NFP Crash USDJPYMajor zone rejection to trap the bulls then we will send UJ to 138.000... Risk to reward is nice... Don't trust the Fed... The idea to get rich shorting the dollar... Zero Faith in it. Belt up.
USDJPY.P trade ideas
USDJPY TF 4H 41024wait till price come into the zone and break out with big green/red candles
entry (TF 2h,4h)
SL at previous low/high
TP at Fibonacci
"Mastering Trend Trading: Strategies for Consistent Profits"Trading with the trend is one of the most reliable strategies to maximize your profits while minimizing risk. The trend represents the general direction the market is moving—whether up (bullish) or down (bearish). By identifying and following the trend, you can enter trades with higher probabilities of success Don't rush into a trade. Wait for the trend to be confirmed. For instance, in a bullish trend, you want to see a bullish candle close above your moving averages with no lower shadow (or wick). In a bearish trend, wait for a bearish candle to close below the moving averages with no upper shadow.
USDJPY on 4 HourPrice has reached a key area of resistance looking left, where a powerful movement has previously occured. Price has formed 2 rejections at the zone currently, displaying a spinning top indecision candlestick, and is currently in a consolidation triangle on the lower timeframe. Looking for one last rejection to occur at resistance for a high Reward / Risk ratio setup, or a breakdown of the triangle pattern on the lower timeframe for confirmation that sellers are ready to push price lower again.
USDJPY still has more downside on daily & weekly tfStructurally I'm looking for rejection at 147-149.8 range. Look for renewed selling action below 144 to confirm. Still seeing additional unwinding of the yen carry trade as highly likely over subsequent days & weeks. Targeting 136, 131, and 126 handles on weekly structure as we approach Q1 of 2025.
Particularly as the US Federal Reserve is pressured to cut rates further with recent data.
Entering short positions gradually but the majority is already in place.
USDJPY 4H Short selling USDJPY 4H Short selling
Directly enter the short market near the current price of USDJPY at 146.60,with a stop loss level at 148.400.
Volume distribution+price trading behavior rectangular oscillation+harmonic pattern+support resistance level+Bearish Pinbar=short selling
The first target is to look around 143.746,reduce the size of the warehouse by half,and promote protection.
Look around 140.260 for the second target position,then halve the warehouse and push for protection.
If the price does not hit a new low, look for opportunities to go long in reverse.
USDJPY SellSelling after yesterdays daily bullish imbalance taking my sells back to 145.000 I see liquidity set on the 1-5 min time frame and a big gap on the daily imbalance.
usdjpy up again, back on trackusd and jpy back on track, up again with target arround 161/2 for now, up to the records again, DXY going up again so dragging all the usd UP, in my opinion,
this dea based on many divergences and price already started to jump up again to try to reach the last 161/2.
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
YEN/USD short, USD long and making milkshake.Japan is stuck in a debt trap.
Shorting the YEN/USD: Milkshake and Carry Trade going hyperpolic
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced the end of its interest rate hiking cycle on September 20, 2024. This decision was made to stabilize the economy and prevent further market disruptions. The BOJ had to stop increasing rates at 25 basis points, or 0.25%.
They can’t go higher to "normalize" their interest rates. Japan is stuck as a carry trade slave. Foreign investors borrow in Yen at low rates, convert the money into USD, and buy US Treasuries or other riskier assets with higher returns. A weakening Yen increases the weight of their foreign debt.
Japan has the highest debt-to-GDP ratio at 261%, higher even than Venezuela which is at 240%. This is why the BOJ was trying to "normalize" its central bank interest rate, increasing it from the decimal 0.05% level.
However, the BOJ announced on September 20, 2024, that they can’t go higher than 0.25% as this is bringing in too much inflation. So, in a nutshell, the BOJ can’t use its central bank rate to control inflation. Japan is stuck in a major debt crisis, and by trying to increase its interest rate for the first time in 17 years, it has exposed its central weakness.
This is why foreign predatory investors and traders are going to exploit it at hyperbolic levels. The Dollar Milkshake Theory is in full effect here. It is no longer a "theory. The Yen Carry Trade hyperbolic mode has started. The US Dollar Milkshake on behalf of the Yen is ramping up fast.
Operation Milkshake is a go! 😂
The Japanese are stuck in a deadly debt cycle.
The situation is dire!
OMS
P.S. On SOFR, its spread over the Funds Rate is spiking and the highest outliers of the SOFR average rate are suggesting increasing counterparty risk on top of the elevated overall risk.
Watching this like a hawk.
USDJPY LONGI believe that this needs a retracement before doing another up move which is always needed in the market.
Market also broke 4 hour previous resistance area(146.469) which is also a good sign that market can push higher onto the a higher level.
On the daily, price still has not broken its current resistance area(147.149) which could cause a retracement back to 144-145 area
Let me know what you think
USDJPY LongUSDJPY has created a range where liquidity will be set based on the 5 min/15 min time frame the momentum looks to be bullish and seems to be creating more structure within the range as well.
USDJPY 1WUSDJPY 1W: USDJPY seems to have completed the impulse swing and ready for correction of larger degree wave 2.
THREE AREAS TO POTENTIALLY BUY FROMUSD/JPY 4H - As you can see price has left without us, failing to trade down and into the two zones I had marked out below, instead price swept just above before taking its next hike.
I dont want to miss the next bull-run and I believe price will have to come down and into the last sell to buy region we have here on the 4H timeframe, all I have done is gone ahead and refined the area slightly for us.
I have marked out the hidden order block that lays in the same area as the last sell to buy region. I would like for price to clear this inefficient structure, pick up more demand and take off to the upside.
We could look to short this market before we go long, but with it being a prevailing bullish trend as we know that is going to be somewhat risky, so its important that if we do go short we wait for confirmation first.
USDJPY BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
#USDJPY: +1600 Pips Move Will DXY Bounce Back? FX:USDJPY
USDJPY has changed the character of the price, now the price shows a strong sign of bullish momentum kicking in the market. We are yet to wait for the news which is coming out tomorrow. It might make a big impact the future trend of the USDJPY. Good luck
Yuletide winds and smooth sailing?
* Double bottom breached with a daily fair value gap as the next significant draw on liquidity
* price has shown willingness to move in one direction
* O.T.E + 1H fvg + orderblock for bullish moves
* Possible reversal areas (price moves in waves)
USD/JPY LONGWeaker Yen. Stronger US data after large inflation drop and large rate cut. Oversold previous months.
USD/JPY : First Long, Then SHORT ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USD/JPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after a sharp decline, the price created a large liquidity gap, which has just been filled at the moment. Currently, the price is trading around the 145.660 level, and after an initial bullish move, I’m expecting a further correction. So, first a LONG position, then a SHORT!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY 1D IdeaPossible bullish pullback price movement on USDJPY towards the resistance 151.200 within the next period.
USD/JPY going upPrice has been going up since yesterday's (2/10/2024) London session, I expect it to continue going up, at least till the zone I have marked on my chart.
Sell OpportunityInstrument: USD/JPY
Position: Sell
Entry: 146.860
1st Target: 145.215
2nd Target: 141.715
Stop Loss: 148.100
Rationale:
The USD/JPY pair is exhibiting signs of a bearish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential downward movement.
USD/JPY at Key Support: Bounce or Breakout?Hey traders! USD/JPY is approaching a crucial support zone. If the price pulls back and holds at this level, we could see a strong rebound. However, if it breaks through the resistance above, we may see a bullish breakout toward our first target.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Support Zone: Keep an eye on this level for a potential bounce.
Resistance Breakout: If we see a breakout above the resistance, thE TARGET WILL BE NUMBER 1 .
