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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Monday CLS , KL OB Midpoint, Model 1you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Short
by David_Perk
2
EURUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.0344, an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50% FIbvonacci resistance level. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 1.0190, near a key support zone where price may find buying interest. The stop loss is placed at 1.0469, above the previous swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EURUSD Short Term AnalysisNews: EUR/USD fell significantly to 1.0250 during the Asian and European sessions as Trump’s tariff war on imports from Canada, Mexico and China kept the US dollar steady and weighed on the pair. Analysis: On the daily chart, the bearish trend remains dominant with consecutive lower highs, indicating continued selling pressure. However, the downside momentum is showing signs of slowing down, which could lead to a short-term bullish correction. The key resistance level combined with Fibonacci to watch is the 1.0320 – 1.0350 zone, where fresh selling pressure could emerge if the price fails to break. When trading the EUR/USD pair, it is necessary to closely monitor economic reports from both the EU and the US, especially the interest rate decisions of the ECB and the Fed, as well as the tariff policies of both sides In summary: The short-term trend of EUR/USD is bearish due to the US tariff policy causing the strength of the dollar to increase, but there may be an upward correction. However, the ECB is also preparing cautious measures to avoid depreciating the EUR against the USD. The long-term forecast is that the EUR will still rise due to the policy of reducing interest rates to promote strong growth of the EU economy
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
WEEKLY RECAP - Week 1, 2025The most important thing to reflect on each week is NOT your profit and loss balance. Instead, reflect on these three questions: - Did I follow my core habits for success? - Am I ready to let my attachments from last week go? - Am I focusing on this current moment, or a destination I'm trying to reach? I won't put a whole lot of words here. It's all in the video, but here are the three setups from last week, and here is my notion journal so you can follow along. USDJPY EURUSD EURUSD Notion Journal Enjoy the ride, -Gio
by elevatedinvestor
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.04576Early in the American session, EUR/USD is trading around 0/8 Murray located at 1.03557 with a bearish channel after it left a gap at the opening of negotiations this week. The euro is now covering the gap in the recently hours. Thus, we expect EUR/USD to find good resistance above 1.03587. If this scenario occurs, the instrument could reach 1.04187 and even the 200 EMA located at 1.04576. On the contrary, if the euro falls below 0/8 Murray and consolidates below 1.03587, the outlook could remain bearish. Hence, we could expect EUR/USD to reach -1/8 Murray located at 1.02502. The indicator has reached overbought zones. so, we believe that the euro could recover part of the losses in the next few days. Therefore, we will look for opportunities to sell below 1.04576 or in case there is a technical rebound around 1.02502.
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
1
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 3 February 2025 - EURUSD reversed from pivotal support level 1.0225 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.0400 EURUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the major pivotal support level 1.0225, which has been steadily reversing the pair from the end of last year, as can be seen from the daily EURUSD chart below. The support zone near the support level 1.0225 was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band. Given the strength of the support level 1.0225 and the bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, the EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0400.
Long
by FxProGlobal
EUR/USD in Crosshairs for Tariff VolWhile Trump has pushed the envelope on tariffs for China, Canada and Mexico, it seems more are lurking for Europe and the pair responded in a bearish way to start the week, making a fast run at the 1.0200 handle. That's a big spot, as looked at in these posts a couple weeks ago, and it's so far held the lows for 2025 after coming into play briefly on the 13th of January. The rally from that ran all the way into last week's open, with Monday printing a doji, followed by a sell-off on Tuesday that confirmed an evening star formation, and that led into another pattern of red days. At this point the pair seems vulnerable and the way that hits could be chaotic as it's essentially waiting for Trump to comment on the matter. For resistance, the 1.0333-1.0343 zone has already been in-play this morning and above that is the Fibonacci level at 1.0406. - js Longer-term, it's the 1.0500-1.0611 zone that bulls will need to take out to exhibit control of the pair. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD braces for U.S. tariff threat EURUSD braces for U.S. tariff threat Tariff developments continue to drive market volatility, with new headlines emerging daily. On Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump warned that tariffs on the European Union were inevitable. In response, EU leaders indicated they are prepared to retaliate if the U.S. imposes new tariffs on European goods. This follows Trump’s previous executive orders implementing a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. Although yesterday, Trump announced an “immediate pause” on tariffs against Mexico after Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum agreed to deploy 10,000 soldiers to the border to curb drug trafficking and illegal immigration. The EUR/USD opened the week lower, plunging to multi-week lows around 1.0200 before finding support. Markets reacted positively to the temporary U.S.-Mexico agreement, helping the pair recover. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 25-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), ahead of the 50-day and 100-day EMA convergence.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD Potential Shorts (Technical Analysis)Overall Context: The dollar's been flexing its muscles lately, and EURUSD is feeling the pressure. We saw some crazy gaps when the markets opened on Monday morning – a sign of shaky liquidity, which usually snaps back. But with the trade war rumbling on, who knows? As traders, we've got to stay prepared, expecting a correction but ready with our contingency plans if it doesn't happen. Let's dive in - Technical Outlook: Failure of the previous accumulation cycle - Classic Wyckoff stuff, cycles run their course. A re-distribution is likely on the horizon, especially if the lower timeframes agree with the bigger picture. (Fractally, we need to see the LTF accumulation fail and for distribution to align with the HTF sentiment and cycle). Price has broken to the downside and has created multiple lower highs. Trading below the 200 EMA and has recently tested and bounced of the 50 EMA (at a correlating level of supply) Keep in mind that USDJPY and EURUSD are inversely correlated and are currently in line - While the inverse correlation is a significant factor, it's not the only thing that influences these currency pairs. Interest rates, economic data, and global events can also play a role and we know how that story looks at present so this is just additional confluence for us. Potential Scenarios & Probabilities: Scenario 1 (High Probability) - Price will pull back into the supply and drop from there. Scenario 2 (Medium Probability) - Price will continue to plummet and break structure to the downside. Trading Considerations: If price fills the gap and reaches supply levels above, you should wait for bearish confirmations to get involved. If price drops past the previous low, identify new levels of supply and trade accordingly. (I'll try to post an update if this happens). Final Notes: Strong technical picture but this week has a lot of upcoming economic events (NFP, anyone?). With the Tariffs imposed so close to the NFP release one can only assume there will be a power play by the Trump administration which we may not see coming. All we can do for now is follow the money flow to stay in the know! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. OANDA:EURUSD TVC:DXY FX:USDJPY
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
4
EUR/USD slides on tariff turmoil, euro CPI risesThe euro has weakened at the start of the new week. EUR/USD slumped over the weekend and dropped as low as 1.0141, its lowest level since Nov. 2022. The euro has recovered somewhat on Monday and is trading at 1.0277 in the North American session. Still, the euro has dropped 0.76% since Friday's close. US President Trump hasn't wasted any time and imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada over the weekend, effective February 4. Mexico and Canada have both announced retaliatory tariffs in response. Earlier today, just one day before the tariffs were to take effect, the US announced that the tariffs against Mexico would be delayed for a month. The breather is good news, but the US could still find itself embroiled in a trade war with its two neighbors, in what is the world's largest trade zone. Trump hasn't slapped the European Union with any tariffs yet, but said on Friday that he would "absolutely" go after imports from the EU. Global markets have been hit by fears of a global trade war resulting from the US tariffs and the US dollar is up sharply against most of the major currencies, including the euro. Inflation in the eurozone ticked upwards to 2.5% y/y in January from 2.4% in December, above the market estimate of 2.4%. This was the highest CPI level since July 2024, driven mainly by a sharp jump in energy prices. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.7% y/y for a fifth straight month, just above the market estimate of 2.6%. This is above the European Central Bank's 2% target but is the lowest level since January 2022. Services inflation, which is closely watched by the ECB, eased to 3.9% in January, down from 4% in December. Today's inflation report affirms that inflationary risks remain and could complicate the ECB's plans to reduce interest rates and kick-start the weak eurozone economy. The ECB meets next on March 6. EUR/USD has pushed above resistance at 1.0244 and is testing resistance at 1.0297 There is support at 1.0203 and 1.0175 www.tradingview.com
by OANDA
EUR/USD – Smart Money Move Incoming!Here’s a **simple and professional TradingView description** for your post: --- 📢 **EUR/USD Wave Analysis – Key Levels to Watch!** 🔥 🚀 **Market Overview:** EUR/USD is following a **five-wave Elliott structure** with a potential **Wave 4 retracement** before further downside. The key zones to watch: 🔹 **Support Zone:** 1.02052 - 1.00923 (Possible Wave 5 target) 🔹 **Resistance Zone:** 1.06664 (Potential Wave 4 completion) 🔹 **Key Level:** 1.02923 (Crucial reaction point) 💡 **Trading Insight:** We may see a short-term pullback towards **1.06664** before the final drop to **1.00923**. Watch for **price reaction at resistance** before entering a trade. 📊 **Patience is key. Follow the structure, manage risk, and stay ahead of the trend!** 🚀 #GreenFireForex #EURUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #PriceAction
by Greenfireforex
ANALYSIS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 1H - Price has recently traded into an area of Demand since trading into this area we have seen that price has put in some bullish structure. Price has spent today to clear the gap that was left in the market from the open yesterday, I feel we will see a continuation in this bullishness, with this higher TF bias being a bullish one I have gone ahead and marked out an area of Demand that I feel price may pullback into before continuing to trade us higher, this could act as an area to buy in from. We need to make sure this area in price holds. Before we look to buy into this market we need to make sure we have the confluence needed. This will come from a penetration, rejection and fractal break in structure to the upside. I feel this could be the start of the next big impulse.
Long
by Lukegforex
EUR/USD Gaps Lower as Trump's Tariff War Escalates EUR/USD gapped lower this morning, driven by Donald Trump’s fresh round of tariffs, reigniting fears of a global trade war. The US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal surged, putting the Euro under pressure. Fundamentals Weighing on EUR/USD The ongoing trade war between the US and key trading partners has created fresh uncertainties, with Trump’s tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China exacerbating tensions. A 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico, alongside a 10% tariff on Chinese imports, is raising concerns about the impact on global trade and economic growth. In the wake of these announcements, the US Dollar has strengthened, further pressuring the EUR/USD pair. The Euro is also weighed down by diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB). The ECB recently cut interest rates, citing concerns over sluggish growth in the Eurozone, while the Federal Reserve has maintained its stance, holding rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%. Additionally, weak economic data from Europe, including a 0.2% contraction in Germany's Q4 GDP and a modest 0.9% annual gain for the broader Eurozone, contrasts with the more resilient US economy, which posted 2.3% GDP growth in Q4, despite coming in below expectations. Gap Signals Burst of Bearish Momentum This morning’s large gap lower in EUR/USD is significant, signalling a sharp increase in bearish momentum aligned with the dominant downtrend. EUR/USD has been trending lower for the last six months, leading to a bearish crossover of the 50-day moving average below the 200-day moving average. After hitting fresh trend lows in mid-January, the recent rebound found resistance at the 50-day moving average before rolling over at the end of the month, forming a new lower swing high. With the gap lower, the RSI has dropped sharply but remains above oversold territory, while price action is now looks set to test key support around January’s swing lows. Looking ahead, volatility is expected to remain high as markets react to Trump’s trade policies and anticipate Friday’s non-farm payrolls data. Expect the top and bottom of the gap to serve as resistance going forward, shaping near-term price action in the EUR/USD pair. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom