USDEUX trade ideas
Bullish Breakout in EUR/USD: Key Levels to Watch This WeekHi everyone,
EUR/USD had a strong week, climbing higher from the May 12 low and further reinforcing our view of a potential long-term bullish trend.
We anticipate further upside towards the 1.13768–1.13940 zone, followed by a possible pullback toward the 1.1200 area. We’ll share more updates on the expected path for EUR/USD if and when price reaches that zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, as long as price holds above the 1.10649 support.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURO - Price can make movement up and then drop to $1.1100 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price declined inside a falling channel, where it fell to $1.0735 points and then made an upward impulse.
Price exited from channel and reached $1.1100 level, which it soon broke it and continued to move up.
Later Euro rose to $1.1425 points, and then made a correction, after which, in a short time, price rose higher this level.
After this movement, price turned around and started to decline, breaking $1.1425 level again and entered to flat.
In flat, Euro bounced from $1.1100 level and started to grow inside a flat, and later rose to resistance level.
Recently price started to decline, so I expect that Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline to $1.1100 level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Market next move 🔻 Disruption Scenarios:
1. Resistance Zone at Target Level
The marked "Target" could coincide with a strong resistance level from a previous high.
Price may reject this level again, forming a double top or bearish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing).
2. Volume Divergence
The recent uptrend shows a slight drop in buying volume.
If price increases while volume decreases, it signals a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
3. Upcoming News Events (Fundamentals)
The chart shows several upcoming economic events (news icons).
Any negative surprise from U.S. data or positive Eurozone data could reverse the trend sharply.
For example, better-than-expected U.S. employment data could strengthen the USD, pushing EUR/USD down.
4. Overbought Condition
If we add an RSI (Relative Strength Index) or Stochastic oscillator, the price might already be in the overbought zone, suggesting a correction is due.
5. Fake Breakout Trap
If the price hits the “Target” but then fails to close above it, it could be a bull trap, triggering short positions and leading to a sharp sell-off.
Euro may grow to resistance level and then drop to 1.1275 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming a strong upward move from the buyer zone (1.11850–1.1210), the price rose sharply, broke the mid-range resistance, and entered the seller zone between 1.1380 and 1.1400. Once it reached the upper boundary of the broadening wedge, the price bounced down from resistance at 1.1380. Now the price is trading inside a broadening wedge, showing signs of a potential reversal. After failing to hold above resistance, the Euro started to decline from the seller zone, confirming selling pressure. The current movement points to a correction within the wedge structure. I expect the Euro will continue falling toward 1.1275, my TP 1, where the support line of the wedge coincides with the upper boundary of the previous buyer zone. This zone has already shown strong reactions before and could act as a short-term reversal area. Given the recent rejection from resistance, the broadening wedge formation, and return from the seller zone, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Trade Executed London 2 MacroEURUSD Trade Executed
London 2 Macro
Parent bias Bull
Discount coming into Asia
May 28 delivery
Sell off since Tuesday. Dealing range price expanded to the sell side rebalancing FVG and equal lows. Price gravitated to the Event Horizon.
Wick did the damage taking the equal lows.
Trade Notes
I anticipate for price to set up for a buy day after taking equal low liquidity/discount after the dealing range delivery.
*Note: GBP lower to and through its equal lows. Compared to EUR, EUR it just wicked through.
*Cross reference the DXY gapped open to the buy side taking its equal highs
London 2 Macro Logic
*Previous session NY closed in premium taking sell side liquidity in a consolidation
*Price comes into Asia in a deep discount
*DXY was in a deep Premium after its energetic dealing range
* I did trade Asia and closed the trade after I knew it would consolidate and don't have the mental capital to babysit the consolidation cycle-I do want to learn and toughen up to trade the days range. FOMO on 18 pips. Oh well.
I seen this so many times I am getting more and more trusting. ICT model 2022
1 minute analysis
0:30 expected swing low for engineered session equal lows, Judus swing
1:36 equal lows taken
1:46 another set of equal lows taken
1:50 price lowers to first presented FVG on candle 21:22
1:49 swing high created then 1:50 creates a swing low
1:50 wick also stops at a ORDER BLOCK? still discerning
1:53 displacement candle folks, validates the swing low shift occurring
1:59 was my entry but I missed getting in
2:00 1.2469 was my entry price
stop loss 1.12412
take profit 1.2757 target previous range 50 level
Very happy with this trade. Sloppy entry. Clean exit. I took a partial and let it ride until it predictively retraced as it should and again I am learning one model and next is to incorporate is holding for the day range. Especially when the range is 70 pips.
EURUSD tested the Support line 1.12265 👀Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) dropped 0.32% on May 29, marking its third straight loss, after a U.S. court ruled Trump's reciprocal tariffs unlawful—beyond just the original plaintiffs. The decision, expected to be appealed, adds fresh uncertainty to U.S. trade policy and investor sentiment. Markets are also watching the U.S. Senate, where Trump’s tax and spending plan faces pushback. Meanwhile, the Fed’s latest minutes showed a cautious stance, citing inflation risks and possible rising unemployment—hinting at a delicate policy balance ahead.
Focus now shifts to key U.S. data due May 29 at 12:30 p.m. UTC—GDP and jobless claims. Strong numbers could delay Fed rate cuts, pushing EUR/USD below 1.1180. Weak data may lift the euro above 1.1300.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.12265.
Resistance level is located at 1.14220.
Euro Weakens Near 1.1240 Amid Economic ReleasesEUR/USD extended its decline for a third straight session, trading near 1.1240 during Thursday’s Asian hours. Market attention is now turning to key upcoming U.S. economic releases, including Q1 Annualized GDP, quarterly PCE Prices, and weekly Jobless Claims. The U.S. dollar gained strength following a federal court decision on Wednesday, which blocked former President Trump’s attempt to enforce "Liberation Day" tariffs, ruling the measure unconstitutional and beyond presidential authority, according to a Manhattan court panel.
The key resistance is located at 1.1290 and the first support stands at 1.1200.
EUR/USD UPDATE 29 5 2025The chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart for the Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair, published on TradingView. Here’s a breakdown of the technical elements:
Key Levels and Zones:
Support Zone (lower yellow zone): ~1.12100 to ~1.12500
Current Price: 1.12776
Resistance Zones:
Mid resistance zone: ~1.12850 to ~1.13000
Upper resistance zone: ~1.13500 to ~1.13700
Observations:
The price is currently around 1.12776, just below the mid resistance zone.
The chart includes two blue arrow projections:
1. A bullish projection: Suggests a break above the mid resistance, heading toward the upper resistance (~1.13657).
2. A bearish projection: Indicates a potential drop toward the support zone before bouncing back up toward the upper resistance.
Volume:
Noticeable spike in volume during the drop before price stabilized near the support zone, suggesting strong selling pressure was absorbed.
Implications:
If the price breaks above the 1.13000 level with strong volume, it could signal a move toward the 1.13657 level.
A rejection from the mid resistance zone could lead to a retest of the lower support area before attempting another upward move.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis, or help planning trade entries/exits based on this chart?
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1282
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Lowanticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1325
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? EURUSD PLAN – Is the Rebound Just a Pause Before the Drop? | All Eyes on PCE
📊 MACRO OUTLOOK:
Following the latest FOMC meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as expected, but maintained a hawkish tone. Chair Powell reiterated that inflation remains too sticky to consider rate cuts in the near term.
Markets now await this week’s US PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — which could provide the next major catalyst for USD strength or weakness.
On the Euro side, weak consumer confidence and tepid growth have strengthened expectations for an ECB rate cut in June. This divergence in monetary policy is weighing on the Euro, as the Dollar finds new demand amid global risk recalibration.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
EURUSD has broken down from recent highs near 1.1412 and is now forming a bearish retracement pattern.
Price has broken below the 89-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling bearish structure.
Current price action suggests a temporary bounce from the 1.1260–1.1280 support zone (Fibo 38.2%–50%), but the broader trend remains bearish.
Fibonacci retracement from recent swing lows highlights 1.1338 and 1.1372 as key resistance levels to watch.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES:
Resistance Zones:
• 1.1313 – Minor intraday level (Fibo 0.5)
• 1.1338 – EMA confluence + former structure
• 1.1372 – Major rejection zone (previous distribution top)
Support Zones:
• 1.1280 – 1.1260 – Current support bounce area
• 1.1220 – Key liquidity sweep zone
🧭 TRADE STRATEGY:
Scenario A – Sell the Pullback:
• Wait for a rebound into the 1.1313 – 1.1338 zone
• Enter SELL if bearish rejection forms
• SL: 1.1376
• TP: 1.1280 → 1.1260 → 1.1220
Scenario B – Invalid Breakout:
• If price breaks above 1.1372 with momentum, this plan is invalidated — wait for a confirmed breakout retest.
Scenario C – Reactive Buy Scalp:
• If price shows strong rejection from 1.1260 again, scalpers may consider a temporary BUY back toward 1.1300–1.1310
• This is high-risk and counter-trend.
⚠️ STRATEGIC NOTES:
EURUSD remains in a bearish bias until major resistance levels are broken. With PCE data approaching, volatility is likely. Trade setups should be based on confirmation signals and managed tightly as macro data can shift momentum rapidly.
EURUSD – Technical rebound, but bearish pressure still loomsAfter a sharp drop to the support zone around 1.12255, EURUSD has made a mild recovery and is now retesting the 1.13360 resistance area – which aligns with both the 34 and 89 EMAs. This confluence zone could trigger renewed selling pressure if price fails to break above.
The 3-hour chart shows a zigzag-like recovery forming, but each new high is still lower than the previous one – indicating that the downtrend remains intact. If EURUSD continues to struggle at this resistance, it is likely to reverse and retest the 1.11910 support area.
On the news front, markets are awaiting CPI data from both the Eurozone and the U.S. this week. If U.S. inflation comes in higher than expected, the dollar may continue to strengthen – increasing short-term downside pressure on EURUSD.
EURUSD Tests 200-Hour SMA After 1.1425 RejectionEURUSD is sitting on the 200-hour simple moving average after failing to break the 1.1425 resistance. The implementation and then postponement of the proposed 50% tariffs on Europe added to short-term volatility. Formal trade talks between the EU and US are expected to begin soon.
A green trend channel has now formed, with previously tested key support and resistance levels continuing to play a major role. EURUSD tends to test these key points at the same time with the trendlines. The next major level to watch is 1.1275, which aligns closely with the lower bound of the channel. As long as this level holds, a bullish reaction is possible. To the upside, 1.1375–1.1425 remains the critical resistance zone.
If 1.1275 breaks, downside targets could include 1.1215 in the short term and the broader 1.1050–1.11 zone over the medium term.
EURUSD – Bullish Bias ReconfirmedWe saw the pair pull back yesterday to our 1.12372 level, providing a textbook HRHR entry. The market has since bounced and looks poised for further upside if key levels break:
🎯 HRHR Buys: Already triggered at 1.12372
✅ Safe Buys: Above 1.14149, continuation setup
🛡️ Safest Buys: Above 1.16020, clean breakout targeting next key swing zones
We remain long-biased as long as 1.12372 holds.
How I Read Structure on Higher Timeframes (BMS Valid vs Invalid)Sharing a breakdown of how I personally read market structure on higher timeframes, especially when it comes to spotting a valid vs. invalid Break of Market Structure (BMS).
This is just my perspective based on experience hope it helps someone struggling with mixed signals across multiple timeframes.
Feedback and discussion always welcome 👇📊
Trading Signals for EUR/USD Sell below 1.12907 (200 EMA-21 SMA)Early in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.12640 within the uptrend channel formed on the H4 chart since May 9 and showing signs of exhaustion.
If the euro continues its bullish cycle, we could expect a break and consolidation above 1.1354, then it could reach the 7/8 Murray level at 1.1475.
Technically, we observe that the euro is overbought, and the chart shows a small secondary downtrend channel, which will be viewed as a selling opportunity in the coming days.
The euro could attempt to recover in the coming hours as we see a small technical rebound. However, it faces strong resistance around 1.1354. Below this area, any technical rebound will be viewed as a selling opportunity, with short-term targets around the psychological level of 1.1000.
A sharp break of the uptrend channel and consolidation below the 6/8 Murray level could confirm the next bearish move and could fill the gap left at 1.1162 and even reach the 5/8 Murray level at 1.0986.
EURUSD I Daily Weekly CLS I Model 1- 2R setupHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/USD short: IEEPA; You're fired...Hello traders
I have been sitting on my hands since my last post. Thanks to @InternalTraderNYC to exercise patience. No trades, no harm. But keeping an eagle eye on the daily market chaos.
I know this may come across as "told you so" but whatever I post is always with the goal of bouncing ideas and insights off my fellow trading warriors.
I mentioned the IEEPA and the Court of International Trade as a reminder that there are legal avenues to contest the tariffs in this idea
I had been following any and all developments after the 14 state lawsuit that challenged the validity of using the IEEPA as a pretext to impose the tariffs.
Although I was dubious about any mechanism/court/legislation/congressional action that could moderate the tariffs, the Court of International Trade, based in Manhattan, NY has spoken.
The USD rallied as a result for, oh, so many reasons.
The FOMC interest rate is still the highest of the G7.
Trump's Big Beautiful Bill was already on thin ice with the House because it was predicated on increasing our insane national debt because "tariffs" would pay for the tax cuts for the 1%.
The bond market is already showing signs of US borrowing power becoming cheaper.
There is finally an adult in the room: The Court of International Trade.
Musk has officially departed the employ of the United States Government after criticizing Trump's Big Beautiful Bill. No one knows what happened behind closed doors but what we all know is that no one is allowed to contradict or criticize DJT...
At this point, I'll gloat. :)) I mentioned in one of my Ideas that Musk will be the first to depart the Trump inner circle. Only so much room for two of the biggest three narcissists on the planet. Yup, Putin is number 3.
The FOMC mentioned the "R" word in their minutes that were published today: Recession possibility stemming from trade policy.
Let's see what the US Senate does with this bill.
Stay tuned folks and watch the developments. This mess is far from over. It is all but guaranteed that this will head to the US Supreme Court.
As for trades, I am inserting a link to my previous Christmas Tree chart layout.
www.tradingview.com
The most important take away is that the 10Y T-bill is already cheaper for a higher yield.
Best of luck!!!