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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

Dollar Weakens Post-Fed, Lifting Yen Beyond 148.5The yen strengthened past 148.5 per dollar, rising for a second session as the dollar weakened after the Fed reaffirmed two rate cuts this year. Fed Chair Powell downplayed Trump’s tariffs as short-lived. The BoJ kept rates at 0.5% on Wednesday, adopting a cautious stance amid global risks, especially US tariffs. It also emphasized monitoring forex markets and their impact on the economy. Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
USDJPY UPDATE 19th MARCH 2025The price is currently rising as anticipated. I took partial profits already since price surpassed half of what I expected. I also moved Stoploss to 149.443 to protect the remaining open position just incase. I hope you guys took the trade too. If not, do not panic as the market always gives new opportunities. STAY ALERT REMINDER 1.Never get to confident as the market can always surprise you in ways you can't even imagine, so always use proper risk management. 2. We learn everyday.
Long
by louqmanh
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders, Due to USD weakness, this pair presents a potential short opportunity. We have a valid supply zone, strengthened by liquidity presence. 🔹 Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Wait for a liquidity sweep before entering. 2️⃣ Let the price tap into the supply zone. 3️⃣ Switch to a lower timeframe (5M or 15M) for precise entry confirmation. 4️⃣ Look for a Mitigation Block or Fair Value Gap (FVG) as an entry trigger. ⚠️ Risk Management is Key: Always manage risk, avoid greed, and never trade blindly. Stick to your plan, and let the market come to you. Wishing you all the best & happy trading! 🚀📊 Thank you!
Short
by SuvashishFx
USDJPY Tests Cup and Handle Formation Ahead of FOMCUSDJPY has formed a cup-and-handle pattern just below the 150 level. Today, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates steady at 0.50%. Wage negotiations so far indicate a 5.46% wage increase, which Governor Ueda described as "somewhat strong." Combined with rising food prices, the risk of further inflation has increased. Japan's inflation has remained above 2% since early 2022, and there’s no sign of that trend reversing anytime soon. In light of these factors, the BOJ is likely to consider a rate hike in May. However, today’s market focus will shift to the FOMC. The Fed is expected to raise its inflation and unemployment forecasts while lowering its growth forecast due to the anticipated effects of new U.S. trade policies. These stagflationary pressures are likely to keep the Fed’s rates elevated for an extended period. If the dot plot shows only one rate cut this year (instead of two as projected in December), the dollar index may begin to recover. The 150 level remains a key resistance for USDJPY. A confirmed breakout of the cup-and-handle pattern has the potential to push the pair towards the 153 level over the medium term. However, given the underlying fundamentals favoring BOJ rate hikes, any upward movement will likely be slower and more choppy, unless of course FOMC goes full hawkish. On the downside, if the Fed is less hawkish than expected, 149 (and sliglty below)becomes the critical support to watch. A break below 149 would invalidate the bullish pattern and shift momentum to the downside for USDJPY.
by ftdsystem
2
USD/JPY 4H – Short Setup at Upper Trend Channel Projection.USD/JPY 4H – Short Setup at Upper Trend Channel Projection USD/JPY is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel. Price is approaching the upper trend channel projection, a key area derived from parallel structure analysis. While this level has not been tested multiple times, it aligns with the broader bearish trend, making it a potential rejection zone. If price fails to close above this projection on the 4H timeframe, a short position will be executed with a stop-loss above the recent highs. The initial target is the previous lows at 146.60, while the extended target is the lower trend channel trendline. Watching for confirmation before entry.
Short
by Norsefx
2
USDJPY bearish trend continuation below 150.60The USDJPY currency pair remains bearish, following the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows resistance at the 150.60 level, which marks the current intraday swing high. Key Levels: Resistance: The critical resistance level to watch is 150.60. A rally to this level followed by a bearish rejection could signal further downside momentum. Support: On the downside, key support levels are positioned at 148.15, 147.00, and 146.30, marking potential bearish targets over the longer term. Bullish Scenario: If the pair breaks above the 150.60 resistance and achieves a daily close above it, the bearish outlook would be invalidated. This would open the door for further rallies, with resistance levels at 151.46 and 152.36 acting as possible targets. Conclusion: The bearish sentiment remains strong as long as 150.60 holds as resistance. Traders should be cautious of rallies and look for bearish rejections near this level. A confirmed breakout above 150.60 would signal a potential trend reversal, favoring further upside. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
2
Analysis of USD/JPY Chart**Analysis of USD/JPY Chart** **Chart Pattern & Market Structure** - The chart identifies a **triangle chart pattern**, which often signals a potential breakout. - Price has been consolidating within this structure and recently **broke above the pattern**, indicating possible bullish momentum. **Key Technical Levels** - **Resistance Zone (~149.8 - 150.0):** Price is testing this area, which previously acted as a supply zone. A breakout above could open doors for higher levels. - **Support Zone (~148.5 - 149.0):** If price retraces, this area could act as a strong demand zone. - **EMA50 (~149.2):** Currently acting as a dynamic support, maintaining the bullish structure. **Potential Price Movement** - The chart suggests a possible pullback toward **support** before continuing higher toward the next resistance zone (~151.5 - 152.0). - If price breaks below the **support zone**, the uptrend could weaken, leading to a bearish scenario. **Trading Considerations** - A **successful breakout above resistance** (~150) could push price towards **152.0**. - A **rejection at resistance** might bring price back to **support (~148.5 - 149.0)** before another bullish attempt. - Traders should watch for **confirmation signals** (candlestick patterns, volume spikes) before entering trades.
Long
by elitetrader9090
USDJPY: Trading strategyI mentioned at the weekend that USDJPY will start to rise. This week, it started to rise continuously. Next, we need to pay attention to the resistance near 151. If it reaches it for the first time, we can try to short it. USDJPY sell@151-151.5 tp:150-149.5 Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $700,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Short
by KentJessie6
1
USD/JPY: Bear Wedge and Pin Candle Flash Warning SignsThe ducks may be lining up for a resumption of the USD/JPY downtrend. Firstly, it remains in a defined falling channel. Secondly, Tuesday’s reversal delivered a bearish pin candle, often seen around market tops. Thirdly, the rebound from last week’s lows resembles a bear wedge pattern, warning of a potential downside break and resumption of the bear trend. Momentum indicators aren’t fully on board, with RSI (14) and MACD trending higher, so the case for initiating shorts is not yet a slam dunk. But it should be on the watchlist. A break of the bear wedge would put a retest of 148.65 on the radar, with a move beyond that level opening the door for a possible flush towards 147.10, where buyers were lurking last week. If the price were to keep pushing higher and break channel resistance, the bearish bias would be invalidated. As covered in the attached analysis, when it comes to risks around rates guidance from the Fed and BOJ later today, this scribe sees those for the former skewed towards a slightly more dovish outcome than market pricing, and a more hawkish tone from the BOJ. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Technical AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a like or comment! Let’s master the market together. Please share your thoughts and encourage us to do more by liking this idea.
Long
by dkb14246
1
USDJPY Reversal: Bearish Momentum Builds Below Key ResistanceUSDJPY pair is showing signs of a bearish reversal after rejecting a key resistance zone near 151.241. The price has failed to sustain bullish momentum and has formed a potential double-top/wedge structure, indicating a shift in trend. Key Resistance: 151.241 - 152.097 (Strong supply zone) Bearish Confirmation: Break below 149.592 confirms downside continuation. Key Downside Targets: 148.195, 146.990, and 145.855 as major support zones. If sellers maintain pressure, a deeper pullback toward the 145.855 - 145.824 region could be expected. However, a break above 152.097 would invalidate the bearish setup and could push the price toward 154.090.
Short
by ultreosforex
Triangle Breakout in JPY/USD – Bullish Move Ahead?This TradingView chart represents a detailed technical analysis setup for the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The main focus of the chart is a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout, a common formation that signals potential price movement. In this detailed breakdown, we will analyze the following aspects: Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Support and Resistance Levels Breakout Confirmation Trading Setup Explanation Risk Management Strategy Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios) Conclusion & Trading Plan 1. Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation The chart showcases a symmetrical triangle, which is a continuation pattern that typically occurs in trending markets. It indicates a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers struggle for dominance, leading to an eventual breakout. Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle in This Chart: Converging Trendlines: The upper trendline (resistance) is sloping downward, showing lower highs. The lower trendline (support) is sloping upward, showing higher lows. Apex Formation: As the price moves closer to the triangle's apex, volatility decreases, creating a squeeze effect. Breakout Possibility: Once price reaches a critical point, a breakout is expected in either direction. Why is This Pattern Important? Symmetrical triangles suggest that the market is indecisive, but once a breakout occurs, it can trigger a strong price movement. Traders wait for the breakout direction to confirm the trade before entering a position. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support and resistance levels are crucial for identifying potential entry, stop-loss, and target areas. Resistance Level: A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in beige) is drawn at the top. This zone represents historical price rejection levels, where sellers have previously stepped in. A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate strong bullish momentum. Support Level: The lower support zone (marked in blue) acts as a buying interest area. Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, confirming it as a strong support level. A break below this zone would signal a bearish reversal. Trendline Support: The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle also acts as dynamic support. If price respects this trendline, it suggests bullish strength leading to a breakout. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Market Reaction The most important part of the setup is the breakout, which occurs when the price successfully moves beyond the triangle's trendline resistance. Key Observations from the Chart: Breakout Zone: The breakout occurs near the right edge of the triangle (circled in red). The price breaks above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish breakout. Confirmation Candle: A bullish candle follows the breakout, confirming buying pressure. Traders should wait for a retest of the trendline before entering. Volume Consideration: Strong breakout moves are typically accompanied by a rise in volume, increasing the likelihood of follow-through. 4. Trading Setup Explanation This trade follows a trend-following breakout strategy, where traders capitalize on price momentum after confirmation. Entry Point: The ideal entry is just above the breakout candle. Traders can also wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering. Stop Loss Placement: The stop loss is placed slightly below the previous swing low at 0.006652. This prevents excessive drawdowns in case of a false breakout. Profit Target Calculation: The profit target is set at 0.006795, which is calculated based on: The height of the triangle formation projected from the breakout point. The next major resistance level, aligning with historical price action. 5. Risk Management Strategy Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. Here’s how it is applied in this setup: Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): A good trade setup maintains an RRR of at least 2:1. If the stop loss is 33 pips (0.000033) and the target is 112 pips (0.000112), the RRR is 3:1, making this a high-probability trade. Position Sizing Consideration: Risk per trade should be limited to 1-2% of the total account balance. Leverage should be used cautiously, as breakouts can sometimes retest the breakout zone before continuing. 6. Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios) Bullish Scenario (Successful Breakout): ✅ If price sustains above the breakout level, it will likely continue to rally toward the target at 0.006795. ✅ A strong bullish momentum candle would confirm further buying pressure. ✅ If volume supports the breakout, trend continuation is highly probable. Bearish Scenario (False Breakout or Reversal): ❌ If price falls back inside the triangle, it indicates a false breakout. ❌ If price closes below 0.006652, bears take control, and price may drop further. ❌ A breakdown below the support level would shift the market sentiment bearish. 7. Conclusion & Trading Plan This chart presents a classic symmetrical triangle breakout trade with a clear entry, stop-loss, and target strategy. Summary of Trading Plan: Component Details Pattern Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Direction Bullish Entry Point Above the breakout confirmation candle Stop Loss 0.006652 (below support) Take Profit (Target) 0.006795 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Favorable (3:1) Market Bias Bullish (if price sustains above breakout) Final Considerations: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Monitor volume and price action for additional validation. Stick to the risk management plan to minimize losses. If executed correctly, this setup offers a high-probability trade with a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making it a profitable trading opportunity in the JPY/USD market.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
ONEUSD/JPY Asian Range Pullback Strategy Timeframe: 30 Minutes Key Session: Asian Market Hours (00:00 - 05:30 +2GMT) Strategy Rules 1. Identify the Asian Range Mark the high and low of USD/JPY between 00:00 - 05:30 ( +2GMT ) Only trade if the range is >25pips (avoids noise). 2. Wait for Breakout + Pullback Breakout: Price must close outside the range (candle body, not wick). Pullback: Enter on a 50% retracement of the Asian range. Longs: Breakout above range → buy at 50% pullback. Shorts: Breakout below range → sell at 50% pullback. 3. Trade Execution Entry: 50% retracement level of the Asian range. Stop Loss: Longs: Below the range low (for breakouts above). Shorts: Above the range high (for breakouts below). Take Profit : 1:1 Risk-Reward (RR).
Short
by MarcinHarasimFX