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U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

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EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent trading session, the Euro successfully retested the completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.142 and completed the subsequent target identified within the Outer Currency Rally at 1.157. Consequently, the Euro experienced a firm decline to the Mean Support level of 1.131. However, it is essential to recognize that upward momentum may re-emerge, facilitating a retest of the Key Resistance level at 1.151 or potentially leading to a further decline toward the next support level designated as Mean Support at 1.119.
by TradeSelecter
EURUSD 4H Time-frame analysis Let's dive into my EURUSD analysis on the 4-hour timeframe. From what I can see on your chart, here's a more detailed breakdown of potential interpretations: It looks like I've identified some key horizontal levels. These are often significant areas of interest for traders because they can act as: Support: Price might find it difficult to fall below these levels, and buying pressure could emerge. The lower horizontal line you've drawn around 1.12059 appears to be a potential support level. Notice how price bounced off this area previously in late March. Resistance: Conversely, price might struggle to rise above these levels, and selling pressure could take over. The upper yellow highlighted area, with the recent high reaching just above 1.13345, looks like a significant resistance zone. The price has recently tested this level and is currently pulling back. Recent Price Action: The sharp upward move in April, culminating at that high, suggests strong buying pressure. However, the immediate pullback indicates that the resistance zone is holding, at least for now. Potential Scenarios: Based on what I'm seeing, here are a couple of potential scenarios to consider: Rejection at Resistance: The current pullback could signify a rejection of the resistance zone. If selling pressure continues, we might see the price move back down towards your identified support level around 1.12059. A break below this support could then open the door for further downside. Consolidation and Breakout: Alternatively, the price might consolidate within the range defined by your resistance and support levels for a while. A subsequent break above the resistance (the yellow zone) would suggest renewed buying momentum and could lead to further upside. Conversely, a break below the support would reinforce the bearish scenario. Things to Consider for Further Analysis: To get a more complete picture, you might want to consider: Candlestick Patterns: Are there any specific candlestick patterns forming at the resistance level (like a bearish engulfing or a shooting star) that could confirm rejection? Similarly, look for bullish patterns near the support if price revisits that area. Volume: Analyzing the volume during the recent push to the high and the subsequent pullback could provide clues about the strength of the moves. High volume on the push-up might suggest strong buying interest, while high volume on the pullback could indicate strong selling pressure. Technical Indicators: Incorporating indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD could offer additional context and potential confirmation signals. For instance, is the RSI in overbought territory near the resistance? Is the MACD showing signs of bearish divergence? Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on any upcoming economic news or events related to the Euro or the US Dollar that could influence the price action. Remember, this is just an interpretation based on the snapshot you've provided. Trading involves probabilities, and no analysis is foolproof. It's crucial to manage your risk appropriately. What are your thoughts on these observations? What was your initial reasoning behind marking these specific levels? I'd be interested to hear more about your perspective!
by sitokagebson
All Time Frames Matter – From Micro to Macro If you’re only looking at one timeframe, you’re only seeing part of the story. On the 6-Month Chart: We could be witnessing the early stages of a bullish cycle shift. However, I still need confirmation, specifically a price move above 1.25557. That’s my key macro level. On the 18-Day Chart: A pullback seems likely, potentially into the 1.1192 range. This would allow the candle to cool off before its next decision point. Zooming in to the 20-Hour Chart: I believe price could revisit the 1.1198–1.1200 zone, where it may form a cup or dip structure before climbing back toward 1.15729. That behavior would align with the broader bullish thesis. This is why I never base decisions on a single chart. Each timeframe offers its own insight — but together, they tell the full narrative. That’s why I focus on zone behavior, candle reaction, and overall trend maturity. 📌 Lesson: Don’t settle for one lens. Train your eye to surf across the timeframes.
Long
by MoNi_MoN
EURUSD: Enters Weekly Supply Zone After Powerful RallyWEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🔍 OVERALL TREND 📉 DOWNTREND — Despite the recent bullish impulse, the overarching structure remains a downtrend. Price is now testing a key area of interest. 🔴RESISTANCE & SUPPLY ZONES 🔴 1.15734 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH 🔴 1.15044 — SELL ORDER II | SUPPLY ZONE 🔴 1.14849 — RESISTANCE (Major) 🔴 1.13648 — SELL ORDER (Downtrend Confirmed) 🔴 1.10990 — SELL ORDER & TP 1 🔴 1.08757 — SELL ORDER & TP 2 | MID PIVOT 🔴 1.07111 — SELL ORDER & TP 3 🔴 1.04570 — EXIT SELL & TP 4 🟡SUPPORT & BUY ZONES 🟢 1.03959 — BUY ORDER 🟢 1.02477 — BUY ORDER II 🟢 1.01779 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW 📉LONG-TERM SUPPORT LEVELS (WEEKLY) 🟡 0.98605 — SUPPORT (PROXIMAL) 🟡 0.98000 — SUPPORT (MAJOR) 🟡 0.97500 — SUPPORT (MAJOR) 🟡 0.95396 — SUPPORT (DISTAL) 🧠STRUCTURAL NOTES EURUSD has surged into a weekly supply zone between 1.15133–1.16165 Price is currently reacting at a confluence of a PIVOT HIGH and MAJOR RESISTANCE A rejection here could initiate a multi-week pullback toward 1.08757 or lower Aggressive sellers may begin positioning around the 1.15044 zone with stop above 1.15734 Buyers are expected to step in near 1.02477 and 1.03959 zones TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎 📉 Short-Term Bearish Bias while inside supply zone 📈 Bullish structure only resumes on decisive close above 1.15734 👀 Watch for reaction near 1.13648 — potential sell-off trigger 📊 Mid-term reversal opportunities exist at 1.08757, 1.04570, and 1.02477 🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following): — Wait for rejection at 1.15044 — Short Entry below 1.13648 — TP Levels: 1.10990 / 1.08757 / 1.04570 — SL: Above 1.15734 RISK-REWARD BUY SETUP (Countertrend): — Buy Orders: 1.03959 and 1.02477 — TP: 1.07111 / 1.08757 — SL: Below 1.01779 “Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
Falling towards pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is fallling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.1192 1st Support: 1.1051 1st Resistance: 1.1512 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 15th I shared this idea "EURUSD Short Term Buy Idea" Expected retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above. Price moved as per the plan!!! Retraces happened as expected and then the price moved higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Euro dollar, $1.15 is a major technical resistance$1.15, a technical target that was expected Since the beginning of the year, the euro dollar has established itself as the leader of the foreign exchange market (Forex). Up by more than 10%, it has outperformed all other major Forex pairs, and this upward movement has been built up in stages from a technical analysis point of view. The major chart target of $1.15 has now been reached, a pivotal technical threshold that dates back to 2020/2021. Since the start of the year, there have been a series of bullish reversal signals on the EUR/USD rate, with a break of resistance at $1.06 in early March, a bullish reversal pattern reminiscent of autumn 2022, and a recently validated golden cross. Elliott wave analysis suggested an end to wave 2 in February, which was validated by price action and momentum indicators. The $1.15 mark had been the technical target since the $1.06 mark was breached, and the market could now breathe a sigh of relief below this resistance. Below is a chart showing the performance of the major Forex pairs since the beginning of the year. Institutional traders were again the forerunners But what gives even more weight to this move is the behavior of institutional traders. As is often the case, they were the first to sense the bullish reversal. The COT report published by the CFTC shows that, from the beginning of March, hedge funds swung into the long camp, with their net positions returning to positive territory. Shortly afterwards, asset managers followed suit, and the entire institutional net position went bullish by over 50%, historically a major bullish signal (see the second chart below). Now the real question is: are they still buying at these levels? Do they strengthen? If they start to lighten up, it'll be a game-changer. But for now, support is there, even if the euro-dollar rate were to pause or retrace below $1.15 resistance in the short term. Support at $1.10/$1.12 is the guarantor of the uptrend. Below, chart showing weekly Japanese candlesticks for the EUR/USD rate, with the institutional positioning curve according to the CFTC's COT report So, can we aim for $1.20 by the end of 2025? From a purely technical point of view, it's not impossible, but we'd need to break above $1.15/$1.17 to activate such a target. And fundamentally, it won't happen by itself. A combination of factors is needed: a euro buoyed by German economic momentum, the end of the conflict in Ukraine, an accommodating but credible ECB, and above all, a weakened US dollar, which requires a healthy “FED put”, in other words, a FED that eases because disinflation is confirmed, and not under the constraint of a recession. We also need to keep a close eye on interest-rate spreads: a spread too favorable to the dollar would break the momentum. In short, $1.20 is technically conceivable between now and the end of the year, but conditional on a macroeconomic context that is not yet present. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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by Swissquote
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 - CONTINUEDEURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 Summary - Weekly Order Block - Daily Order Block - 15' Order Block - Break of 15' structure Requirements - Setup A) Continued 15' breaks of structure. Price action pull back to point of interest. - Setup B) Lower time frame break of structure via current 15' order block for immediate short. - Setup C) Tap entry post break of structure FRGNT X 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Is EURUSD Bearish this week?hello traders Ive been on a break from trading for a few months but now I'm back. Will EURUSD be going up or down this week?? well it seems so Lets dive deep into to the charts. As you can see this is a clear uptrend but It is now showing a lot of weakness. As you can see there is a clear divergence and the visible strong pullback, that is what is against bullish setups. But why do I want to sell?? rejection for shorts but look the pullbacks they are getting weaker every time. Another thing you have to take a look at is this daily high and low indicator as you can see we have been ranging for 3days and I am now expecting a breakout.
Short
by Linkhive001