USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1.30500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.27000) Swing/Day trade basis.
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🏴☠️Target 🎯: 1.35000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GBPUSD Analysis week 16Fundamental Analysis
The USD recovered somewhat after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs and increased import tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%. This development limited the upside momentum of GBP/USD.
Despite the tariff suspension, investors are still concerned about the US economic outlook due to escalating trade tensions between the two countries. This continues to put downward pressure on the USD and supports GBP/USD to regain momentum.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD is recovering significantly at the end of the week. and is facing a reaction at the old peak as well as Fibonacci. This pullback is noticeable at two Fibonacci zones and an old breakout zone around 1.30000 and 1.28900. The first two resistances to watch at last week's high around 1.31500 and next week's most important Resistance at 1.32900 will ensure GBPUSD avoids a sudden spike.
GBPUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of GBP-USD with you.
Looking at the GBP-USD chart, I expect a small price decline towards the 1.29336 level. After reaching this price, I anticipate a price increase toward the 1.3500 level.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: A small decline to 1.29336.
Bullish Scenario: After hitting 1.29336, expect a rise to 1.3500.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1.29336
Resistance: 1.3500
💬 What are your thoughts on GBP-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
GBPUSD | 11.04.2025SELL LIMIT 1.30400 | 1.31150 | TAKE 1.29200 | Let's consider a local corrective movement from the nearest highs downwards, after yesterday's price growth. The level of 1.30000 is currently the key level for further development of scenarios. We should not forget about the publication of important economic indicators for the pound.
WHY GBPUSD BULLISH ?/ DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD has successfully completed a textbook retest of a major demand zone around 1.2650–1.2700, and we’re now seeing signs of bullish strength returning to the pair. After a corrective move from recent highs, price respected this zone with high precision, forming a strong bullish rejection candle that signals a potential reversal. With the market pushing back above 1.2850, we now have a clean higher low structure forming, indicating the next bullish leg is likely in play.
Technically, the 12H chart structure aligns well with a bullish continuation model. Price broke structure to the upside, came back to retest the neckline of the previous impulse leg, and is now bouncing with solid momentum. This is a classic demand zone reaction paired with a clean V-recovery pattern. As long as GBPUSD holds above 1.2700, I am targeting the 1.3400–1.3460 region in the coming weeks. The risk-reward setup here is highly favorable, with clearly defined invalidation below 1.2650 and upside potential aligned with macro sentiment.
On the fundamental side, GBP remains supported by persistent wage growth and sticky inflation in the UK economy, leading the market to price in fewer near-term rate cuts from the Bank of England. Meanwhile, the US dollar has started to show cracks as softer inflation data and slower NFP numbers last week are reducing expectations for further Fed tightening. This divergence in policy outlook between the BoE and the Fed is fueling GBPUSD upside, especially as the pair trades around key psychological levels.
Overall, with a strong confluence of technical bounce from demand, bullish fundamentals, and market sentiment shifting toward risk-on, GBPUSD looks well-positioned for further upside. A break and hold above 1.2900 will likely accelerate the move toward 1.3460. I'll be watching closely for momentum continuation setups as the pair builds bullish pressure in this zone.
Will 3 Times Be The Charm For GBPUSD??We can see FX:GBPUSD retrace a tad further up to the Volume Imbalance that was created over the weekend of April 4th - 7th. After Price made its High @ 1.3207, it was immediately rejected back down below the Past Level of Support that is now showing signs of Resistance!
- Following that Higher High not only resulted in a Lower Low but also sent the RSI under 50 into Bearish Territory!
Now in the ICT Methodology of Volume Imbalances, Price is likely to Test or Fill the Imbalance, then once satisfied, has a high potential to turn the opposite direction. Now a Pullback to Fill the Imbalance would land Price right at the 38.2% Fibonacci Level @ 1.28984 where if Bulls are unable to push Price back above, would be an excellent Shorting Opportunity for Bears to overcome.
- RSI is now below the 50 suggesting Bulls have lost steam and strengthens the potential for more downside to occur but that would call for a Break and Retest Scenario on the Rising Support.
Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve will be releasing the CPI y/y and m/m results where analysts believe there to be a .3% decrease in inflation forecasting a 2.5% CPI for March from the previous 2.8% for February. Given this, the FOMC " do not plan to come to rescue Trump with rate cuts" and insist that all the Tariff pressure will actually be a reasoning for Inflation to Rise! So if CPI ends up printing Hotter than Expected (Higher), we could see a renewed strength in the USD.
