121Hello awesome traders! 👑✨
Let’s kick off the week with a EUR/USD 2-Hour chart — spotting a high-probability 121 Bearish reversal to ride lower.
🧠 Setup Breakdown
Pattern Type: 121 Bearish Reversal
X → A: Downtrend from 1.18297 → 1.17464
A → B: Retracement up to 1.18098
B → C: Drop to 1.17165
C → D: Leg up into 1.17899 completing the 121
PRZ / PCZ: Confluence of 78.6% & 100% of BC at 1.17663–1.17799
✅ Why This Works
Clean 121 structure with two distinct retracements
Amplitude Symmetry: AB ≈ CD in price distance (~130 pips each)
Horizontal resistance from the prior B-swing lines up with PCZ
⚔️ Entry & Risk Management
Entry Zone: Short within 1.1766–1.1780 (PCZ)
Stop-Loss: Above swing high D at 1.17899, 5–10 pips higher (~1.1805)
Risk: ≤ 1–2 % of account per trade
🎯 Target Zones
Target Zone 1: 78.6%–100% retracement of C→D → 1.17009–1.16767
Target Zone 2: 127.2%–161.8% extension of C→D → 1.16459–1.16067
🔍 Confirmation & Invalid
Candlestick Rejection: Watch for bearish pin-bar or engulfing at PCZ
Structure Break: Close back below C→D trendline adds conviction
Invalidation: A decisive close above 1.1805 (above PCZ & D) negates the setup
💡 Keep It Simple:
Pattern → Spot 121 Bearish
PCZ → Wait for 78.6–100 % retracement of BC
Trigger → Bearish price action at D
Continuation → Ride the move into your Target Zones
🔔 Monitor ECB speak and risk-sentiment for broader catalysts.
Wishing everyone a profitable week ahead — stay disciplined, manage risk, and let structure lead, not emotions! 🚀
USDEUX trade ideas
EURUSD – From Structure to Shift
1H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
EURUSD moved cleanly through a sequence of structural phases:
• Previous Base
• Multi-day Consolidation (potential quiet accumulation)
• Transition into a well-respected Descending Channel
Price has since shown repeated rejections from the upper boundary, including a decisive selloff from the 1.1750 zone, forming what we now label a "Pressure Gap" — a space where aggressive sellers overwhelmed price.
🧭 Key Scenarios Ahead:
🔻 Bearish Continuation:
Breakdown below 1.1700 opens room toward:
• 1.1640 (channel bottom)
• 1.1600 Liquidity Zone
Watch for impulsive sell candles + EMA rejection
🔁 Short-Term Bounce or Trap:
Holding above 1.1700 could spark a rebound toward 1.1750
This may serve as a final test before another leg lower
Only a clean break and hold above 1.1763 flips structure bullish
🔍 Bonus Confluence:
1D Chart shows broader bullish context (inset)
EMAs tightening = expect volatility burst
Well-defined structure gives clear invalidation and targets
Every trend tells a story — from base building to breakout, and now a possible breakdown. Trade the structure, not the prediction.
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DescendingChannel #LiquidityZone #SmartMoney #MJTrading
EURUSD CONSOLIDATION BEFORE A BULLISH CONTINUATION?I've been bearish on TVC:DXY for the past months. Not only technically but also fundamentally. If you know DOLLAR AND CMCMARKETS:EURUSD have a negative correlation. In this case a bearish dollar means a bullish EU. Currently looking for more price action to confirm potential buy trades. If dollar decides to retrace more we will adapt and change the biais
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders.
Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
EUR/USD 2-Hour Chart - OANDA2-hour performance of the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair on the OANDA platform as of July 08, 2025. The current exchange rate is 1.17365, reflecting a 0.24% increase (+0.00279). The chart includes a recent sharp decline highlighted in a shaded area, with buy and sell signals at 1.17375 and 1.17357 respectively. Key price levels are marked, ranging from 1.1500 to 1.1850, with a focus on the recent market movement.
EURUSD - Potential sell at LDN or NY openLooking for sell from the POI highlighted
We have raided buy side liquidity so now its time to look at the origin of the move and see if we can further capitalise on a similar set up I took yesterday in order to bank a lovely 8.5% profit on this single trade.
Will post the trade below
30M Insight: EURUSD Buy Limit ReadyGood Mornıng Traders;☀️
Based on a 30-minute analysis, I’ve identified a shift in EURUSD market structure. I’ll be waiting for price to reach my level with a buy limit order.
📥 BUY LIMIT ORDER: 1.17180
🛑 STOP LOSS: 1.16946
🎯 TP1: 1.17275
🎯 TP2: 1.17412
🎯 TP3: 1.17649
📊 Risk / Reward Ratio: 2.00
Patience meets precision. Let the market come to you.
🧠 Master your mindset with iron discipline.
Never fear the trade—let the trade fear you.
Keep your motivation high and your focus sharper than ever.
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Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
EURUSD and Elliott Wave PrinciplesWe are currently on a Wave 5 that started when Wave 4(Red) completed. This 5th Wave expresses itself in 5 waves that are shown in Black. Our Wave 2 was a Zigzag and and we should expect a Flat correction for our Wave 4. When Wave 3 is complete an A Wave retests on the 261.8% Fib. level. Wave B goes beyond the end of Wave 3 and retests the confirms at the 423.6% Fib. level. This indicates the end of Wave B and the start of Wave C of the Flat, hence our Wave 4.
EURUSD: overboughtFriday was a non-working day in the US, as the country was celebrating Independence Day. The most important weekly macro data was related to US jobs data. At the start of the week JOLTs job openings in May were posted with a figure of 7.769M, significantly higher from market estimate of 7,3M. The next day the NFPs and Unemployment rate was published. As per data, the unemployment rate dropped by 0,1pp to the level of 4,1%, which missed market expectations of 4,2%. The Non-farm payrolls in June added 147K new jobs, again better from forecasted 110K. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,2% in June, or 3,7% on a yearly basis, modestly below the forecasted 3,9%. Other weekly macro data including ISM Manufacturing PMI in June reached 49,0 a bit higher from estimated 48,8. The ISM Services PMI in June was standing at 50,8 in line with market estimates.
Retail Sales in Germany dropped by an additional -1,6% in May, bringing the indicator to the level of +1,6% on a yearly basis. Both figures were lower from the market estimate of +0,5% for May and +3,3% for the year. Inflation rate in Germany preliminary in June was 2% a bit lower from forecasted 2,2%. Inflation for the month was standing at 0%. Preliminary inflation data for the Euro Zone in June was 0,3% for the month and 2% for the year. EuroZone core inflation was standing at 2,3% in June, exactly in line with market estimates. The unemployment rate in the Euro Zone in May was modestly increased by 0,1pp to the level of 6,3%, while the market was expecting to remain flat at 6,2%.
The US Dollar continued its decline against the euro during the previous week. The highest weekly level was at 1,1825, but the currency pair closed the week at 1,1776. The RSI reached the level of 73, signalling a clear overbought market side, increasing the probability of a short term reversal in the coming period. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, indicating low probability of a potential cross in the future period.
The eurusd daily chart is showing that the currency pair had formed a sort of channel with an uptrend during the past period. If lows from end of February, mid March and end of March are connected, the indication for a next potential level of eurusd might be somewhere above the 1,16 level. The 1,1620 was the highest level achieved in mid July this year, which aligns well with the previous indication. Indicators are currently showing higher probability of a short term reversal. The week ahead is not bringing any currently significant news with respect to the US economy, in which sense, it could be expected that the market will slow down a bit during the week. Short reversal is quite possible, where the level of 1,1620 might be shortly tested. Just in case that the market decides to continue movement toward the higher grounds, then 1,18 resistance will be tested, before the market continues its road toward the 1,19 level.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: Industrial Production in May in Germany, Retail Sales in the Euro Zone for May, Balance of Trade in Germany in May, Inflation rate final for May in Germany,
USD: FOMC Meeting minutes.
SELL EURUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.1SELL EURUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.1747
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT: take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with........trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here...
EURUSD – Bearish Reversal Confirmed After Structural BreakEURUSD has shifted out of its bullish environment after a sustained rally inside a clean ascending channel. Price recently rejected a resistance zone that capped previous buying pressure and has now started to rotate downward. This marks the first serious challenge to the trend and sets the tone for a potential bearish phase.
Channel Breakdown and Price Behavior
The ascending channel had been respected for several sessions, guiding price upward with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The recent breakdown from this structure is significant, as it shows the market is no longer willing to support higher prices within that controlled environment. This type of breakout often signals a loss of momentum and increased volatility in the opposite direction.
Break of the Low and Shift in Structure
After breaking the channel, price also took out a major internal low, which had previously held during retracements. This is a key signal of a structural shift, confirming that the uptrend has been interrupted. When price breaks a low that buyers had been defending, it shows sellers have stepped in with conviction and are likely aiming lower targets.
Short-Term Target and Reaction Zone
The first area of interest sits just below current price where a support shelf and price inefficiencies line up. This zone, marked with the dollar sign symbol on the chart, may attract a short-term reaction. If buyers are still present, this is where they would likely try to step in. However, the rejection from resistance and the structural break suggest this level could eventually give way.
Imbalance Zone Below and Liquidity Target
If that support fails, the next high-probability draw is the large untested imbalance sitting further below. This zone has remained untouched since the rally began and represents unfinished business for the market. Price often seeks out these inefficiencies, especially after trend shifts, making it a natural target for sellers if momentum continues.
Conclusion
EURUSD is showing clear signs of bearish pressure after rejecting resistance, breaking structure, and leaving behind unmitigated downside targets. As long as we remain below the broken low, the path of least resistance points lower. The imbalance zone below remains the key destination unless the market shows signs of reversal higher.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
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If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Entry: 1.1743
1st Support: 1.1631
1st Resistance: 1.1833
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL FVG I Target 50%Yo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
EURUSD TRADES BEARISH
Last week, due to a fail of holding above the 1.18000 level, we saw a huge 1-hour decline of 0.39% on big selling volumes, which is not typical for such instruments as EURUSD. Since that time, the price has been moving within a descending channel and has formed a possible pennant yesterday. All of the factors "vote" for going bearish in this asset.
So, what will be the possible scenario? We may go market sell right immediately, or wait till the breakout of the pennant pattern. In this case we may set
🔽 a sell stop order at 1.17400 with
❌a stop loss at 1.17670 and
🤑a take profit at 1.16915
Additionally, EURUSD may go even further downstairs, next to a 1.16000 support level. For this case we may preserve some minor part of our position with a take profit set nearby this level.
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
EURUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.1686 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1706
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Testing Support — Will Buyers Step In Again?Hi Everyone,
Since our last update, EUR/USD is currently testing the 1.16680 support level. We’re watching for buying interest to emerge above the key 1.16450 zone; if price can stabilise here, we could see a retest of the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450.
Our broader outlook remains unchanged: as long as price holds above 1.16450, we continue to look for the pair to build momentum for another move higher in the coming sessions. A decisive break above last week’s high could attract fresh buying interest, paving the way for a push towards the 1.19290 area and ultimately 1.20000.
We'll be watching closely to see if this recovery gains traction and whether buyers can sustain the move above resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, provided price continues to respect the key support zone.
We’ll keep updating you through the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions.
Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1905
1st Support: 1.1577
1st Resistance: 1.2152
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.