USDINR rallies into major historical resistanceThe US dollar has been on the rise late, with equity market weakness translating into a upside for havens such as the greenback. For USDINR this has brought the currency pair back up into a major historical resistance level that could yet cause a significant breakout or reversal. The key line in the sand comes in the form of the prior swing-high at 82.79. A break up through that level would signal a potential resumption of the long-term bull market. However, until that level breaks, we are faced with the potential of a seventh peak within a consolidation phase that has lasted almost a year.
USDINR trade ideas
USDINR Go ShortUSDINR is at the resistance zone, if manage to close below, we can see a potential downside.
This is purely a technical view. Any change in sentiments can affect the price adversely.
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Disclaimer:I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst, and the views expressed here are solely my own and for educational purposes only. Make sure you consult your Financial advisor before investing, as I won't be responsible for any losses incurred.
Daily market analysis for Monday 17th julyDaily Show on NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY and USDINR, where we try and predict the market direction for tomorrow by technical analysis, Open Interest (OI) data analysis, FII DII data analysis and much more. This show gives insights into the market and is especially useful if you are a beginner who has just started options trading and wants to learn how to trade using price action and other chart techniques.
Disclaimer: This is not an investment recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. We are doing this only to understand how to read derivative data and perform technical analysis. Strictly for educational purposes only.
#nifty #niftytrading #banknifty #usdinr #optionstrading #technicalanalysis #tradingforbeginners #niftyprediction #sharemarkettrading #niftytomorrow #marketprediction #priceaction #usdinrprediction #niftytechnicalanalysis #tradingchartanalysis #nifty50prediction #usdinrtradingstrategytomorrow #openinterest
Daily market analysis for tomorrow 5th july.Daily Show on NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY and USDINR, where we try and predict the market direction for tomorrow by technical analysis, Open Interest (OI) data analysis, FII DII data analysis and much more. This show gives insights into the market and is especially useful if you are a beginner who has just started options trading and wants to learn how to trade using price action and other chart techniques.
Disclaimer: This is not an investment recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. We are doing this only to understand how to read derivative data and perform technical analysis. Strictly for educational purposes only.
#nifty #niftytrading #banknifty #usdinr #optionstrading #technicalanalysis #tradingforbeginners #niftyprediction #sharemarkettrading #niftytomorrow #marketprediction #priceaction #usdinrprediction #niftytechnicalanalysis #tradingchartanalysis #nifty50prediction #usdinrtradingstrategytomorrow #openinterest
USDINR-Weekly Outlook-Venkat's BlogPast week saw a steady decline from 82.47 to 81.85. As observed in the previous blog the declines are used as opportunity to hedge the Imports. A close below 82.00 favors further lower levels. The currency pair is at a crucial support. It appears that the pair seems to be in no mood to breach 81.70 on a closing basis. In such scenario we may expect a consolidation between 81.95 and 82.70. There could be choppy moves within this range. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target. Market is expecting 81.70-83.10 will be protected. If appears that the same kind of yo-yo moves may continue till one more quarter if we do not see a close below 81.70.
A few more observations:
The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 77.10-83.30
Neither the moves in Dollar Index-DXY nor the equity have direct correlation
As noted in the previous blog, continue to keep the following input for quick reference.
The 82.75-83.25(with error adjustments) zone is the Fib projection of July 2011 to July 2013. Hence, the importance. If breached, we may see another spike towards 85.70.
This range is continuing to be protected
Unlike in the past, the Imports (mainly the oil) are being hedged as and when there are lower prices in Oil and/or lower prices in the currency pair.
A deeper correction is long overdue.
May shock the exporters with swift down move
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
USDINR next moveas of my TA, it is most likely to break trend support, then the rest is on major support, if it gets supported then I need to post another idea if not then it will get support in the lower red Major support, and it will be most chances it will stay there until or unless, there is any major change in international economics if the change happened at the international level, there will more major supports, and don't forget Major green trend support it is not easy to break but if brock and hard close in 1month TF, then we can see a great down move
USDINR-Weekly Outlook-Venkat's BlogPast week saw a narrow range of 82.40-82.69. As observed in the previous blog the declines are used as opportunity to hedge the Imports. Only a close below 82.00 favors further lower levels. It appears that the pair seems to be in no mood to breach 81.70 on a closing basis. In such scenario we may expect a consolidation between 81.95 and 82.70. There could be choppy moves within this range. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target. Market is expecting 81.70-83.10 will be protected. If appears that the same kind of yo-yo moves may continue till one more quarter if we do not see a close below 81.70.
A few more observations:
The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 77.10-83.30
Neither the moves in Dollar Index-DXY nor the equity have direct correlation
As noted in the previous blog, continue to keep the following input for quick reference.
The 82.75-83.25(with error adjustments) zone is the Fib projection of July 2011 to July 2013. Hence, the importance. If breached, we may see another spike towards 85.70.
