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U.S. Dollar / Pound Sterling

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USDGBP trade ideas

GBPUSDGBP/USD Upcoming Economic Data, 10-Year Bond Yield, Interest Rate Differential, and Carry Trade (June 1–10, 2025) 1. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–10, 2025) Date Event Expected Impact on GBP/USD June 2 UK PMI Composite (May) Strong PMI supports GBP; weak data pressures GBP June 3 UK Services PMI Key for assessing UK economic momentum; influences GBP sentiment June 4 UK Construction PMI Reflects sector health; positive print supports GBP June 6 US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Strong US jobs data strengthens USD, pressures GBP/USD June 6 US Average Hourly Earnings Wage growth impacts Fed policy outlook and USD strength June 9 UK GDP (Preliminary Q1) Critical for BoE policy outlook; strong GDP supports GBP June 10 UK CPI Inflation (May) Higher inflation may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP Note: UK inflation data recently printed higher than expected, and US jobs data will be a major driver of USD strength. 2. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: Approximately 4.77% (as of late May 2025) US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.51% (late May 2025) Yield Spread: 4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26% The UK’s higher bond yield provides a modest carry advantage for GBP over USD. Policy Rates: Bank of England (BoE): 4.25% (recently cut by 25bps) Federal Reserve (Fed): 4.25–4.50% Interest Rate Differential: Slightly favors USD on policy rates but favors GBP on bond yields. 3. Carry Trade Directional Bias The carry trade involves borrowing in a currency with lower interest rates and investing in one with higher yields. Given the UK’s higher 10-year gilt yields (+0.26%), there is a modest carry trade advantage supporting GBP against USD. However, the Fed’s slightly higher policy rate and the BoE’s dovish stance (rate cuts expected) temper this advantage. Overall, the carry trade bias for GBP/USD is neutral to slightly bullish for GBP, supported by bond yields but capped by policy rate expectations. 4. Technical and Market Outlook GBP/USD recently tested resistance near supply roof and faced selling pressure, but got support the broken supply roof on daily and now trades on the floor as demand . Market sentiment remains cautious due to geopolitical uncertainties and tariff negotiations impacting USD strength. The upcoming US jobs data (June 6) is a key event that could sway USD and thus GBP/USD direction. Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield ~4.77% ~4.51% Policy Interest Rate 4.25% (BoE) 4.25–4.50% (Fed) Yield Spread (10Y) +0.26% (GBP over USD) — Interest Rate Differential Slightly favors USD — Carry Trade Directional Bias Neutral to slightly bullish for GBP — Key Upcoming Data UK PMI, GDP, CPI US NFP, Wage Data Conclusion GBP/USD faces a mixed outlook with modest carry trade support from higher UK bond yields but pressure from Fed’s higher policy rates and USD strength. Upcoming UK data (PMI, GDP, CPI) will shape BoE policy expectations and GBP sentiment. US jobs data on June 6 is critical for USD direction and, by extension, GBP/USD. #gbpusd #dollar
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.355. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.350 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBPUSD Is Bearish! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.353. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.341 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which serves as pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.3315 1st Support: 1.3159 1st Resistance: 1.3586 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GU-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-Not easy zone to mess with GU!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Today's focus: Trading Psychology -Have you ever over traded? -Have you ever revenge traded? -Have you ever got greedy and end up with a loss instead of good profits? -What is something that you struggle to these days psychologically speaking? I've been all these situations mentioned above! Each of this three steps are crucial to become a very good trader: 1) Consistently profitable strategy 2) Proper risk management 3) Trading Psychology What's your ideal solution to improve your trading psychology? Comment down below! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
Skeptic | GBP/USD Analysis: Breakout Triggers in the Box!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! FX:GBPUSD has been killing it with a solid uptrend but now it’s chilling in a correction phase, trapped in a box range. A break above or below this box could light up some epic triggers, so let’s dive into a multi-timeframe analysis to get the full picture. 🧠 Starting with the Daily Timeframe we’re riding a powerful upward channel where price has been dancing perfectly with the ceiling, floor, and midline. We’ve nabbed some sweet trades from this setup before! After hitting resistance at 1.35576 , we slipped into a time-based correction. Here’s the daily breakdown: If the box floor at 1.35002 cracks, we could slide to 1.34173 , hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement— a legit first support zone. 🎯 If we bust through the ceiling, the channel’s midline is our next target. But with lower highs forming, I’m betting on a deeper correction for now. 📉 With that intel, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for our main long and short triggers. 🔥 For longs, a break above 1.35576 is our golden ticket, with a stop loss below the box. Want a quicker R/R and early profits? Set a tighter stop below the 1H or 15-minute floor that forms. 💸 For shorts, we can play with a smaller stop loss. I’d jump in after breaking support at 1.35002 , with a stop loss at 1.35464 if we go bearish from here. If we test the box ceiling again before breaking the floor, the stop loss sits above the box. 🚨 Heads-up: longs are riskier based on the daily clues. As always, do your own research, steer clear of FOMO, and never forget—capital management and stop losses are your market lifelines. Nobody shouts about those enough! A single trade, good or bad, won’t make or break your long-term game, so skip the emotional drama and grind on your strategy and psychology. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this recap got your gears turning, smash that boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
GBP/USD – Bullish Setup Off Key Moving AveragesPair: GBP/USD Bias: 🔼 Bullish Entry Level: Current market price (see chart) Stop Loss: Below recent swing low (see chart for exact level) Target: Risk-reward of 1:2 or higher, based on structure --- GBP/USD is showing strong bullish momentum, currently bouncing off the 200-period moving average on the 4H/1H timeframe. This level has acted as dynamic resistance and now appears to be providing support for the next leg up. In confluence with this, price action is also approaching the 200-period moving average, which I'm using as both a resistance confirmation and an ideal entry zone. This setup suggests a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, supported by bullish market structure and moving average dynamics. 📊 Trade Plan: Entry: At current price or on a slight pullback to the 200 MA Stop Loss: Just below the previous swing low to protect against a deeper correction Take Profit: Using a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or higher, targeting previous highs or fib extensions 📌 Notes: Always manage your risk per your trading rules Confirm with your own strategy or indicators before entering Watch for key news events (e.g., BOE or Fed announcements)
by Robbinpipes
GU Bulls Raise "Flag" Eyeing Higher PricesFX:GBPUSD has formed a Bull Flag and we could be getting ready to see the Bulls take the spotlight! After Price broke through the Previous Level of Structure, Price retraces the High of 1.35589 to the 50% Fibonacci Level @ 1.35022 and is supported pushing Price back up from the Previous Level of Structure. -The 50% retracement signals the end of the Consolidation Phase of the Pattern. Now with a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can suspect that Price will give us a Bullish Breakout of the Descending Channel and Retest before moving higher Confirming the Pattern and once the Breakout is Validated! Based off the "Flagpole" of the Pattern, if a Bullish Breakout is Validated and the Retest is Successful, the extension of the Set-up would place the Price Target @ 1.3640 which is at the next big level of Resistance.
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
GU-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-This week mostly after news driven PA!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! PA= price action This week unless you're good fundamental analyst or taking good advantage of fundamental news, it was not easy to trade normal price action. (at least for me) Since I trade only London session, and majority of moves happen in NY session after news release. This week was not the best for me, keeping myself low risk max medium risk trades. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GBPUSD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GBPUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.3459 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.3513 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3590 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 1.3629 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 1.3535 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets