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USDJPY.P trade ideas

Why Now is the Time to Go Long on USDJPY: A Trader’s PerspectiveCurrent Fundamentals: -Diverging monetary policies: The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance, while the Bank of Japan continues its ultra-loose policy. -Economic growth disparity: The US economy shows resilience, outpacing Japan's growth rate. -Interest rate differentials: Higher US yields attract capital flows, strengthening the dollar against the yen. I'm employing probability-based analysis to enter long positions in USD/JPY. Let's discuss what's going on with USDJPY! 12M: 2W: 1H:
Long
by Jasminex1x2
2
USD/JPY Bounce from Big SupportUSD/JPY is extending the bounce from support looked at yesterday. The pair is already trading through the first resistance objective at 141.69 which was the August swing-low. The next spot over head is the 143.45 level of prior support-turned-resistance from last week. And above that is the 145.00 handle. This one seems especially vulnerable too and decisive for the USD ahead of FOMC tomorrow. An aggressively-dovish Fed makes the prospect of bigger picture carry unwind more attractive. While a more prudent outlay than what's built-in for expectations with a 50 bp cut being priced-in could compel more of a short-squeeze scenario. For that, perhaps even the 145.00 level could remain of interest which, notably, is confluent with the bearish trendline taken from mid-August and September swing highs. - js
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY rebounds after US retail sales beats estimateThe Japanese yen is down sharply on Tuesday. USD/JPY is up 0.73% today, trading at 141.64 in the North American session at the time of writing. On Monday, the yen pushed below 140 per dollar for the first time since July 2023. The yen has looked razor sharp, gaining 2.9% in the month of September alone. The yen has surged a massive 15% in the third quarter, the best-performing G-10 currency. The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to raise interest rates by at least 25 basis points on Wednesday. The Bank of Japan, which meets on Friday, is expected to keep rates on hold. The BoJ has been an outlier among the major central banks and is expected to continue tightening, which has boosted the yen. The BoJ has signaled that further rate hikes are coming and this could occur as soon as December. In the US, today’s retail sales release was the final key event ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. Retail sales softened in August but the decline wasn’t as sharp as expected. Monthly, retail sales posted a small gain of 0.1% in August, down from a revised 1.1% in July but still better than the market estimate of -0.2%. On an annualized basis, retail sales eased to 2.1%, down from 2.9% in July and just below the forecast of 2.2%. The retail sales release is not expected to impact the Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday. The rate cut odds for a half-point cut stand at 67% according to the CME’s FedWatch tool, unchanged by the retail sales release. USD/JPY pushed above 141.17 earlier and is testing resistance at 141.72 There is support at 140.37 and 139.82
by OANDA
Usdjpy 1:3 risk reward ratio done i share this idea in previous.Usdjpy 1:3 risk reward ratio done i share this idea in previous. i take a trade in this pair and booked some profit i didn't reccomend any to take my trade because if my analyze goes in my favour then people like and if my TRADE IDEA GO AGAINST then some people say - if you don't know hoe to trade then why you post it , that's why i'm not going to share any trade that anyone can enter on trade and blame me .....
Long
by ANKITANAND07
2
USD/JPY may squeeze if Fed delivers dovish disappointmentUSD/JPY looms as a prime squeeze candidate should the Fed disappoint on extremely dovish market pricing, not only likely to benefit from the probable uplift in US bond yields but also recent shifts in market positioning. USD/JPY staged a decent reversal on Monday after slicing through the Dec 28 low of 140.273, printing a hammer candle on the daily. With RSI (14) nearing oversold territory and breaking the downtrend it’s been in since the start of September, directional risks may be shifting. I’m not rushing into a long trade just yet, but I am keen to see whether the price holds above 140.273 today. If it does, longs could be established with a stop around 139.60 for protection. Make sure you keep positioning front of mind given how volatile the pair has been recently. 143.63 looms as a suitable trade target with only minor resistance at 141.73 located in between. Good luck! DS
Editors' picks
Long
by FOREXcom
11
USDJPY H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 140.36, which is an overlap support close to the 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 141.41, which is an overlap resistance level close to the 50% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 139.60, which is a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
USDJPY - no sign of turning around at the moment💵USDJPY ANALYSIS 💸 - The Yen is still recovering very strongly since the USD/JPY pair fell to its lowest level in nearly 40 years at 141.95. - The recovery is mainly supported by many interventions of the Japanese Government. Especially the support from the narrowing of the interest rate gap between Japan and the United States. - The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates on Wednesday, while the BOJ will likely keep the current interest rate unchanged. 📌 TECHNICAL - On the daily candlestick chart of USDJPY (D1), the downtrend from the price channel (a) continues and the pressure from Ema21 acts as the main resistance. - USD/JPY has shown little reaction to the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level for now, which could be considered as the nearest technical support. - Once USD/JPY is sold below 139.420, it will have a more bearish outlook towards 137.046 in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level. - As long as USD/JPY remains within the price channel (a) and below the 21-day EMA, the bearish bias will remain dominant, and the notable technical points for the bearish trend are listed below. ✔️ Support: 139.420 – 137.046 ✔️ Resistance: 141.531 – 142.380
Short
by TheLeader_WOLF
USDJPY rebounds above 140 ahead of FOMC and pivotal BoJ meetingUSD/JPY finished lower overnight at 140.64 (-0.38%), paring losses from a fourteen-month low of 139.57. USD/JPY’s rebound into the close and bullish RSI divergence indicates that USD/JPY is looking for a short-term low. However, whether it can rebound to pressure crowded short USD/JPY positioning will depend on Friday's #BoJ meeting outcome. At the meeting, the BoJ is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged at 0.25%, with most of the focus on its forward guidance around the October meeting. Should Ueda indicate an October rate hike is possible, USD/JPY will likely dive towards the next level of support at 138.00.
by IG_com
USDJPY- Buliish trade setup on 15 Minutes Timeframe Entry: The entry is at 140.870, which occurs upon a retest of the breakout from the handle. Take Profit: The take profit is set at 142.00, aligning with the measured move projection from the cup formation. Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 140.540, positioned just below the handle’s low to protect against false breakouts. Additional Insights: Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at 140.870, the take profit at 142.00, and stop loss at 140.540, this setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The risk is approximately 33 pips, and the reward is around 113 pips. Confirmation: The chart shows the handle forming, with a possible retest of the breakout line. Watch for confirmation with increased buying volume or a bullish candlestick pattern before entering. Tips: Volume: Increased volume during the breakout would strengthen the setup. Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop to lock in profits if the price moves favorably toward your target. This is a classic example of a Cup and Handle pattern in action, and it looks well-positioned for a bullish continuation.
Long
by factoryforex01