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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed under the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is stalling against the upper band of a three-month rising channel (≈ 1.1790) after producing a false break and quick rejection—marking a potential bull-trap at trend resistance. ● Bearish divergence on the 4 h RSI and the first lower-high inside a micro rising wedge suggest momentum is fading; a slide through 1.1745 should trigger profit-taking toward the mid-channel support at 1.1595. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Solid US payrolls and a hawkish tone in FOMC minutes lift two-year yields, reviving the dollar bid, while post-election coalition wrangling in France keeps a risk premium on the euro. ✨ Summary Sell 1.1785 ± 15 pips; break below 1.1745 targets 1.1595. Invalidate on a 4 h close above 1.1810. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
2
EURUSD BUYING AREA (EUR/USD Analysis): Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4H (4-Hour) Current Price: 1.17660 Analysis Date: July 7, 2025 Chart mein clearly dikh raha hai ke price ne strong bullish rally ke baad resistance breakout kiya hai jo ab support zone ban chuka hai (marked in purple box around 1.15800 - 1.16300). Price ab expected hai ke thoda retrace kare aur phir is new support zone par bullish confirmation dikhaye. Wahan se price likely bounce karega towards a new target high. --- 🎯 Target & Trading Plan: 📍Support Zone (Buy Zone): 🔹 1.15800 – 1.16300 🔹 Look for bullish reversal pattern in this zone (e.g. bullish engulfing, double bottom) 🎯Target Point: 🔹 1.20000 🔹 This level is the next significant resistance and potential take-profit zone 📉Stop Loss (Risk Management): 🔹 Below 1.15500 🔹 Invalidation of bullish setup if price breaks below support --- ✅ Trade Setup Summary: Type Level Entry Zone 1.15800 - 1.16300 Stop Loss Below 1.15500 Take Profit 1.20000 Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3+
Long
by Mr_Andy1786
2
How to Trade Liquidity Sweep in Forex Market (SMC Trading) I will show you a real example of trading liquidity sweep with Smart Money Concepts. You will learn the essential SMC liquidity basics, a simple and profitable strategy to identify and trade liquidity sweep. I will share with you an accurate entry confirmation signal that works perfectly on any Forex pair. Liquidity Basics In order to trade liquidity sweeps profitably, you should learn to identify significant liquidity zones. To spot them, analyze a historic price action and find clusters of important historic key levels. Examine a price action on EURUSD on an hourly time frame. I underlined multiple horizontal key levels. The price respected each level, found support on them, and rebounded. What is so specific about these levels is that they are lying close to each other, composing a liquidity cluster. That fact that EURUSD strongly bounced from these levels suggests that buying interest and high buying volumes were concentrated around them. We can unite these levels and treat them as a single demand zone that has just been broken and turned into a supply zone. After we found a valid liquidity zone, we can look for a liquidity sweep. First, we should let the price approach that area and look for a specific price behavior then. That is a perfect example of a liquidity sweep. You can see that the price formed a wide range candle with a long tail. Its high went way beyond the underlined area, but its body closed within. In order to understand, why a liquidity sweep occurred, let's zoom in our chart and try to understand a behavior of the market participants. Our supply zone concentrated selling orders , we assume that sellers were placing their orders across its entire length. Their stop losses were presumably lying above that area. Smart Money know that and with a liquidity sweep they manipulate the market, making sellers close their positions in a loss (buying back their positions from the market) and providing a liquidity for big players. After a formation of a such a candlestick, a reliable confirmation of a saturation of the Smart Money is a formation of a strong bearish candle - a clear sign of strength of the sellers. A bearish engulfing candle above confirmed a completion of a liquidity sweep and indicates a highly probable bearish continuation. Your perfect sell entry is immediately after a close of such a candlestick. Stop loss should strictly lie above the high of a liquidity sweep. Take profit is based on a local low. Look, how quickly the price reached the goal. Your strategy of trading liquidity sweeps of demand zones is absolutely the same. Let the price test a demand zone, wait for a formation of wide range bearish candle with a tail going below its lows. Wait for a bullish imbalance candle and buy immediately then. Stop loss will be below the low of a liquidity sweep, take profit - a local high. This SMC strategy works on any time frame and can be applied for trading any Forex pair, Gold, Silver, Crypto and commodities. Try it by your own and let me know your results. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education
by VasilyTrader
14
EURUSD – Trade Projection (Follow-Up) Current Price Action Development: Liquidity beneath the VCP Range Low successfully taken via Sweep Event. Price has reversed back inside the compression zone, signaling potential bullish reclaim. Anticipated Scenario: Watching for a confirmed Trend Signature Shift (TSS) to validate bullish continuation. Entry model of choice: Retrace Precision Entry (RPE) post-TSS confirmation. Target Zones: Initial Target: Mid-range zone of the VCP structure. Extended Target: Clustered liquidity within the Order Clustering Zone (OCZ) situated above current price action, aligned with HTF bullish structure. Risk & Invalidations: While HTF Ascend Sequence bias remains intact, vigilance is maintained for any absolute structural breakdown that would favor a Sell-Side Bias Environment (SBE). Summary: Favorable for tactical long setups post-TSS confirmation, scaling targets toward mid-range and OCZ, contingent on structure and momentum.
Long
by Olamitrades1
EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone, Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level. We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Bearish drop for the Fiber?The price has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 1.1748 1st Support: 1.1631 1st Resistance: 1.1833 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.133. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Bigger correction down for EUHi traders, Last week EU came into the Weekly FVG and started a correction down from there. Next week we could see another move down to finish the bigger correction. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the finish of the correction up and a change in orderflow to bearish on a lower time frame to trade shorts. If you want to learn more about trading with FVG's, liquidity sweeps and Wave analysis, then make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Short
by EduwaveTrading
EUR/USD technical and fundamental analysis for next 2 days.Hello Traders, This whole analysis is based on 1 hour time frame. Indicators used for technical analysis: EMA RSI VWAP anchor Volume Profile Fibonacci retracement and extension In 1 hour time frame price is forming an ascending triangle which is likely to break out as EMA, and vwap are signalling bullish momentum. If price breaks resistance at $1.17832 its likely to go up till $1.18100. RSI is in the middle so it has ample room to move in both directions, So if trend line support breaks the price might move downwards to the support level at &1.17628 but the probability of this is very low. Volume profile is highlighting the current price with the most volume so it makes it a critical point for movement in any direction. Fundamental Analysis: The Fed (US Central Bank) is getting soft: On July 9th, we'll see notes from their last meeting. They're expected to sound pretty dovish, which just means they're worried about the US economy and might cut interest rates soon. Trump's Tariffs are back (July 9th deadline): If he puts new taxes on imported goods, it makes global trade messy and creates a lot of worry about the US economy. When people worry about the US, they tend to sell US Dollars. The Dollar is already weak & It's already been losing strength. Because the US Dollar is set to get a lot weaker from those big events on July 9th, and the Euro is holding steady, the EUR/USD is very likely to tilt UP. Remember trading is a game of probability and this analysis could go wrong but technical and fundamental analysis are suggesting strong bullish movement.
Long
by Sully-X
2
🇪🇺 EURUSD – July 8 | Ranging After FakeoutAfter breaking Thursday’s low, EURUSD gave us 30 pips then started ranging right at that level. Today’s price action is mildly bullish, but likely just a retest of the 4hr bearish structure that’s formed. 📌 Key Levels: 🔼 Safe Buys: Above 1.18075 (strong resistance) → Breakout = ~70 pip opportunity 🔽 Sells / Deeper Pullback: Below 1.16869 → Potential 60 pip drop into next liquidity zone ⚠️ Current range is tight and indecisive — not worth trading until we get a break. Bias still bullish longer-term, but patience needed here.
Short
by Thetraderscollective
Negative Risk/Reward: Hidden Edge or Hidden Danger?It’s a topic that sparks plenty of debate. 👉 Can a negative risk/reward ratio actually be part of a winning strategy? Here’s our take, split between intraday trading and swing trading: 📉 Intraday Trading ☑️ Pros: • Can work in high‑probability setups (mean‑reversion, range scalps) • Quick targets often get hit before stops • Stops can sit beyond liquidity grabs to protect the trade ⚠️ Cons: • Needs a consistently high win rate • Prone to slippage and fast spikes • Can lead to over‑trading if discipline slips If used, risk must always be pre‑defined — not adjusted mid‑trade. ⏳ Swing Trading ☑️ Pros: • Occasionally helps avoid being stopped on deeper pullbacks • Gives breathing room in trending markets ⚠️ Cons: • Smaller targets vs bigger stops rarely pay off over time • Lower win rate on higher timeframes makes it hard to sustain • Exposed to news gaps & weekend risk Overall, swing trading works best with positive R/R setups (e.g., 2:1 or higher). ☑️ Summary: Negative R/R can work — but only if: • The setup is statistically proven & high probability • You keep risk strictly pre‑defined • It fits the pair, timeframe & volatility Most traders are better off sticking to positive R/R — but for experienced scalpers, negative R/R can be a tool rather than a trap. 💭 Do you use negative risk/reward in your strategy? Only intraday, or do you apply it to swing trades too? Drop your thoughts below —we're curious to hear how others approach it! 👇 Thanks again for the likes, boosts, and follows — really appreciate the support! Trade safe and all the best for the week ahead! BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Holds Above Key Support — Outlook IntactHi Everyone, Price briefly dipped below the 1.16680 support, but our broader outlook remains unchanged as long as it continues to hold above the key 1.16450 level. Should buyers successfully defend the 1.16450 zone, we still see potential for the pair to stabilise and make another attempt higher in the coming sessions. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see if support continues to hold and whether momentum starts to build back to the upside. We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX