Get started

U.S. DOLLAR / EURO REFERENCE RATE

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDEUX trade ideas

EUR/USD Bulls Eye 1.0600 – Uptrend Intact Above 1.0460 EUR/USD Analysis – February 17, 2025 Euro Gains 2% in a Winning Week as Dollar Struggles Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty The US dollar remains volatile as markets react to uncertainty surrounding Trump's potential tariff plans. Traders are closely watching for new policy announcements that could introduce reciprocal tariffs, potentially affecting international trade balances. Over the past six weeks, EUR/USD has been fluctuating within a range of 1.02 to 1.05, showing indecisiveness in the broader trend. However, recent price action suggests that the pair is gaining bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold. Technical Outlook EUR/USD remains in an uptrend, with bullish momentum expected to continue as long as the price stays above the 1.0460 - 1.0520 range. A sustained move above this zone would likely drive the pair toward 1.0600, and a breakout above this resistance level could accelerate gains toward 1.0677 and 1.0740. However, if the pair fails to hold above 1.0440 and closes an H4 candle below this level, the bullish momentum could weaken, leading to a potential pullback toward 1.0367. A deeper decline below 1.0367 may expose further downside levels at 1.0288 and 1.0226, but at this stage, buying on dips remains the favored approach in alignment with the prevailing uptrend. Key Levels Pivot Line: 1.0470 - 1.0440 Resistance Levels: 1.0600, 1.0677, 1.0740 Support Levels: 1.0367, 1.0288, 1.0220 Market Sentiment While EUR/USD shows short-term bullish strength, much depends on the upcoming trade policy decisions. If tariffs are imposed, the US dollar could regain strength, potentially limiting the euro’s upside. However, if risk sentiment improves, the euro may continue its upward trajectory.
Long
by SroshMayi
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR EURUSDAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout. The price has approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure to identify a potential entry point for the trade. Expectation: A upward move is expected, with the initial target at 1.08 and subsequently at the top of the HTF bullish continuation structure. ⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
Long
by TheTradingAmbience
EURUSD Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.043. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.041 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
How I am approching scaling my account to the next level💰 Introduction I have been actively investing for over seven years. When I started in 2017, I had no idea what I was doing. My first trade was a short/mid-term win on an altcoin skyrocketing in a straight line—it felt unbelievable. But the truth was, I was completely clueless. Still, I was hooked. I started reading everything I could and expanded my focus to stocks and Forex. Six months later, I had developed some ideas about Forex, though I was still lost when it came to stocks. I funded a Forex account with €8,000 to test my skills, using a simple 1:1 risk-to-reward 0.5% per trade system. A few months later, I was up about 15% - a solid start. From there, my goal was clear: design a great strategy first, then scale it. But things didn’t go as planned. I suffered a serious injury, which got progressively worse, making it impossible to hold a regular job. I spent everything I had on rent and medical bills. To make matters worse, I stubbornly clung to a terrible strategy for years - even after developing better ones. I ignored huge unrealized gains, constantly chasing the “holy grail” of investing. Ironically, today, I trade every single strategy (or a modified version to add to winners) I’ve ever designed since 2019 - except the one I stubbornly stuck with for years. Through all this, I learned a crucial lesson: 💡 A strategy should work from day one. You backtest it to verify, then refine it, but you don’t trade it live until it’s ready. Now, after years of experience, mistakes, and lessons learned, I have several proven strategies and a fresh perspective. The next step? Scaling up aggressively. Of course, I can’t cover everything in one article, a full book wouldn’t even be enough. Some aspects of growing an account, like tax implications, aren’t discussed here. But my goal is simple: to inspire investors to think creatively about scalability and strategy development. The process of building an investment strategy - including a scaling plan - is all about creativity. 💰 The Challenge of Scaling: Why Gains Lag Behind Losses Your gains will always lag behind your losses - this is a fundamental reality in investing. If you scale too fast, your winners from months ago may not be enough to cover your new losses, even if you're performing well overall. I am not talking about drawdowns, those makes things even worse. I am talking about how looking for asymmetric returns means the time it takes will be asymmetrical too. For mid-term strategies, traders typically risk 1 unit to gain 5, 10, or even 15. However, the time required for returns grows exponentially as reward targets increase. If you're aiming for 10x or more, your losing trades might last only 2–3 days, but your winners could take six months or longer to materialize. I experienced this firsthand in 2024. I started the year strong, accelerating my risk after solid returns from trading the Yen. Then I hit the gas again, but things turned bad - primarily because I was experimenting with a new strategy alongside my proven ones. In November, I realized a 15x profit on gold, which could have significantly changed my situation. However, I had entered the position back in February, before I began scaling, so the gains didn’t have the impact I needed at the time. 