GBP/USD - Weekly Elliott Wave Forecast | Potential B-Wave Trap!Pattern: Completed 5-Wave Impulse + ABC Zigzag Correction
Current Price: 1.3056
Forecast: Bearish B-Wave Reversal Incoming?
Technical Breakdown:
Major impulse from 2007 to 2022 marked as 1 to 5
A corrective ABC move completed at the key resistance zone
Price currently facing rejection from the C wave top
High probability of a B-Wave trap forming before a drop to the 1.14 zone
Strong confluence with historical structure and Fibonacci retracement
Next Move:
Watch for a weekly candle close below 1.28 to confirm the reversal. Bears may target the 1.14 zone in the next leg down.
Wave Structure Visualized (Top-Right Inset):
Shows possible B-Wave drop before bullish C continuation — a perfect trap zone for early bulls.
Trade Plan:
Short bias below 1.30 with SL above 1.32
Target: 1.18–1.14 zone
Re-assess price action near 1.14 for long opportunities
Stay Sharp, Stay Green!
GBPUSD, Is This Just a Pullback or a Full Reversal? 4/11 11:26amI’ve been closely analyzing GBP/USD, and right now, I’m assessing whether the recent drop is just a pullback within an uptrend or the start of a full reversal into bearish territory.
Pullback vs. Reversal: What I’m Looking For
Pullback Characteristics: A pullback is typically a short-lived dip before the trend resumes. If GBP/USD stabilizes around 1.3030–1.3050 and then rebounds, it would confirm that buyers are still in control and the overall bullish trend is intact. Moving averages (like EMA and KAMA) should continue to slope upward in that scenario.
Reversal Characteristics: A full reversal happens when price breaks major support levels (like 1.2990) and shows bearish confirmation—things like a bearish engulfing candle, lower highs/lows, and negative momentum signals. If key indicators (like RSI dropping below 30 and MACD turning negative) confirm the trend shift, then sellers are fully taking control.
Current Market Signs
GBP/USD fell sharply from 1.314, forming an M-shape pattern that often signals trend exhaustion.
If price fails to bounce near 1.3050, the likelihood of a full reversal increases.
Shorter timeframe indicators (like RSI and MACD) are showing slowing momentum, which reinforces the case for further downside.
My Verdict & Trade Decision
I’ve decided that this is looking more like a near-term reversal rather than just a pullback. Since price keeps failing to reclaim 1.3050, the bearish pressure remains strong. If we break below 1.2990, I expect a deeper decline into a full downtrend shift.
Final Trading Action
Closing my trade: Given everything I’m seeing, I’m closing my current long trade now to lock in profits and avoid further downside risk.
Future trade setup: If price rejects 1.3050 and starts rebounding, I’d consider re-entering long. However, if GBP/USD closes below 1.2990, I’ll switch to a short trade, targeting further downside.
Happy Friday!
GBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger DropGBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger Drop
Since early March 2025, GBP/USD entered an accumulation phase, trading within a 145-pip range between 1.2870 and 1.3015. The first breakout attempt was bullish, but on April 3rd, a sharp sell-off occurred, triggered by Trump’s newly imposed tariffs.
GBP/USD has now broken below the 1.2870 support zone, a level where the price had held firm for a month. If the pair remains below 1.2870, the likelihood of a larger downward move increases.
Based on current data, GBP/USD might retest 1.2870 before continuing downward, but this is uncertain. The pair’s movement is highly dependent on Trump's tariffs, and any new statements or policy shifts could quickly change its direction
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD 4H: Breakdown Brewing? Key Levels for Short Entries!GBP/USD 4-Hour Analysis
Technical Outlook — 11 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
GBP/USD on the 4-hour timeframe is showing signs of a potential short-term bounce as it trades around 1.3100. The price has recently moved above the 50-period EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum, however nearing a death cross of 50EMA to 200MA. This will confirm bearish momentum.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price Action: The price has rallied from a recent low around 1.2700 and is now trading near 1.3100, above the 50-period EMA and 200 MA, signaling potential short-term buying interest.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance: Key resistance levels are identified at 1.3200 and 1.3300. The 200-period MA near 1.3150-1.3200 adds confluence to the first resistance zone.
Support: Key support levels below the current price are at 1.2900, 1.2700, and 1.2600, with 1.2900 being the nearest significant support.
Momentum Indicator: The stochastic oscillator at the bottom is heading in overbought territory signalling exhaustion.
Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability):
If the price fails to break above resistance level around 1.3150-1.3200 and shows a rejection (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern like a shooting star), the bearish bias is likely to persist.
A drop below the 50-period EMA and the recent swing low at 1.2900 could lead to further declines toward the 1.2700 support, with deeper support at 1.2600.
Bullish Scenario (Moderate Probability):
If the price sustains above the 50-period EMA and breaks through the resistance level of 1.3200 with a strong 4-hour candlestick close, it could signal a short-term bullish move.
A confirmed break above 1.3200 may lead to a test of the next resistance at 1.3400, supported by the upward momentum in the oscillator.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
GU-Fri-11/04/25 TDA-Weekly is flipping due to CPI lower!Analysis done directly on the chart
Just keep doing! One day mistakes will
not define you as whole. We are humans,
we make mistakes and we should learn
from them as a way to tell us that what
we are currently doing might not be enough.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD Slight change in TP. 4/9 4:10pm Given the data and technical indicators for GBP/USD, here's a breakdown of potential trading options:
Key Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI for multiple timeframes is somewhat low (19.44 on the 1-minute chart, 40.47 on the 5-minute chart, 59.50 on the 15-minute chart, and so on). A low RSI value often indicates that the asset is oversold, which can suggest a potential buying opportunity.
MACD: The MACD shows mixed signals across different timeframes (slightly negative on some timeframes, but with positive momentum on the longer ones). This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish trend in the near future.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is at 15.52 on the 1-minute chart and increases to 61.12 on the 5-minute chart. A value of 15.52 suggests that the market might be oversold on the 1-minute chart, and a potential reversal could be coming.
Aroon Oscillator: The Aroon Oscillator is mostly negative on shorter timeframes, indicating a downtrend, but positive on longer timeframes, suggesting some bullish pressure.
Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX for the 1-minute chart is at 29.74, which is relatively low, meaning there isn't a strong directional trend. On longer timeframes (1 hour and 4 hours), the ADX is higher, suggesting some trending potential.
Balance of Power (BOP): The BOP is positive on the 1-minute timeframe (0.52), but turns negative as timeframes increase, indicating a loss of buying momentum.
Support & Resistance Levels: The recent price data shows a price range between 1.27436 (low) and 1.28641 (high), indicating recent support at the lower bound (1.27436) and resistance at the upper bound (1.28641).
Possible Trading Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario (Buy):
RSI: The RSI on the shorter timeframes (like 1-minute and 5-minute) is on the low side, suggesting the market is oversold and could be due for a reversal.
Stochastic: The 1-minute Stochastic is low, signaling a potential short-term rebound.
Price Action: If the current price is around 1.27946 and you believe in a potential reversal from oversold conditions, you could consider buying with a target near 1.28641 (recent high).
Bearish Scenario (Sell):
Aroon Oscillator: On the shorter timeframes, the Aroon Oscillator is negative, suggesting some bearish momentum.
Resistance Level: The current price (1.27946) is closer to the lower bound of the recent price range, and the resistance is just above at 1.28641. If the price struggles to break above this, a bearish trade could be considered.
MACD: With the MACD showing some negative readings, a potential sell order can be placed if the market fails to break above resistance.
Neutral Scenario (Wait & See):
ADX: The ADX on the shorter timeframes suggests a lack of strong momentum, so it might be best to wait for a clearer trend to emerge.
BOP: The negative BOP on higher timeframes suggests that there is more selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Best Trade (Short-term): Given the oversold RSI, a buy trade could be a good option with a target near the recent resistance level at 1.28641, assuming the price shows signs of reversing upward.
Stop Loss: Consider placing a stop loss near the recent low (1.27436) to protect against a larger downtrend.
GBPUSD. Stubborn Bulls.. 4/10 10:15pm.Hello everyone so this is my analysis over the past couple hours. I mean you guys can obviously see GBPUSD bullish. Let's dive a bit deeper into what's really happening...
Fundamentals: I'm seeing stronger GBP data coming into focus for Friday, April 11, 2025. Recent reports show that the UK's trade figures are working in its favor—for example, the non‑EU Goods Trade Balance improved from –£7.07B to –£6.7B, and the GDP MoM for February turned positive at 0.1% (up from –0.1%). Meanwhile, the overall GB Goods Trade Balance has also slightly improved. On the U.S. side, the latest reports (like a PPI MoM at 0.2% and lower Michigan Consumer Sentiment) point to some softness. For me, these fundamentals add extra conviction to a bullish view on GBP/USD because the UK economic data is beating expectations while the U.S. signals are lagging.
OHLC and Price Action: Looking over the hourly charts from today, I've observed that the price has been trading in a relatively narrow band—oscillating between about 1.286 and 1.299. Earlier in the session, there were strong upward moves (with notable gains around 10:00–11:00), but then at 15:00 I saw a pronounced pullback when the candle closed at 1.29375 after touching as high as 1.2979. Later, around 22:00, a bullish candle closed near 1.29876 with a +22.9 pips move, indicating that while buyers stepped in, the market remains choppy. This oscillation tells me that even though the long-term trend appears bullish, the near-term price action is showing signs of overextension and profit-taking.
Technical Indicators: My technical indicators paint a mixed picture. On higher timeframes (1‑hour and above), moving averages like the EMA, DEMA, and KAMA confirm that the overall trend is bullish. However, key support levels—like the HT_TRENDLINE (around 1.28267) and the Stop and Reverse level (about 1.29081)—are well below the current price of approximately 1.29807. This means that, relative to these supports, the price is overextended. Other indicators, like the 1‑hour RSI (hovering near 52) and the MACD, are fairly neutral, but the ATR (around 0.005) confirms that today's volatility is higher than normal. Short-term oscillators and candlestick patterns (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars on the 15‑minute chart) become critical for spotting a reversal signal.
My Overall View and Trade Strategy: Putting it all together, I’m keeping my bullish outlook on GBP/USD in the long run due to the favorable fundamental environment in the UK versus the U.S. On a technical level, however, the price appears overextended based on the OHLC action and indicator readings. I’m watching for clear reversal signals—the formation of a decisive bearish pattern around the 1.292–1.290 range would be my cue. If that happens, I’d close my current bullish trade and consider opening a short position, targeting a move down toward the 1.278–1.281 support area.
GBPUSD update 4/9/2025 at 2:29pm Summary of Key Indicators for GBP/USD
Trend & Direction:
Directional Strength:
ADI is high (61.07) with PLUS_DI (26.11) far exceeding MINUS_DI (6.65) and a DX of 59.41—confirming a robust short-term bullish trend.
HT_TRENDMODE:
At 1.0, indicating an active trend.
Moving Averages & Price Forecast:
Core Levels:
EMA (1.31065), DEMA (1.31396), TEMA (1.31417), and TSF (1.31339) cluster between 1.310–1.314, suggesting the price is consolidating.
Resistance:
KAMA (1.31672) lies above the current range, hinting at a broader bearish bias.
Momentum & Oscillators:
RSI ~61: Indicates a moderately bullish stance.
MACD (0.0057) & CMO (21.96): Support upward momentum.
Stochastic (~59) & StochRSI (34): Signal energy without extreme overbought conditions.
CCI (195.50): Warns the market could be nearing overbought territory.
Price Range & Statistical Measures:
Central Price Range:
Prices mostly span from ~1.277 to 1.315.
Support & Resistance:
Short-term averages (EMA, DEMA, HT_TRENDLINE) near 1.277–1.282 suggest support, while longer-term filters (KAMA, TEMA) at 1.314–1.317 denote resistance.
Volatility:
ATR is very low in the short term (0.00037–0.0029) but climbs to ~0.0605 on longer timeframes—indicating time-dependent volatility.
Additional Forecast Tools & Volume:
Price regression tools (Linear Regression, TSF, TRIMA, T3, TEMA) consistently position prices within the 1.277–1.315 zone.
OBV and balance indicators reflect a near-balanced market on short terms, with some higher timeframe accumulation.
Price Action Overview:
GBP/USD is trading in a tight consolidation around the lower end of its recent range—approximately 1.275–1.278. Recent candles indicate modest upward momentum with repeated tests of support, suggesting buyers are starting to step in near this level. However, the price remains near a key inflection point, and with pending high-impact news, a decisive breakout (or reversal) could occur once the market digests the upcoming data.
Current Setup & Trading Consideration:
The current price at 1.27584 is at the lower end of a crucial consolidation zone (1.275–1.278), favoring a potential bounce.
Waiting for confirmation on the daily chart (or a clear intraday reversal if you’re aggressive) can help reduce risk, particularly with upcoming news events.
As a daily chart trader, i'm less focused on shorter-term noise and more on the reversal or breakout confirmed by the daily candle. For me, It’s often best to let the daily close help confirm whether this near‐support level holds.
GBP_USD SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is going down
To retest a strong support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
So a local rebound is to be
Expected but its a risky
Setup given the general
Volatility on the market
So use small lot size
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.