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USDJPY.P trade ideas

Market Analysis 11/1/24Hello everyone, welcome back to our daily market analysis. Today, we examined our fundamental data from yesterday and today. While reviewing, please bear in mind that today marks the commencement of the month. Consequently, we anticipate the emergence of concerning news for several currencies. However, we will primarily focus on the United States Dollar (USD). The USD’s NFP data warrants our attention due to its potential to induce volatility. As traders, it is imperative to consider these factors: the month’s inception and the possibility of a drop in NFP information, which could further amplify volatility. Today’s fundamental data indicates a favorable position for CHF, EUR, and JPY, while AUD, CAD, GBP, NZD, and USD exhibit a weaker trend.
by milesjohnson778
USDJPY INTRESTThe market is currently positioned at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level on the daily chart, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating an overbought condition. On the hourly chart, the market is consolidating around this 61.8% level, remaining within the "golden zone." It is anticipated that this consolidation will persist until a breakout occurs. I recommend adopting a strategy of entering buy positions at the lower boundaries and sell positions at the upper boundaries of this range.
by Profitsdaily
USDJPY with two probabilities for 10/31/2024This is my idea Nbr 19 after 17 ✅️ USDJPY with a high probability to make the decision for 10/31/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
USDJPY Analysis: Potential Bearish Bias for October 30, 2024Find out what’s driving a potential bearish trend for USDJPY today. Explore the latest analysis of USDJPY with insights on central bank policies, risk sentiment, and technical trends that could impact this popular currency pair. --- Introduction Today, October 30, 2024, USDJPY may lean slightly bearish as a confluence of economic and fundamental factors unfolds in favor of the Japanese yen (JPY) over the U.S. dollar (USD). This article analyzes the forces potentially influencing a decline in USDJPY, including central bank actions, the latest market sentiment, and key technical indicators. This analysis is essential for traders seeking insights into the short-term trajectory of USDJPY. Current Market Sentiment and Risk Aversion USDJPY typically reflects shifts in global risk sentiment, with the Japanese yen often viewed as a safe-haven currency. Recent signs of global economic caution have led to a “risk-off” sentiment, benefiting the JPY as investors look to reduce exposure to riskier assets. Additionally, concerns over U.S. economic stability have cast a shadow over the dollar, potentially encouraging a mild bearish tilt in USDJPY. Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY 1. Bank of Japan’s Policy and Yield Curve Control The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has remained consistent with its ultra-loose monetary policy, particularly its yield curve control (YCC) measures. However, with recent statements indicating potential tweaks to long-term interest rates, there is speculation that the BoJ may be open to slight policy adjustments to control inflation. A BoJ with even minor adjustments on the table could create downward pressure on USDJPY as expectations build for a stronger yen. 2. U.S. Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Outlook The U.S. Federal Reserve’s approach remains a major influence on USDJPY. As markets anticipate that the Fed might pause or slow down its rate hike trajectory due to signs of slowing growth, this uncertainty around rate increases could dampen USD demand, thereby adding to USDJPY’s potential bearish bias. Any U.S. economic data releases today, such as inflation or consumer confidence indicators, could further impact USDJPY if they reflect economic cooling. 3. Risk Aversion and Safe-Haven Flows Growing risk aversion in the global markets favors the Japanese yen, as it traditionally acts as a safe-haven currency during uncertain times. With geopolitical tensions and financial market uncertainty persisting, demand for the yen could increase, putting downward pressure on USDJPY. Investors often turn to the yen in times of volatility, and today’s market conditions support that trend. 4. Economic Data from Japan and U.S. Economic data out of Japan has shown moderate improvement, suggesting the potential for a slightly stronger yen. Japan’s latest industrial output and consumer spending figures indicate resilience, adding support to the yen. Conversely, any soft U.S. economic data today could reduce USD appeal, enhancing a bearish bias for USDJPY. Technical Overview On the technical side, USDJPY is trading near key resistance levels, and a downward break could signal further declines. With momentum indicators such as the RSI showing overbought conditions, traders might see bearish opportunities if USDJPY breaks below the 20-day moving average. A drop below key support levels could further confirm a short-term bearish outlook for the pair. Conclusion The USDJPY outlook for today points to a slight bearish bias, fueled by risk aversion, potential policy tweaks from the BoJ, and moderate U.S. dollar weakness in the face of Fed uncertainty. While there are several factors at play, traders should monitor any significant data releases that could shift sentiment and impact the USDJPY trend. This analysis is essential for traders focused on USDJPY’s short-term fluctuations amid shifting economic indicators and market sentiment. --- SEO Keywords: USDJPY analysis, USDJPY today, Japanese yen forecast, USDJPY bearish bias, Bank of Japan policy, Federal Reserve outlook, USDJPY risk sentiment, forex trading USDJPY, USDJPY technical analysis, USDJPY trend.