💰 Scaling Only Works for the Few Who Are Ready Most traders either stagnate or lose, and even the best often learn the hard way early on. You’ve probably heard the common statistic: only 10% of FX investors win, and only 10% of stock investors beat the market. But even within that elite group, only a third outperform significantly enough to consider trading as a full-time career rather than just a supplement for retirement. From the data I've seen, only about 3% of investors should even consider aggressive scaling. Attempting to scale without a proven track record is a recipe for disaster. Even the most famous market wizards often had to learn the hard way early on. A good analogy is chess - not everyone is a young prodigy, and even for those who are, it often takes 7–8 years to reach master level. The same applies to investing: skill and experience take time to develop, and rushing the process can lead to avoidable mistakes. 💰 No shortcut but there are ways to increase scalability A path one might follow is the investment fund. However these are very restrictive, George Soros once said to make money you had to take risk. No matter how good you are you are still subject to the same laws and I know no one that has 100% win rate. If your max drawdown is 5% how much can you realistically risk per operation? Perhaps 0.25% So your 10X winner will be 2.5%. We know the returns, drawdowns and Sharpe ratios of the biggest (and supposedly best) funds, I never heard of a fund with a tiny max drawdown and huge returns except Medallion fund you got me. The problem I personally have, or shall I say had, is that I can sometimes go 6-12 months without a winner, or with just 1-2. It is spread very non-homogeneously. In the last 3 months I have (finally!) designed a short term strategy that will smooth the curve, I risk 1 to make 5 and have opportunities in all market conditions. I was not even trying to, I just randomly felt creative and went "Eureka". I am currently running my proven strategies on my main accounts, and the new one on a smaller account - of course I keep winning on these small amounts. This short term strategy might not be my best one, although it might be the second best, however it was exactly what I needed to help smooth the drawdowns and more boring market conditions. 💰 Balancing Creativity and Risk in Scaling Strategies I believe designing a successful scaling strategy requires a combination of creativity and pessimism. From my experience, it's essential to explore different ways to scale while always keeping the worst-case scenario in mind. To illustrate this, let’s consider an example - not necessarily the exact approach I will take, but a concept that reflects my thinking. Suppose I allocate €25,000 to a brokerage account and divide it into 25 "tokens" of €1,000 each. Every time the account grows, I would redistribute the balance into 25 equal parts, each representing 4% of the total. This setup ensures that I always have capital available for new opportunities. Even if I lose 10 times in a row and have 5 tokens tied up in winning trades (or disappointing breakevens), I would still have 10 tokens left to reinvest. Based on my calculations, 25 is the minimum number required for this method to work efficiently. That said, 4% risk per trade is significantly higher than what I have ever risked, and I may adjust it downward. 💰 Risk Management and Personal Goals If someone were able to triple a €25,000 account each year, they could theoretically reach €2 million in just four years. However, such exponential growth is rare and unsustainable over the long term. Jesse Livermore achieved extraordinary gains - but ultimately lost everything and took his own life. This is a stark reminder that extreme financial risk can have devastating consequences. I would never attempt this kind of aggressive scaling with essential funds - certainly not with rent money, without a financial cushion, with large amounts, or without a clear Plan B. My personal objectives: If investing my own money: My goal is to build a €2M–€3M account while continuing my regular job - possibly reducing to part-time work. If managing investor funds: I would aim to start with €10M AUM, with at least €500K of my own capital in the fund. My ultimate target is to grow AUM to €100M. 💰 The Crypto Factor : A Different Beast The extreme volatility combined with long term aspect of crypto makes for a very different experience. In the past it has shown incredible returns, I know this first hand my brother started mining Ethereum I think in 2019 when the price was below $150 I guess and then he has been buying cryptos on the way up, in euros I might add, with the crypto/euro charts looking much better than the USD ones. But there is no reason why it cannot all go to zero, or crash 95% and remain here for years. And even if the whole crypto market does not crash, several of them die each year. I am not a perma bear I do not wish my younger brother to lose everything, this is all he has, he got no diploma not interesting career. For crypto to fit in a structured investment strategy I personally would only put small amounts. So it sort of follows the idea of a separate account with huge risk. An amount that one can afford to lose. 💰 Final words I believe I have the experience, the rigor and the strategies to increase my risk and invest more aggressively. In a near future - maybe starting 2026 - I want to really grow my account. My scaling will be gradual, I won't jump from an amount to 3 times that in 3 months, I will manage my risk strategically; And before even starting the battle I will have clearly defined objectives.
Education
by MrRenev
EUR/USD Breakout PotentialIt's been a grinding month of February so far but the big takeaway at this point for EUR/USD has been deductive in nature, and that's the fact that sellers haven't been able to break any fresh ground below the January low. Early-Feb saw the threat of tariffs drive a spike-low in the pair, but that held above 1.0200, and then as the tariff threat seemed to recede a bit, EUR/USD pushed up to 1.0500 for two different tests of the big figure. At this point bulls haven't exactly taken over matters, but the slow build of 'less bearish' can then lead into bullish breakouts. In EUR/USD, the Fibonacci retracements produced by the 2021-2022 sell-off, and then the 61.8% bounce from that sell-off, continue to highlight important levels. The 1.0200 level is confluent with the 23.6% retracement of the longer-term move and the 61.8% retracement of the shorter-term move plotting within a single pip of each other. The 50% mark of the shorter-term move from the 2022 low to the 2023 high (which was the 61.8% retracement of the longer-term move) is what helped to hold support last week, after showing as resistance the week before. And sitting overhead is the 1.0611 level, which is confluent as this is the 38.2% retracement of the shorter-term move as well as the 38.2% retracement of the 2022-2023 move. If EUR/USD can push a breakout, that's the next major level of interest. - js
by FOREXcom
EURUSD I H4 CLS range, Key Level OB + BPRHey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave Hunter ⚔
Long
by David_Perk
EUR/USD - Trade SetupClean Trade Setup in my own opinion. DAILY - Bearish With the previous market drop failing to take out Liquidity telling me price still needs to hunt for that price We are currently In a Correctional leg before I believe we would look to sell Price currently is in the OTE zone for selling positions meaning im looking for price to make a reaction of a key area or level. I see a clean unmitigated Order Block within a supply zone giving me strong confluence to sell at this level. 100Pip SL for a 370 PIP return Good luck to any traders that might follow
Short
by jamesibartram
EURUSD: holds steady above 1.0400 amid US tariff threatsEUR/USD holds steady above 1.0450 in the European trading hours on Thursday. Broad US Dollar underperformance supports the pair. However, tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and geopolitical tension might cap its upside. US data and Fedspeak remains in focus. EUR/USD Technical Overview Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located below the midline, near 42.85, suggesting that further downside cannot be ruled out. The first upside barrier for EUR/USD emerges near 1.0461, the high of February 19. The key resistance level to watch is the 1.0500-1.0505 zone, representing the psychological level and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.0533, the high of January 27.
Long
by xauusd_rr
EUR/USD Heads into Swing Resistance EUR/USD has edged higher in recent sessions, but the pair is now pressing into a key resistance zone. Let’s break down why this level matters and how traders can navigate the next move. Testing the Waters: Is This a Breakout or a Range Play? After a sharp decline in late 2024, EUR/USD started the year with a strong rebound from trend lows in January. Those lows were retested in early February and held firm, setting the stage for last week’s steady gains. Now, the pair is challenging the late-January swing highs—an area that could determine the next phase of price action. This resistance zone is significant for three reasons. First, it aligns with the broader downtrend—despite the recovery, EUR/USD remains in a long-term bearish structure until it can break above a key swing high. A decisive move beyond this level could signal the start of a trend shift. Second, it coincides with the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the highs before the downtrend began. VWAP often acts as a battleground between short-term momentum and long-term weakness—whether buyers can push through or sellers reassert control will be telling. The third, and perhaps most likely, scenario is that EUR/USD remains range-bound, with the early February bounce marking the lower boundary of consolidation. If resistance holds, traders may find opportunities to "play the range" by watching for lower timeframe rejection patterns within this key zone. For now, RSI is climbing but remains below overbought territory, leaving room for further upside if momentum persists. However, should resistance hold firm, the broader range-bound structure could remain in play, keeping EUR/USD trapped between these key technical levels. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results EUR/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom