GBPUSD today should buy or sell?GBP/USD continues to build on its bullish momentum, reclaiming the 1.3100 level on Monday morning. The ongoing weakness of the U.S. dollar suggests that the path of least resistance for this pair remains to the upside.
The key monthly employment report is set to be released on Tuesday, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, investors this week will also face the release of U.S. monthly Retail Sales figures and pay close attention to a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell โ a speech that could play a crucial role in shaping the USDโs price dynamics. These events are expected to provide meaningful catalysts for the GBP/USD pair in the latter part of the week.
USDGBP trade ideas
BEARISH BIASGbpUsd is set up for long term sell.
Looking at daily time frame you will observe price formed BOS while on a downward trend the previous week. That triggered a bullish liquidity sweep to previous supply region, which also was a resistance zone.
Upper liquidity have been fully filled, expect long term bearish trend which will get to daily demand zone, which was previously a support.
Below previous break of structure before upper liquidity movement, daily printed equal low liquidity zones which will likely not hold as demand zones.
GBP/USD Bullish Reversal โ April Seasonality + CHoCH + Macro SetI'm going long on GBP/USD based on a confluence of:
Bullish market structure shift (CHoCH) โ Higher High & Higher Low confirmed on the daily chart
Strong April seasonality โ GBP tends to rally mid-to-late April, while USD shows weakness
Macro divergence โ BOE is hawkish, Fed is dovish; USD flagged as โStrong Sellโ
๐ Supporting Fundamentals
GBP GDP improving (1.6%), USD slowing (2.2%)
LEI + Exo model shows stable bullish-neutral momentum
GBPUSD BIG DROP ?Market Structure Overview
Previous Trend: Strong bullish move after a long bearish trend.
Current Behavior: Price has entered a higher-timeframe supply zone (highlighted in green) and is showing signs of rejection.
Supply Zones:
Major Supply: 1.31750 โ 1.32000
Minor Supply: 1.31000 โ 1.31300
Demand Zones:
First Demand Zone: ~1.30380
Second Demand Zone: ~1.29919
๐ Trade Setup & Plan
๐
ฐ๏ธ Primary Bias: Bearish Rejection from Supply
๐น Scenario 1: Ideal Short Setup
Entry: Around current price (~1.30824) or after a retest of the 1.31000โ1.31300 zone.
TP1: 1.30380 (first demand zone)
TP2: 1.29919 (second demand zone)
TP3 (extension): Below 1.29000 if momentum continues
SL: Above 1.31300 (to avoid fakeouts in supply)
๐งฉ Reasoning:
Price failed to break above supply with strong rejection wicks.
Break of structure + liquidity taken above local highs = possible start of bearish leg.
๐น Scenario 2: Pullback Before Continuation Lower
Wait for Break of 1.30380, then look for pullback entries (break & retest).
Entry: On bearish confirmation after price retests 1.30380 zone from below.
TP: 1.29919, and if broken, continue to trail toward 1.2900s
โ
Extra Notes
Watch for rejection patterns (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) on the 15M or 30M to confirm entries.
Avoid entries during high-impact news, especially UK or US CPI, interest rate decisions, or NFP.
Manage risk wisely: Max 1-2% per trade.
GBPUSD: Short Trade Explained
GBPUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPUSD
Entry Level - 1.3065
Sl - 1.3132
Tp - 1.2929
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
GBP/USD Bullish Breakout Setup โ Entry, Target & Stop Loss AnalyEMA 200 (blue line): 1.28423 โ typically used to define long-term trend direction.
EMA 30 (red line): 1.28253 โ shorter-term trend indication.
Currently, the price is above the 30 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA, suggesting short-term bullish momentum with potential for trend reversal or continuation.
๐ช Key Zones and Levels:
Entry Point Zone: Around 1.28242โ1.28423 (highlighted in purple).
Stop Loss: Set slightly below the purple demand zone at 1.27931.
Target (EA TARGET POINT): Marked around 1.29809.
๐ง Trade Setup Summary:
Risk/Reward: Good โ aiming for a ~1.19% gain (~152.5 pips), with a relatively tight stop loss.
Structure:
The price has broken above a consolidation range (demand zone) and retested the zone (potential bullish retest).
EMA crossover could soon occur if the 30 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, confirming bullish sentiment.
โ
Bullish Confirmation Signs:
Higher lows forming.
Break and retest of previous resistance (now support).
EMA proximity breakout is occurring.
Strong bullish candles near the entry level.
โ ๏ธ Things to Watch:
If price closes strongly above 1.2860โ1.2870, that could signal momentum continuation.
Failing to hold 1.2824โ1.2800 might invalidate the setup and trigger the stop loss.
Watch for fundamental events (economic news, especially from UK/US) that could cause sudden volatility.
The Day Ahead Key Data Releases:
US: NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations (March) โ Closely watched for signs of shifting inflation trends that could impact Fed rate outlook.
China: Trade Balance (March) โ Insight into global demand and Chinaโs export strength; potential impact on commodities and risk sentiment.
Japan: Capacity Utilization (Feb) โ Secondary data, but relevant for assessing industrial activity in Japan.
Central Bank Speakers:
Fedโs Harker & Waller โ Any hints on rate cuts, inflation stance, or economic outlook could move markets, especially USD and rates.
Earnings to Watch:
Goldman Sachs (GS) โ Key read on investment banking, trading, and overall market health. Could set tone for broader financials.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/USD Faces Crucial Resistance โ Will the Uptrend Continue?๐ GBP/USD Daily Technical Outlook โ April 10, 2025
GBP/USD is currently trading around 1.2696, facing significant resistance near the 1.2800 level. After a recent decline from the 1.3434 peak, the pair has been consolidating, forming a range between 1.2740 and 1.2860. The market's reaction to these levels will be crucial in determining the next directional move.โ
๐ Current Market Structure:
The recent price action indicates a neutral to bearish trend for GBP/USD. The pair has formed lower highs and higher lows, creating a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout from this pattern, either above 1.2860 or below 1.2740, will likely set the tone for the next significant move.โ
๐น Key Resistance Levels:
1.2800: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a potential bullish move.โ
1.2860: Upper boundary of the current range. A decisive break above this level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.โ
1.2933: Significant resistance zone. If the price manages to break above this level, it could lead to further gains.โ
๐ธ Key Support Levels:
1.2740: Lower boundary of the current range. A break below this level could indicate a bearish reversal.โ
1.2720: Short-term support. Failure to hold above this level might lead to a deeper correction.โ
1.2580: Major support zone. A drop below this level would confirm a bearish trend.โ
๐ Price Action Patterns:
The formation of a symmetrical triangle suggests that the market is awaiting a catalyst for the next move. Traders should watch for a breakout from this pattern, as it will likely lead to increased volatility and a clear directional bias.โ
๐งญ Potential Scenarios:
โ
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 1.2860, especially with strong volume, could lead to a rally toward 1.2933 and potentially higher levels.โ
โ Bearish Scenario:
A break below 1.2740 could trigger a decline toward 1.2720, with further downside potential if the support at 1.2580 is breached.โ
๐ Conclusion:
GBP/USD is currently consolidating within a defined range, with key levels at 1.2740 and 1.2860. The next significant move will depend on a breakout from this range, providing clarity on the market's direction. Traders should monitor these levels closely and prepare for increased volatility as the pair approaches these boundaries.โ
๐ฌ Whatโs your outlook for GBP/USD? Will the pair break above 1.2860, or is a bearish reversal imminent? Share your thoughts below ๐
GBPUSD H4 | Rising toward the key resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3013, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.3260, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.2864, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP This Week: Dollar - Fueled Rise & OutlookThis week, the British pound performed steadily in the foreign exchange market. The GBP/USD rose moderately, starting at 1.29800 on Monday and closing at 1.30540 on Friday, up 0.67% for the week and about 0.9% in total.
The slump of the US dollar index gave the GBP/USD room to rise. With the weakening of the US dollar globally and shaken investor confidence in dollar assets, the market's expectations for the UK economy remained relatively stable.
Despite rising global market volatility due to tariff talks, the pound, a non - safe - haven currency, wasn't significantly impacted, showing stable market confidence.
The pound's rise this week was mainly due to the weak dollar. In the short term, GBP/USD is expected to fluctuate between 1.30000 and 1.31000, with low volatility and stable trading expectations.
If the US dollar continues to decline in the future, the GBP/USD may further test the resistance level of 1.31500. Once this key resistance level is broken through, the GBP/USD is expected to start a new round of upward movement. The supporting factors behind this will mainly come from the continuous decline in the market's confidence in the US dollar and the further optimism about the prospects of the UK's economic recovery.
However, if the US dollar rebounds in the future, the GBP/USD may also face certain downward adjustment pressure. Nevertheless, given the relative stability of the UK economy, the extent of the downward adjustment is likely to be limited.
GBPUSD
buy@1.30000-1.30500
tp:1.31000-1.31500
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1.30500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
๐I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss ๐: "๐ Yo, listen up! ๐ฃ๏ธ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout ๐. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to ๐, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like ๐คช - just don't say I didn't warn you โ ๏ธ. You're playin' with fire ๐ฅ, and it's your risk, not mine ๐."
๐ Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.27000) Swing/Day trade basis.
๐ SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 1.35000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธGBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. ๐๐๐
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan ๐ฅHit the Boost Button๐ฅ will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
GBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger DropGBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger Drop
Since early March 2025, GBP/USD entered an accumulation phase, trading within a 145-pip range between 1.2870 and 1.3015. The first breakout attempt was bullish, but on April 3rd, a sharp sell-off occurred, triggered by Trumpโs newly imposed tariffs.
GBP/USD has now broken below the 1.2870 support zone, a level where the price had held firm for a month. If the pair remains below 1.2870, the likelihood of a larger downward move increases.
Based on current data, GBP/USD might retest 1.2870 before continuing downward, but this is uncertain. The pairโs movement is highly dependent on Trump's tariffs, and any new statements or policy shifts could quickly change its direction
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
โค๏ธPS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading dayโค๏ธ
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.