GU-Fri-4/04/25 Top down analysis-Can GU close weekly above WR?Analysis done directly on the chart
Dollar strength is weakening, wait for NFP
release is not a bad option.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
USDGBP trade ideas
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?THE Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3010
1st Support: 1.2881
1st Resistance: 1.3207
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Gu outlook (15min)15 min bearish.
Price confirms daily and 4h pullback.
Price formed a bearish flag pattern good confirmation for sells.
Gu outlook (4h)4h is also bullish.
We can see price has already begun the pullback phase.
I'm anticipating price to reach 1.3000 level before continuing the overall trend
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 4, 2025 GBPUSDGBP/USD briefly broke above 1.32000 for the first time in six months on Thursday and climbed to fresh highs amid widespread weakness in the US Dollar. The Trump administration's reciprocal tariffs and flat tariffs knocked the legs out from under market sentiment, despite a delayed reaction to the tariff announcements that followed after US markets closed on Wednesday.
A fairly quiet calendar of economic publications is expected in the UK this week. However, investor attention will be focused on Friday's release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. This data could have a major impact on market sentiment as the US economy enters a post-tariff phase. The March employment report is predicted to be a marker of sorts for the impact of the Trump administration's trade policies.
In addition, the ISM's US services business activity index (PMI) for March, released on Thursday, added to the negativity by falling to 50.8, its lowest level in nine months. The drop in the index was one of the fastest since the pandemic began. Weakening business activity and declining consumer optimism began before the tariffs went into effect, and are unlikely to normalize quickly anytime soon.
President Donald Trump approved the imposition of a 10 percent duty on all imports starting April 5, and the counter tariffs took effect on April 9. Analysts at Fitch Ratings believe U.S. GDP growth will be lower than the March forecast, which had previously been adjusted downward. The agency also warned that the effect of the tariff policy may affect the decisions of the Federal Reserve: the Fed may suspend the easing of monetary policy while it assesses the impact of duties on inflation and labor indicators.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.30900, SL 1.30200, TP 1.32000
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Going Up Like TariffsI’m not entirely sure, but something(or some news) tells me GBPUSD is heading up like tariffs – quick and sharp. If not, guess it got delayed at the border. Profit if I’m right, lesson if I’m wrong!
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish fall from 50% FiboBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3143, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3048, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3206, a swing-high resistance level.
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GBPUSD(20250404)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3092
Support and resistance levels
1.3325
1.3238
1.3181
1.3003
1.2946
1.2859
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3181, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3238
If the price breaks through 1.3092, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3003
Falling towards pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3004
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2874
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3208
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Elliott Wave Mapping the Next MoveThis GBP/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis.
Wave (1) and (2): The market had an impulsive bullish movement in Wave 1, followed by a corrective Wave 2.
Wave (3): A strong bullish move with momentum.
Wave (4): A corrective phase, forming a triangle pattern (a-b-c-d-e), which suggests the market is preparing for another impulsive leg.
Entry Confirmation: A breakout above the triangle pattern.
First Target: 1.31457 (Fibonacci 0.382)
Second Target: 1.32105 (Fibonacci 0.5)
IDEA FOR GBP/USD NEXT WEEKGBP/USD 1H - Now that we have seen price trade us up and into the Supply Zone above, this may encourage price to take a move back to the downside, given enough Supply has been introduced.
I would like to see price now trade us back up and into the Order Block that has been left behind, just to clear any remaining orders to the upside before the down move. In order for us to enter we want further confirmation.
This will come from price trading up and into the Supply Zone marked out, breaking structure fractally as displayed above. This would confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next impulse taking us lower.
Once we have this, we can then begin looking for areas to enter in short on this market. I will want to see price pullback a final time more fractally to give us the opportunity to enter, and illustration of this can be seen above.
Skeptic | GBP/USD Deep Dive: Major Trend, Trade Setups!Hey guys, welcome back! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Let’s dive into GBP/USD , a pair that’s been in a strong uptrend and has the potential for another solid price jump. We’ll break it down across multiple timeframes , do a deep analysis , and at the end, I’ll share high-probability long & short setups with clear triggers—so stick around!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
As you can see, GBP/USD has been respecting an uptrend channel , reacting well to both the upper, lower, and midlines —a key characteristic of a strong trend. Each time price makes a jump, it enters a range box (re-accumulation phase) before breaking out to continue the trend.
Currently, we’re inside another range between 1.28720 - 1.29883 . A breakout in either direction can give us a trading opportunity, but given the major trend is bullish , I prefer trading in the direction of the trend unless we get a clear reversal signal.
4H Timeframe Analysis
The uptrend channel remains intact , and we’re still within the Consolidation phase . We recently saw a fake breakout , which could mean that the next breakout might happen with stronger momentum.
Trade Setups
✅ Long Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed breakout of 1.29883
- Confirmation: RSI breaking above 65.33 (which acts as an overbought signal in this case)
- Preferred Order: Stop Buy above resistance to catch momentum
❌ Short Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed break of 1.28682
- Risk Management: Since this is against the trend, take quick profits and use a tighter SL to manage risk efficiently.
What are your thoughts on GBP/USD? Drop your opinions in the comments! Let’s grow together, not alone. 🚀🔥
Cable Is Trading Impulsively HigherCable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three.
In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as expected, but it can target 1.32, so be aware of a new red higher degree wave (4) correction before the bullish trend for wave (5) resumes. Ideal support is at 1.29 – 1.28 area.
EDUCATION: The $5 Drop: How Trump’s Tariffs Sent Oil TumblingOil markets don’t move in a vacuum. Politics, trade wars, and global economic shifts all play a role in price action. Case in point: the recent $5 drop in oil prices following Trump’s latest tariff announcement.
What Happened?
Markets reacted swiftly to Trump’s renewed push for tariffs, targeting key trading partners. The result? A ripple effect that sent oil prices tumbling as traders anticipated lower global demand. The logic is simple—higher tariffs slow trade, slowing trade weakens economies, and weaker economies use less oil.
Why It Matters to Traders
For traders, this kind of volatility is both an opportunity and a risk. Sharp price drops like this shake out weak hands while rewarding those who position themselves with clear strategies. If you trade crude oil, understanding the macro picture—beyond just supply and demand—can make or break your positions.
The Next Move
Is this just a knee-jerk reaction, or the start of a larger trend? Smart traders are watching key levels, tracking institutional order flow, and looking for confirmation before making their next move.
How do you react when headlines move the market? Do you panic, or do you position yourself with a plan? Drop a comment and let’s talk strategy.
GBPUSD "Buy"We still have opportunity to go LONG on GBPUSD since the premium isn't filled.Remember the Supply zone must be taken before possibly change ideas for maybe short.
As for me,I predict the USD pairs to continue going LONG still supply is swept ✍️
GUWe have tapped into a key supply zone. We are at some key zones on the fibb as well. I expect to see GU drop here.
GBPUSD Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish momentum
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/03/2025We had a good trading session with the Judas Swing Strategy two weeks ago, as the strategy delivered 3 solid setups, 2 on FX:EURUSD and 1 on $GBPUSD. And guess what? All three hit their targets!
That’s a massive 6% gain for the week! And with these impressive results we wanted to see how the strategy will perform last week.
The strategy did not produce any setups on the currency pair we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ) on Monday 24th March and instead of forcing setups like other traders would we sat that day out. Why was this possible? we had backtested the strategy and had enough data to prove that when we stick to this strategy long term we'd be in putting ourselves in a profitable position.
On Tuesday, we returned to the trading desk, scouting for setups, when we noticed a potential opportunity on $GBPUSD. The currency pair had swept liquidity at the high of our zone, signaling a possible shift in direction. We then shifted our focus to selling opportunities for the session. Our strategy required waiting for a break of structure to the downside, followed by a retracement into the FVG before executing a trade
After waiting for an hour and 15 minutes, we finally got the break of structure to the downside. The only step left was a retrace into the FVG. After some patience, the retrace materialized, meeting all the criteria on our entry checklist. We executed the trade, risking 1% of our account with a target return of 2%
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.29513
Stop Loss: 1.29611
Take Profit: 1.29311
After entering the trade, price consolidated around our entry point for a while, showing no clear direction. However, we remained unfazed, trusting our well-backtested strategy, which has a 50% win rate. With a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, we know that consistently following our strategy will yield profits in the long run. Since we had risked only what we could afford to lose, the slow price movement didn’t shake our confidence
Unfortunately, this trade didn’t go in our favor and ended up hitting our stop loss. This serves as a reminder that not every trade will reach take profit and that’s perfectly okay. Losses are an inevitable part of trading, but what truly matters is maintaining a solid risk management strategy, sticking to a proven system, and thinking long-term. As traders, our edge comes not from winning every trade, but from executing consistently and letting probabilities play out over time
23-03-2025 _ Short Term Bearish Idea _ GBPUSD D11- Price is moving in a rising channel.
2- Price has reached the top of the channel
and a Strong Resistance Zone.
3- Bearish Divergence on RSI.
4- Strong Bearish Candles.
Therefore, one can expect a move to the downside.
GBPUSD INTRADAY breakout higher supported at 1.3050Trend Overview
The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish trend, with recent price action confirming a breakout above the previous consolidation zone.
Key Levels & Scenarios
Support: 1.3050 (previous consolidation range)
A bullish bounce from this level could sustain the rally.
Upside targets: 1.3240, followed by 1.3270 and 1.3300 over the longer term.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
A daily close below 1.3050 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Downside targets: 1.3010, followed by 1.2960 and 1.2910.
Indicators & Market Sentiment
Momentum indicators support the bullish bias, but price action needs to hold above 1.3050.
Volume confirms buying interest, reinforcing the breakout potential.
Conclusion
As long as 1.3050 holds as support, GBP/USD remains in a bullish structure, targeting 1.3240 and beyond. A break below 1.3050 would shift the focus toward 1.3010 and lower retracement levels.
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Thu 3rd Apr 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
