GBPUSD - Predictive Analysis & ForecastingGBPUSD
Scales
- S: 1.3169 activation triggers 1.3347 (unless falls to 1.3100)
- M1: 1.3426 activation triggers 1.3131 pivot
- M2: 13555 activation triggers 1.3109
- L: pending at 1.3664
Forecast & Targets
- ST: bearish risk down to 1.3100
- MT: bullish, up to 1.3664
#GBPUSD #Forex #CROW2.0
4xForecaster
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Originally published on BlueSky
USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD Weekly zone!The price is currently located at a strong weekly zone, where sellers have their stop-losses placed above it, and buyers have pending buy orders just above the same level.
This creates a high probability that big players will push the price above the zone to trigger the stop-losses of sellers and activate the buy positions of those waiting to enter long.
What almost always happens next is the following:
The price then drops back below the zone, taking out the buyers as well.
That’s why at strong zones on higher timeframes, a false breakout is often expected.
GBP/USD – Correction in Progress - Where to buy?A few days ago, I pointed out that GBP/USD broke above key resistance from above 1.34, and even cleared the psychological barrier at 1.35.
That breakout opened the door for a potential move toward 1.4000, and I suggested that traders should look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Well — we’re in that pullback now.
So, where do we buy?
📍 The most obvious area is the old resistance around 1.3430. But here’s the catch:
GBP/USD is notorious for fakeouts and spikes.
If price tests that level, it could easily dip under 1.34, take out stops, and only then reverse to the upside.
🛡️ Bottom line: If you’re buying the dip, set your stop-loss wisely
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in red.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge acting as an over-bought zone.
And the $1.365 - $1.375 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD M15 | Bearish Drop Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.3486, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3448, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3520, an overlap resistance.
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GBPUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.347.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.325 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout?
Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week.
📊 1. Market Overview
GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe.
Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone?
🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic
You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows):
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab
Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone)
Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300
Targets liquidity resting below prior structure
🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation
OB holds, price flips bullish
Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation
Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone
Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction.
🧱 3. Key Zones
🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283
🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600
🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential
Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have:
✅ Clean entries
✅ Clear invalidation zones
✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+)
📌 5. Watchlist Note
💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG
💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs
💬 Call to Action:
📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week
💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce
📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
BUY GBPUSD🚨 BUY ALERT – GBP/USD 🚨
📈 Action: Buy GBP/USD
🕒 Timing: Enter Now – Anticipating momentum shift
🗓️ Catalyst: Impact expected as FOMC event unfolds
📊 Reasoning: Market is positioning ahead of key U.S. monetary policy update. Potential volatility can push GBP/USD higher.
📌 Note:
Use tight risk management due to expected volatility.
Monitor FOMC outcome for confirmation or exit signals.
Trade smart — fundamentals + timing = opportunity.
GBPUSD: If Trump could lower the rates! Hello Traders, If Trump could lower the race, we will see more bullish weeks for the pair. At least for this week I'm more Bullish!
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPUSD Trending Higher - Can Bulls Maintain Momentum?OANDA:GBPUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action continuing to respect both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are maintaining an advantage, increasing the likelihood of a continued upward trend.
Price has broken through a key resistance zone and successfully retested this area as support, confirming the bullish structure. This retest helps to reinforce the bullish outlook, with the next technical target around the 1.38000 level, in line with the upper boundary of the trend channel.
As long as price remains above the newly established support zone, the bullish trend remains intact. If this support zone is broken, a corrective scenario toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel should be reconsidered.
The analysis reflects a personal view based on price action and market structure, and is not financial advice. Appropriate risk management should be ensured in all trading situations.
GBPUSD SHORT IDEAGBPUSD has been rally up for a while. Currently, there's a divergence signal from the awesome oscillator on the daily timeframe. Switching to 4 hours timeframe, there's a clearer view of what's going on. Based on the 4 hours chart, rising wedge has been formed and there's also a bearish divergence signal from the awesome oscillator. In addition to these, price has mitigated a daily supply zone after taking out a significant high as a liquidity. Then, a bearish engulfing candlestick was formed, signifying potential reversal. On 1 hour timeframe, price has broken out of a rising wedge and retested it.
As a retail trader, one can enter a short position after the bearish engulfing candlestick confirmation. This aligns with the 1 hour breakout and retest. While one can wait for price to break out of the 4 hours rising wedge.
As a smart money trader, one can wait for a change of character and break of structure on the 4 hours timeframe to confirm that price has really changed its trend ready for a reversal.
Either way, one can take advantage of the potential short opportunity on GBPUSD.
Confluences for the short signal:
1. Bearish divergence signal from awesome oscillator on daily and 4 hours timeframe.
2. Rising wedge on 4 hours timeframe.
3. Price mitigating daily supply zone.
4. Price has taken out a significant high as a liquidity.
5. Bearish engulfing candlestick formation on 4 hours timeframe.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
GBP/USD manipulation going on right now ??gbpusd had a good rise the last few weeks/months, now its time to pay attention.
the price is now ranging,. let me tell you what i think.
a little bit higher there is a imbalance in the chart. for me and many others thats a reason to short.
why do i think manipulation is going on?
for the big people in order to go short they need to attract buyers, so how do they do that? they go long, they build up long orders to attract more buyers so the price doesnt go down and the shorts can get filled. thats what happening right now in my opinion. (i can be wrong)
also the rsi is overbought (indicating downside could come )
in my opinion the price will be ranging for a week of 2, after that is wil go a bit higher to eventually come down big time , (like 5% or more)
here is the setup i will take.
no financial advice, just my thoughts
GBPUSD - SO MANY BULLISH SIGNS ! confirmed TPs HIT GBPUSD- Market is moving in a Bullish Channel since long. Market has formed Bullish continuation pattern and that's how we can predict a projection of TPs which is also well within a channel. Market has also retraced and bounced back from the FIB LEVEL of 0.382 which is also a good support level followed by the 3 white soldiers pattern.
ENTRY POINT & STOPLOSS with TPs :
we plan entry on the break out of resistance level (market has instant entry point) which is break of HH and keeping our SL below the HL / FIB 0.382 level or the resistance level.
GBP/USD Ready to Explode or Collapse? All Eyes on 1.3600British Pound (CFTC - CME)
Commercial traders increased their long positions by +1,839 contracts and short positions by +3,597. Net exposure remains negative, but the significant short increase suggests active hedging and risk management.
Non-Commercial traders (speculators) reduced their longs by -1,396 and increased their shorts by +1,827, signaling weakening sentiment toward the GBP.
Open Interest rose modestly by +465 → showing renewed engagement, though there’s clear divergence between Commercial and Non-Commercial positioning.
Implication: Net pressure remains bearish, but there's evidence of short saturation from Commercials, possibly hinting at a consolidation phase or reversal ahead.
USD Index (ICE Futures)
Non-Commercials increased both longs (+2,044) and shorts (+1,975), signaling indecision.
Commercials slightly increased long exposure (+689), while shorts remained mostly flat (-114).
Implication: The dollar shows cautious strengthening, but with no strong directional conviction. A period of ranging price action is likely.
2. Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with only 33% long.
Volume favors short positions as well: 7,727 lots vs. 3,866 long.
Implication: From a contrarian perspective, the excessive short bias among retail traders supports a short-term bullish scenario, possibly driven by a short squeeze or liquidity run.
3. Historical Seasonality
May shows a historically bearish tendency:
10-Year Avg: -2.22%
5-Year Avg: -1.60%
2-Year Avg: -0.65%
Implication: Seasonal bias remains negative, but should be interpreted alongside COT and sentiment data to avoid misleading signals.
4. Technical Analysis
Price is currently trading inside a weekly resistance zone between 1.3513 and 1.3600, following a strong bounce from a dynamic support.
A previous structure break failed to follow through → bull trap was avoided.
The weekly RSI is rising from neutral levels, suggesting momentum is shifting upward.
Previous demand zones around 1.3176 and 1.3047 held well.
Implication: A potential breakout is forming, but it occurs near a key technical level. Without strong volume or fundamentals, the area may trigger a sell reaction.
5. Market Depth
There is a heavy cluster of short orders above current price, while long orders appear scattered and less aggressive.
This creates a liquidity magnet effect, which may lead to bullish spikes towards 1.3550–1.3600 before any meaningful distribution.
Implication: Potential upside extension in the short-term to hunt stops, followed by a bearish reaction.
🎯 Operational Outlook
Main Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short-term, Bearish (Seasonal) mid-term
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: 1.3550–1.3600
Support zone: Ascending trendline and 1.3340–1.3176
Likely Scenarios:
Price may spike toward 1.3550 to clear liquidity before facing rejection.
A confirmed weekly close above 1.3610 opens the door to 1.3750.
A drop below 1.3340 confirms structural reversal and bearish continuation.
GBPUSD Pulls Back from July 2023 - Sep 2024 TrendlineThe GBP/USD pair is currently pulling back from a key resistance zone and trendline stretching from the peaks of July 2023 to September 2024. These levels coincide with previously oversold RSI readings seen during the same periods, raising the likelihood of a pullback.
This resistance aligns with the 1.3590 level, which also corresponds to the 1.272 Fibonacci extension of the long-term downtrend from the 2008 highs to the 2022 lows.
A clean break and sustained move above this level could open the way for further gains, targeting the 0.382 retracement zone and the previous highs from 2021 and 2016, between 1.42 and 1.47.
On the downside, if a pullback emerges—driven by overbought conditions or renewed dollar strength—a clear break below 1.3460 could extend selling pressure toward 1.33, 1.3240, and 1.3140.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD has played out exactly as forecasted, completing a clean bullish leg from the Fibonacci confluence zones and breaking through the key 1.3430 resistance level. The structure remains strongly bullish, and after this minor retest, I’m anticipating another impulsive wave to the upside, with the next target sitting firmly at the 1.3900 level. The pair continues to respect both structure and momentum, showing consistent demand on dips.
Fundamentally, the British pound continues to gain strength backed by sticky inflation data and hawkish tone from the Bank of England. With UK CPI remaining elevated and core services inflation running hot, the BoE is being forced to hold its tightening bias. This contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve, where recent data shows signs of softening labor markets and cooling price pressure, bringing rate cut expectations back on the table for the second half of 2025.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleanly respected all key fib levels from the previous correction. The breakout above 1.3430 has flipped structure into bullish continuation, and the market has already begun forming higher highs and higher lows on both daily and 4H timeframes. As long as price holds above the 1.3430–1.3450 retest zone, the bullish outlook remains intact with high-probability momentum toward 1.3900.
In current market sentiment, GBPUSD remains one of the strongest trending pairs, with institutions adding to long exposure as the dollar index weakens. As a professional trader, I remain long-biased and look to scale in on lower timeframe retracements. This is a textbook continuation play backed by both technicals and macro momentum. Let the trend work—bulls remain in full control.