This range is continuing to be protected
Unlike in the past, the Imports (mainly the oil) are being hedged as and when there are lower prices in Oil and/or lower prices in the currency pair
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
USDINR-Weekly Outlook-Venkat's BlogPast week saw a decline from its peak of 82.78 towards 82.23. As observed in the previous blog the declines are used as opportunity to hedge the Imports. Only a close below 81.70 favors further lower levels. At least for the moment, it appears that the pair seems to be in no mood to breach 81.70 on a closing basis. In such scenario we may expect a consolidation between 81.70 and 82.70. There could be choppy moves within this range. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target. Market is expecting 81.80-83.10 will be protected. Deeper correction is long overdue
The pair has a tendency to make surprise moves when most in the market do not expect.
A few more observations:
• The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 77.10-83.30
• The currency pair made one more attempt towards 83
• Neither the moves in Dollar Index-DXY nor the equity have direct correlation
• As noted in the previous blog, continue to keep the following input for quick reference.
o The 82.75-83.25(with error adjustments) zone is the Fib projection of July 2011 to July 2013. Hence, the importance. If breached, we may see another spike towards 85.70.
o This range is continuing to be protected
o Unlike in the past, the Imports (mainly the oil) are being hedged as and when there are lower prices in Oil and/or lower prices in the currency pair
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
Ascending Triangle Alert on USDINR.A pattern has formed on the USDINR chart with a flat resistance top at around 83 and a rising trendline with gradually higher supports. It could be identified as an ascending triangle pattern.
A breakout in either direction could increase momentum and open up a range of about 3 rupees.
Keep watch.
USDINR-Weekly Outlook-Venkat's BlogPast week saw a gradual decline from its peak of 82.85. Now that the market would be happy to see 82.20 as safer level to hedge the Imports. Only a close below 81.70 favors further lower levels. At least for the moment, it appears that the pair seems to be in no mood to breach 81.70 on a closing basis. In such scenario we may expect a consolidation between 82.10 and 83.10. There could be choppy moves within this range. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target. Market is expecting 82.10-83.10 will be protected. Deeper correction is long overdue
The pair has a tendency to make surprise moves when most in the market do not expect.
A few more observations:
• Neither the moves in Dollar Index-DXY nor the equity have direct correlation
• The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 77.10-83.30
• The currency pair seems to be trying to make one more attempt towards 83
• As noted in the previous blog, continue to keep the following input for quick reference.
o The 82.75-83.25(with error adjustments) zone is the Fib projection of July 2011 to July 2013. Hence, the importance. If breached, we may see another spike towards 85.70.
o This range is continuing to be protected
o Unlike in the past, the Imports (mainly the oil) are being hedged as and when there are lower prices in Oil and/or lower prices in the currency pair
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
USDINR-Weekly Outlook-Venkat's BlogPast week saw a sharp spike towards 82.80. As noted in the previous blog the previous weekly candle shows signs of reversal and it proved to be right by the spike. Now that the market would be happy to see 82.20 as safer level to hedge the Imports. Only a close below 81.70 favors further lower levels. At least for the moment, it appears that the pair seems to be in no mood to breach 81.70 on a closing basis. In such scenario we may expect a consolidation between 82.10 and 83.10. There could be choppy moves within this range. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target. Market is expecting 82.10-83.10 will be protected.
The pair has a tendency to make surprise moves when most in the market do not expect.
A few more observations:
The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 77.10-83.30
Neither the moves in Dollar Index-DXY nor the equity have direct correlation
The currency pair seems to be trying to make one more attempt towards 83
As noted in the previous blog, continue to keep the following input for quick reference.
The 82.75-83.25(with error adjustments) zone is the Fib projection of July 2011 to July 2013. Hence, the importance. If breached, we may see another spike towards 85.70.
This range is continuing to be protected
Deeper correction is long overdue
Unlike in the past, the Imports (mainly the oil) are being hedged as and when there are lower prices in Oil and/or lower prices in the currency pair
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
USDINR-Weekly Outlook-Venkat's BlogPast week saw a narrow range of 81.70-82.23. as an exception the last weekly candle shows signs of reversal. Only a close below 81.70 favors further lower levels. At least for the moment, it appears that the Pair seems to be in no mood to breach 81.70 on a closing basis. In such scenario we may expect a consolidation between 81.80 and 82.40. There could be choppy moves within this range. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target. Market is expecting 81.80-82.40 will be protected.
The pair has a tendency to make surprise moves when most in the market do not expect.
A few more observations:
• The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 77.10-83.30
• Neither the moves in Dollar Index-DXY nor the equity have direct correlation
• The currency corrected after making multiple attempts to break 83
• As noted in the previous blog, continue to keep the following input for quick reference.
o The 82.75-83.25(with error adjustments) zone is the Fib projection of July 2011 to July 2013. Hence, the importance. If breached, we may see another spike towards 85.70.
o This range is continuing to be protected
o Deeper correction is long overdue.
o The target for this move is 80.10 provided 81.70 is taken out on a closing basis
o Unlike in the past, the Imports (mainly the oil) are being hedged as and when there are lower prices in Oil and/or lower prices in the currency pair
Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.
USDINR Triangle pattern on the 1D MA200. Trade the break-out.The USDINR pair is trading within a Triangle pattern with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) supporting on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). You can scalp inside the pattern for as long as it lasts (RSI also in a Triangle), but when a 1D candle closes outside the Triangle, trade the break-out's direction. Buy and target the 83.2900 Resistance in case of a bullish break-out, and the 80.500 Support in case of a bearish break-out.
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