USDJPY.1000.DUB trade ideas
USDJPY Analysis: Reversal Forecasts Based on Trading MathDear Trader,
Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels.
The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone.
To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns:
Doji’s
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Double/Triple Bottom/Top
Shooting Star
Morning Star
Hanging Man
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
151.17 145.09
154.26 142.09
160.53 136.19
166.93 130.42
173.45 124.77
180.10 119.25
186.87 113.85
193.77 108.58
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Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 148.24
1st Support: 145.39
1st Resistance: 150.06
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Tyree Thomas Jr USD/JPY Bias 4/7/25I believe that U/J will sell to my take profit at the green Fib extension. I will be posting my trade ideas every evening. I use the Fibonacci Retracement tool, the Fibonacci Extension tool, Six EMA's, Market Structure, and the TDIGM in my trading strategy to create my Bias.
USD/JPY(20250408)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
146.92
Support and resistance levels
150.22
148.99
148.18
145.65
144.85
143.61
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 148.18, consider buying, the first target price is 148.99
If the price breaks through 146.92, consider selling, the first target price is 145.65
USDJPY InsightHello and welcome, everyone!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba revealed after a phone call with President Trump that “Japan has been the largest investor in the U.S. for five consecutive years,” and expressed concern that tariff policies could undermine the investment capacity of Japanese companies. Japan and the U.S. plan to appoint ministers in charge of the tariff issue soon.
- The European Commission is set to hold a vote among its 27 member states on the 9th regarding retaliatory tariffs against U.S. steel duties. The level of retaliation is expected to be lower than previously announced, considering the possibility of negotiations with the U.S.
- U.S. President Donald Trump recently warned China that if it does not withdraw its 34% retaliatory tariffs, he will impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese goods.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 10: FOMC Minutes, U.S. March Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ April 11: U.K. February GDP, Germany March CPI, U.S. March Producer Price Index (PPI)
USDJPY Chart Analysis
As predicted last week, the pair failed to break through the resistance at the 151 level and dropped to the 144–145 range. It is currently consolidating around the 147 level, with resistance near 148, suggesting a stronger likelihood of a further decline. If the decline continues, the 142–143 range is likely to act as the next support. However, if the price breaks above the 148 level, a rebound toward the 151 level is expected. A break above 151 could potentially lead to a rally toward the 154–155 range.
USDJPY-BUY strategy 6-hourly chart Regression ChannelThe pair no doubt has been pushed lower on US recession fears, and changes in Yields. However, it has gone to far and too quick to my liking and feel we should have some corrections in the coming sessions.
Strategy BUY @ 145.10-145.40 and take profit near 147.57.
Yen Undervalued: Dollar Likely to Fall as Fundamentals ShiftThe USD/JPY pair's recent decline to 147.88 reflects an emerging shift in yield dynamics, with the US 10-year Treasury at 4.20% against Japan's approximate 1.10% yield. While this 310 basis point differential historically supported dollar strength, markets are now pricing in potential Fed rate cuts against speculation of BOJ policy normalization, narrowing the anticipated future yield gap. This fundamental realignment has accelerated yen appreciation despite the still-significant current yield advantage for the dollar.
The yen looks undervalued given Japan’s improving economy and rising prices, while the US may start cutting rates soon. The yen likely deserves a stronger level around 135–140 instead of the current 147.88, so despite short-term moves, the dollar still has room to fall against the yen in the coming months.
Short USDJPYUSD/JPY has perfectly tested my supply zone and shown a clear rejection. Based on this, we can consider opening a short position. Fundamentally, USD/JPY also appears weak, and the Japanese Yen is considered a safe haven. Given the current market conditions, this could be a good trade setup.
USDJPY Buy scalping positionI took this trade based on an uptrend formation in the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframe. Price is going back up to retest the last low on the Daily and 4hr timeframe, and there is a probability for a downtrend to form which will give us a swing trade. I'm just taking advantage of the retest move to make some extra greens. LOL
USDF/JPY Trading Trend Today - Short Term Bullish🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ The Japanese yen (JPY) started the week on a positive note as U.S. President Donald Trump’s broad-based tariff measures heightened fears of a global economic downturn, boosting demand for traditional safe-haven assets. At the same time, concerns that harsher reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. could negatively affect Japan's economy led investors to scale back expectations for a faster pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This, in turn, acted as a drag on the yen and helped the USD/JPY pair recover its earlier losses during the Asian session, climbing back toward its six-month low just below the key psychological level of 145.00, which was briefly touched on Friday.
Personal opinion:
➡️ In the short term, USD/JPY is recovering after being sold off late last week
➡️ RSI reversed to the upside after entering overbought territory and creating divergence.
➡️ Analysis based on Volume profile and important resistance - support levels combined with EMA to come up with appropriate strategies.
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 146.10 – 146.20
❌SL: 145.75 | ✅TP: 146.60 – 147.30 – 148.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 147.18 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 146.37
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.32
Support and resistance levels
149.17
148.11
147.41
145.22
144.53
143.46
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41
If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
USDJPY to continue in the downward move?USDJPY - 24h expiry
The rally was sold and the dip bought resulting in mild net gains yesterday.
Selling posted in Asia.
We have a Gap open at 147.02 from 04.04 to 06.04.
The medium term bias remains bearish.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 143.68.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 147.02 (stop at 148.02)
Our profit targets will be 143.68 and 143.10
Resistance: 147.02 / 148.09 / 150.49
Support: 144.58 / 143.68 / 143.07
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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