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USDJPY with two probabilities for 10/29/2024USDJPY with a high probability to make the decision for 10/29/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Short
by Abderrahmane_24
USDJPY 4hr LongUSDJPY ✅4hr Long✅ 💰ENTRY: 153.262 💰STOP LOSS: 152.410 ✅TP TARGETS✅ ⏰TP1: 154.105 ⏰TP2: 154.980 ⏰TP3: 155.798 ✅ 1. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10/50/200 EMAs. ✅ 2. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid pullback into the 10 EMA with at least 2 bearish candles. ✅ 3. Price has made a 123 Advanced Engulfing candle above the 50ema. This is a great example of the 123 Advanced Engulfing strategy.
Long
by angelvalentinx
Yen slips to 3-month low after Japanese electionThe Japanese yen is lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.63, up 0.22% at the time of writing. The yen weakened as far as 153.88 but has pared most of the losses. The new trading week has barely begun but the markets are busy digesting the drama out of Tokyo. The snap parliamentary election over the weekend was a disaster for new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, as his Liberal Democratic Party (LPD) coalition won just 215 seats, short of the 233 majority. Ishiba has been in power for only a month and the snap election backfired as the LDP lost its parliamentary majority for the first time since 2009. It’s unclear if Ishiba will be able to cobble together a majority and the political uncertainly could push the yen, which is trading at 3-month lows, even lower. The election bombshell comes just ahead of the Bank of Japan’s on Oct. 31. The BoJ is expected to maintain policy settings and will release updated growth and inflation forecasts. The BoJ has intervened in the past when the yen showed a sharp and quick decline and there is speculation that the central bank might intervene if the yen falls to 155 or 160 per dollar. The US wrapped up the week with mixed results. Durable Goods Orders declined 0.8% in September, unchanged from a revised -0.8% reading in August and above the market estimate of -1%. The UoM Consumer Sentiment index improved slightly to 70.5 in October, above 70.1 in September, beating the market estimate of 69.0. USD/JPY continues to push through resistance lines. The next resistance line is 153.94 152.03 and 151.68 are providing support
by OANDA
QUESTION 2SUBJECT: INVITATION TO A SUBSTANCE ABUSE SEMINAR The Department of Health will be visiting the college to educate students about substance abuse. This decision was influenced by the rapidly rising number of substance abuse cases and the associated health and socio-economic burdens in South Africa. Remember, substance abuse is a contributing factor to health-related conditions such as death, injuries, violence, HI/AIDS, tuberculosis and chronic diseases like cardiovascular disease, cancer and mental disorders. Being there will helps you learn as much as possible to avoid such a situation and enable you to support a friend who is already in danger. The speaker will address the following questions/topics and distribute pamphlets: 1. What is Addiction 2. The different types of addiction 3. How can you tell when someone is addicted 4. The effects of addiction 5. Organisations you can go to for help
by Thapelo_Mlangeni
Weekly Forecast: A High Volume Week Ahead!Common themes across the board with daily rallies that need to exhaust sooner or later and price approaching (if not already in) weekly EPD levels which overlap with Order Blocks or Fair Value Gaps. With an abundance of opportunity in the market, be careful not to marry your bias by maintaining a neutral perspective on all pairs. My Bias for the week is as follows: DXY - LONG EURUSD - SHORT AUDUSD - SHORT GBPJPY - LONG USDJPY - LONG
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader