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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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GBPUSD – Liquidity Sweep & Bearish Market Structure ShiftGBPUSD is showing signs of a potential liquidity grab above a key high. Just above that liquidity area, there’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which adds confluence for a potential bearish reversal. Once the buy-side liquidity is swept, I’m anticipating a bearish Market Structure Shift (MSS). If price returns to the FVG after the shift, that zone would be a potential area for a short entry. Confluences: Liquidity above a key high FVG located just above the liquidity zone Expected bearish MSS after the sweep Looking for price to revisit the FVG to confirm a short setup with clean risk management.
by SAJILKVS
.GBP/USD M30 NEW ANALYSIS UPDATES **GBP/USD M30 Trade The pair is currently trading within a clear **descending channel**, marked by two parallel trendlines. Price action shows multiple rejections from the upper boundary of the channel, confirming the bearish structure. Notably, there are two marked highs (red arrows) where the price was rejected at the upper trendline — suggesting strong resistance. At the current level around **1.3235**, the price is approaching the upper trendline of the channel once again. If the price gets rejected here, it could be a potential **shorting opportunity** targeting the lower boundary of the channel around the **1.3170 – 1.3160** zone. However, if the price **breaks and closes above** the descending channel with strong bullish momentum, this would invalidate the short setup and could signal the beginning of a **trend reversal** or at least a short-term retracement upwards. --- **Trade Setup:** - **Short Entry:** Near 1.3235 (upon rejection confirmation) - **Stop Loss:** Above 1.3265 (above recent highs and channel breakout) - **Take Profit:** Around 1.3170 or the lower trendline **Alternate Scenario (Breakout):** - **Buy on Breakout:** On a strong candle close above the upper channel - **Stop Loss:** Below the breakout candle - **Take Profit:** Based on next resistance levels (e.g., 1.3280+)
by EA_Gold_Man
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 17, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims GBP/USD broke its seven-day winning streak, slipping to 1.3230 in the Asian session on Thursday after retreating from a six-month high of 1.3292 reached on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading above 99.60 at the time of writing, supported by stronger-than-expected consumer spending data for March. US retail sales rose 1.4% in March, beating February's 0.2% increase and the forecast of 1.3%. The Pound Sterling (GBP) is under pressure after softer than expected UK Consumer Price Index data for March. Core inflation rose 2.6% year-on-year, lower than the 2.7% expected and February's 2.8% reading. The core consumer price index, which excludes food, energy, alcohol and tobacco, rose 3.4% - in line with forecasts but slightly lower than the 3.5% previously. The monthly core CPI rose 0.3%, falling short of forecasts and the previous reading of 0.4%. Notably, services inflation - a key indicator for the Bank of England (BoE) - fell to 4.7% from 5.0%, reinforcing expectations of a potential rate cut at the Bank of England's May meeting. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3190, SL 1.3280, TP 1.3010
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD(20250417)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3214 Support and resistance levels: 1.3301 1.3268 1.3247 1.3180 1.3159 1.3127 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3247, consider buying, with the first target price of 1.3268 If the price breaks through 1.3214, consider selling, with the first target price of 1.3180
Short
by BraveTigercat
Sellers are in broad control - bearish in short term🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news: ➡️ Despite a weaker U.S. dollar, GBP/USD continues to trade within a narrow range of 1.3220–1.3230, giving up most of its intraday gains after reaching a multi-month high near 1.3300. The British pound's advance was capped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data released on Wednesday, which dampened bullish momentum. ➡️ Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar struggles to attract demand as recent headlines surrounding U.S.-China trade relations reignited fears of escalating tensions. According to a Wall Street Journal report late Tuesday, the Trump administration is planning to use ongoing tariff negotiations as leverage to pressure U.S. trade partners to reduce their dealings with China. Personal opinion: ➡️ The uptrend of this currency pair has slowed down, and DXY is showing signs of recovery today, so GBP/USD will have a short-term decline. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell GBP/USD 1.3220 – 1.3230 ❌SL: 1.1435 | ✅TP: 1.3180 – 1.3130 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. President Trump stated via Truth Social that he would personally participate in negotiations with Japan. - President Trump signed an executive order on "Ensuring National Security and Economic Resilience through Trade Expansion Act Section 232 Investigation of Processed Critical Minerals and Derived Products," which suggests the possibility of future tariffs on minerals. - The World Trade Organization (WTO) announced that global trade volume could decrease by up to 1.5% this year due to President Trump’s tariff policies. For the U.S., exports are expected to fall by 12.6% and imports by 9.6% compared to last year. - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated during a speech at the Economic Club of Chicago that “the larger-than-expected tariff hikes could create a dual impact of rising inflation and slowing growth.” Major Economic Events This Week + April 17: ECB Interest Rate Decision + April 18: Easter GBPUSD Chart Analysis After a sharp rally from the 1.27000 level, the pair formed a high around the 1.33000 level. As there is still no major resistance, the uptrend may continue in the short term, with a projected high around the 1.34000 level. However, a failure to break this resistance could lead to a short-term decline toward the 1.31500–1.32000 range.
Long
by shawntime_academy
GBPUSD will have a short period of range-bound oscillationIf the UK inflation data meets or exceeds expectations, and the US-UK trade negotiations continue to send positive signals, while the US dollar remains weak, the GBP/USD has the impetus for further upward movement. If the UK inflation data falls short of expectations, or the US dollar rebounds, the GBP/USD is likely to encounter resistance and correct near 1.3250. GBPUSD trading strategy buy @：1.32000-1.32200 sl 1.31300 tp 1.32750-1.32950 If my strategy is helpful to you, please give a thumbs-up for support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. 👉👉👉
Long
by Trading_Grorge
Reasons for the Appreciation of the British PoundImpact of Tariff Threats on U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Reasons for the Rise in U.S. Treasury Bond Yields 👉 The threat of tariffs has significantly increased market uncertainty, spreading panic among investors 😨. The U.S. government's fiscal financing needs have soared, resulting in persistent long-term supply pressure on U.S. Treasury bonds. Meanwhile, due to factors such as tariffs, the demand for these bonds has declined, straining market liquidity 😕. Tariff policies may also trigger inflation expectations. According to estimates by the Yale University Budget Lab, the inflation rate in the United States in 2025 may rise by more than 2% due to a series of tariff policies 📈. Under the shadow of inflation expectations, investors demand higher yields to safeguard against currency depreciation, driving up the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds 💰. Impact of Tariff Threats on the British Pound (GBP) Reasons for the Appreciation of the British Pound Under the threat of tariffs, the uncertain economic outlook of the United States has weakened the U.S. dollar's credit system 😕. Capital, driven by the pursuit of profit, seeks alternative and safe-haven assets when the U.S. dollar is unstable 💰. As one of the major foreign currencies, the British pound has attracted capital inflows, driving up its exchange rate 📈. 💰💰💰 GBPUSD💰💰💰 🎯 Buy@1.3200 - 1.3210 🎯 TP 1.3300 - 1.3350 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗 👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 🌟
Long
by PearlMichael
Cable seems ready to test $1.33As of 16 April cable was on track to complete its longest unbroken round of gains in nearly a year, having risen to seven-month highs. The outlook for rates doesn’t obviously favour either currency, with both the Fed and the Bank of England expected to cut at least twice more this year and possibly three or four times. Recent lower confidence in the dollar amid flip-flopping on tariffs seems unlikely to reverse soon as considerable capital has moved out of the USA and into other markets. As with other major forex pairs in recent weeks, the medium-term resistance isn’t obvious as a result of the strength of recent movement. September 2024’s $1.34 is a possible candidate but it’s questionable whether the price will continue directly there given the clear overbought signal from Bollinger Bands. The 50 SMA from Bands seems to be a clear dynamic support. It’s also important to monitor the weekly close: if this is below $1.32, consolidation or maybe a retracement lower seem more likely than continuation next week, but that depends on data (PMIs and retail sales) and sentiment too. This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
by Michael_Stark_Exness
GBPUSD Analysis 4/16 at 8:55amI entered long at 1.32273 on April 15, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3252, meaning I'm already up. Why I'm Staying Long Trend Confirmation: The daily chart still shows a strong uptrend, and moving averages confirm that GBP/USD has been trading above key levels. The RSI is at 62.76 on the daily timeframe, meaning bullish momentum is intact but not overly overbought. Short-Term Signals: On the hourly chart, some indicators suggest price may consolidate before continuing higher. Stochastic RSI has cooled off, which often signals a chance for price to stabilize before another move up. Aroon Oscillator (Hourly) at -78.57 shows fading bullish momentum in the short term, so I’m watching whether buyers step back in to push price higher. Support & Resistance Levels: 1.3250 is a key level—if price holds above it, GBP/USD could continue toward 1.3280–1.3300. If 1.3250 breaks, I’ll monitor 1.3220, which is close to my entry point, as the next potential support. Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD: UK Inflation (2.6%) missed expectations, meaning GBP might not be as strong as before. US Retail Sales beat expectations, reinforcing USD strength, which could put some pressure on GBP/USD. Fed Chair Powell speaks later today, which could inject volatility—if he’s hawkish, USD may strengthen and push GBP/USD lower. My Next Steps I’ll continue holding as long as price remains above 1.3250. If Powell’s speech creates sharp volatility, I might adjust my stop to secure profits. My target is 1.3280–1.3300, but I’m prepared to reassess based on price action. Overall, I’m feeling good about staying long, but I'm monitoring key levels closely to ensure I lock in gains while managing risk.
Long
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart displays a potential short trade setup for GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it's showing: Entry Point: The red downward arrow near the top indicates a suggested entry for a short trade (selling). Stop Loss: Positioned just above the recent high around the 1.32900 level, marked in red. Take Profit Targets: 1. First target at the previous support zone around 1.32400. 2. Second target slightly below, around 1.32050. 3. Final target near the bottom support zone around
Short
by money_magnet2
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 16 April 2025 - GBPUSD broke key resistance level 1.3200 - Likely to rise to the resistance level 1.3400 GBPUSD currency pair is rising sharply after the recent breakout of the key resistance level 1.3200, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave A at the start of April. The breakout of the resistance level 1.3200 accelerated the active impulse waves i and C – which belong to wave (B) from January. Given the bearish US dollar sentiment seen today coupled with sterling optimism, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3400 (target price for the completion of the active wave C).
Long
by FxProGlobal