LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points
Macro & Central-Bank Divergence
UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025.
IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar.
Technical Structure Remains Bullish
Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s).
14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run.
Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup.
Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew
BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish.
FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling.
Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.
USDGBP trade ideas
GBP/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.334.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25
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Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
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GBPUSD Trade IdeaThe GBPUSD pair is showing a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. However, the price currently looks overextended. This suggests the market may be due for a corrective pullback.
I’m watching for a pullback into a discounted zone near the fair value gap.
If the price moves back into this zone, I’ll look for a bullish break of market structure as a signal to enter long.
This plan emphasizes patience and the importance of waiting for a favorable entry rather than chasing an extended move. As always, this is my personal strategy and not financial advice. Proper risk management and discretion are essential.
OMH or peaked already... let me know your thoughts :)So we are at a potential reversal situation.
I'lll try to update my idea in the next days, but this is what I've got at the moment.
There's room for OMH, but if you're playing it safe, I'm shorting from now, and then if this changes, I may consider hedging for some small play win, but otherwise my target is down for the mid term movement.
Thoughts?
GBPUSD next move (Bulls are still in play)(23-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup BIAS (23-05-2025) (mid term)
Current price- 1.34400
"if Price stay above 1.33700 then next target is 1.35400 and 1.37000"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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Sterling Holds Ahead of U.S. GDPGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar after a court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling he lacked authority to impose them. Markets now await preliminary US Q1 GDP data. Fed minutes showed rising uncertainty, with policymakers favoring a cautious, steady rate path. In the UK, food inflation rose for a fourth month, prompting Barclays to delay its rate cut forecast to February 2026, which may support the Pound.
The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.
GBPUSD Next move read our Caption GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.34700 mark. If the price moves up to retest the resistance at 1.35200, it may face selling pressure. Should this level hold as resistance, we could expect a bearish reversal leading to a decline toward the next key support at 1.34210 and also 1.33600 lets could see how the price plays out .
Wait for a clear rejection or bearish confirmation at 1.35200 before entering a short trade.
you can search more details in the chart give me like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
GU-Thu-29/05/25 TDA-Zone of conflict of interest, Bull and Bear!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Predicting the market is impossible, you react
to how price is forming and telling you the volume
strength, potential push/consolidation/pullback.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD Major Reversal Incoming? | Supply Zone Rejection After an impressive bullish run, GBP/USD has just touched a strong Supply Zone between 1.3440 – 1.3475, marked by high-volume rejection in the past. Price has now sharply reversed from this area — hinting that smart money might be distributing positions.
📌 Confluences:
🔵 Supply Zone (LuxAlgo) from previous highs.
🔻 Bearish Engulfing Candle at resistance.
📉 RSI Divergence (not shown in image, but likely on a peak).
🔴 Upcoming USD fundamentals (NFP/Interest Rate Decision soon).
🔽 Break of minor support = confirmation of short move.
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🎯 Bearish Targets:
1. 🔵 1.28700 – Previous support and structure level.
2. 🔴 1.24701 – High liquidity zone.
3. 🟠 1.23326 – Institutional Demand Zone (final take-profit for swing).
📅 Key Date Watch: Red news events marked on chart — high impact USD events could accelerate momentum.
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📈 Bias: Short-term Bearish
📆 Next 1–2 weeks: Expecting drop toward 1.28700 and potentially deeper if macro data supports.
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🔥 What Do You Think?
Are you bearish like me, or expecting another push up before the drop? Share your thoughts 👇
💬 Drop your chart below if you're also watching this setup!
📌 Follow for more setups, live trades, and weekly breakdowns.
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#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #ForexAnalysis #SwingTrade #USD #TradingView
CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅1 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3445, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3360, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3550, a pullback resistance.
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GBP/USD Got the Breakout - Can Bulls Hold the Higher-Low? GBP/USD has broken out to a fresh three-year-high, finally pushing above the Fibonacci level of 1.3414. That pushed directly into a test above the 1.3500 handle, and prices have since pulled back.
Given dynamics in the USD, that bullish trend in Cable remains of attraction if we do see USD-weakness continue. But, if strength remains in DXY and USD, there's greater pullback potential for GBP/USD, with supports at 1.3250 and 1.3000 of interest for longer-term strategies. And if looking for that USD-strength backdrop, EUR/USD can be a more attractive venue given the context of a lower-high there even as GBP/USD has ripped up to a three-year-high.
For short-term pullback scenarios, traders would likely want to see support retained at prior Fibonacci resistance, around 1.3414. - js
GBP/USD Buy Limit Strategy – Pullback Opportunity at Key BreakouThis trade setup proposes a Buy Limit at 1.3520, targeting a pullback entry after a strong bullish breakout visible on the M30 chart. The 1.3520 level aligns with a recent consolidation and breakout zone, offering a high-probability re-entry spot.
With a tight 45-pip stop-loss and a 100-pip take-profit, this setup delivers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.2. If the pullback holds at this level, price is expected to resume upward momentum toward 1.3620.
GBPUSD's Potential Trend ChangeHi there,
GBPUSD currently shows bullish potential up to 1.34000, with 1.35113 open as a target, meaning the price could reach that level if the support area holds.
Potential bearish interest lies in a break below 1.32549, targeting the area around 1.29875. However, the price may drop further to 1.2800, with a bias toward 1.26000.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not a trading advice.
GBPUSD expectation 1HGBPUSD is busy in a retracement and could use the trend line (for 'most likely') as a support and bounce back up to destination, or use the main support to do so. Price momentum is slowing down as we reach midday UK session and as we start to prepare for the US one, this will decide which way it will go. Another possibility is price reversing between the two, round half way, heading into a buy. We have to wait to see what price does in order to understand how to plan the entry.
GBP/USD Analysis: Price Searching for SupportGBP/USD Analysis: Price Searching for Support
In the second half of May, the British pound showed notable strength: from its 12 May low, GBP/USD climbed to a peak on 26 May — marking its highest level in over three years.
Demand for the pound has been driven by several factors:
→ A surge in inflation. CPI data released last Wednesday came in above expectations. As a result, market participants interpreted this as a reason for the Bank of England to remain cautious about cutting interest rates. Holding rates at elevated levels is generally considered bullish for the pound.
→ The pound’s relative resilience amid trade tensions, particularly following a newly signed agreement with the US, as well as strengthening trade ties between the UK and the EU.
Can the pound continue to rise? The GBP/USD chart offers reasons for doubt.
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
Recent price movements have formed an ascending channel (outlined in blue), and earlier this week, demand was so strong that the pair briefly moved above the upper boundary. But what happened next?
That strong buying momentum appears to have faded — resulting in a sequence of lower highs (A→B→C→D), suggesting that the market may be searching for a foothold. Today’s bounce (highlighted by the arrow) hints that such a foothold may have been found. But how reliable is it? And can the uptrend be resumed?
→ From a bullish perspective: Support may be provided by the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by the 1.345 level.
→ From a bearish perspective: The 1.352 level is acting as resistance, further strengthened by the median line.
It is possible that the area marked by lower highs (A→B→C→D) could ultimately prove to be an insurmountable barrier for the developing uptrend on the GBP/USD chart.
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