GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I TR Liquidity TPHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
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USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD Forming Bearish Rising Wedge | Breakdown Expected Soon📈 GBP/USD – 1H Chart Analysis
Price formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which typically signals a bearish reversal. After a period of consolidation, the pair started trending upwards inside the wedge, but momentum appears to be fading.
🔍 Current Price: 1.35350
📉 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
If price breaks below the lower trendline, we could see a drop towards the following support levels:
🟡 Support Zones:
1️⃣ 1.30142 (1st support level)
2️⃣ 1.28735
3️⃣ 1.27081
⚠️ Breakdown confirmation with volume is key. A failed breakout to the upside could also trap buyers before the real move down.
🔔 Stay alert for price action near wedge boundaries!
📌 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
GBPUSD INTRADAY Consolidation breakout The GBP/USD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by a rising trendline and sustained higher lows. The recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback within an overall uptrend, indicative of a consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Key Support Level: 1.3400
This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone and is acting as a pivotal support. A pullback toward this level could offer a potential buying opportunity, especially if bullish momentum returns.
Upside Targets (on bullish continuation from 1.3400):
1.3515 – Initial resistance from prior swing high
1.3580 – Intermediate resistance level
1.3630 – Long-term target and potential top of the current bullish channel
Bearish Scenario (if 1.3400 fails):
A daily close below 1.3400 would invalidate the current bullish setup, signaling a potential shift in trend. In that case:
Immediate support at 1.3360
Deeper retracement could extend to 1.3310
Conclusion
The broader trend in GBP/USD remains bullish, with the current consolidation viewed as a potential pullback rather than a reversal. The 1.3400 level is critical — a bounce from here could resume the uptrend toward 1.3630 over time. However, a break and close below 1.3400 would weaken the bullish case and open the door to further downside. Traders should monitor price action closely around this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD Holds Above 1.34 – Is 1.35 the Launch Pad?In last week’s GBPUSD outlook, I pointed to the 1.34 zone as a potential buy area and likely end of the correction.
The market reacted as expected, reversing from 1.34 and rallying to 1.35. Toward the end of the week, a brief correction followed — but price held above 1.34 and has now returned to 1.35, printing a higher low in the process.
📌 From both a technical and psychological standpoint, 1.35 remains a key level. A confirmed break above could lead to a retest of the recent high — or even push for a new high.
✅ My bias stays bullish as long as 1.34 support remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary:
Bearish Outlook: Price is expected to decline from the recent high.
Support Level: Identified near 1.34400.
Target Zone: Around 1.34200 based on breakdown expectations.
Reasoning: Possibly based on rejection near resistance and anticipation of bearish follow-through.
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⚠️ Disruption (Bullish/Neutral Counter-Scenario):
1. Strong Bullish Candle at Resistance
The last candle is a bullish engulfing near recent highs, indicating buyer strength.
Rather than rejecting, price appears to break out of consolidation.
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2. Volume Supporting Bullish Momentum
Increasing green volume bars show accumulating demand, not weakness.
Could imply a liquidity grab before a bullish continuation.
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3. Failed Breakdown Attempts
Price has attempted to fall multiple times (wicks downward), but was bought up quickly.
That often signals trap setups where short sellers are being baited.
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4. Macro Sentiment / USD Weakness Risk
With upcoming U.S. economic news (red circle), any sign of a weaker USD could invalidate the bearish scenario entirely.
GBP tends to benefit from any shift in U.S. interest rate expectations or economic softness.
GBPUSD H1 | Bouncing Off the 78.6% FiboBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3438, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3486, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3387, a swing low support.
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GBP/USD Bullish Channel Holding–Pullback Before the Next Leg Up?This is a 4-hour chart of the British Pound vs US Dollar (GBP/USD) from FXCM, showing a strong bullish market structure within a rising parallel channel.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Uptrend Channel: Price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel.
Support Zones: Three horizontal levels are marked at 1.348, 1.333, and 1.326 — likely acting as short-term demand zones or reaction points.
Projection Path (Red Line): A pullback into the lower part of the channel (likely near 1.333–1.326 zone) is anticipated, followed by a bullish continuation toward the upper channel resistance.
🧭 Market Outlook:
Bias: Bullish while above channel support.
Buy Area: Ideal long setup may develop around the 1.333–1.326 support region.
Target Zone: Potential continuation toward 1.410+ if the structure holds.
This chart favors trend continuation after a correction, aligning with smart money accumulation and institutional flow behavior within a bullish channel.
GBP-USD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair already
Made a rebound from the
Horizontal support level
Around 1.3431 from where
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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GBP/USD – Where the real game beginsMost traders keep refreshing the chart, waiting for something obvious to happen. But here’s the thing...
The obvious move is never the most profitable one. The market rewards those who understand context, not just candlestick shapes.
Take a deeper look at this pair right now.
You’ll notice something subtle — but powerful.
📍 We’ve been consolidating right above a demand zone that’s been respected multiple times.
📉 Sellers tried to break it... failed.
📈 Buyers stepped in... quietly. No fireworks. Just clean defense.
This isn’t your average support line. This is where liquidity gets trapped, where retail gets impatient, and where smart money fills up before liftoff.
It’s the type of setup that doesn’t scream — it whispers. And if you’re listening, you know this isn’t random.
🔎 While most are distracted by noise, the structure is forming beneath the surface.
A slow coil of price, compression of volatility — and then... expansion.
And no, I won’t drop the entry, stop or TP here.
Because real traders don’t chase numbers — they read the narrative.
📚
#gbpusd #forexstrategy #institutionaltrading #smartmoneyflow #supplyanddemand #priceaction #marketpsychology #liquiditytrap #notforbeginners #telegramonly
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3346
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3591
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3346
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3314
1st Support: 1.3159
1st Resistance: 1.3566
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GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025)
1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates)
Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) .
Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26%
The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage.
3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context
Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis).
Drivers:
Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD.
BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP .
4. Carry Trade Directional Bias
GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP.
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand.
Risks:
BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD.
Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing.
Key Data and Events
US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD)
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51%
Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) —
Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.)
DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support)
Conclusion
Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD.
Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains.
DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts.
Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts.
GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade .
stay cautious
#GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025)
1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates)
Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) .
Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26%
The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage.
3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context
Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis).
Drivers:
Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD.
BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP .
4. Carry Trade Directional Bias
GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP.
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand.
Risks:
BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD.
Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing.
Key Data and Events
US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD)
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51%
Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) —
Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.)
DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support)
Conclusion
Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD.
Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains.
DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts.
Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts.
GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade .
stay cautious
#GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
GBPUSD Weekly overview Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025We are approaching a strong HTF reversal level from lower prices. It means we might have some unexpectable strong bearish players in the market. I'll take a little less than normal for the bullish trades.
While the mid-term overview indicates us a bullish trend some bearish move won't surprise me.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025)
1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates)
Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) .
Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26%
The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage.
3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context
Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis).
Drivers:
Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD.
BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP .
4. Carry Trade Directional Bias
GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP.
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand.
Risks:
BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD.
Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing.
Key Data and Events
US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD)
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51%
Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) —
Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.)
DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support)
Conclusion
Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD.
Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains.
DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts.
Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts.
GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade .
stay cautious
#GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
GBPUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.