USDGBP trade ideas
Market fall down 1. Weak Bearish Confirmation
Issue: The red arrow implies a confirmed downtrend, but the price action doesn’t show a strong breakdown—just a slight dip through a thin support zone.
Disruption: Without strong bearish candles or volume spikes, the breakdown could be a false move or liquidity grab before a reversal.
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2. Overconfidence in Double Bottom Reversal
Issue: The blue “W” pattern and green arrow suggest a possible double bottom, but no clear second bottom has formed yet.
Disruption: Assuming a reversal prematurely is risky. The price may continue dropping, invalidating the bullish reversal scenario.
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3. Target Placement Is Vague
Issue: The "Target" is placed arbitrarily along a horizontal line without referencing key resistance levels or technical confluences.
Disruption: Without support from Fibonacci, previous highs, or indicators, the target lacks reliability and could mislead trade planning.
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4. Lack of Volume Context
Issue: The volume histogram shows a spike during a previous down move, but no current volume analysis is integrated into the decision.
Disruption: Price action alone, especially on lower timeframes, is insufficient without volume confirmation to validate breakouts or breakdowns.
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5. No Risk Management Displayed
Issue: The analysis includes bullish and bearish paths but omits stop-loss levels or invalidation zones.
Disruption: Without clear invalidation, the trade becomes ambiguous and exposes the trader to unnecessary risk if price deviates unexpectedly.
GBPUSD – Momentum Fading at Supply Zone? Get Ready for a Move!The pair has been trading inside a key supply zone between 1.3400 – 1.3440, and is now showing signs of buyer exhaustion. After a strong rally off the 1.3264 demand zone, price is consolidating under resistance — a classic signal of potential distribution.
Key Technical Levels:
Supply Zone: 1.3400 – 1.3440
Resistance: 1.34398 (strong upper barrier)
Support 1: 1.33546 (previous breakout level)
Support 2 / Demand Zone: 1.32644 (orange zone – high-volume demand)
What to Watch:
Failure to break above 1.3440 confirms seller strength
Break below 1.33546 = confirmation of bearish momentum
Target zone: 1.3264 demand, which also aligns with past accumulation
Setup Idea:
Short opportunity if price retests and fails to close above the 1.3410–1.3430 range with a clean rejection candle. Eye a swing move toward 1.3354, then potentially 1.3264.
Risk Tip:
Manage position sizing carefully near high-volume nodes. Wait for strong bearish confirmation — no need to rush entries in low volatility.
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Events to Watch:
Major USD and GBP news lined up for the 23rd — expect volatility. Could be the catalyst for the next leg down.
Do you think GBPUSD is topping out? Or is it gearing up for another leg higher? Drop your analysis below!
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GU-Thu-22/05/25 TDA-Strong resistance DR 1.34325!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live update!
The daily resistance 1.34325 has been tested as
a strong resistance, price could possibly start to
fail and create a possibility for reversal setups.
On the other hand, with more bullish structure and
bullish closures we'll likely to continue higher towards
1.35000 and more.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a trading idea for GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Buy Entry ("buy now"): 1.34244
Stop Loss: 1.34047
Take Profit Targets:
First TP: 1.34636
Final TP: 1.34963
The setup suggests a bullish outlook with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The highlighted area in green represents the potential profit zone, and the red zone below the buy line represents the risk.
This looks like a classic bullish structure (possibly inverse head and shoulders or higher lows), aiming for continuation upwards.
Would you like an analysis of the chart's pattern or help setting up this trade on a platform like MetaTrader?
ARE SHORTS STILL ON? YES. GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
ARE SHORTS STILL ON? YES. GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GBPUSD...BUT BE CAREFUL, AWAIT BREAKS OF STRUCTURE TO CONFIRM BEARISH INTENT
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Market next target
Disruption: Bearish Counter-Analysis
1. Rising Wedge Pattern:
The price action resembles a rising wedge, not a bullish channel.
Rising wedges are typically bearish reversal patterns, especially after strong prior bullish moves.
2. Decreasing Volume:
Volume is tapering off as price climbs, which often signals weakening buying pressure.
Lack of strong volume near resistance suggests potential fake-out risk.
3. Bearish Divergence Risk:
Not visible here, but on RSI or MACD, rising price with slowing momentum often triggers bearish divergence.
This could suggest an imminent drop.
4. False Breakout Trap:
The highlighted resistance zone could trap late buyers.
A fake breakout followed by a strong red candle could trigger stop-loss hunts, dragging price sharply lower.
5. Macro Event Warning:
The U.S. flag at the bottom suggests high-impact news is due.
If USD strengthens, GBP/USD may reject the resistance and drop fast, invalidating the long setup.
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3400, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3568, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3287, a pullback support.
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Chart AnalysisGBP/USD Institutional Bias & Scalping Zones (London-NY Transition)
This chart outlines my active directional bias and high-probability sniper entry zones on GBP/USD.
🔍 Bias: Bullish
H1/H4 structure is bullish with a clean BOS above 1.3440
Price is respecting higher lows and breaking previous internal structure
Momentum is supported by RSI above 60 on both H1 and M15
📍 Key Levels
Buy-side liquidity rests above 1.3465–1.3485 zone
OB and FVG reaction zones marked on M5/M15 for sniper entries
Current price is consolidating just under a sweep zone — expecting expansion toward external liquidity
🎯 Trade Plan
Buy Entry: After sweep + bullish BOS on M1/M5
SL: Below 1.3420
TP1: 1.3475
TP2: 1.3490 (external high)
R:R: 2.5 to 3.5 depending on entry refinement
I will monitor price action during the London and NY opens, adjusting entries based on liquidity grabs and volume shifts. This setup avoids hedging and focuses on clean directional conviction supported by institutional patterns.
GBPUSD Bearish Setup📌 Current Market Structure
Liquidity Sweep + Rejection in Premium Zone:
Price tapped into the major supply zone (red box) sitting above the last high.
Liquidity above previous highs was swept, and now price is rejecting → a classic buy-side liquidity grab setup.
Bearish Rising Wedge Structure Broken:
Price broke the inner rising wedge (red trendlines) to the downside and is now retesting the supply zone.
Breakdown aligns with a potential reversal entry or at least a bearish pullback.
Higher Timeframe Supply Zone:
The red zone coincides with the 1.34782 resistance, which price failed to break cleanly above.
This zone holds institutional footprints → possible smart money distribution.
🧠 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias Confirmed)
✅ Entry: Already activated inside the red supply zone.
📍 Stop Loss: Just above the red box (around 1.3480).
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 1.33281 → minor demand zone and previous consolidation.
TP2: 1.32870 → previous BOS retest zone.
TP3: 1.32543 → deep demand zone and trendline intersection.
TP4: 1.31759–1.31554 → external liquidity resting below structure (long-term target).
🔻 Risk-to-Reward: Excellent potential up to 1:5+ RR if TP4 hits.
🔄 Reversal Signals Confirmation
Watch for:
Bearish engulfing candles with rising volume inside the red zone (VSA style).
Displacement candle or M5–M15 BOS confirming internal structure shift.
⚠️ Invalidation Zone
If price closes a 1H candle above 1.3480, setup is invalidated.
Watch out for possible manipulation during the vertical blue lines (likely high-impact news).
🔮 Forecast:
Expecting a mid- to long-term retracement or reversal back to the 1.31700s – 1.32800s region, based on the current rejection from premium supply and completion of a liquidity sweep.
GBPUSD: Will DXY Bounce Back? |GBPUSD Swing Sell|The GBPUSD pair is currently rallying towards a potential selling zone, where sellers could push the price down. However, the main concern is the current state of the DXY, which clearly indicates another sell-off and could lead to another lower low. Please remember to use risk management while trading forex pairs.
There are three take-profit targets that can be set according to your trading plan. This analysis doesn’t guarantee that the price will move as described.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPUSD I Technical and Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Is GBP/USD's 1.3470 level a top or a new starting point?The GBP/USD pair retreated after hitting a three-year high of 1.3470, trading at 1.3405 during the European session, with daily gains narrowing to 0.1%. Although the hotter-than-expected UK April inflation data sparked concerns about a policy pivot by the Bank of England (BoE), the US dollar remained under pressure due to a sovereign rating downgrade, providing support for the British pound. The market is currently reassessing the divergence in policy paths between the UK and the US. With bullish and bearish factors intertwined, the pound may maintain a high-range consolidation in the short term. In the near term, the 1.33-1.35 range is likely to be the focal point of multi-party and short-party contention. Traders need to closely monitor the UK retail sales data and US PMI data to be released on Friday, as evidence of economic resilience from either side could break the current equilibrium.
In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
Pound steady as UK inflation surgesThe British pound posted gains earlier but has failed to consolidate. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3395, up 0.03% on the day. The pound has gained 1.1% this week and earlier today rose as high as 1.3468, its highest level since Feb. 2022.
UK inflation jumped to 3.5% y/y in April, up sharply from 2.6% in March and above the market estimate of 3.3%. This was the highest annual inflation rate since Jan. 2024 and was driven by higher prices for transport, housing and energy. Monthly, inflation soared to 1.2%, up from 0.3% and above the market estimate of 1.1%.
The news wasn't much better from core CPI, which rose to 3.8% from 3.4% and was higher than the market estimate of 3.6%. This was the highest reading since April 2024. Monthly, the core rate jumped to 1.4%, up from 0.5% and above the market estimate of 1.2%.
The rise in inflation can be partially attributed to the increase in the energy price cap and the Easter holidays, but is a disappointment for the government and for the Bank of England, as inflation had been trending lower.
The BoE will be concerned by the rise in core inflation, which will complicate plans to further reduce rates. The BoE trimmed the cash rate by a quarter-point earlier this month by 0.25%, but rates are still higher than other major central banks, with the exception of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve is taking a wait-and-see attitude before it lowers rates again, especially with the uncertainty swirling around US tariff policy. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said this week that even reduced tariffs would be "definitely economically significant" and said he favored one rate cut this year.
GBPUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.3427 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.3356
Safe Stop Loss - 1.3467
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Market next move
Bearish Disruption to GBP/USD Analysis:
1. Support Weakness:
The price action within the red box shows multiple bearish candles, suggesting the zone is under pressure.
A break and close below this box could invalidate the bullish thesis.
2. Exhaustion Signals:
After a sharp rally, the market often consolidates or corrects. The current stall near 1.3400–1.3420 could indicate buying exhaustion.
The latest candle shows a strong bearish push into the support, hinting at potential for deeper decline.
3. Decreasing Volume:
Recent green candles had falling volume, which shows lack of conviction by buyers.
Meanwhile, red (bearish) candles show rising volume, signaling increased selling pressure.
4. Failed Breakout Setup:
If this bounce fails and price closes below 1.3380, this will form a false breakout or bull trap, triggering stop hunts and aggressive shorting.
5. Macroeconomic Headwinds:
GBP is sensitive to UK data and BoE policy. Any hawkish Fed or weak UK numbers may lead to a USD rebound, pushing GBP/USD lower.
GBPUSD – Short Bias in PlayGBPUSD – Short Bias in Play
🔻 Entered short at market open
🎯 Aiming for both levels marked (≈1.34053 & 1.33701)
⏳ Plan to hold days if needed
Price popped into resistance at 1.34424 and has already rolled over. My targets is 1.34054.
📝 Not financial advice—trade responsibly!
💡 All setups are replayable on TradingView for confirmation.
#GBPUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis