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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR /USD) bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart presents a technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown and idea behind the analysis: Chart Analysis Summary: 1. Trend Structure: The price was in a downtrend, moving within a descending channel. Recently, the price has rejected the upper boundary of the channel (noted as "down reject"). There's a 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) acting as dynamic support around the 1.09086 level. Mr SMC Trading point 2. Support Zone: A strong demand zone (highlighted in yellow) is visible near the 1.08183 area. This zone aligns with previous structure support and a potential reversal point. 3. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 49, showing a neutral to slightly bearish momentum. No overbought/oversold signals yet, suggesting room for further downside before a reversal. 4. Projection Idea: The analyst expects a possible short-term drop into the yellow support zone (target: 1.08183). After reaching the target, a bullish reversal is anticipated, aiming for a breakout above the downtrend with a rally towards the 1.10500+ zone. Trading Idea: Short-Term Bearish Move: Sell toward 1.08183 if price confirms rejection of the trendline or 200 EMA. Medium-Term Bullish Reversal: Watch for bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, RSI divergence) at the 1.08183 zone to go long toward higher highs. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
EURUSD – Why This Key Level Could Decide the Next Big MoveAt the moment, EURUSD is maintaining a bearish market structure on both the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes. Price action has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a clear indication of sustained selling pressure in the market. Zooming in, we’ve noticed that previous support zones are no longer being respected, which further supports the bearish narrative. These failed supports are now acting as weak resistance zones, and price is cutting through them with minimal hesitation — a sign that buyers are losing control while sellers continue to dominate the market. One of the key technical levels on our radar is marked by a horizontal red line, currently acting as minor support. A candle close below this level would be highly significant. It would indicate that the temporary consolidation or hesitation we're seeing is breaking to the downside. If this scenario plays out, it could trigger a strong bearish continuation, with increased volume likely to enter the market from breakout traders and institutions scaling in. The chart points to a clearly defined target area for this move, located in the 1.07500 to 1.07800 range, which is marked in green. This is a strong historical support zone — one that has previously held and sparked reversals. We anticipate that if price reaches this area, we may begin to see a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal setup. 1 hour trend Trade Plan Bearish Bias While Below the Red Line If price closes below the red line (~1.09200), I’ll be watching for follow-through to the downside. Entry opportunity may exist on the retest of this broken level, provided price shows rejection or continuation patterns. Target area: 1.07500–1.07800 (green support zone) Bullish Setup at Key Support Should price reach the green zone, I’ll wait for confirmation before entering a long position. Ideal signs: bullish candlestick patterns, slowing momentum, volume divergence, or strong reaction wicks. Potential upside target: reversion back to broken structure or trendline zone. Fundamental Analysis: U.S.-EU Tariff Situation In addition to the technical structure, we also need to be mindful of the fundamental backdrop, particularly the recent escalation in tariff-related discussions between the U.S. and the European Union. The Biden administration is reportedly exploring a fresh round of tariffs on EU imports in response to long-standing disagreements around digital services taxes and subsidies in the aviation industry. These talks have gained momentum recently, with the potential for announcements in the coming days or weeks. Should these tariffs be confirmed, it would likely: Weigh heavily on the Euro, especially if the EU responds with retaliatory measures. Increase uncertainty in trade flows, damaging investor confidence in the region. Trigger a flight to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven asset, further fueling EURUSD downside. On the flip side, if negotiations lead to a positive resolution or postponement of tariffs, the Euro could see some relief, which may coincide with a bounce from the green support zone on the chart potentially lining up with our long bias at that level. Conclusion The EURUSD pair is currently offering a clean, high-probability setup driven by both technical and fundamental factors. With the market respecting bearish structure on the lower timeframes and support levels being broken with ease, the path of least resistance remains to the downside at least until the 1.07500–1.07800 zone is reached. From there, a shift in momentum could present a great opportunity to switch bias and look for a long entry with favorable risk-reward. This trade idea remains valid as long as price respects structure. Always manage risk and stay updated with any breaking news around U.S.–EU trade talks, as those developments could heavily influence the direction of EURUSD in the coming sessions. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
36
EURUSD Bearish Flag Breakdown Incoming?EURUSD has formed a clear bearish flag pattern on the 2H timeframe after a strong bearish impulse. Price is currently respecting the descending trendline (red) and showing rejection near the upper boundary. Break below the flag support can potentially drive price towards the 1.07000 level, and further down to the major support at 1.06320. Watch for bearish confirmation before entering. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.10000 Support 1: 1.07000 Support 2: 1.06320 Bias: Bearish Timeframe: 2H Note: Always use proper risk management and wait for a breakout confirmation.
Short
by Singnals_Teacher
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 1.0959 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 1.1012 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0874 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
Bulls Take Control – Can EURUSD Reach 1.1150 Again?1. What happened (recap): Last week, EURUSD reached the 1.1150 zone, a level that hasn't been touched since August-September last year. After that, the pair started a correction. Although the week started with a gap down yesterday, bulls took control and pushed the pair higher. 2. Key Question: Has EURUSD completed its correction, or is another drop coming? 3. Why I expect further upside: • 🔑 A retest of the formed support at 1.09 occurred during yesterday’s New York session, followed by a fresh rebound. • 📊 The drop from 1.1150 appears corrective in nature, suggesting the possibility of a new leg up. • 🎯 As long as 1.09 holds, my strategy is to buy dips with the primary target being a retest of the 1.1150 resistance zone. 4. Trading Plan: 📌 I’m looking for buying opportunities on dips, aiming to retest the 1.1150 resistance area. This scenario is invalidated only by a daily close below 1.09. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
EURO - Price can bounce from resistance area to $1.0850 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A not long time ago price moved inside a falling channel and showed weak activity with limited growth attempts. Later Euro made a breakout, exited the channel, and started to form a new bullish structure near resistance. After that, price made a sharp upward impulse, touching $1.1010 resistance and forming a pennant pattern. Recently, it broke the lower border of pennant and tested $1.0990 level from below, then bounced down. Now price trades under local resistance area and holds below broken trendline with weak upward attempts. In my opinion, Euro can continue to decline and reach $1.0850 support level in the upcoming sessions. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
14
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the EUR/USD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1092 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.0900 My Stop Loss - 1.1202 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 19th I shared this "EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan" I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above. Price moved as per the plan here!!! If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
EUR/USD 30M TIME FRAMEThis chart represents a EUR/USD 30-minute timeframe analysis. It's structured within a descending channel, suggesting a bearish trend. Here's a breakdown of the setup and possible trading insights: Technical Analysis: 1. Resistance Level: 1.11000 This level is the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price has repeatedly tested this trendline but failed to break above, indicating strong selling pressure. 2. Channel Pattern: The market is forming lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the downward trend. Price is moving within the boundaries of the descending channel, respecting both support and resistance levels. 3. First Target Point: 1.08500 Marked as a potential take-profit area if the price continues downward from the resistance. Could act as a temporary support, offering a bounce or a brief consolidation. 4. Second Target Point: 1.07500 Deeper target within the channel, closer to the lower boundary. If the price breaks the 1.08500 level decisively, this is the next likely destination. 5. Projection Path: The chart illustrates a possible false breakout above resistance, followed by a sharp drop—common in bearish setups. This might trap buyers before reversing to the downside. Trading Insight: Entry Option: Watch for bearish price action near the 1.11000 resistance or a confirmed break below a key support level. Risk Management: A stop-loss above 1.11000 is ideal to manage risk in case of a breakout
Short
by Trend_logic