GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSD is expected to continue its upward trend.Technical Analysis 📈
On April 15th, GBPUSD shot up to 1.3250🚀, breaking through the bullish turning point. It's now heading towards higher targets. The RSI is in an overbought zone, but the bulls are still in charge. 📊
Weakening US Dollar Driving Force 💸
The US dollar's in a confidence crisis due to its tariff policy, which has created market jitters. Investors are dumping the dollar, giving the British pound a strong boost and driving GBPUSD up. The dollar's decline against other currencies is helping the pound. 🌪️
Impact of Market Expectations 🤔
The UK's March inflation data is due on April 16th. The market expects the CPI to rise 2.7% year - on - year. This is boosting confidence in the pound as stable inflation signals a healthy UK economy, pushing up the GBPUSD rate. Traders are watching this data closely. 📅
💰💰💰 GBPUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@1.3200 - 1.3230
🎯 TP 1.3300 - 1.3350
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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GBPUSD Analysis 4/18 11:13amI've been analyzing GBP/USD closely over the past few days, and here's where I stand. The daily historical data shows an overall uptrend from around 1.278 on April 9 to roughly 1.328 on April 18. Although the price has been climbing, I've noticed that momentum is starting to taper off, which makes me question whether this rally might be overextended.
On the fundamentals side, a series of high-impact events are coming up. For example, recent UK PMI readings have come in slightly weaker—manufacturing at 44.1 and services at 51—while US indicators like PMIs and housing data have shown mixed results, such as an unusually sharp drop in New Home Sales MoM. These data points suggest both the dollar and the pound are facing headwinds, and they add a layer of uncertainty over the near-term direction.
Technically, I've set up a sell trade at 1.32480 with the current price now at 1.32830. My chart tells me that if the market dives further.
Overall, while the short-term setup shows some bullish energy, the divergence with longer-term daily averages and the mixed fundamental data make me cautious. I'll be watching for a pullback toward those support levels that might validate my bearish stance.
That's it for me for today.. unless something unexpected happens ..
Have a great weekend!
BTW im looking for another pair to trade comment below your recommendations and why! Thanks!
GBPUSDIn summary, the GBP/USD pair is currently in a bullish phase, with the potential for further gains if it sustains momentum above key resistance levels. Nonetheless, traders should remain vigilant for any signs of reversal or changes in fundamental factors that could affect the currency pair's performance.
GBPUSD I Short Opportunity Coming Soon Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GBP/USD.. GBPUSD 1 DAY CHART PATTERN✨ GBPUSD Trade Setup
Technical Analysis:
GBP/USD is showing bearish pressure and presents a short opportunity from current levels.
Entry: 1.34000
Targets:
Target 1: 1.30000
Target 2: 1.27000
Bias: Bearish
Confirmation: Price action suggests downside continuation
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Inflation in the UK Has FallenInflation in the UK Has Fallen
According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%.
Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months.
On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May.
On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs.
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
In just one week, the pound-to-dollar rate has risen by approximately 4.2%, with the RSI indicator now hovering near extreme overbought levels. Furthermore, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which has been in play since the beginning of 2025.
In such conditions, a correction (with a bearish breakout of the ascending trendline, shown in blue) appears a logical development. However, a key factor in sustaining the current trend of dollar weakness could be the speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, scheduled for today at 20:30 GMT+3.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3173
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3105
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3291
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD Will it continue to rise?Today, GBP/USD rose to 1.3238, reaching its highest level since October 3, 2024. In the early London market, it briefly touched a low of 1.3184 and then rebounded quickly.
The UK's inflation data for March will be released tomorrow. If the actual data meets or exceeds expectations, it will further enhance the market's expectations that the Bank of England will maintain its current monetary policy or adopt a tightening policy. As a result, the British pound will be supported, and the GBP/USD will be driven to rise.
GBPUSD trading strategy
buy @:1.31900-1.32100
sl 1.31300
tp 1.32550-1.32750
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GBP/USD Trade Idea (2H Timeframe) We’re expecting a downward movSell Entry Zone: 1.32350 – 1.32450
Stop Loss: Above 1.32850 (safe buffer to avoid fakeouts)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.31081
TP2: 1.30133
TP3: 1.28860
Final TP: 1.27096
Market is testing a strong resistance zone. Wait for confirmation or a bearish rejection candle before entering. Trade safe, trade smart!
Long trade
15min TF overview
Entry at a discount within a 15m bullish leg
📈 Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (GBP/USD)
📅 Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
⏰ Time: 5:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📉 Pair: GBP/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
⏱️ Entry TF: 2-minute (LTF precision entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.32335
Take Profit (TP): 1.33771 (+1.09%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.32007 (–0.25%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.38
London AM continuation setup:
Built on a bullish structure shift post-Tokyo sweep for a buyside trade idea.
GBP/USD upcoming shorts from 1.33600 back down to demandMy focus this week for GU is around a key daily supply zone that price is currently approaching. As we near this level, I expect price to slow down and begin distributing, potentially leading to a deeper retracement. I anticipate the short setup to form around Tuesday, depending on how price reacts.
If price does retrace, I’ll be watching the 2-hour and 17-hour demand zones, where we could see a bullish reaction and a potential rally from those levels. Since GU has been overall bullish, this would be a counter-trend short, followed by a possible continuation to the upside.
Confluences for GBP/USD Shorts:
- Price is overbought, indicating a potential correction to clear liquidity and fill imbalances.
- Plenty of downside liquidity and imbalances that price could target.
- Approaching a strong daily supply zone, which could act as a key reversal point.
- Unmitigated demand zones below, which may need to be tapped before price continues higher.
P.S. If price doesn’t reach the daily supply zone, I’ll remain patient and look for a buy opportunity to ride price up toward that supply level.
Wishing everyone a great trading week ahead!
UPDATE ON GU TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Price has recently traded us lower to correct itself, pick up more Demand before taking a move higher. I have gone ahead and marked out the area in which price trade down and into.
With price breaking structure fractally on the 15M timeframes, we could look to add to our positions as this gives us enough confluence to suggest that price is now ready to continue with the higher timeframe bullish move.
This trade is currently running + 125 pips. (+ 5.4%) 5.4RR
A big well done to those of you who are still in on this trade, I have actually gone ahead and taken a full close on this but will continue to monitor the original position for those still in.
Those of you who are looking for another entry, as soon as I have something for you I will let you know, as I am also looking to get re-introduced. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3417
1st Support: 1.3102
1st Resistance: 1.3637
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GBPUSD - NEXT STOP @1.34343?1. MARKET OVERVIEW
GU has been on a very strong uptrend since January so i'm expecting that momentum to continue this week aiming for the old high @1.34343 which is also the Previous Year's High (PYH) and a Key Level.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Draw On Liquidity(DOL): 1.34343
* Point Of Interest(POI): 1.32411 - 1.32500
3. TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'll stick on being bullish for the rest of the week until price gets to my target which is the PYH(Previous Year High). I'll execute on my buys only if price trades to my POI before trading to my target, on the condition that price trades higher early in the week and gets to my target(without first trading to my POI) i'll cancel my trade order and switch neutral on my BIAS.
4. FINAL NOTE
Patience is key, i'll wait for price to come to me and not chase price.
Tell me what you guys think about this in the comment.
GBPUSD 4HRSCentral Bank Heads and Policy Influence
Bank of England (BoE) – Governor Andrew Bailey
Policy Stance: Andrew Bailey has emphasized caution on rate cuts, noting that UK inflation pressures are falling only gradually. The BoE has kept its main rate at 4.5% and signaled that it needs more evidence before easing policy. However, market expectations are shifting, with investors now pricing in two rate cuts in 2024 and a 50/50 chance of a first cut as early as June or August.
Impact: The BoE’s cautious approach has supported GBP recently, but dovish signals and the likelihood of rate cuts later in 2025 are weighing on the pound’s medium-term outlook. Bailey’s leadership is seen as steady but data-dependent, and his upcoming role as Chair of the Financial Stability Board may enhance his international influence.
US Federal Reserve – Chair Jerome Powell
Policy Stance: Jerome Powell has reiterated the need for patience and caution before making any changes to US rates, stressing the importance of more clarity on economic and inflation trends. The Fed’s benchmark rate remains at 4.25%–4.50%, and Powell’s recent comments suggest the Fed is in no rush to cut, especially with inflation still above target and new uncertainties from US tariff policies.
Political Pressure: President Trump has publicly criticized Powell for not cutting rates and has threatened his removal, but Powell remains committed to his term and the Fed’s independence. This political tension adds uncertainty but, for now, the Fed’s stance remains steady and data-driven.
Impact: The Fed’s reluctance to cut rates supports the dollar, especially as the BoE moves closer to easing. This policy divergence is a key factor in the current and expected bias for GBP/USD.
Summary Table: Central Bank Influence on GBP/USD
Central Bank Head Current Stance Expected Policy Move Impact on GBP/USD Directional Bias
Andrew Bailey (BoE) Cautious, data-driven Rate cuts likely in 2024 Weighs on GBP medium-term, limits upside
Jerome Powell (Fed) Patient, hawkish-leaning Rate cuts delayed Supports USD, adds downside risk to GBP/USD
Conclusion
Near-term: GBP/USD retains a bullish bias above supplyroof , but the upside may be capped as markets anticipate BoE rate cuts while the Fed remains on hold.
Medium-term: Policy divergence—BoE turning dovish and Fed staying cautious—suggests a bearish tilt for GBP/USD as 2025 progresses, unless US economic data weakens sharply or the Fed pivots sooner than expected.
Central Bank Heads: The leadership and communication styles of Andrew Bailey and Jerome Powell are central to market expectations, with Bailey’s caution and Powell’s patience both shaping the pair’s directional bias.
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GBPUSD Analysis 4/14 at 7:11pm I've been closely watching GBP/USD, and as of now, the pair is trading at 1.31771. Based on my technical analysis and upcoming market events, I believe the best trade setup is a short position, but only after confirming a rejection near 1.316–1.317.
Why This Short Trade Makes Sense
Overbought Conditions
The daily RSI is at 76.08, meaning the pair is in overbought territory. This increases the likelihood of a pullback rather than a continued rally.
Other momentum indicators (like Stochastic RSI) show that buying pressure is weakening, further supporting the case for a reversal.
Key Resistance at 1.320
Price has tested 1.320 multiple times but failed to break above it, reinforcing this area as strong resistance.
The recent high at 1.31998 showed rejection, indicating that bullish momentum is struggling.
Upcoming Fundamental Events
The UK retail sales data exceeded expectations, providing some short-term support for GBP.
However, upcoming major US economic releases—including Empire State Manufacturing and Retail Sales—could shift sentiment.
With Fed Chair Powell speaking on April 16, volatility is expected, and I prefer to wait for these catalysts before fully committing to a position.
My Trade Plan
Entry: I’ll wait to sell GBP/USD after confirming rejection at 1.316–1.317.
Final Thoughts
I’m waiting for clear price rejection before entering. If GBP/USD struggles to break higher and starts reversing at 1.316–1.317, that’s my signal to short. At the same time, I’ll watch how the upcoming economic events influence market sentiment—especially the US retail sales data and Powell’s speech.
This approach ensures I’m trading based on confirmation rather than speculation, reducing the risk of entering prematurely.
GBP/USD + Fair Value GAPOn GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.30160.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
GBPUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3266 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.3106
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3336
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/USD M15 – Breakout AlertGBP/USD M15 – Breakout Alert
The GBP/USD pair on the 15-minute timeframe is showing a potential buying opportunity following the breakout of a consolidation pattern. This breakout indicates a possible shift in momentum to the upside, increasing the likelihood of continued bullish movement in the near term.
Trade Idea – Long Setup:
Entry: Consider entering around the trendline zone of the breakout pattern (approx. 1.32200–1.32300).
Target 1: 1.33214
Target 2: 1.33600
Stop Loss: Below recent structure low or Ichimoku cloud support.
This setup is backed by momentum indicators and breakout structure. Keep an eye on volume and price action near the entry zone for confirmation.
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Best regards,
JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5