Gu(4h)4h structure looks bearish.
Alines with the daily structure.
Will be looking for sells to clear thd buyside liquidity.
Target will be 1.2600.
USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD... Sell chart pattren...MY short position on GBP/USD starting at 1.28000 looks like it's got some potential, especially with those target points at 1.25500 and 1.22700. To really dig into this, let's break down the technical setup.
First off, the current trend in GBP/USD seems to be bearish, which aligns with your short position. If we look at the charts, particularly the 4-hour and daily charts, we can see some key levels that might influence the price movement.
*Key Levels to Watch*
1. *Support Levels*: These are crucial for understanding where the price might bounce back or break through. Your first target at 1.25500 looks like it could be a significant support level based on recent price action. If the price breaks through this level, it might head towards your second target at 1.22700.
2. *Resistance Levels*: For your short position, the key resistance level to watch would be around the entry point of 1.28000. If the price starts to climb back towards this level, it might indicate a reversal in the trend, which would be a signal to reconsider your position.
*Indicators*
- *Moving Averages (MA)*: A bearish crossover in the short-term and long-term moving averages (e.g., 50-period and 200-period MAs) could reinforce the bearish trend, supporting your short position.
- *Relative Strength Index (RSI)*: An RSI below 50 often indicates a bearish trend. If the RSI is hovering around 30-40, it might suggest that the pair is oversold, potentially leading to a bounce-back or consolidation phase.
*Economic News and Events*
Keeping an eye on economic indicators from both the UK and the US is crucial. Events like interest rate decisions, GDP growth rates, and employment data can significantly impact the GBP/USD pair. For instance:
- *UK Economic Data*: Weak economic data could further depress the GBP, supporting your short position.
- *US Economic Data*: Strong US economic data could strengthen the USD, also supporting your short position on GBP/USD.
*Risk Management*
Given the potential volatility, setting a stop loss is a good call. Consider placing it slightly above a significant resistance level to limit potential losses if the trend reverses. Regularly monitoring the trade and adjusting your stop loss as the price moves in your favor can also help manage risk.
*Next Steps*
- *Technical Analysis Tools*: Utilize tools like Fibonacci retracement levels, Bollinger Bands, and the MACD indicator to get a more comprehensive view of potential price movements.
- *Stay Informed*: Keep up-to-date with market news and economic calendars to anticipate potential market-moving events.
Do you want to dive deeper into any specific technical indicators or discuss potential scenarios based on upcoming economic events?
GBPUSD INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 1.2765GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be a corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 1.2765 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
1.2935 – initial resistance level
1.2985 and 1.3026 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 1.2765 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 1.2765 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.2688, with further support at 1.2632 and 1.2600.
Conclusion
GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.2765. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.2765 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GU-Mon-7/04/25 Top down analysis-Huge liquidity grab on GU!Analysis done directly on the chart
You don't have to be a genius to understand
macro economically what's happening in the market.
Use economic calendar, FinancialJuice to stay up to date.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
The Day AheadKey Data Releases (Market Moving Potential)
US – February Consumer Credit
Insight into consumer borrowing trends – potential impact on USD and interest rate expectations.
China – March Foreign Reserves
Watch for signals on capital flows and yuan (CNY) stability.
Japan – February Labor Cash Earnings, Leading & Coincident Indexes
Wage data affects inflation outlook – key for JPY and BoJ policy watchers.
Germany – February Industrial Production & Trade Balance
Vital for assessing Eurozone growth momentum – may impact EUR.
Eurozone – February Retail Sales
Consumer activity in focus – important for ECB policy direction.
Central Bank Watch
Bank of Canada – Business Outlook Survey
Could move CAD if sentiment suggests rate shift ahead.
ECB – Cipollone Speech
Monitor for clues on rate path or balance sheet policy – relevant to EUR trades.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD BUY Well let's try another idea for today, i can see gbpusd make 3rd wave up to make HnS pattern and then massive sell if powell doesnt cut rates(emergency) , Monday is scary day and there is chance to lose trades as there is no structure yet , let's see if this plays out !
3 RRR
GL Traders
Not advice !
Bullish Rectangle of CableChart Shapes Work Very Well When News and Financial Indicators also Confirm Them. You See Here a Bullish Rectangle in GBPUSD Day Chart. For Long Time Holders It is A Good Trade Time.
GBP/USD Softens in Risk-Off TradeThe GBP/USD pair dipped 0.11% to $1.289 in Asian trading, pressured by global recession fears and rising U.S.-China trade tensions. While expectations of Fed rate cuts have weighed on the dollar, the pound remains weak amid economic uncertainty and an unclear Bank of England outlook. With no strong catalysts, GBP/USD may stay vulnerable, especially if risk aversion intensifies.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3000, resistance levels are at 1.3050 and 1.3120. Support is at 1.2900, followed by 1.2850 and 1.2800.
GBPUSD-(Close Door Analysis) A simple chart Analysis.Defining the Entry and the 2 Exit Strategy(TP & SL)..You can comment in the section below and Follow for more Video Analysis..ENJOY!!
GBPUSD OUTLOOKGBPUSD Outlook:
This week, I'm leaning towards a bearish bias on GBPUSD, following a clean break below the recent consolidation range, which hints at distribution.
However, I'm keeping a close eye on the 1.2827 level.
If price retraces and holds around that zone, I’ll be open to considering buy opportunities, targeting the 1.29232 area.
In summary:
My primary outlook is to look for selling opportunities this week.
But I’m flexible and ready to pivot if the market presents a valid buy setup around the 1.2827 level.
Patience and adaptability will be key. 👊
GBPUSD Technical Analysis by TradingDONThe market might have finished its liquidity grab below recent lows—the so-called “sweep” near 1.2900—and could be ready to bounce back if the broader timeframe stays bullish.
1. Entry Signal:
A clear 1-hour close above 1.2950–1.2960 (and perhaps a retest) would indicate that buyers are stepping back in.
2. Entry Idea:
Go long if the price breaks and holds above the short-term structure or if it retests an H1 FVG/demand zone around 1.2900–1.2920, forming bullish reversal candles.
3. Stop Loss:
Place your stop below the recent low or the FVG/demand zone (around 1.2880–1.2900). If the price continues dropping below this level, your bullish thesis is invalidated.
4. Take Profit Targets:
Aim for the upper FVG near 1.3000–1.3050, with partial profits taken at key psychological levels (like 1.3000) or previous swing highs.
5. Rationale:
If the higher timeframe trend remains bullish, the current dip might just be a “discount” opportunity for smart money to load up on longs. Reclaiming key structure levels on the H1 chart would confirm that bullish momentum is returning.
GBPUSD → False break of weekly support + DXY fallFX:GBPUSD is going through a shakeout phase relative to the trading range. Last week was very challenging in terms of unpredictable moves and volatility.
A strong NFP report on Friday allowed the dollar to strengthen, but the reaction from the opening of the new trading week has already exhausted itself as traders are still watching the tariff war, which simply crashed the stock, futures markets.
Technically, the currency pair on this background can win out, as the pound sterling within the ascending trend, the fall of the dollar can continue the growth phase.
On the chart, the price forms a false breakdown of the support conglomerate, which in general may push the price up due to the imbalance of liquidity and interests of money moving away from the dollar
Resistance levels: 1.2932, 1.3010
Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2811
If the bulls will keep the price above 1.2868 and will be able to consolidate above 1.2932, in the short term the market can show growth up to the next target - resistance 1.3010.
Regards R. Linda!
GBP/USD Holds Support at $1.2860FenzoFx—GBP/USD downtrend eased at $1.2860. The bearish outlook remains valid as long as the price is below the $1.2960 resistance level, backed by the 50-period moving average.
However, bears must close below $1.2860 for the downtrend to resume.
GBPUSD selloffWe wait for this retest and then hope for best, overrall markets should still head downwards as Tariffs are in play, but you always never know what will happen, this will be my play today , I think it was called ''silver bullet'' pattern.
2.7 RRR
GL Traders
Not advice !
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 MONDAY 7TH APRIL 2024GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 MONDAY 7TH APRIL 2024
First and full most, It looks good! However, it's important to approach with caution... much like always.
Pay attention to the previous weekly closure. Yes is it showing a rejection BUT in terms of us always expecting a wick fill prior trading in the opposing direction, Would an immediate short make sense?
We need to see clear price action showing us that it is not interesting in retracting the previous weekly wick with clear bearish movement.
More on the set up descriptions later in terms of text but I trust the chart analysis speaks 1000 words.
FRGNT X
check the trendIt is expected that a trend change will form in the current support area and we will see the beginning of an upward trend. If the price crosses the support area, the continuation of the downward trend to the specified support levels will be possible.
GBP/USD Technical Outlook – April 7, 2025GBP/USD Technical Outlook – April 7, 2025 📊
🔹 Current Price: 1.29116
🔹 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
📌 Bullish Scenario (Primary & Alternate Paths):
🟢 Price is approaching a minor resistance at 1.29144, and a break above could lead to a push toward:
📍 1.29620 – Short-term resistance
📍 1.30295 – Key target zone
📌 Demand Zones (Support):
🟩 1.29144 - 1.29307 – Retest zone (potential bullish continuation)
🟩 1.27850 - 1.28350 – Major support for rebound if price rejects near-term structure
🛠️ Game Plan:
✅ Look for confirmations (bullish engulfing or breakout retest) around 1.29144 for long setups.
❗ If price breaks below both demand zones, reassess for bearish pressure.
#GBPUSD #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #FXFOREVER #SmartMoneyConcepts #DemandZone #SupplyAndDemand #15MAnalysis
GBP/USD 4-Hour Timeframe AnalysisGBP/USD 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
The GBP/USD pair has been showing a bullish uptrend, influenced by several key factors. We have identified 1.30200 as a minor key resistance level and 1.28600 as a major key support level, both of which are critical in shaping the price action.
Additionally, we have observed a large consolidation phase, indicating that the buying momentum is starting to wane. The price recently broke through the minor resistance level, creating a false breakout that likely triggered pending buy orders from retail traders. This false breakout could potentially lead to a reversal, as the buying pressure diminishes, suggesting a possible shift towards a bearish movement.
More recently, the price broke below the major support at 1.28600, triggering sell positions among retail traders. However, the price did not continue towards the next minor support level, which indicates that market makers may be attempting a liquidity hunt. As a result, the price is now within a liquidity zone, and we expect the potential liquidation of sellers who have placed their stop-loss orders within this zone.
The recent breakout at 1.28600 has resulted in a Change of Character (CHOCH), signaling a shift in market structure from a bullish trend to a potential bearish phase. This change in character could mark the beginning of a longer-term bearish trend.
However, if the price continues to break above the 1.30200 resistance, a continuation of the bullish trend may occur, and we would need to reassess the market conditions.
Trade Plan: Our strategy is to wait for a clear liquidity buildup before the price retests and potentially breaks the major support level again. We plan to enter a Sell Stop order at 1.28680, with a Stop Loss at 1.29430 (just above the liquidity zone) and a Take Profit target at 1.26820, the next significant support level.
Recent Negative Developments Impacting GBP:
April 4, 2025: The British Pound experienced significant declines against major currencies amid a broader market selloff, largely fueled by escalating trade tensions between China and the United States. This has increased market volatility, prompting a flight to safer assets. (Source: Reuters)
April 2, 2025: U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a global tariff strategy, including a baseline 10% levy on all imports, has further strained the British Pound. Although the UK was spared the steepest tariffs, the 10% levy still impacts approximately £60 billion of annual exports to the U.S., raising concerns about potential economic repercussions for the UK.
These negative developments have added downward pressure on the British Pound, reinforcing the bearish outlook for GBP/USD.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
GBPUSD Possible Trade idea GBPUSD H4
After a Bullish BOS, Currency Pros Indicator can identify
Discounted price for possible long positions
targeting the newly created swing high.
Strange enough EU did this before making a new high, but GU made the new high first then went for this LQ grab.
Makes it hard to have confidence on the trade but looks valid.
GBPUSD(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary: 1.2953
Support and resistance levels
1.3211
1.3114
1.3052
1.2854
1.2791
1.2695
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.2953, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3052
If the price breaks through 1.2854, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2791
Markets in Turmoil and Correlations breaking - SELL GBPUSDAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
GBPUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off the127.2% Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.2796, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2 Fibonacci extension
Our take profit is set at 1.2883, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2675, an overlap support.
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