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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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Fridays CLS, Key Level OB mid, Model 1Hey Traders !! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave Hunter ⚔
Long
by David_Perk
8
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.0500 (21 SMA -6/8 M)Early in the American session, EUR/USD is trading around 1.04614 below 6/8 Murray and within the uptrend channel forming since February 2. On the H3 chart, the euro has been struggling to consolidate above the psychological level of 1.0500 which has been putting pressure on EUR/USD and now we are seeing a technical correction. EUR/USD could extend its upward movement and reach the top of the uptrend channel around 5/8 of Murray located at 1.0376 in the next few hours. In case EUR/USD consolidates above 1.0498, it could extend its bullish movement and reach the top of the bullish trend channel around 1.0535. In case EUR/USD breaks this zone, it could quickly reach 7/8 Murray located at 1.0620. Market fears are against the euro as investors are assessing the impact of the US President's tariffs on the Eurozone. Risk sentiment could trigger a strong bearish move in the euro and we could expect it to reach 4/8 Murray around 1.0253. Our trading plan for the next few hours is to sell EUR/USD below 6/8 Murray with targets at the 21 SMA located at 1.0448, around the 200 EMA located at 1.0396 and finally, at 5/8 Murray located at 1.0376. The indicator is showing a negative signal which supports our bearish strategy.
Short
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.0500 (200 EMA -6/8 Early in the American session, EUR/USD is trading 1.04727 inside the uptrend channel forming since the beginning of February and reaching overbought levels around 6/8 Murray. On the H4 chart, we can see that the EUR/USD continued its rise during the European session until it reached the top of the bullish trend channel around 1.05118. Since then, we have seen a technical correction which is likely to set the stage for a bullish cycle in the next few hours. If the euro tries to break 6/8 Murry located around the psychological level of 1.0500, we should expect a consolidation above this area. On the contrary, if this scenario does not occur, we could see a strong technical correction and EUR/USD could fall towards 5/8 Murray located at 1 .0376. The outlook remains bullish for the euro but it is showing signs of exhaustion. If EUR/USD finds a strong rejection at 1.0498, it could be seen as an opportunity to sell. The indicator is reaching overbought levels and is showing a negative signal. So, our trading plan could be sell positions as long as EUR/USD consolidates below 1.0500.
Short
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
1
Can the Greenback continue its Reign against the EURO?Hello traders, The current market volatility, fueled by recent events, presents an exciting trading environment. I'm sharing my analysis of the EUR/USD pair, where I anticipate continued weakness in the Euro and strength in the Dollar. Short-Term Outlook Given the strong bearish potential on higher timeframes, I'm maintaining a short position on this timeframe. The breach of the significant level at 1.0500 reinforces this outlook, as long as prices remain below this level. Entry and Invalidation Points With the recent pullback to 1.03800, I've identified multiple confluences on lower timeframes, making it an attractive entry point. My invalidation price is set at 1.041, above which I'll reassess and await another entry opportunity. Target My target is set at the next significant level, 1.0, which I believe offers a compelling price target. Risk Management As always, please remember that nothing is guaranteed in trading. The only aspect we can control is our risk. Trade safely until next time. Best regards, Tradebudz
Short
by Tradebudz
13
EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low. The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURUSD: warming inflation, or not?One of the most important events during the previous week was Fed Chairs Powell testimony in front of the US Congress. Some key takeaways from this hearing was that the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates and that Fed's decisions will stay independent from any political interference. As for macro data posted during the previous week, January inflation data were in the spotlight of the market. Posted figures show a bit hotter inflation of 0,5% for the month, a bit higher from market estimate of 0,3%. Inflation rate on a yearly basis reached 3%. Core inflation continues to be elevated at 0,4% in January and 3,3% on a yearly basis. The Producers Price Index reached 0,4% in January, again higher from market estimate of 0,3%, while core PPI was at the level of 0,3% and in line with market consensus. The Retail Sales dropped by -0,9% in January, much higher from market expectation of -0,1%. The Retail Sales were higher by 4,2% on a yearly basis. The inflation rate in January in Germany was standing at -0,2% for the month and 2,3% y/y. The GDP growth rate, second estimate for Q4 in the Euro Zone was 0,1%, and a bit higher from forecasted 0%. The GDP growth rate, second estimate for the year, was standing at 0,9%. The US inflation in January, which was hotter than the market estimate, made investors prefer euro over dollar during the previous week. The currency pair started the week at levels modestly below the 1,03 level, and was pushed for the rest of the week toward the higher grounds. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday, at 1,051. The currency pair ended the week at the level of 1,0487. The RSI also reverted its move toward the level of 60, however, there is still enough space for the higher ground until the clear overbought market side is reached. The MA50 continues to slow down its divergence from MA200, with a solid distance between two lines, in which sense, the cross is not in the store anytime soon. The currency pair reached the resistance line at 1,05 which had been tested during the previous week. Based on current charts, the eurusd will most probably continue to test these levels at the start of the week ahead. Considering a Holiday in the US on Monday, and lack of release of currently important data for markets, which is related to inflation, it should not be expected to have some higher volatility during the week. On the upside, the 1,05 level will be tested for one more time, while on the opposite side, there is a possibility for a short reversal, but not below the 1,04 support line. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in February for both EuroZone and Germany, PPI in January for Germany, HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash in February in Germany and the Euro Zone, USD: Due to Holiday in the US markets will be closed on Monday, Building Permits preliminary in January, Housing Starts in January, FOMC Meeting Minutes, Existing Home Sales in January, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for February.
by XBTFX
EUR/USD long: "Let them eat cake"Hello traders In the words of Marie-Antoinette, "let them eat cake" is where I believe the Trump administration will take us. It will not take four years before his Nationalist, America first doctrine will leave us all much worse off than before. He won the election, as I have believed he would, on exaggerated immigration issues but above all, "the economy, stupid, the economy". Despite record employment and GDP growth, inflation has not cooled down to pre 2020 levels. Will Trump lower prices for consumers? Don't think so. He is lashing out at International trading partners instead of taking a good look at the US Corporations that are still benefitting from his last tax cuts and inflated prices. The major Indices reflect that windfall. Let us take a look at the low hanging fruit of international trade before the price and inflation issues that have affected the American consumer. ustr.gov/countries-regions/europe-middle-east/europe/european-union All statistics regarding global trade are provided by the United States government in the link above. I guess we are all dodging the tariff bullets ricocheting around the globe.Hello traders In the words of Marie-Antoinette, "let them eat cake" is where I believe the Trump administration will take us. It will not take four years before his Nationalist, America first doctrine will leave us all much worse off than before. He won the election, as I have believed he would, on exaggerated immigration issues but above all, "the economy, stupid, the economy". Despite record employment and GDP growth, inflation has not cooled down to pre 2020 levels. Will Trump lower prices for consumers? Don't think so. He is lashing out at International trading partners instead of taking a good look at the US Corporations that are still benefitting from his last tax cuts and inflated prices. The major Indices reflect that windfall. Let us take a look at the low hanging fruit of international trade before the price and inflation issues that have affected the American consumer. ustr.gov/countries-regions/europe-middle-east/europe/european-union All statistics regarding global trade are provided by the United States government in the link above. I guess we are all dodging the tariff bullets ricocheting around the globe. We all know it is a page from the classic Trump playbook of making threats to get what he wants. He has already backed down from threats against Colombia, Mexico and Canada. He effectively threatened to nullify the legally binding trade agreement that he had put into place with Mexico and Canada in the first place. Say what? Que? Quoi? Or in American English WTF??? In a way, it is almost a French farce play with doors opening and closing to further the storyline. Japan very deftly dodged the tariff threat by having a face to face meeting with Trump before any threats could materialize. The UK has a very well balanced two way with trade with the US mostly holding a trade surplus with the UK. And then, the European Union. The US has a trade deficit on goods: think luxury vehicles, great French wines, delicious cheese, other agricultural goods. During Trumps' last term, the EU retaliated against Trump's tariffs with tariffs on American Whisky, Harley Davison etc. The US has a services surplus with the EU. The EU has already committed to buying more energy from the US since the Ukraine/Russia war has disrupted the flow of natural gas and oil from Russia. But can the US deliver on providing more of the EU's energy needs. Well, Trump will have to, 'drill baby, drill" since the US is running at capacity since fracking collapsed during Covid-19. WTI hit a low of S11 and has since recovered to treading water under $80. Therefore, it appears that Trump's tariff threats may not have all that much impact on the EU. And do not forget about the European wall of NATO guarding us against the Russian invasion threat. And just for the hell of it, say, the European Union blocks the Netherlands from providing ASML lithographic machines to the USA, which is hell bent on winning the AI war. No ASML, no NVIDIA chips. Just saying... The technical side also suggests that the Euro might have found a base above 1.0200 and is ticking higher again. Do not forget, the Euro is also a member of the Elite Club of safe haven currencies: JPY, CHF, USD and EURO. While the USD has the advantage of higher interest rates and the promise of higher inflation caused by tariffs, the EURO has the second highest rates of the four safe haven currencies. The member countries of France and Germany are also going through some political upheaval but not to the extent that it will threaten the stability of the EURO. On a balance, I believe the Euro may appreciate against most of the majors despite the tepid economy. Which leaves China: Why is Trump so quiet about tariffs on Chinese goods and the country with the biggest trade deficit of all??? I am speculating but the surplus of Chinese goods sold in the USA find their way through our S&P 500 companies, like Walmart, HomeDepot etc... And be assured, those CEO's have access to the inner circle of Trump. So does Miriam Adelson , the megadonor casino heiress who happens to own casinos in Chinese controlled Macau. Our USA tech bros' have also cozied up to Trump but that is more about local regulations than anything else. The ultimate threat for us as low/medium/high income Americans, will be to what extent Trump inflates our already insane national debt and NOT the aforementioned trade hiccups. The 1% will still be cruising around in luxury German cars on their way to swirling a 50 year old Bordeaux in their finest crystal glasses and nibbling on French cheese and foie gras. But hey, tomorrow is another day, another new development, so keep the trading sizes realistic and the stop loss levels tight. Above all, do your own research. This is just my two cents on a very complicated global quagmire that I believe, as an American citizen, will affect us negatively for the next four years. Best of luck.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
4
EUR/USD Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact, Next Target 1.06?In my post last week about EUR/USD, I argued that the pair could rise to 1.05 and that dips around 1.03 should be seen as buying opportunities. Indeed, after briefly dipping below 1.03, the pair reversed to the upside and reached my 1.05 target. Currently, the pair is undergoing a small correction and is trading at 1.0460 at the time of writing. However, my bullish outlook remains unchanged. Dips around 1.04 should once again be considered buying opportunities. The next target for bulls could be the 1.06 resistance zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
EURUSD is Ready for a Long BullHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EUR/USD: Dollar Surges,Technical Indicators Point to ReversalThe EUR/USD currency pair is showing a clear downward trend today, retreating from Friday's brief rally that saw it briefly touch the 1.051 level. Currently hovering around 1.0448, the pair's weakness is fueled by a slightly resurgent US Dollar. Buoying the greenback are climbing US government yields; the 10-year Treasury note, for instance, has risen to 4.51%, an increase of 4 basis points. However, the positive sentiment pervading global stock markets is acting as a counterweight, tempering the USD's potential for significant gains. Analyzing the technical landscape, the price action appears to be hitting a critical juncture. The current trading range is approaching a clearly defined resistance zone, which also presents as a supply area. Compellingly, insights gleaned from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveal that retail traders hold a significant long position within this area. This, combined with a potential bearish seasonal trend, adds further weight to the possibility of a downward reversal. Based on this confluence of technical indicators, we are actively watching for a potential price reversal within the identified resistance zone. The interplay of market forces and trader positioning suggests a bearish outlook for the EUR/USD pair in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Trend During US Trading Session – Down Then UpEUR/USD news: 🔆EUR/USD remains under pressure near the 1.0500 mark in early European trading on Friday, weighed down by a broad recovery in the US Dollar. Traders are adopting a cautious approach, avoiding new positions on the pair ahead of the release of preliminary PMI reports for both the Eurozone and the US. 🔆Later in the day, S&P Global will release the US Manufacturing and Services PMI data. If the Services PMI surpasses the market forecast of 53, the USD could gain further strength in response. 🔆Additionally, Germany is preparing for its general election to the Bundestag, the lower house of parliament, on February 23. As a result, investors may look to secure profits toward the end of the European session, potentially pushing EUR/USD lower. Personal opinion: 🔆EUR/USD pair will have a pullback after touching the trend line (4H), besides the market will wait for US PMI so there will be little further breakout. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on resistance - support zones and important Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy. Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0490 – 1.0510 ❌SL: 1.0560 | ✅TP: 1.0450– 1.0400 – 1.0334 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.0520 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.0576 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.0458 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
THOUGHTS ON EUR/USDEUR/USD 15M - Looking here we are seeing price distribute and show signs of bearishness trading us lower, giving us the suggestion that price is ready to put in the corrective wave and clear some inefficiency. Once price breaks the last protected low we can safely look to take part in this market, if however price comes to trade into the Supply Zone above before breaking the last low I may be tempted. As it would be allowing us to enter in on this market with a very refined entry, should price trade in and give us the rejection we want I may look to go short from here, setting my SL above the zone itself and my TP just above the last higher timeframe low. I am expecting longer term bullishness for this pair so I feel this correction will be short lived and be done to clear any remaining orders before taking us higher so its important we apply safety measures with running trades.
Short
by Lukegforex