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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)🔻 TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL) 📍 ENTRY ZONE: 1.1560 – 1.1580 🎯 TARGETS: • TP1 = 1.150 • TP2 = 1.140 • TP3 = 1.130 • TP4 = 1.120 🛡️ STOP LOSS: 1.1600 (above Tier 2 trap extension) 📐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT: • T1 (Macro): 🔻 Down • T2 (Structure): 🔻 Trap Zone Active (161.8%) • T3 (Execution): ⚠️ Rejection confirmed via M1 spike + engulf • T4 (Micro): 🧨 Trap spike → lower high forming 📊 EXECUTION LOGIC: • M1 rejection at 1.1580 confirmed • Bearish engulf candle formed post-spike • Multiple shorts laddered (1.1565 / 1.1580) • SL held above extension zone • Price now below both entries 🚦 TRADE STATE: ⚔️ ARMED • Add-on only valid under 1.1560 • SL trail after 1.1550 break • No long bias unless 1.1610 breaks with body close #Renko #FractalCodex #EURUSD #ShortSetup #TrapReversal #Fibonacci #PriceAction
Short
by OddJ0b
Why I Think EURUSD Will Sell This Week...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends, Happy Monday. I think EURUSD will continue to sell this week. This is only my technical analysis so please check the news and cross reference any indicators you have on your own chart. Here is what I am looking at: - There has been a break of structure to the downside on H4 signaling that price may continue to drop lower. - After the break of structure, price opened lower and continued to sell. - Momentum has been picking up for the sellers over the last 12 hours. - The stochastic is oversold. The slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) and one or both lines are below 20. These are all strong bearish confirmations for me so I will be selling. I took market execution order but I also have sell stops and TPs at previous lows. My SL will be a previous high. Only take trades that make sense to you, but I hope the market is in our favor this week. Let me know what you think about this idea below. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
EUR/USD Reversal or Trap? 4H Clean Breakdown InsidePrice just tapped into a high-probability sell zone after a corrective Wave 2 structure. With sellers already active at 1.16342 and 1.17635, this setup is not just textbook—but a potential goldmine for swing traders. 🔻 Is this Wave 3 continuation about to begin? 🔍 Liquidity swept. Zones respected. Structure still bearish. ⚠️ Many traders will miss the bigger picture here—will you? 👇 Drop your thoughts: Are we about to break 1.13000? Do you agree with the Elliott Wave count? What’s your bias on DXY? 💬 I personally reply to every comment—let’s build this chart together. 🔥 If you caught the entry, show your entry point and reasoning—let’s level up as a team.
by Greenfireforex
EUR/USD Technical OutlookEUR/USD is currently trading within a Descending Triangle formation. At present, the pair shows a higher probability of an upside breakout from this structure. A confirmed break above the immediate resistance zone at 1.1428 – 1.1430 could accelerate bullish momentum, opening the way toward the next key resistance level at 1.1485. On the other hand, if the pair fails to sustain above the triangle and breaks to the downside, price may extend losses toward the 1.1375 – 1.1360 support area. From this zone, a potential corrective rebound could occur before the broader bearish trend resumes. Overall, short-term direction hinges on the breakout of the descending triangle, with 1.1428 – 1.1430 as the critical level to watch for bulls, and 1.1375 – 1.1360 for bears. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
Long
by SaklainManzoor
Trade Bias: I’m looking to buy EURUSD, but only on confirmationFading Fear, Not Chasing Highs 💡💶 This isn’t about momentum. It’s about patience. EURUSD has been under pressure, but I’m not selling panic — I’m watching for a buy signal to fade the current selloff. With dollar fundamentals shifting, this pullback could be setting up opportunity — not continuation. 📈 Trade Bias: I’m looking to buy EURUSD, but only on confirmation the sell pressure is cooling. Here’s the fundamental picture: ✅ US growth is slowing; Q1 GDP contracted slightly 📉 Dollar bears are at a 4-year high, signaling sentiment exhaustion 🔁 ECB paused cuts, holding steady at 2.15% — EUR fundamentals are stabilizing 💬 US tariffs could push inflation up, but squeeze household demand ⚠️ I’m not expecting new highs — just a relief move once the selling slows The dollar is caught in a tug-of-war: economic data remains decent, but traders don’t buy it. Sentiment is skewed — hedge funds are heavily short USD, not because the economy is collapsing, but due to fiscal worries, policy confusion, and long-term structural cracks. This creates space for countertrend moves. The euro isn’t roaring either — but it's no longer cutting rates, and confidence is picking up. A recent uptrend has cooled, and the pair is now consolidating. If we see signs of selling exhaustion, I’ll be watching for an entry. I’m not buying blindly. I’m waiting for the fear to burn out. Would you fade this dip too — or are you staying out? 👇
Long
by Wainainarobert
A TEST OF THE PREVIOUS BROKEN STRUCTURE From the daily time frame, we can see that EURUSD has broken a structure which was acting as previous resistance turned support, which is indicated with a blue rectangle. I'm anticipating the broken support to turn to resistance when the price action retraces from somewhere at the demand zone which is indicated with a red rectangle. So let's have in back of our mind that price will need to retrace from the low to retest the broken structure and turn into resistance and then after continue to the downside. ......................,.................,...................... Please share your thoughts,what do you think,will EURUSD move downwards or will it be buy the dip and continue with its uptrend.
Short
by enwemadufranklyn1989
long position sighted on EURUSDEUR/USD – Price Approaching Key Demand Zone | 4H SMC Analysis Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4H (4Hour) Bias: Bullish Reversal Watch at Demand Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Status: Monitoring price action at demand for possible long setup. Market Structure Overview The EUR/USD pair recently showed a bearish shift in structure after failing to hold the bullish trend that began mid-June. * Initial bullish structure is visible with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. * The rally created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and left behind a well-defined Demand Zone. * After the BOS, price retraced and respected the demand before making new highs. * Eventually, price failed to make a new high and started forming lower highs and lower lows, shifting momentum bearish. Current Price Action * Price has aggressively dropped from the previous supply area (highlighted in red) and is now approaching a key demand zone around 1.1485–1.1447. * This zone coincides with: * A previous FVG fill area. * The base of the last strong impulsive move up. * Consolidation and accumulation structure before the bullish breakout. Key Zones * Demand Zone: 1.1485 – 1.1447 * This zone represents an institutional buying area. * Looking for potential bullish reaction from here. * Supply Zone: Around 1.1818 – 1.1834 * Last zone of distribution before price dropped. Possible Scenarios Bullish Reversal * Price shows rejection candles, internal bullish BOS, or engulfing pattern within demand. * A long entry could be considered with: * Stop Loss just below demand zone. * Targets: Previous highs at 1.1726 and 1.1818. Bearish Continuation * If price breaks and closes below the demand, it invalidates the bullish idea. * Expect continued bearish pressure toward 1.1400 or lower. * Look for a potential retest of broken demand as new supply. SMC Concepts in Use * BOS (Break of Structure): Used to identify market shifts. * FVG (Fair Value Gap): Spotting inefficiencies to anticipate retracements. * Demand Zone: Watching for institutional buying and smart money footprints. Trade Plan Summary | Element | Value | | Entry | Upon bullish confirmation in demand | | Stop Loss | Below 1.1447 (zone invalidation) | | Target 1 | 1.17265 | | Target 2 | 1.18182 | | Invalidated if | Price closes below demand zone | Conclusion We’re at a make or break level for EUR/USD. Price is testing a major demand zone with confluence from structure, FVG, and past bullish movement. Watching for reaction before taking action. Risk managed entries only.
Long
by eaonimisi
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.14600 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.16700 – 4H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.16700) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
EURUSD H4 | Bearish reversal off overlap resistanceThe Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance and could drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.1452, which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 1.1536, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.1323, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D30 | Y25📊 EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D30 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Breakdown Bearish Trend Continues or Demand Zone Reversal🔍 Chart Breakdown: EUR/USD (30-min TF) Trend Overview: Previous Trend: Bullish channel structure (highlighted in blue). Current Momentum: Strong bearish breakdown following a clear range phase. The chart shifted from consolidation → breakdown → aggressive bearish continuation. 🧱 Key Technical Highlights: 1. Bearish Breakout: Price broke below the ascending trendline and exited the ranging box, confirming a bearish shift. Multiple Breakdown Retests (highlighted with red arrows) confirming structure failures and validating resistance zones. 2. Range Zone (Distribution Phase): Price moved sideways within the green rectangle (“RANGE”), indicating accumulation/distribution before the selloff. The breakdown from this range confirmed bearish momentum. 3. Demand Zone Test (Now in Play): Price is approaching/hovering around a demand zone (green box) marked as a critical support. Buyers may react here, offering two key scenarios: Bounce back to retest resistance around 1.1600 (highlighted). Breakdown below demand, leading to further decline toward next major support zones (1.15354 and 1.15040). 4. Price Reaction Zones: 🔴 Resistance zones are clearly marked where breakdown retests occurred. 🟢 Demand zone with bounce-or-break logic provides directional bias. 🧭 Potential Scenarios (Marked on Chart): ✅ Bullish Case: If demand zone holds, expect: A corrective rally toward 1.1600–1.1620. Watch for rejection signals here (could be ideal for re-entering shorts). ❌ Bearish Case: If breakdown below green demand zone occurs, targets: 1.1535 (local structure support) 1.1504 (next confluence level; possible long-term bounce area) 📈 Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well below the cloud, confirming bearish control. Structure: Lower highs & lower lows = confirmed bearish trend.
by AllyPipsExpert
Bullish EURUSD Reversal / Long Opportunity (4H Chart)Support Zone (~1.1650–1.1610) The price has tapped into a clear demand zone, which was respected previously during a strong bullish impulse. Current candle shows signs of exhaustion in bearish momentum, hinting at a potential reversal. Market Structure: Despite the recent retracement, higher lows remain intact when viewed in a broader context. The price may be completing a corrective wave within an overall bullish market structure. Liquidity & Trap Mechanics: The wick sweep toward 1.1610 likely triggered sell-side liquidity, setting the stage for a buy-side reversal. This area is often where institutions accumulate long positions under the guise of bearish continuation.
Long
by ResilienceFx
SELL BTCUSD for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 122,500 SELL EURUSD for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.1808 Trade trade is based on false breakout and divergence..... First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through.... Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence.  On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bearish divergence Regular Bearish Divergence In case of Regular Bearish Divergence: * The Indicator shows Lower Highs * Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart..... The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
Short
by BALE_FX
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