GU-Thu-12/06/25 TDA-Higher US CPI, why GU pumped? explained!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Here's the tricky part of CPI, this year 2.4% higher
than last year 2.3% but GU still pumped, why?
Because consensus was 2.5% and since it released
2.4% which is lower than consensus, bad for dollar
thus GU pumping.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
USDGBP trade ideas
GBPUSD looks ready for its next up-legGBPUSD broke above key levels, triggering a double top pattern with targets near 1.4778. In this video, we discuss risk-reward adjustments, why reducing your stop makes sense, and how to deal with sideways markets and small triangle setups. Learn why taking smaller profits can sometimes lead to better long-term results. Leave your thoughts in the comments.
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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday 15' break of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers,
We’re glad to have you here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. and China have reportedly reached a principled agreement on a framework to implement the Geneva Accord. President Trump announced that "all necessary rare earth elements will be supplied by China in a 'prepaid' format," effectively lifting export controls.
- The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose by 2.4% year-over-year, falling short of the market forecast of 2.5%. The core CPI also increased by 2.8%, below the expected 2.9%.
- The U.K. announced results of its spending review, indicating a 2.3% increase in total government budget. Fiscal concerns triggered a spike in the 10-year gilt yield, which briefly rose to 4.6190%.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has continued its upward momentum supported by a trendline, but it's currently pausing near the 1.36000 level. There’s still potential for a breakout above this resistance, so further observation is needed to determine the direction. If it breaks above the recent high, a mid- to long-term rise toward the 1.40000 level is possible. Conversely, failure to break resistance could lead to a decline toward the 1.32000 level.
GBP/USD Short Play – Anticipating a Smooth 87-Pip DropTime of Analysis: 9:15 PM (Central US) | Current Price: 1.35736
Key Levels: 1.35268 (First Target) → 1.34918 (Final Target) | Retracement Spike: 1.35500 (NY Session)
A Strategic Short Ahead of London & NY Session Weakness
Based on observed price action and intermarket dynamics, GBP/USD is primed for a controlled descent over the next 12–18 hours, with Tokyo/Sydney sessions laying the groundwork for London’s bearish momentum. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Current Setup & Immediate Catalysts
Bearish Continuation Pattern: The pair has shown subtle rejection near 1.35800 (key intraday resistance), with weakening upward momentum. The initial 30-pip drop from the evening high suggests sellers are testing the waters.
Tokyo/Sydney Session Role: These sessions often consolidate or extend late NY moves. With USD strength creeping in (e.g., Treasury yields firming, risk-off sentiment in Asia), a slow grind toward 1.35268 is likely before London opens.
2. London Session: The Accelerator
European Liquidity Dive: London traders will likely exploit the lack of bullish defense, pushing GBP/USD toward 1.34918. Key factors:
Divergence with EUR: If EUR/GBP rallies, GBP/USD suffers compounded selling.
UK Data Lull: No major catalysts = technicals dominate.
Order Flow Clue: The drop to 1.35268 may trigger stop-loss cascades below 1.35500, fueling the next leg down.
3. New York Session: The Trap Spike
Classic NY Fakeout: After a steady decline, NY traders often "test" liquidity with a quick spike (likely 1.35500) before resuming the trend. This would:
Trap late shorts chasing the breakdown.
Provide a optimal entry for bears targeting sub-1.34900.
Fed Shadow: Any USD strength from hawkish Fed whispers (even without news) could cap rebounds.
Risk Considerations
Bullish Threat: A surprise London headline (e.g., BoE hike chatter) could stall the move, but the technical structure favors downside.
Stop Placement: Initial stops above 1.35950 (pre-9:15 PM swing high) for early entries. Adjust to 1.35780 if entering post-Tokyo open.
-------------------------------------
Final Call
"87 pips or bust." This is a high-probability, slow-burn short with defined targets. Tokyo/Sydney sets the table, London serves the main course, and NY adds the dessert spike before the next leg down.
Projected Timeline:
Next 6h (Tokyo/Sydney): Drop to 1.35268.
London Open (3AM CT): Acceleration to 1.34918.
NY Open (7AM CT): Spike to 1.35500, then resumption of selling.
Trade smart, trade ruthless.
GBPUSD(20250612)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States reached a record high of US$23 billion in May, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3525
Support and resistance levels:
1.3627
1.3589
1.3564
1.3486
1.3461
1.3423
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3564, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.3589
If the price breaks through 1.3525, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.3486
GBPUSD - ShortWe are looking for short positions on this trade as we are still trading within the downtrend.
We could see the market break a bit to the downside if the markets break the 1.20500 area and start to head towards the 1.19000 area and possibly the 1.18500 area.
Note: please do your own analysis before entering the position.
If you are looking to enter the market, drop down to a lower TF and wait for your confirmations to be met before entering, using the correct risk management.
Risk:Reward - 1:10
Trading For All | All For Trading
Kevin Capital
GBPUSD - ShortsFirst published idea of the year!
I am looking for the markets to pull back into the 1.28 area before looking for a potential bullish continuation.
Note(s): My entry got missed by 2.4 pips lol & the 1.26 area is a bit ambitious haha..
Lets see how markets move in the Asian session going into the London open.
GBPUSD - Long at some pointVery similar with what we are looking for in relation to EURUSD
Will wait for a mitigation of the demand at lower price. Will wait for an internal structure break before looking to get long.
Will have a nice sleep now and will re-evaluate in the morning.
Caught 2 lovely trades on this today and hopefully I may be able to catch 1 or 2 more before the week is out.
Again, if you have any questions don't be shy to get in touch
Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3543
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci re4tracement.
Stop loss: 1.3493
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3601
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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News Trading - After release📉 News Spike Reversal – GBPUSD & USTEC, 15min
This example highlights how the ELFIEDT RSI + 3SD Reversion Strategy can be used to catch sharp pullbacks after a news-driven price spike, using statistically overextended conditions and volume-confirmed exhaustion.
🔻 What Happened Here:
📍 1. Sudden Spike on News Release
Both GBPUSD and USTEC experienced a sharp rally — likely due to a high-impact economic release or scheduled news event. This kind of impulsive movement often creates price extensions beyond normal volatility ranges.
📍 2. “DOWN” Signal Triggered on Both Assets
As price surged higher, the indicator detected that:
Price exceeded the upper statistical band (3SD above the moving average)
RSI entered extreme territory
Volume activity was significantly elevated
This triggered a “DOWN” label on both charts, flagging the area as a potential short-term top.
📍 3. High-Probability Reversal Back Toward the News Origin Zone
After the initial spike, both instruments retraced sharply, pulling back into the prior consolidation range — a classic “retest of the news move” often seen when markets overreact and correct shortly after.
✅ How You Could Have Traded It:
Watch for news-driven price surges — the strategy is built to detect extreme moves.
When the “DOWN” label appears on both instruments around the same time, it adds confluence — this increases conviction in the reversal potential.
Look for candle confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or long upper wick) to time the entry.
Target the origin of the news spike or the prior resistance zone as your first take-profit level.
🔁 Bonus: Multi-Asset Confluence
When two different markets react similarly to news and print simultaneous reversal signals, this serves as a strong confidence boost — especially when both RSI readings also begin to reverse from extremes.
This dual example shows how the ELFIEDT strategy can help traders avoid emotional trades during news volatility and instead catch logical pullbacks after the dust settles.
The British pound's rebound was blockedThe British pound staged a technical rebound after a sharp decline on Tuesday, trading near 1.35 during the North American session. A day earlier, the exchange rate had retreated amid expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) would continue to cut rates twice within the year, triggered by weak UK labor market data. However, on Wednesday, against the backdrop of the US CPI data falling short of expectations, the US Dollar Index weakened, allowing the pound to rebound. Although the exchange rate has regained the 1.35 threshold currently, if UK economic data continues to be weak, the pound may test support levels at 1.34 or lower again.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.