USDJPY.1000.DUB trade ideas
Possible Battle Between USDJPY Bulls and Bears at TrendlineUSDJPY is currently testing its weekly trendline, but recent data from Japan may challenge the possibility of a downward break.
Market turmoil has increased demand for long-term U.S. bonds, and the resulting drop in the TVC:US10Y has kept the TVC:DXY under pressure, conditions that have supported Yen bulls. However, the latest wage data out of Japan may shift the short-term outlook just as the trendline is being tested.
Base full-time wage growth dropped to 1.9% year-over-year, down from 3%. This slowdown may give the Bank of Japan more justification to hold rates steady at its next meeting. If tariff-related panic subsides with any calming news from the White House, USDJPY could see renewed upside potential.
In the short term, two resistance levels are crucial: 146.50 and 147.50. The battle between bulls and bears is likely to play out between these resistance levels and the weekly trendline near 145.
USD/JPY: Long Setup as Regulators Move to Calm MarketsWe're seeing financial regulators schedule emergency meetings to calm markets just as USD/JPY approaches levels where it has repeatedly bounced over the past week, presenting a potential long setup for those willing to go against the prevailing grain.
Longs could be established ahead of 144.50 with a tight stop just below for protection, targeting a return to Tuesday’s low of 146.00 or minor resistance at 148.15.
Momentum indicators remain firmly bearish, favouring a downside bias. But in headline-driven markets like this, the signal may not carry its usual weight.
Good luck!
DS
USD/JPY Trend Today – JPY is Outperforming🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ Buying interest in the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains strong for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, as investors continue to seek safety in the traditional safe-haven currency amid growing concerns over a global recession driven by tariffs. Additionally, reports that U.S. President Donald Trump had agreed to meet with Japanese officials following a phone call with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba boosted optimism for a potential trade deal between the U.S. and Japan. This, along with expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may continue to raise interest rates due to rising domestic inflation, also lent support to the JPY.
Personal opinion:
➡️The JPY is performing better against the USD. DXY is having its second consecutive decline and shows no signs of stopping.
➡️Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/JPY 146.40- 146.60
❌SL: 147.10 | ✅TP: 145.80 – 145.10 – 144.50
👉Buy USD/JPY 144.45- 144.55
❌SL: 144.00 | ✅TP: 145.00 – 145.50 – 146.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY Forecast: AI Strategy Signals Selling OpportunityBased on the EASY Trading AI strategy, I'm spotting a Sell signal for USDJPY. The recommended entry point stands clearly at 146.206, setting a target (Take Profit) at 145.40433333 and placing a safe Stop Loss at 147.55933333. The decision reflects current AI-driven technical patterns that indicate weakening bullish momentum, hinting at a short-term bearish correction. A solid opportunity to capitalize on anticipated downward movement. Be cautious, strictly follow risk management parameters.
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh IncreaseMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Increase
USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 142.45 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above the 141.00 and 141.65 levels.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 141.20 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 140.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 141.65 against the Japanese Yen.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 141.20. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 142.45. The pair climbed above 143.00 and traded as high as 143.21 before there was a downside correction.
The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 139.88 swing low to the 143.21 high. The current price action above the 141.65 level is positive.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 142.45. The first major resistance is near 143.20. If there is a close above the 143.20 level and the RSI moves above 75, the pair could rise toward 144.50.
The next major resistance is near 145.00, above which the pair could test 148.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 141.65 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 139.88 swing low to the 143.21 high.
The next major support is visible near the 141.00 level. If there is a close below 141.00, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 139.90 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 137.50 region.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
April 23, 2025 – USDJPY Long📈 Bias: Bullish | Risk: 1% | 🎯 RRR Target: 1:3
🧠 Reasoning:
Price rejected from HTF zone (previous lows that caused a strong bullish move).
Took a long during London session after a 15M BOS + entry from a 15M OB, confirmed by a 1M BOS ✅
🔍 Confluences:
HTF bullish structure
15M Order Block 📊
1M BOS confirmation ⏱️
Unfilled Asian range above 🌏
🛡️ SL: 20 pips, below recent lows – enough protection.
💬 Note: There was still a deeper 15M OB below, but this trade had strong confirmation. No regrets – solid execution & confident decision.
USDJPY – Searching for a Bottom After a Brutal DropSince the start of the year, USDJPY has been in an almost free fall, losing nearly 2,000 pips and breaking multiple key supports, including the critical 150 level.
Yesterday, we even saw a spike below 140, a level not touched for quite some time.
🔄 However, after that spike, the pair reversed sharply to the upside, showing strong demand in that area.
Interestingly, this zone was tested at the start of 2024 and again back in September, adding even more technical relevance.
📊 Despite the poor outlook for the USD overall, I now expect a meaningful rebound from here, aiming for a retest of the former 146 support, which has now turned into resistance.
💡 Trading Plan:
I will be looking to buy dips near the current support, targeting a 1:3 Risk/Reward setup toward the 146 resistance area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USD/JPY strong bullish breakout towards the resistance zonesCurrent price: 141.899, slightly up (+0.23%).
A major downtrend occurred earlier (highlighted with a thick blue measurement line inside an orange circle) showing a sharp move lower.
After the sharp drop, the price has consolidated and now looks poised for a reversal.
Green horizontal zones are marked as target levels (resistance zones) where the price might face some selling pressure on the way up:
First target: ~145 area.
Second target: ~147 area.
Final target: ~150-151 area.
The black squiggly arrow suggests the expected movement:
A slight dip or retest lower first.
Then a strong bullish breakout towards the resistance zones.
A green highlighted box shows the take-profit area (above 150).
A red box underneath shows the stop-loss area, just below 140.388.
An American flag icon under the price suggests upcoming USD-related news that could trigger the move.
Summary:
The trader expects USD/JPY to initially pull back slightly, then rally strongly toward the 145–150 area, targeting multiple resistance levels while protecting the position with a stop just below 140.388.
Long trade
Trade Overview: USDJPY Long Position
Entry Price: 140.312
Profit Target: 143.185 (+2.05%)
Stop Loss: 139.891 (–0.30%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.82
🕑 Entry Time: 2:00 PM
📅 Date: Tuesday, 22nd April 2025
🌏 Session: Tokyo PM
⏱ Observed Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
USDJPY showed a bullish internal break of structure on the 5-minute timeframe, confirming short-term strength and suggesting a shift in intraday trend.
Whykoff narrative
Dollar bounces back after Euro and Yen hit key levels | FX ReseaTrading conditions are getting back to fuller form following the Easter break. After taking another big beating in the holiday-thin trade, we're finally seeing some profit-taking on US dollar shorts from shorter-term accounts. We haven’t seen the euro above 1.15 or dollar-yen below 140 for some time, which could be adding to the excuse for some mild profit-taking. It's also possible the buck is feeling a little better with US equity futures pointing up. After all the recent narrative has been selling everything US, so a bounce in stocks could very well be helping the dollar to recover.
A Japanese Ministry of Finance survey revealed President Trump’s tariffs are already hurting about 10% of Japanese firms, with auto companies reporting cancelled orders and reduced factory hours. Tourism businesses are also fearing a stronger yen could deter visitors.
Meanwhile, Trump has continued to pressure the Federal Reserve, warning of an economic slowdown unless interest rates are cut immediately. In Germany, the government downgraded its 2025 economic outlook to stagnation from a prior 0.3% growth forecast. In the UK, BOE’s Green noted a weaker dollar could ease UK inflation but expressed concern over rising inflation expectations.
Looking ahead, we get a round of Fed speakers including Jefferson, Harker, Kashkari, Barkin, and Cougler, who are all likely to defend Fed Chair Powell and stress the Fed’s independence.
JPYUSD - might pull backThis could pull back for a couple of months. Is this move down on JPYUSD gonna fuel rally in Equities? Gold looks like it wants to pull back (may be to 21 EMA or even a deeper correction to $2000/OZ). DXY might have a relief rally or just chop sideways. US10Y could drop to 3.4%. Have to watch SPX, GOLD, GOLD/SPX ratio, BTC/USD, BTC/GLX, US10Y, DXY, JPY/USD and VIX. We have to figure out if the secular bear market is already underway on equities (which means we sell the bounce on equities and buy the dip on GOLD), or if there is more blow off top left in equities. Only time will tell. Massive opportunities ahead either way. So protect your capital
USDJPY Case StudyHey guys!
Trendline traders would be profited from this UJ trade last week or today.
The market structure before the supply zone that I draw was a messy, don't you agree?
I would not consider this supply zone to enter the trade. But, if you draw a trendline and the supply zone automatically aligns with the break of the trendline, it became the place where trendline traders put their sell limit to join the bearish moves. It was a beauty. As of now, my target is only 2RR for my small funded account, so yeah it is easy to achieve.
The supply zone met my requirement as below:
1. Supply was left with imbalance followed by break of structure to the downside.
2. After supply zone, there was SBR level present. SBR traders would benefited from this zone.
3. Price approaching in clean structure or candles.
Btw, I am not taking this trade since I draw my supply zone without try to place a trendline on the market structure before it.
What is your goal this week?
Mine still the same. Trade the same setup, if setup no present, I will continue watching "traders motivation videos".