD Retracement Into Demand ZoneHello guys! EUR/USD is currently undergoing a healthy retracement after an extended bullish trend within the ascending channel. The price is now approaching a key demand zone, which aligns perfectly with the mid-line of the channel structure. This zone previously acted as a strong resistance area and is now expected to serve as support, confirming a classic flip in market structure. The reaction around the 1.16288 - 1.15774 area will be crucial. If buyers step in here, the bullish momentum is likely to resume with the next major target being the upper resistance zone near 1.20000 , as projected by the upward arrow. The overall structure remains bullish as long as the price holds above the channel support and doesn't close below the last demand zone.
Long
by melikatrader94
11
EURUSD could see further downside potentialFundamental: The euro slipped as mixed ECB signals and political jitters pressured sentiment. ECB President Lagarde reiterated that borrowing costs will remain restrictive 'as long as needed,' even as inflation eases and economic activity stabilizes. Renewed political tensions in France and soft German industrial data also weighed on the euro, though stronger services PMIs offered a modest offset. At the same time, the dollar held firm after a hotter US CPI print reduced the likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts, keeping EURUSD near a three-week low. Technical: EURUSD retreated below the resistance at 1.1800 and within the ascending channel. If the price extends its decline, it could approach the support at 1.1450. Conversely, a break above the resistance at 1.1800 could prompt a further rise toward the resistance at 1.1920. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Short
by lixing_gan
DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the trend line📊 Technical Analysis ● Price printed a hammer and bullish RSI divergence on the lower rail of the 3-week descending channel (green arrow 1.1598), breaking the inner wedge that guided last leg down. ● First resistance is the channel mid-line / prior pivot 1.1632; a move through it exposes the upper band near 1.1692, where July supply and the larger bearish trend-line converge. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Softer US retail-sales control-group and Daly’s “more evidence needed” remarks cooled 2-yr yields, trimming dollar support, while ECB’s Knot said additional cuts “are not imminent,” limiting euro downside. ✨ Summary Long 1.1600-1.1620; hold above 1.1632 targets 1.1690. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.1580. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3