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GBPUSD(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3291 Support and resistance levels: 1.3356 1.3332 1.3316 1.3267 1.3251 1.3227 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3316, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3332 If the price breaks through 1.3291, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3267
Short
by Toml1314
GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum. As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on: Key Technical Factors: Rejection from a prior structure zone Clean lower highs forming Breakdown and retest of minor support Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line) This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions. Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
by Mrshazee
Pound Gains on Strong UK GDPThe British pound climbed to $1.3320 on Friday after strong UK GDP data showed the economy grew 0.7% in Q1 and 1.3% year-over-year, easing pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates aggressively. While a cut is still likely, the solid growth figures suggest urgency has diminished. At the same time, a softer U.S. dollar, driven by speculation that the U.S. may be allowing depreciation to support exports, has supported sterling. However, the UK’s broader outlook remains mixed, with rising unemployment and slowing wage growth signaling uneven momentum. GBP/USD faces resistance at 1.3350, with additional levels at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3160, 1.3000, and 1.2960.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 16, 2025 GBPUSDU.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in April as the cost of services fell the most since 2009. The Bureau of Labour Statistics on Thursday released data that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 2.4 per cent in April, down from 2.7 per cent previously. This figure was weaker than market expectations of 2.5%. In addition, initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending 10 May were 229 thousand, compared to the previous week's 229 thousand (revised from 228 thousand). This value was in line with initial estimates. Swap markets priced in the first Fed rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) at the September meeting and expect two more rate cuts before the end of the year. Some analysts believe policymakers may wait until December. Favourable UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data suggests the UK's economic health is robust, dampening hopes of aggressive monetary policy easing by the Bank of England (BoE). This, in turn, provides some support for the British pound against the US dollar. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3350, SL 1.3250, TP 1.3550
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Lingrid | GBPUSD retest the RESISTANCE zone and FALLFX:GBPUSD price is approaching the confluence of the red resistance trendline and the $1.334 level after an extended climb along the upward trendline. Despite short-term bullish momentum, this zone has acted as a strong barrier in the past. A rejection here could signal the start of a local correction toward $1.325 or lower. 📌 Key Levels Support: $1.32540 Resistance: $1.33413 Reversal Zone: Red trendline near $1.334 ⚠️ Risks Breakout above $1.334 could invalidate the reversal setup Momentum remains bullish above the blue trendline Failure to reject the red trendline may shift bias to breakout continuation Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6
GBP/USD Short Trade Setup – Targeting 1.31580 from 1.34281Entry Point: 1.34281 Stop Loss: 1.34554 (about 27 pips above entry) Target Points: Target One: 1.32698 Final Target (EA Target Point): 1.31580 (approx. 270 pips from entry) Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, given the tight stop and wider target. 📈 Chart Features Highlighted Zones: Resistance Zone (top purple area): A strong supply zone, where price reversed multiple times. Support Zone (bottom purple area): Historical demand zone, previous price reactions. Orange Circles: Represent key swing highs and lows (likely used to confirm the zones or a double/triple top/bottom pattern). Moving Averages: Red Line: Likely a shorter-period MA (e.g., 20 EMA). Blue Line: Likely a longer-period MA (e.g., 50 or 200 EMA), often used for trend confirmation. 🧠 Interpretation Price Action: The chart suggests the price recently hit a resistance zone and is expected to reverse. Trade Bias: Bearish – expecting the market to drop from the resistance. Indicators Support: Price has rejected multiple times at the top. Entry is slightly below resistance, confirming a potential reversal. Targets align with support and past consolidation zones.
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
24
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D16 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD: Bull Flag Watch as Momentum Builds for Topside BreakGBP/USD traders should be on alert for a potential topside break, with price action resembling a bull flag formation. Downtrend resistance comes in near 1.3340 today—a key level to watch for those considering bullish setups. A break above that trendline would shift focus to the April 29 high at 1.3444. If cleared, there's not much standing in the way until 1.3644. Momentum signals are also starting to turn more constructive, with the 14-day RSI breaking its recent downtrend and MACD curling back towards the signal line above zero. Taken together, the setup favours buying dips and trading in line with any upside break. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD SWING: +1000 Pips Later, GU Is Still Climbing in Stealth 🧠 Last Idea Recap from Early Feb 2025: - We previously caught a multi-leg upside off the bottom channel (~1.2550) with over 350 pips in structured recovery. - Price is now grinding within upper consolidation, testing the 1.3315–1.3350 supply shelf. Note: Check out the previous Idea from related publications to verify. Update: GBPUSD has now delivered over 1000+ pips in swing structure from the bottom breakout (1.2550s), with even more gains harvested through intra-day and scalp setups inside this multi-week ascending channel. Recent UK macro strength (GDP beat across MoM, QoQ, YoY) injected new life into price action, adding fundamental confluence to the clean bullish technicals already building. Price continues to respect the rising structure with higher lows and controlled consolidation near a breakout shelf at 1.3350–1.3375. 🔍 Current Structure : - Bullish flag forming near key supply zone - No sign of distribution or exhaustion - Channel still intact, buyers defending every dip Next Leg: - Break and hold above 1.3375 could fuel another 100–150 pip run toward 1.3470 and eventually 1.3550+ - Short-term traders: watch for a stop-hunt sweep before the real move Entry Notes: - Use lower timeframes (4H/1H) for confirmation wicks, volume spikes, or engulfing candles - Avoid getting trapped on the first breakout candle—look for retest/reclaim plays Whether you’re swinging or scalping, this pair has remained one of the cleanest GBP structures in months, and this ride might not be over yet.
Long
by blamezak_trades
Could the Cable drop from here?The price is rising towards the pivot that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is an overlap support. Pivot: 1.3339 1st Support: 1.3158 1st Resistance: 1.3442 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3317 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3368 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.3200 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBP/USD–Sideways Market Outlook with Breakout Trade Setup:Week 4Pair: GBP/USD Market Condition: Sideways / Consolidation Strategy: Breakout above Resistance Entry (Buy Stop): At Resistance 2 (R2) Stop Loss (SL): Below Resistance 1 (R1) Take Profit 1 (TP1): As mentioned Take Profit 2 (TP2): As mentioned Risk-Reward: 1:1 and 1:2 structure Trade Type: Momentum Breakout 🔍 Market Outlook: GBP/USD is currently trading in a horizontal range, with clear resistance and support zones defining the structure. Price action suggests a potential breakout if buyers gain control and push past Resistance 2 (R2). We’re preparing to enter only if price confirms bullish momentum above the range — avoiding false breakouts and trapping zones. ✅ Trade Setup Details: Entry Point (Buy Stop): At R2 – Entry above range to confirm breakout Stop Loss (SL): Below R1 – Invalidation point if breakout fails TP1: Near the next short-term resistance or measured move from range width (1:1) TP2: Next major resistance above breakout zone (1:2) We’re splitting the trade into two: Trade 1: Risk $100 / Reward $100 (1:1) Trade 2: Risk $100 / Reward $200 (1:2) 📈 Why This Setup? 1. Breakout Opportunity in Consolidation: Price is compressing within a sideways range — typically a precursor to explosive movement once a key level is breached. 2. GBP Strength Potential: GBP is supported by better-than-expected UK data recently. If the USD weakens or if risk appetite increases, a breakout may follow. 3. Clear Technical Levels: R1 and R2 clearly defined as resistance zones Waiting for confirmation above R2 avoids early entry traps Using R1 as SL provides natural technical invalidation 📌 Summary: We’re trading the breakout strategy smartly — no rushing in. Entry only triggers once price confirms momentum by breaking R2. SL is safe below R1, and TP levels are measured for realistic risk-reward. 🛑 Risk management is key. Monitor US and UK data/events that could impact volatility (like inflation or interest rate announcements). 🔗 Hashtags: #GBPUSD #ForexSetup #BreakoutStrategy #SidewaysMarket #TradingPlan #PriceAction #SmartEntry #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #CurrencyTrading #BullishBreakout #ForexCommunity #RiskReward #TradeSmart
Long
by asimafridi
GBP/USD suggests a long (buy) trade setup potential reversal Chart Type & Platform: Trading pair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 2h (2-hour) Platform: TradingView Price Action Indicators and Annotations: CHoCH: Change of Character — suggests a potential reversal or a break in market structure. BOS: Break of Structure — typically indicates a continuation in the direction of the prevailing trend. FVG: Fair Value Gap — highlighted zones (in red and green) indicating potential areas of price inefficiency where the market might return to. Entry Zone: Marked around 1.3288, suggesting a potential long (buy) position setup. Target Zone: Around 1.34+, shown in a green box, indicating a take-profit area. Red Box: Stop-loss zone, indicating risk management level below the entry. Trade Setup: The chart suggests a long (buy) trade setup. The expected price move is from the entry (highlighted zone around 1.3288) to the target (green area above). A bullish breakout is anticipated, possibly following the recent BOS and FVG fill near the entry area. Visual Indicators: Red and Blue markers: Likely custom indicators for "Sell" and "Buy" signals. The chart uses a mix of colored rectangles and labels to visually highlight key price zones and actions. System Notes: The top of the image mentions a note about needing Windows 10 or later — indicating the system is running Windows 7. Summary: This chart is used for technical analysis with a focus on smart money concepts, including CHoCH, BOS, and FVG. It depicts a potential bullish setup for GBP/USD, with clearly defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels based on market structure and price inefficiencies.
Long
by Johnson67