GBPUSD INTRADAY consolidation range supported at 1.3210GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be an overbought corrective pullback toward a key prior consolidation area.
Key Support: 1.3210 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point.
Upside Targets:
1.3435 – initial resistance level
1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets
If price finds support at 1.3210 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels.
However, a break and daily close below 1.3210 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3120, with further support at 1.3015 and 1.2980.
Conclusion
GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3210. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3210 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDGBP trade ideas
The Day Ahead - Fed Rate Decision US:
March consumer credit slowed → weaker demand → supports lower rate expectations.
UK:
April construction PMI below 50 → contraction → bearish for GBP.
Eurozone (Germany, France, Italy, Euro-wide):
Factory orders, construction PMIs, retail sales weak → signs of economic slowdown → bearish for EUR.
China:
April foreign reserves slightly down → limited impact.
France (details):
Widening trade deficit, mild wage growth → mixed outlook.
Italy:
March retail sales down → weak consumer demand.
Federal Reserve (May decision):
Held rates at 5.25–5.50%.
Slowed pace of balance sheet reduction (QT).
Powell ruled out further hikes for now.
Fed remains data-dependent.
Trading Relevance:
Rates/Bonds: Bullish – lower yields likely.
USD: Slightly weaker – dovish Fed tone.
Stocks: Positive – QT slowdown supports equities.
EUR/GBP: Bearish – weak data, dovish central bank expectations.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Cable H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3338 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3300 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3378 which is a swing-high resistance.
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GBP/USD: Is the Bullish Impulse Over?The daily chart shows a significant bullish impulse that encountered strong resistance in the 1.3350 - 1.3400 area, where multiple supply levels and an important institutional selling zone are located. The bearish structure remains intact below this level, suggesting a potential decline towards the key support at 1.3100 - 1.3150. The short bias strengthens with the confirmation of resistance and the formation of a potential reversal.
COT Report (USD Index and GBP/USD)
USD Index: Non-commercial traders are slightly increasing long positions (+397) while reducing short positions (-128). This suggests a potential recovery of dollar strength, supporting a bearish move on GBP/USD.
GBP/USD: Non-commercials have significantly increased short positions (+6,426) and reduced long positions (-2,957), indicating a bearish sentiment. Commercials also show a slight increase in short positions (+5,070), confirming potential weakness in the pound.
Retail Sentiment
57% of retail traders are short on GBP/USD, with an average price of 1.2916, while 43% are long at 1.3343. This imbalance could indicate a market attempt to capture stops above recent highs before a reversal.
Seasonality
Historically, the month of May shows a negative performance for GBP/USD. The 5, 10, and 15-year seasonal data indicate a consistent decline during this period, supporting the hypothesis of bearish pressure.
GBPUSD Swing Trade, BULLISHPrice Action tells me that GBPUSD is ready to climb once again, continuing it's bullish momentum. We are taking advantage of the range between the Swing Low and Swing High. Price has created a HH during the retracement, signaling Bulls are back in play. M15 finally showed bullish momentum during the retracement of the new HH. 3 Targets on the highs, last target being the Swing high.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.33000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.49
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
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Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3296
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3419
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD BIG MOVE COMING?Structure Overview:
The market has been ranging within a clear horizontal consolidation zone, with two key zones:
Support Zone: 1.32600 - 1.33000 (gray box at the bottom)
Resistance Zone : 1.33500 - 1.33800 (gray box at the top)
Price recently broke above the upper consolidation range, suggesting bullish momentum.
🔍 Analysis:
The pair has broken out of the consolidation range after multiple rejections from the support zone.
We now look for a potential retest of the previous resistance (1.33500 area) as new support.
Two potential bullish continuation scenarios are highlighted:
📌 Trade Plan:
Scenario 1 – Immediate Continuation:
If price holds above 1.33500, look for bullish continuation toward:
TP1: 1.34026
TP2: 1.34208
Scenario 2 – Retest Setup:
Wait for a pullback to the 1.33000–1.33500 zone.
Confirmation of bullish rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) could provide a high-probability long setup.
Entry: After bullish confirmation in retest zone
SL: Below 1.33000 (invalidates breakout)
TP: 1.34026 / 1.34208
📉 Invalidations:
A clean break and close below 1.33000 may suggest a failed breakout, putting 1.32600 back into play.
🧠 Bias: Bullish (as long as 1.33000 holds)
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
GBP/USD Analysis – Resistance Zone and Possible CorrectionThe GBP/USD pair is currently trading at a significant resistance zone. This level is noteworthy because it has historically been a point of strong selling and because technical indicators are approaching the overbought region.
Additionally, considering the likelihood of the DXY reacting from support, a strengthening of the dollar could lead to a corrective move in GBP/USD. If the pair struggles to break through this resistance zone, an initial correction towards lower support levels may be observed.