GBPUSD AnalysisLooking at the GBPUSD H1 chart you provided, here’s a breakdown of the current structure and a high-probability swing trade setup with a 1:5 risk-reward ratio:
Chart Observations:
• Price recently bounced off a higher low after making a clear impulsive drop and has started pulling back upward.
• There’s a bearish BBandSE signal with price stalling just beneath a previous structure high.
• Market structure is still bearish on H1 — this appears to be a lower high forming, making it a good setup for a swing short.
Swing Trade Setup (Sell)
Entry:
• Sell at: 1.3305–1.3310 (ideal entry near current price; retest zone of last bearish BBandSE signal)
Stop Loss:
• SL above recent high: 1.3345
• (This is above the most recent swing high where the price last reversed)
Take Profit (1:5 RR):
• TP at: 1.3130
• This is a strong prior demand zone / previous low from May 9th
Trade Summary: Use risk management
Parameter Value
Direction Sell (Short)
Entry 1.3305
Stop Loss 1.3345 (40 pips)
Take Profit 1.3130 (175 pips)
Risk: Reward 1:4.4–1:5
Why This Setup Works:
• You’re entering a lower high in a clear H1 downtrend.
• The Bollinger Bands Strategy confirms the sell signal (BBandSE).
• You’re targeting a previous liquidity zone (1.3130) where the price showed strong rejection before.
• R: R is extremely favourable; even if it retraces deeper, the structure gives enough room to protect your capital.
Disclaimer: This trade is not financial advice. It's just for learning. My team and I will not be responsible for any losses you incur
USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD: Momentum Fading After Monthly Push !!Hey Traders,
GBP/USD Showing A Momentum Fading After Monthly Push !!
On The :
1) Monthly: We have a Three strong bullish candles, but price has now reached a key resistance zone — expecting a pullback.
2) Weekly: Rejection signs showing with wicks on three candles, and weekly liquidity has been taken out.
3) Daily: Bearish Head & Shoulders pattern + Choch.
4) 4H: Structure aligns with the daily — currently waiting for confirmation (4H engulfing or 1H choch).
Targets: 1.31314 and 1.30363
Not financial advice.
#GBPUSD #Forex #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #HeadAndShoulders #SupplyAndDemand #BearishSetup #MarketStructure #SmartMoney #Choch #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #TrendReversal
GBPUSD
Bank of England (BoE):
On May 7, 2025, the BoE cut its Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4.25% (from 4.5%), with a narrow 5–4 vote. Two members wanted a larger cut, while two preferred no change. The decision reflects progress on disinflation and a slowing UK economy, though the rate remains in restrictive territory to keep inflation pressures in check.
Federal Reserve (Fed):
The Fed held its policy rate steady at 4.50% in May 2025, as it weighs sticky inflation against cooling growth. The U.S. labor market remains resilient, but GDP contracted slightly in Q1. The Fed is cautious, with markets not expecting cuts until later in the year.
Differential:
The U.S. maintains a 25 basis point rate advantage over the UK (Fed 4.50% vs. BoE 4.25%). This modest but widening gap, combined with the Fed’s more hawkish stance, generally supports the USD over GBP.
Upcoming UK Economic Data in May 2025
GDP Growth:
UK GDP growth has slowed since mid-2024. Four-quarter growth is projected to stay just above 1% before picking up later in the forecast period. Goldman Sachs forecasts UK GDP at 1.2% for 2025, below the BoE’s 1.5% projection, with quarterly growth expected to remain subdued.
Inflation:
March CPI inflation fell to 2.6% (from 2.8% in February), but is expected to temporarily rise to 3.5% in Q3 2025 due to energy price effects before falling back toward the 2% target.
Domestic price and wage pressures are easing, but household inflation expectations have risen recently.
Labor Market:
The UK labor market continues to loosen, with slowing pay growth expected through the year. This supports the case for further BoE easing if disinflation persists.
Other Data:
Retail sales, business investment, and export growth remain weak, partly due to global trade developments and a tightening fiscal stance.
The next key data releases in May will be GDP, CPI, and labor market figures, all closely watched for signs of further economic softening or inflation surprises.
The interest rate differential favors the USD, especially with the BoE starting to cut and the Fed holding steady.
Upcoming UK data (GDP, CPI, labor market) will be crucial. If UK growth and inflation slow faster than expected, the BoE may cut more aggressively, adding to GBP downside.
Consensus forecast: GBPUSD is expected to remain under pressure in May.
In summary:
The GBPUSD pair faces a modest downside bias in May 2025, driven by a slight USD rate advantage, a dovish BoE, and subdued UK growth and inflation data. Key economic prints this month-especially on inflation and labor-will determine whether the BoE accelerates cuts, which would further weigh on sterling
Support and Resistance Levels: A Beginner Trader's GuideSupport and Resistance Levels: A Beginner Trader's Guide
Hello!
If you’re just starting your journey in trading, you’ve probably already heard about "support" and "resistance." These terms might sound intimidating, but their essence is simple. Think of an asset’s price as a ball bouncing between a floor and a ceiling. The floor is support , and the ceiling is resistance . Let’s break down how this works and how to use these levels in your trading.
1. What Are Support and Resistance?
- Support is a price level where buyers (bulls) are strong enough to halt a decline.
→ Example: Suppose the GBP/USD price drops to resistance line multiple times but bounces back each time. This line is a strong support level.
- Resistance is a level where sellers (bears) take control, preventing the price from rising further.
Why is this important?
These levels help you anticipate where the price might reverse or continue moving. They’re like road signs on your chart!
2. How to Identify Support and Resistance on a Chart
Start by analyzing price history. Support and resistance levels form where the price has repeatedly stalled.
- Step 1: Open a daily or hourly chart . The larger the timeframe, the more significant the level.
- Step 2: Look for points where the price reversed . For example, lows (for support) and highs (for resistance).
- Step 3: Draw horizontal lines through these points.
→ Visual Example:
On the GBP/USD chart, the price tested the level multiple times and bounced. This is clear support. The resistance level, where upward momentum stalled, acts as resistance.
3. How to Trade Using Support and Resistance
There are two main scenarios: *bouncing off a level* and *breaking through a level*.
Scenario 1: Bouncing Off Support or Resistance
- If the price approaches support, consider opening a long position (buying), expecting a rebound.
- If the price nears resistance, consider opening a short position (selling), anticipating a drop.
Scenario 2: Breaking Through a Level
If the price breaks support or resistance with high volume, it’s a signal to act:
- Breaking resistance → Buy.
- Breaking support → Sell.
→ Example:
GBP/USD breaks above resistance at 2.01050. You enter a short position, placing a stop-loss below 2.04040 order-block.
4. Common Beginner Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading the chart with lines . Don’t mark every minor swing—focus on key levels.
- Ignoring volume . A breakout without increasing volume is often a false signal.
- Impatience . The price may test a level repeatedly—wait for confirmation before trading.
5. Practice Is the Key to Success
1. Study historical data . Open past charts and practice identifying levels retrospectively.
2. Use a demo account . Test your strategies risk-free.
3. Keep a trading journal . Note why you chose specific levels and analyze your mistakes.
6.Conclusion
Support and resistance levels are your best allies in trading. They reveal market structure and guide your decisions. Don’t get discouraged if it feels challenging at first—practice will sharpen your intuition. Remember, even professionals make mistakes. Focus on risk management and continuous learning.
Good luck! You’ve got this!
Pound Steadies with Trade Deal ReliefThe GBP/USD pair opened Thursday with gains following the Bank of England’s expected 25 basis point rate cut, but the pound’s momentum faded as attention turned to U.S. trade developments. By Friday morning, the pair was trading around 1.3240.
Sentiment shifted toward the U.S. dollar after the Trump administration announced an upcoming trade deal with the UK, helping Britain avoid steep reciprocal tariffs originally set to resume on July 9. While some relief came from Trump’s earlier ‘Liberation Day’ delay, a broad 10% tariff on all UK imports to the U.S. remains on track, potentially weighing on sentiment. Refined ethanol has been fully exempted, though U.S. import data shows none has been sourced from the UK in over 15 years.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3280, resistance levels come in at 1.3450 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3160, followed by 1.3000 and 1.2960.
Spike to Range: A Complete Market Cycle UnfoldingPrice has reacted to the bottom of the trading range, forming a signal bar and a key bar, indicating a potential reversal. If confirmed by a breakout on a lower timeframe, this could present a good long opportunity. However, with the Bank of England Governor’s speech scheduled for today, it’s wise to wait for the event before entering any trades. Always apply proper risk management!
Lingrid | GBPUSD bearish PRESSURE. Potential ShortFX:GBPUSD remains within a clear downward channel, printing lower highs and lower lows amid persistent bearish momentum. After breaking support, price briefly rebounded from the channel’s lower boundary, but selling pressure is likely to resume unless structure breaks. A failed rally and rejection near 1.32677 may confirm another leg down toward 1.31850.
📌 Key Levels
Support zone: 1.31850 (channel base and historical low)
Breakout target: 1.33385 (downward trendline resistance)
Invalidation level: Above 1.33385 (would shift structure to bullish)
⚠️ Risks
Continued bearish pressure may breach current support
Fake-outs around the lower boundary could mislead short-term setups
Consolidation inside the channel could delay a decisive move
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gbp/usdIn the cahrt above,you have to wait patiently before being into the market, there are lots of repetition,lots of false signal, waiting patiently before entering the market resistance 1 above is the first resistance before heading to the second, there are lots of buy and sell, through my analysis the market is gonna hit the sell before it gets to the buy, cos there is a break of structure in the first resistance point
Whats the market gonna give next THE BUY OR SELL,
TO ME IT'S GONNA HIT THE SELL,
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D9 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBP_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is approaching a
Demand level of 1.3181
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs
Of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon
Just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows the GBP/USD currency pair on the 30-minute timeframe. Key elements include:
A downward trendline that has just been broken.
A potential long (buy) trade setup with:
Stop Loss just below the recent low.
Take Profit significantly higher, indicating a favorable risk-reward ratio.
The price action suggests a possible reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
This appears to be a trend reversal strategy aiming to capitalize on a breakout above the descending resistance line.
Would you like help analyzing the potential success probability of this trade setup or suggestions for improving the strategy?
GBPUSD STRONG DOWNTRND PATTERNTechnical Analysis
1. Trend Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is in a strong bearish trend, confirmed by:
Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows
Breakdown of key support zones(1.3200), turning them into new resistance (especially 1.34400)
Momentum oscillators and moving averages showing sustained downward pressure