GU sellAfter completing the 5 impulsive waves, GU should be forming a corrective pattern. We anticipate a bearish move targeting the fib levels 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6%.
USDGBP trade ideas
GU BUYMake is clearly looking for retracement for a better buy on GU. join jme me has we make this money together
Market next move 🧠 Disruptive Analysis:
🔴 1. False Breakout Potential
The marked box shows a consolidation zone. While the green candle breaks slightly above it, this might be a trap (false breakout). If there's no strong follow-through, price may sharply retest or drop back inside the box—a classic bull trap.
🔴 2. Bearish Volume Profile
Volume spiked on the initial drop, and even though there's some green candle volume, it’s not convincingly higher than previous bars. This could imply weak buyer commitment at this level, suggesting a potential reversal downward.
🔴 3. Overhead Resistance
Even if price breaks out, it faces immediate resistance around 1.3485–1.3500, where multiple wicks formed earlier. This could stall or reject the move, invalidating the bullish "Target."
🔴 4. Economic Risk
The U.S. economic event icons below suggest incoming USD-related news. If the data is USD-positive (e.g., strong employment or inflation), it could strengthen the dollar and push GBP/USD lower, negating the bullish move entirely.
gbp/usd 15mThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute timeframe of the GBP/USD currency pair, with a visual trade setup that includes:
1. Entry Setup (1.34705) – Marked by a blue horizontal line, indicating a potential buy (long) entry point.
2. Register Zone (Support Area) – Highlighted in pink at the bottom; this is likely where price is expected to find support or a demand zone.
3. First Target – Highlighted in light blue, suggesting the initial take-profit level.
4. Next Target – Highlighted in green at the top, indicating a more extended profit target.
5. Arrows and Forecast Path – The chart outlines a bullish path (uptrend) expectation, projecting a bounce from the register zone, entry confirmation around 1.34705, and a move up to the first and next targets.
This is a classic support-and-resistance-based long setup, relying on price reversing near a key support zone and moving higher toward identified resistance levels.
Let me know if you’d like help with:
Calculating stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Evaluating the risk-reward ratio.
Backtesting similar setups.
Creating an automated trading strategy based on this.
Would you like an analysis of the probability of this setup working based on historical data or technical indicators?
GBP/USD Correction Potentially Complete – Key Breakout LevelsHi everyone,
GBP/USD has been undergoing a short-term correction since the start of the week. Our view is that this correction may now be complete, with the bullish trend potentially resuming.
For confirmation, we’re watching for a break above the 1.35195 level, followed by a move through 1.35934.
If these levels are cleared, we anticipate further upside. We’ll continue to share updates on the projected path for GBP/USD should price action reach our key zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend further from the 1.20991 January low.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
GBP/USD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Sell Signal | GBP/USD – Powered by Custom Algorithm & Technical Precision
This sell signal is generated by a proprietary trading system I’ve developed, combining pure technical trend logic with automated decision-making.
The algorithm:
Confirms reversal signals through layered filter logic
Defines clean entry, stop-loss, and target zones — all fully automated
No human judgment, no discretionary trades — just objective data turned into actionable analysis.
🧠 Built on precision. Backed by testing.
📉 Current outlook: Bearish sentiment confirmed on multi-timeframe structure.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.
GBP/USD Bearish Break & Retest Setup (1H)Price has broken below a key ascending trendline and appears to be forming a lower high near the broken structure zone. I’m watching for a retest and bearish rejection from this area to confirm a short setup.
Confluences:
• Break of trendline (structure shift)
• Potential lower high forming
• EMA 20/50 curling downward
• Looking for bearish rejection candle on 1H
Entry: On confirmation of rejection
Target zone: 1.3404 → 1.3316 → 1.3260
Invalidation: Break back above the retest zone
GBPUSD May 28 Asia Hind sight studyGBPUSD
May 28 Asia Hindsight study
Admittedly I took this short and yet got in late and got stopped out, in hesitation and broke even and let it go. Darn. Here is what I observed and for my continued to studies to trust.
Premium range
Parent sentiment bullish
May 27/28 Delivery
*Price takes equal lows
*Price closes in a FVG consolidating
*20:00 Asia open price takes minor equal highs liquidity in a premium expecting for price to lower to a discount
Elements to ICT model 2022
*minor liquidity taken with a frames out bias and targets started to hunt for model 2022
*bias is bear for Asia to reach for equal lows, DXY in a discount to reach for equal highs for confidence
*20:41 4 candle pattern still learning if it is an order block
*20:46 price creates the swing low
*20:50 Price creates a FVG-first presented FVG
*20:52 entry candle macro time -should have been!!!!!!
*22:45 price takes first target of equal lows
*0:45 exit when price takes second target of equal lows
Note Review the 1 min chart for the classic ICT model 2022 candle formation.
POTENTIAL TARGET FOR BULL RUN 1.4000 OR REVERSAL BACK TO 1.3000Swing traiding will take a longer time to achieve, but the behaviour of GPBUSD is showing 130 pips sell is a form of pull back to make another bullish impulse of 250 to 300 pips and it does that, it is closer to 1.4000 by then.
It could also imply that it is about to create a lower high or retest of this month's high as we are getting close to the end of May.
Bossfx Clean Swing SetupYou're looking at a 1-hour chart of GBP/USD with several important technical analysis elements in play. I'll break it down like a seasoned trader, covering market structure, Fibonacci, price action, and provide a trade plan based on the current setup.
🔍 Chart Breakdown (GBP/USD – H1)
🧠 1. Market Structure
Overall trend: Bullish, as price is making higher highs and higher lows.
Recent behavior: Price reached a high near 1.35911, then started to pull back — potentially forming a lower high.
Short-term correction: A bearish flag or wedge is developing, possibly indicating a breakdown before continuation or reversal.
📐 2. Fibonacci Analysis
The swing high is around 1.35911, and the swing low is around 1.31440.
The chart includes retracement levels:
50% zone → 1.33676
61.8% golden zone → 1.33148
78.6% deep retracement → 1.32739
🧠 These levels are key liquidity pools where price may bounce, consolidate, or reverse.
📉 3. Bearish Trade Setup
A bearish engulfing zone is highlighted near 1.35714–1.35825 (red box) — likely a supply zone or order block.
Price rejected this zone and is beginning to drop.
Your projected path shows a move toward 1.33200, right above the 78.6% fib — likely your target.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bearish Swing Idea)
Item Value
🟢 Entry Around 1.35500–1.35700 (supply zone retest if price comes back up)
🔴 Stop Loss Above 1.35950 (last swing high)
🎯 Take Profit 1 1.34014 (minor support / fib cluster)
🎯 Take Profit 2 1.33610 (61.8% fib)
🎯 Take Profit 3 1.33200 (main fib target / liquidity sweep)
➡️ Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Roughly 1:2.5 – 1:3.5, depending on exact entry and target.
🔁 Alternative Bullish Scenario (Plan B)
If price holds above 1.35000 and breaks above 1.35911:
Expect continuation toward 1.36500–1.37000
Re-evaluate the short setup immediately
📊 Tactical Notes:
Timeframe: H1 = medium-term swing (1–2 days)
Use alerts on TradingView for:
Entry zone re-entry
Break of 1.3500 trendline
Touch of 1.33200
GU OUTLOOK 1h structure bearish
Sign if retracement on the 4h
Waiting for structure shift to confirm realignment on all timeframes.
Also when a setup is presented on the supply zone, I might look for sell
GU 4H Outlook 4h also bullish.
Price is currently in a retracement.
Most probably sells are the only viable option for now but we will wait and see how price forms during the new York session
GBPUSD POSSIBLE SELL Liquidity has been created and cleared while our entry has been activated, 1:2 RR will be acquired
GBP-USDThe pound is in almost the same situation as the euro and the RSI has broken.
Pay attention to the chart.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.3547, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3447, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3611, above a swing high resistance.
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GBPUSD potential longMulti-Timeframe Market Outlook
3-Month (3M) Timeframe
• Price broke below key psychological/liquidity level at 1.2100 in Q3 2022, reaching 1.0500, where significant bullish order flow was triggered.
• Bullish momentum brought price back above 1.2100, but lacked strength to reach next liquidity zone at 1.3900.
• After retracing to collect orders at 1.2100 again, price advanced to 1.3400, met resistance, and returned to 1.2100.
• Recent price action shows a break above 1.3400, signaling renewed bullish intent and momentum toward higher targets.
Monthly Timeframe
• Fully aligned with the 3M structure; no additional significant divergences to note.
• Continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure remains intact.
Weekly Timeframe
• Last week, price broke and closed above major resistance at 1.3400 with strong bullish momentum.
• Next liquidity target: 1.3650.
• Price consolidated below 1.3400 for 4 weeks, suggesting accumulation of bullish orders.
• Current retracement likely a pause to collect more orders before resuming towards 1.3650.
Daily Timeframe
• Strong order flow observed at 1.3150, followed by consolidation between 1.3250 – 1.3300 before breaking 1.3400.
• Price has retraced ~100 pips since yesterday, likely seeking a liquidity zone.
• 1.3400 remains the key level to monitor for renewed bullish interest and continuation toward 1.3650.
4H Timeframe
• Notable bullish order block formed at 1.3400, resulting in nearly 200-pip upside.
• Price appears to be retracing to this region, likely to collect more buy-side liquidity before another leg up.
• Confluence across timeframes suggests strong bullish bias if price holds above or reclaims 1.3400.
My thesis is long but I am very mindful of FOMC minutes today and I am waiting to see the impact that it will have on price action.
DAY TRADE📌 GBP/USD Long Setup – Wait for Price to Return
💥 Plan the trade. Let it come to you. Don’t chase.
📍 Entry: 1.34701 (wait for price to return here)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.34494 (20.7 pips)
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.35204 (50.3 pips)
📊 Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:2.43 ✅
🧠 Reasoning:
Price tapped the demand zone and wicked back up
We wait for price to retrace back to 1.34701
Clean rejection zone visible on M15 for confirmation
FvgClean break out......we do not use faith or hope to trade..embrace yourself and acquire new information regardless of what time and day it is stay on the grind everyday and don't lose hope one day we will make it
Results Trendline liquidity sweep...knowledge is power.you should know who's being targeted and the bais of the market..combining all those will show you where you are in the market
GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD – May 28, 2025
📋 Plan Overview Table
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Swing Trade Buy 75% 2.8:1 Active
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Reversal from short-term sell-off into key support
Type: Bullish reversal setup off demand zone and daily structure support
🔰 Confidence Level – 75%
🔹 H4 demand zone test (confirmed)
🔹 Price respecting higher low structure on D1
🔹 Momentum divergence building on H1
🔹 RSI oversold on intraday
📍 Entry Zones
Zone Type Price Range
Primary 1.3490 – 1.3510
Secondary 1.3450 – 1.3470
❗ Stop Loss (SL)
Primary SL: 1.3440 (below secondary zone)
Secondary SL: 1.3400 (invalidates D1 HL structure)
SL Reasoning: Below structural swing low and untested H4 imbalance.
🎯 Take Profit Targets
Target Price Reason
TP1 1.3580 Local supply on H1
TP2 1.3640 Previous high – intraday
TP3 1.3700 Major D1 resistance
🧠 Management Strategy
💼 Risk: 1.0% per setup zone
🧱 Move SL to BE at TP1
🔁 Scale in from secondary zone if price wicks down
📉 If both zones are tagged, average price improves R:R
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
Criteria Status
Bullish candle M15+ ✅
Retest of demand ✅
NY/LDN session 🔄
Volume spike ✅
⏳ Validity
H1 Structure: Valid 12–16 hours
H4 Structure: Valid 48–72 hours
❌ Invalidation Conditions
Daily close below 1.3400
Momentum closes below D1 demand
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
🔹 USD CPI softening, Fed expectations for pause
🔹 GBP firm labor market data, but political noise lingering
🔹 Market still pricing GBP stronger mid-term
🔹 Risk-on equity sentiment supporting GBP pairs short-term
📋 Final Trade Summary
This trade plan for GBP/USD aligns with a confluence of intraday demand, bullish D1 structure, and confirmed short-term exhaustion. We're watching for NY session confirmation, with entry zone proximity creating a favorable R:R on both scale levels.
GBPUSD: Bearish Trend Double Top/ M Formation has appeared on the peak of this uptrend. Maybe this could be used to start the downtrend for the next several days.
Nice opportunity for long trade on GBPUSDClassic technical analysis showing up trend and price almost touched the trend line
GBPUSD1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of recent data, driven by strong UK retail sales and elevated long-term yields).
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025, reflecting fiscal concerns and Fed rate cut expectations).
2. Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The yield spread between UK and US 10-year bonds is:4.77%(GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23%
4.77% (GBP)−4.54% (USD)=+0.23%
This modest differential favors the British pound, as UK bonds offer a slightly higher return than US Treasuries.
3. Carry Trade Advantage
The +0.23% yield spread makes it marginally attractive for investors to borrow in USD (lower yield) and invest in GBP-denominated assets (higher yield).
However, the narrow spread limits significant carry trade profits compared to higher-yielding currency pairs.
GBP strength is further supported by strong UK economic data (e.g., April retail sales up 1.2% MoM) and easing UK-EU trade barriers.
4. Key Factors Influencing the Differential
Bank of England Policy: The BoE cut rates to 4.25% in May 2025 but maintains a cautious stance. Further cuts could pressure gilt yields lower.
Federal Reserve Outlook: Markets price in two Fed rate cuts by late 2025, which may reduce the US yield advantage.
UK Fiscal Risks: High public debt levels (30-year gilt yields >5.5%) and potential fiscal pressures could weigh on GBP if investor confidence wanes.
Summary Table
Metric UK (GBP) US (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.54%
Interest Rate Differential +0.23% (GBP over USD) —
Carry Trade Appeal Modest, supported by GBP strength —
Conclusion
The 0.23% yield advantage for GBP provides limited carry trade incentives, but stronger UK economic data and technical bullishness in GBP/USD reinforce near-term GBP strength.
UK fiscal sustainability: Elevated long-term yields pose risks to growth and currency stability.
While the carry trade offers marginal gains, GBP’s upside is primarily driven by macroeconomic outperformance and reduced trade barriers with the EU.
#GBPUSD
