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EURUSD, Bullish Bias, Fundamental and Technical AnalysisFundamental Analysis 1. Endogenous factors of EURO is getting better while USD is down 2. Seasonality shows EURO bullish in April while USD bearish 3. increased pressure of interest rate cut in USD in also leading towards DXY bearish 4. COT data shows net increase in EUR and decrease in USD 5. Sentiments shows bullish in EUR 11/8, while USD is 4/5. 6. LEI, Endogenous and Exogenous factors all in favor of Bullish momentum in EURUSD. Technical Analysis 1. Cup and Handle Formation 2. Breakout appeared 3. Breakout Retest 4. Buy in parts i. Long 1% at current price ii. Long 1% @ 1.09017 5. Stop loss below Handle 6. Projection Target 1.165 7. Take profit on Major resistance levels
Long
by itsrohansaeed
Skeptic | EUR/USD: Long and Short Triggers Ahead – Key LevelsWelcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic. Today, we're diving deep into EUR/USD , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As mentioned in our previous analysis , after breaking the descending trendline and pulling back, we had created a higher high, indicating a potential move toward the top of the box at 1.09453. Our long trigger at 1.08454 played out well, reaching a 2.77 % upward move! If you followed the idea, you saw the results! Currently, after breaking resistance at 1.09418 , we saw a pullback , and it's now acting as support. We also have a new resistance at 1.10892 , along with a higher high that confirms the uptrend. I’m still looking for long triggers as long as the trend remains intact. However, as we always say, it's crucial to be skeptical and analyze the market from both sides. So, in the coming days, I’ll keep an eye out for both long and short triggers, depending on how the price moves. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 1.10892 Confirmation: 7 SMA below the candle during the breakout + RSI entering overbought Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 1.09418 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 1.10213 + drop below 1.09418 Confirmation: RSI entering below 42.22 ⚠️ Key Notes: Risk Management : Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks before entering. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
by SkepticWise
2
Can EURUSD Take Out the Major High 1.12000?EURUSD Major Forex Pair Following Trump’s tariff policies announced on Friday, the price of the EURUSD forex pair broke the daily higher high structure and is now returning to retest that level. This morning, the price bounced off the 0.618 daily Fibonacci level, suggesting that it may move upward again, potentially reaching the major high around 1.12000 or hitting one of the Fibonacci extension levels. Price Action on the 4-Hour Chart I have shifted down to the 4-hour chart to analyze the price action in more detail. While it appears somewhat chaotic due to Friday's news and the aggressive bullish impulse, it’s encouraging that the price broke through the higher high structure and is now retesting it. At this point, I would like to see the price remain above the 0.618 daily Fibonacci level and stay within the upward trendline. Additionally, the price is forming a symmetric triangle. Once it breaks out of this pattern, I plan to enter a buy position with a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2, targeting the supply area near the major high. I will provide an update as more price action develops later in the week, so stay tuned!
Long
by M-Floyd
EURUSD April 7 Hindsight ReviewEURUSD April 7 Hindsight Review Last night before Sundays delivery I suspected that price would lower to take the sells side liquidity. I was bull for Asia and London. Great delivery to set up Asia/London Fib take aways To note I use the FIB interchangeably because price is sensitive in both directions *Sundays delivery comes to the .79 recent range level for a stop hunt, what I was setting up for *Asia comes to the previous session .79 which is a trigger to start hunting for a buy Asia Marco Analysis Price retraces to recent inefficient delivered price level at the .79 previous range, now in a discount. Trigger to start hunting 23:00 macro price reacts and forms the ICT 2022 model: *liquidity taken in Sundays delivery *retraces to discount discounted array and first presented FVG *LTF swing high candle that creates a FVG *price validates the swing high with an inversion comes to and through it *23:03 entry *target the 50 level previous range and FVG *look how price delivers through the FVG and almost to .79 range to range with that swing and lands on big figure number 1.1400 Stellar delivery! Get in and get out trade. What I am most happy with that price did deliver my analysis. What I'm most happy about is reading the cycles of expansion, retracement and reversal patterns an spanning out to identify where I want to be entering trades. Today is a prefect example of the PD Array after liquidity is taken and in deep discount to trigger the hunt. No trade and letting this slip through my fingers, did get me for a minute and then I recall the win of the analysis and clarity of when I am ready to press buttons again I will have confidence because I am taking the time to build a solid repeatable model. Keep going!
by LeanLena
Long Position for EUR: A Bullish Opportunity Next Week - Key Insights: The EUR shows resilience and potential for upward movement despite global market challenges. A bullish trend against USD is supported by recent candle formations and sentiment shifts favoring non-USD currencies. Key support at 1.07802 and breakout above 1.09281 solidify EUR's potential. - Price Targets: Next week targets - T1: 1.09800, T2: 1.10200; Stop levels - S1: 1.08700, S2: 1.08200. - Recent Performance: EUR/USD exhibits an overall upward trend in a volatile market, breaking key resistance levels, even as European indices face declines. - Expert Analysis: Analysts suggest continued bullish movements as USD faces bearish pressures, increasing confidence in EUR's upward trajectory. - News Impact: Declines in Euro Stock 600 and pending CPI data are critical factors. Market participants should remain vigilant of economic reports that could influence EUR's movement against USD.
Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
+300 pips EURUSD swing trade setup SELL HIGH🏆 EURUSD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BULLS 1150 🔸Mid-term: BEARS 0670 🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R 🔸0660/0680 normal pullback 🔸BULLS will max out at 1150 🔸Price Target Bears: 0660/0680 🔸Price Target BULLS: 1140/1160 📊 Forex Market Update – April 7, 2025 🇪🇺 EUR/USD 🔹 Reclaims the 1.1000 level amid fresh USD weakness 🔹 Driven by EU-U.S. trade tensions & global recession fears 🔹 📈 Almost Completed a cup & handle formation 🇬🇧 GBP/USD 🔹 Holding gains above 1.2900 after rebounding from 1.2830 🔹 Supported by USD sell-off & BoE-Fed policy divergence 🔹 🛑 Risk-off sentiment & dip-buying helped push the pair higher
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
21
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025 An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast. Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs! Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see. -Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area. - In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind. - Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest. - Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest. The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD: What to Expect - Trump vs FED!The EUR/USD has recently shown a recovery phase after reaching the late-September high near 1.1150 last Thursday, initially supported by the weakness of the US dollar following fears of stagflation in the United States, fueled by tariff announcements from President Trump. However, the scenario changed rapidly after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday. Employment data showed NFP growth in line with expectations, but also an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a less solid labor market than anticipated. During his speech, Powell expressed concerns about the resilience of the US economy, highlighting the risk of an economic slowdown while at the same time reiterating the focus on inflation, maintaining a cautious approach regarding further monetary easing policies. From a technical perspective, the chart shows that the area around 1.0980-1.1000 represents a crucial zone to assess the sustainability of the bullish trend. A daily close above this level could trigger a new upward push towards the highs of 1.1100 and subsequently 1.1150, especially if supported by further signs of dollar weakness or positive European economic data. If the EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.1000, we could see a pullback towards the support at 1.0950 and subsequently 1.0900. The critical support area on the chart is identified between 1.0360 and 1.0280, and a break below these levels would indicate a significant change in market sentiment.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
EURUSD(20250407) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.0995 Support and resistance levels: 1.1177 1.1109 1.1065 1.0926 1.0882 1.0814 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.0995, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1065 If the price breaks through 1.0926, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0882
by BraveTigercat
EURUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Following U.S. President Trump's announcement of reciprocal tariffs, China responded by declaring a 34% retaliatory tariff on all U.S. products. In response, Trump stated that China had made the wrong choice. - U.S. nonfarm payrolls for March increased by 228,000, significantly exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate came in slightly above expectations at 4.2%. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell commented that "tariffs are likely to push up inflation, at least temporarily," and added that the impact may be more lasting, signaling a slight step back from his earlier stance that the effects would be "transitory." Regarding monetary policy, he stated that "there is no need to rush." Key Economic Events This Week + April 10: FOMC Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index + April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March Consumer Price Index, U.S. March Producer Price Index EURUSD Chart Analysis Previously, a strong rebound from the 1.07500 level led to a sharp rise up to the 1.11500 area. However, faced with resistance at the recent high, the pair has now retreated to around the 1.09500 level. Moving forward, we anticipate a slight decline toward the 1.08000 level, followed by a renewed upward move targeting the previous high at 1.11000. However, if the pair breaks below the 1.08000–1.07500 range, contrary to expectations, the trend could shift to bearish. In that case, we will quickly revise our strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy