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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

GBPUSD needs a catalyst. Could UK inflation be that?For now, FX_IDC:GBPUSD is struggling to overcome a key resistance barrier, at around 1.3440. Could the UK inflation numbers help move the pair? Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:GBPUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
GBP/USD Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum FadesGBP/USD Trading Plan – May 20th | Retracement or Reversal? Stay Sharp as Momentum Fades 🌐 Macro Overview GBP/USD is currently influenced by several macroeconomic forces: USD strength is returning, supported by stable US data (Retail Sales, Jobless Claims), leading the market to delay expectations of a Fed rate cut. The British Pound is under pressure as the Bank of England (BoE) is not expected to raise rates further amid slowing domestic growth and easing inflation. Simultaneously, US-China trade tensions and US debt concerns are keeping market sentiment cautious. The pair is forming a bullish flag structure, but signs of exhaustion are emerging. 📉 Technical Analysis (2H Chart) GBP/USD is moving within a rising channel. However: 1.3433 remains a strong resistance, aligning with a local top — breakout potential is limited in the short term. A rising wedge pattern is forming — watch for a potential trap followed by a sharp sell-off. EMA13 and EMA34 are diverging, signaling distribution and potential reversal ahead. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch Major Resistance: 🔺 1.3433 – recent swing high and potential double top 🔺 1.3355 – mid-range resistance and EMA34 convergence (H2) Key Support: 🔻 1.3303 – key FIBO + trendline intersection 🔻 1.3251 – medium-term bullish structure support 🔻 1.3174 – previous swing low and strategic BUY ZONE 🎯 Trading Scenarios 📍 Scenario A – False Break and Rejection from Resistance Entry (SELL): 1.3430 – 1.3433 (after bearish confirmation) Stop Loss: 1.3460 Take Profits: 1.3355 → 1.3303 → 1.3250 📍 Scenario B – Breakdown and Failed Retest Entry (SELL): 1.3303 – 1.3310 (after support break and retest) Stop Loss: 1.3340 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3174 📍 Scenario C – Deep Buy from Strong Support Entry (BUY): 1.3170 – 1.3174 Stop Loss: 1.3140 Take Profits: 1.3251 → 1.3300 ⚠️ Key Reminders: Stay cautious ahead of key US releases this week (PMI, FOMC Minutes), which may trigger high volatility. Avoid FOMO and respect SL/TP discipline — especially near potential trap zones. 📌 Follow for intraday updates and real-time trade setups as the structure evolves. Flexibility is key in this market.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD Analysis – Bearish Setup Into Key ResistanceGBP/USD is trading into a key multi-week resistance zone between 1.3360 and 1.3413. The pair has failed to break this area multiple times, and current price action shows signs of compression and hesitation. With elevated UK inflation limiting BoE easing flexibility and renewed USD support following bond yield spikes, this setup offers a compelling bearish opportunity. Clean downside targets lie at 1.3177, 1.3016, and potentially 1.2890. The trade remains valid unless price breaks and holds above 1.3413. 🔍 Technical Analysis Structure: Price is testing a significant resistance zone (1.3360–1.3413) that’s held since early April. Bearish trendline from May highs remains intact. A descending structure is forming with lower highs and failed breakouts. Support Levels to Watch: 1.3177 – Previous structure low 1.3016 – Strong horizontal support 1.2890 – March swing low and fib extension target Confluence: EUR/USD overlay shows rejection at similar highs, reinforcing risk-off dollar strength Price failing to hold above fib retracement levels from prior swings 🌍 Fundamental Context 🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP): UK inflation is climbing again (expected 3.0% CPI for April), delaying BoE's ability to cut further. BoE’s Pill has pushed back on rapid easing, citing persistent service inflation. UK-EU trade agreement provides medium-term support, but short-term upside appears priced in. 🇺🇸 U.S. Dollar (USD): Despite Moody’s downgrade, U.S. yields are rising, supporting USD demand. Trump’s tariff threats have injected global risk-off tones, lifting the dollar as a safe haven. Fed remains cautious — no rate cuts expected soon. 🎯 Trade Setup Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near 1.3360–1.3413 resistance (wait for rejection candle confirmation) Targets: First: 1.3177 Second: 1.3016 Third: 1.2890 Invalidation: A daily close above 1.3413 would invalidate the bearish thesis ⚠️ Risk & Management Tips Don’t short blindly into resistance — wait for strong wick or bearish engulfing candle. Watch upcoming UK inflation data or Fed commentary for macro triggers. Avoid over-leveraging: false breakouts near highs are common. 🧭 Conclusion GBP/USD is coiling near a powerful resistance area. A confirmed rejection opens the door for a multi-leg downside move into 1.30 and below. As long as price holds beneath 1.3413, the risk-reward profile favors sellers. Patience and precision are key at this stage.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
The price has experienced multiple declines after reaching!GBP/USD Daily Market Analysis The GBP/USD currency pair is currently facing rejection from a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Daily (1D) chart. Historically, the price has experienced multiple declines after reaching this zone, often reacting similarly upon contact. Recently, the market has swept liquidity above its previous highs and is now showing signs of a downward movement. However, it's important to note that there is a significant bullish Fair Value Gap located on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe, which has been illustrated on the chart. If the market breaks below this 4H bullish FVG, it could indicate a continuation of bearish momentum. In such a scenario, we may expect the price to move further downward toward the marked liquidity zones—and potentially even lower if those levels are breached. This situation calls for close monitoring and further confirmation before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer : Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before entering any trades. This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
by Peter_Wade
Pound Climbs Above $1.336 on Strong UK DataThe British pound rallied past $1.336, reaching a one-week high and inching closer to its April peak of $1.34. The move was fueled by renewed optimism after the UK and EU reached a comprehensive post-Brexit agreement covering energy cooperation, defense partnerships, and fisheries rights through 2038. Supporting the pound further, recent UK data exceeded expectations. GDP rose 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% annually, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut interest rates aggressively. Although rate reductions remain on the table, the strength of the economic rebound gives policymakers more flexibility. Despite some concerns about rising unemployment and slowing wage growth, the upbeat GDP print has helped offset fears of an impending recession. Meanwhile, the US dollar continued to weaken following Moody’s credit downgrade, providing additional support to the pound. GBP/USD now faces resistance at 1.3450, with higher targets at 1.3550 and 1.3700. Support is located at 1.3160, followed by 1.3000 and 1.2960.
by ChartMage
Is GBP/USD rally sustainable ahead of this weeks key CPI data?The GBP/USD pair has shown continued strength this week, briefly retesting the 1.3400 level for the second time in as many weeks. However, this zone remains a strong resistance area, and bulls have struggled to establish a sustained breakout above it. During the Asian session this morning, the pair saw some profit-taking, leading to a retracement toward 1.3350, as traders turn cautious ahead of key UK and UK macroeconomic data. Markets are particularly focused on the upcoming UK core CPI data, where expectations point to a YoY rise to 3.7% from 3.4% previously. A hotter than expected print could reinforce the case for the BOJ to delay rate cuts. Also on the radar are the S&P Global PMIs for May. Forecasts suggest a decline in both manufacturing and services activity, which, if confirmed, may reignite concerns over slowing economic momentum in the U.S., possibly offsetting any hawkish interpretation of inflation data. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 1.3400 (critical barrier), 1.3450 Support: 1.3350, 1.3300 Market sentiment remains data driven, and the pair may continue to trade with elevated volatility through the week.
by Blueberry
GBP/USD suggesting bearish correction down to the 1.3140–1.3110Current Price Levels: Sell: 1.3329 Buy: 1.3339 2. Technical Analysis: Support Zone: Clearly marked in red between approximately 1.2800 and 1.3049, showing a strong historical buy interest zone. Resistance Zone: Highlighted in green near the 1.3455 level, indicating a potential price ceiling or sell zone. Trend Line: A diagonal blue line shows the overall bullish trend during the period analyzed, acting as dynamic support. Previous Rally: The large circled area illustrates a strong bullish move from support to resistance, confirming trend strength. Bearish Setup: Entry Zone: Red-shaded area near resistance around 1.3392, where a potential short (sell) entry is planned. Target Zone: Green-shaded box with an estimated downside target, suggesting a bearish correction down to the 1.3140–1.3110 area. 3. Forecast: The analyst anticipates a rejection at resistance with a subsequent price drop toward the target area, as marked by the downward arrow. This is a classic reversal trade setup based on price action at key zones. 4. Visual Enhancements: Color-coded zones for clarity. Labeling of key price levels and zones. Date and time markers (bottom axis) for temporal reference. This chart is part of a well-structured trading analysis aiming to identify a high-probability short opportunity on GBP/USD based on resistance rejection and potential trend exhaustion.
Short
by Johnson67
GBP/USD Rejected From Supply – Is a Bearish Move Brewing?The GBP/USD pair is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from the 1.33294 supply zone. Price failed to sustain above this key resistance and is now pulling back, suggesting potential bearish continuation. Current Price: 1.33084 Timeframe: 1H Indicator: LuxAlgo Supply and Demand Key Levels: Resistance/Supply: 1.33294 Support Zones: Minor: 1.32526 Major: 1.31623 (demand zone highlighted in orange) Bearish Confluence: Price rejected from visible supply range Lower highs forming after rejection Momentum fading after a strong bullish push Upcoming USD news could trigger further downside Trade Idea: If price breaks below 1.32526, watch for bearish continuation toward 1.31623 demand zone. Entry: Break + retest of 1.32526 Stop: Above 1.33294 Target: 1.31623 (major demand) What to Watch: Reaction at 1.32526 – if it holds, bulls might step back in Clean break confirms bearish bias Fundamentals: Monitor U.S. economic data releases (red folders!) Comment your view: Is this just a pullback, or are bears back in control? Follow for daily price action setups with Supply & Demand clarity. #GBPUSD #Forex #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #FXTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CableAnalysis #TradingView #BreakdownSetup
Short
by FrankFx14
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a trading setup for GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, and it appears to be based on a bullish reversal pattern, possibly a double bottom or a rectangle consolidation breakout strategy. Key Details: Entry Point: Marked by the green arrow, suggesting a buy signal at the bounce from support. Stop Loss: Positioned just below the recent support level (bottom of the green box). Take Profit: Positioned at a level that mirrors the height of the rectangle pattern from the breakout point, indicating a measured move. Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the green “Take Profit” area is much larger than the red “Stop Loss” area. Technical Highlights: Blue arrows trace the price movement forming a V-shape recovery, followed by a consolidation in a range (green box). Multiple orange circles highlight the points where price tested support and resistance levels, confirming the pattern. A
Long
by money_magnet2
GU| Patiently Watching This Setup Cook4H gave me the (BOS) break of structure to the downside - that's my bearish intent on the higher timeframe. Price could climb into the supply zone above before delivering that reversal. Dropped to the 30M, structure is still bullish for now, showing strong momentum. Now it's a waiting game... Do we dip to take out that sell-side liquidity (SSL) for a clean buy setup first? Or... are we already mitigating the 4H supply and about to print a bearish shift on 30M? Either way, I'm letting price tell me the truth. No chasing. No guessing. Just real logic with structure & inducement flow. Stay sharp. Bless Trading!
by Juicemannn
1
Bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3323 1st Support: 1.3275 1st Resistance: 1.3402 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3319, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.3434, a swing high resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.3233, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu