Get started

U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDEUX trade ideas

EURUSD Tests Key Support Ahead of FOMCFollowing the strong U.S. GDP data, EURUSD dropped to the 1.1450 support level. This area is significant, as it marks the convergence of the 23.6% retracement from the January–July move and the 50% retracement from the May–July move. While the FOMC decision will ultimately shape the direction, from a technical perspective, a long position may offer a favorable risk/reward setup at current levels. A stop just below the key support would help manage downside risk.
Long
by ftdsystem
Will the Euro collapse on US Tariffs? Traders eye 1.15The EURUSD is under pressure today, dropping nearly half a percent. This follows the new US–EU trade deal that introduces a 15 percent baseline import tariff on most goods. That means Americans buying European products must now pay 15 percent more. Naturally, markets are adjusting. When one side of a trade deal takes the hit, its currency often weakens. In this case, the euro is sliding as the cost of EU exports rises. If the euro were to fall by the full 15 percent in response, we could see EURUSD drop to parity again. That would balance the new cost for American buyers, making European goods just as affordable as before. Still, the technical outlook remains neutral. The trend on EURUSD remains bullish until a break below 1.15 occurs. If that happens, it could open the door to 1.12 or even 1.10. Until then, traders watching the chart may stay cautious. One reason why the EURUSD might gain is that President Trump continues to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. If the Fed caves while inflation is still rising, the US could face the same issues that have plagued countries like Turkey, where political pressure has undermined monetary stability and triggered runaway inflation. In that case, the euro might strengthen, pushing EURUSD back toward 1.20 or higher. Is this the peak for EURUSD or just a pause before the next leg higher? The next few weeks will reveal the answer. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
by ThinkMarkets
Head & Shoulders on EUR/USD daily!We're currently observing a significant Head & Shoulders pattern forming on the EUR/USD daily chart, with the price just breaking below the neckline on the right shoulder. Applying standard Head & Shoulders trading principles, we measure the distance from the head's peak to the neckline and project that same range downward from the breakdown point. Based on this, the estimated target price (TP) for the trade lands around $1.135. The stop-loss will be positioned just above the right shoulder to manage risk effectively. We'll be watching closely to see how this setup unfolds. 🍻
Long
by impossiblebull
EUR/USD Will Continue Melting Be Sure To Be Part Of That!Here is my thought of EURUSD chart today. I think that this pair can go down further more specially after breaking this strong area of support and old resistance. as shown on the chart we can wait for the price to come back again and retest this area once and then this will be the best place to enter a sell trade. I am targeting around 250n pips in this trade. as I said I will wait for a retest and a good bearish price action and from there I will enter a sell trade.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
EUR/USD: Risk OnEUR/USD Daily Setup: Riding Risk-Off into the 1.1050 Zone Chart: Daily (showing 0.146–161.8% Fib extensions, supply/demand zones, trendline) Analysis & Plan: Macro Drivers: Fed/ECB rate divergence and yield spread keep USD bid; risk-off bias intact. Key Levels: Supply (short zone): 1.1636–1.1750 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1800 Demand Targets: 1.1278 (100% Fib ext) 1.1056 (161.8% Fib ext + demand confluence) 1.0521 (“strong low” area) Trigger: Risk-On Break: Watch for rejection at 1.1589–1.1636; failure confirms fresh sell signal. Trade Execution: Enter Short near 1.1589–1.1636 on bearish price action / daily close below 20-day MA. Stop-Loss: Above 1.1800 supply high. Take Profits: Scale out at 1.1278, then final at 1.1056. Rationale: Aligns Fibonacci confluence zones with macro USD strength and trendline support breaks. Tags: #EURUSD #Forex #Fibonacci #SupplyDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingVie
Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EUR/USD Rising Wedge Break Now Oversold on H4Markets have moved quickly this week and it's been a very bearish outlay for EUR/USD since last Thursday's ECB rate decision. The pair set a lower-high around that announcement and then the day after saw bears make another push, with a key hold at a Fibonacci level plotted at 1.1748. I've been highlighting that level since before the Q3 open and so far, that's the spot that bulls have failed to leave behind. The quandary now is just how quickly this move has come on. The USD is working on its strongest month since April of 2022 and that prior instance was driven by the Fed starting a rate hike cycle, which clearly isn't happening here. Also complicating the matter is the fact that RSI on the four-hour chart has already pushed into oversold territory, making the prospect of chasing-lower a daunting item. We've already seen an instance of prior support coming in as resistance with the hold of the daily high at 1.1457. With NFP tomorrow, perhaps the more attractive scenario would be a larger pullback which could then highlight resistance potential at either 1.1500 or 1.1560. - js
by FOREXcom
Trailing Stops:Let trades developTrailing stops are one of the most underused tools in a trader’s playbook. Most traders spend hours obsessing over entries, but then wing the exit or bail too early the moment a red candle appears. That’s where trailing stops come in. They give your trades room to breathe, while gradually reducing risk as price moves in your favour. If you’ve ever caught a good move and felt unsure about how long to hold it, this one’s for you. Here are three practical ways to trail your stop, stay in the trade, and help manage profitable trades objectively. 1. Trail Behind Structure This is the simplest and most intuitive method. As the trade moves in your favour, you move your stop just behind the most recent swing high or low. In a long trade, that means raising your stop to sit just below the latest higher low. In a short, you drop it just above the most recent lower high. This approach works best in clean, trending conditions. It gives the trade room to develop naturally without forcing you to guess the top. You won’t capture the absolute high, but you’ll often stay in the move longer than most. It also keeps you in rhythm with the market. If the structure is broken, it’s a pretty good sign that the trend is changing or stalling and that’s a logical place to step aside. Example: Here’s a clean example of using structure to trail stops on a momentum trade. The entry came on a break and retest of resistance, with the initial stop placed just below the retest level. As the trade moved higher, a series of higher swing lows developed, providing clear reference points to adjust the stop. It’s not designed to catch the exact top and that’s fine. The goal is to follow price action with minimal lag, using objective structure rather than guesswork. EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Use Moving Averages Trailing stops don’t have to follow every single swing. Sometimes, a smoother option is better, especially if you want to stay in a move that’s trending hard. That’s where moving averages come in. A short-term exponential moving average like the 9 or 21 EMA can act as a dynamic trailing stop. As long as price remains above the average, the trend is intact and you stay in. If price closes below the EMA in a long trade, or you get a crossover in the opposite direction, that can signal an exit or at least a scale-down. This method works best in fast, directional markets. It won’t suit every condition, but when the move is strong, letting a trade run along the moving average keeps things simple and stress-free. Example: In this short-term 5-minute chart example, the 21 EMA acts as a dynamic trailing stop. There are two common approaches. You can wait for a candle to close below the 21 EMA, or use a crossover trigger where the 9 EMA crosses under the 21 EMA. The choice depends on how tightly you want to manage the trade and how much room you are willing to give it. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Volatility-Based Stops (ATR) When the market gets fast and messy, a fixed stop can either get hit too easily or feel too far away. That’s where volatility-based stops come in. The most common tool for this is the Average True Range (ATR). Instead of using swing points, you trail your stop a set number of ATRs behind the current price. If ATR is rising, your stop gives the trade more room. If volatility shrinks, the stop tightens naturally. It’s an adaptive approach that works well in conditions where price is expanding or moving fast. A popular setting is to use two times the current ATR value, but you can adjust it to suit your timeframe or risk tolerance. Example: This is a classic wedge breakout setup in gold. A trailing stop set at two times the ATR helps manage risk while giving the trade enough room to breathe. As price moves in your favour, the stop tightens automatically based on volatility. It’s worth remembering that trailing stops are only adjusted in one direction. Once set, they follow the move but are never loosened, which means the stop will eventually take you out as momentum fades or the market turns. Gold Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Decide on Your Technique BEFORE You Place the Trade There’s no perfect way to trail a stop. Each method has its strengths. Structure-based stops keep you aligned with price action. EMAs are smooth and simple. ATR lets volatility do the work for you. The most important thing is to make a decision before you place the trade. Know whether you’re using a manual swing method or a dynamic indicator. Know what would trigger a move in your stop, and what would keep it steady. Avoid changing the plan just because the trade gets emotional. Trailing stops give you freedom. They let you step back, protect your capital and give your best trades a real chance to develop. Used properly, they enhance trade management consistency. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
Bullish reversal off pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.1537 1st Support: 1.1456 1st Resistance: 1.1659 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our buy entry at 1.15782, which is a swing low support. Our take profit will be at 1.1629, which is a pullback resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.1547, below the swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
EURUSD - correction ahead of timeWell, well - EUR used the NFP data to start the correction ahead of time. It used the FR 161.8 of the recent correction as support. And it did it in a impressive time... Now we are heading into Resistance cluster created by the April High and July Low (as wee and FR 38.8 of the whole movement form the July High. Yet the upper level of the cluster is created by the FR 61.8 of the recent impulse, and 1:1 with the recent correction and June High. The second one seems to me as stronger and more probably. However, price may be in hurry again and complete the correction ahead of time... Again. Just my humble opinion...
Short
by PetrBorosh
EURUSD Forecast📊 Technical Analysis ● FX:EURUSD EURUSD confirmed a double rejection below long-term resistance with two lower highs and broke channel support at 1.1567. ● Price is now trending within a descending channel toward 1.1363, with lower targets pointing into the 1.12–1.11 demand zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US Q2 GDP surprised to the upside, reinforcing the Fed’s hawkish tone, while Eurozone CPI inflation cooled below forecast. ● Diverging central bank trajectories continue to widen yield differentials in favor of the dollar, sustaining bearish euro flows. ✨ Summary Short bias confirmed below 1.1567. Break of 1.1450 opens path to 1.1363 ➜ 1.1200 zone. Watch for rallies to fade below trendline.
Short
by Daragolbon
EUR/USD Short from the nearby 1hrI’m currently more confident in EU’s bearish setup compared to GU, as price is nearing a clear point of interest (POI) that aligns well with the developing downtrend. The 2hr supply zone has already caused a CHoCH (Change of Character), and price has been approaching it slowly and with reduced momentum — often a strong indication of an upcoming reaction. While price isn’t near a demand zone yet, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7hr demand zone below. If price reaches that area, I’ll be looking for a high-probability buy setup in line with the broader market context. Confluences for EU Sells: Price has tapped into a 2hr supply zone that caused a CHoCH to the downside Bearish pressure remains strong, supported by DXY strength Clean liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept Slowing momentum and signs of distribution as price approaches supply P.S. If price continues lower from this point, I anticipate another break of structure, which could form a new supply zone to work with later this week. Let’s stay patient, follow the flow, and execute smart. 🔥📉💼
Short
by Hassan_fx
EUR USD buy setupHello traders! This is a possible reversal scenario. Today, we had a pump following Trump’s EU deal, which gave the market a bullish push. However, just like every mountain climb requires a descent, I’m considering this setup as a potential correction. ⚠️ Important: Keep in mind that this trade goes against the trend! So, it's crucial to wait for a confirmed price close above the marked line before taking action. If the setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, you may consider an instant execution. If not, you can place a buy limit order instead. Also, keep an eye on the upcoming JOLTS Job Openings data—it could shift the market sentiment significantly. Disclaimer: This is just an idea and not a trading signal. It’s shared for educational and backtesting purposes only. Please do your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by alisardari
Eurusd --- ### 💥 The Hidden Secret of Pro Traders: Most traders jump straight into low timeframes like M15 or H1, chasing signals... But the market's real moves? They start on the **higher timeframes** like weekly or Daily. 🤯 👉 **Golden Formula:** - 🧭 **Higher Timeframe = Direction** (Is the market trending up, down, or just ranging?) - ⏱️ **Lower Timeframe = Precise Entry** (When to get in? Where to place stops?) Trading without the higher timeframe is like driving without a map. Sure, you're moving—but do you know *where you're going*? --- ### 📌 Quick Breakdown: - Start on **2D or Daily** charts to define: - Strong support/resistance zones - Overall market structure - Clear chart patterns Then drop into **lower timeframes** (like H1 or M15): This is where sniper entries and clean risk/reward setups live. Pro Tip: > "Your trading plan starts at the top... and finds its perfect shot at the bottom." Be the sniper, not the spray-and-pray trader. ---
Short
by Elrouby