USDJPY trade ideas
No rate change. And price to jump up to at least $162 FX:USDJPY Not a professional but heres my take. Everyone expects BOJ to raise the rates to 5%. Current prices have adjusted to account for that. It will not fall much further.
I however think there is a possibility that they delay it until the next BOJ meeting on March 18-19.
Given trumps unpredictability and this meeting being 3 days after he is sworn in. They will want to wait to see what his first few weeks in office is like at least.
As such we should see a price jump at least up to $162 or more in the short term.
Bottom Wedge USD/JPY - Which side will we see a breakout from ?
-> Following FX:USDJPY downfall, price almost fell two percent this week.
-> Bottom wedge was identified, which side it will break down to is still to be determined. Either way, an upside breakout can justify a scalp on 5-15 min timeframe a after consecutive bull bars are seem. Looking at the other side of the coin, a downside breakout would lead to a third leg down a indicate that the bear trend is soon halting or reversing.
-> Most importantly, be cautious and patient with such trades, wait for breakout and follow through buying- or selling- to place trade. Remember that USD/JPY is reversing with a strong Yen and odds favour bears, as seen with bear flag on this 4h chart:
Will the bear flag will get a secong leg and gain downside momentum?, or will we have a failed trading range breakout with a short term reversal around the 156.000 area is still to be determined.
B setup
Peace
USDJPY💡The chart shows technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the H4 time frame. Broken Structure: After several tests of the support area, the price clearly broke the structure and support. This indicates a change in trend and possibly the beginning of a downtrend. After breaking the support area, the price may move down. A retest of the broken area can occur before subsidence resumes.
MACD indicator It shows a decrease in momentum over time, which supports the idea of a weak uptrend before breaking support.
⛔It is not investment advice for educational purposes only.
We are buying the dollar again with high risk - retail sales Technically, the price has lost important support and there is a high possibility of a fall, but fundamentally, the dollar is still strong and can climb to higher levels.
USDJPY Short on Regression BreakUSD/JPY has broken the uptrend regression channel and is now net short.
US$ is turning across a number of pairs, however volatility is due to arrive on the 20th with the start of Trump Presidency
Yen leads the way as currencies recoverThe US dollar is lower across the board, taking hits from news of a less aggressive Trump tariff plan and softer US producer prices.
The Yen has found additional demand after the Bank of Japan Governor made hawkish comments, leaving the door open for another BOJ rate hike as early as this month.
In the UK, softer inflation data prevented the pound from extending its recent recovery rally, though overall setbacks were well supported. The rise in UK house prices at their fastest pace since February 2023 may have also provided some offset.
Looking ahead, we could see significant volatility in the North American session with the highlight economic release being US CPI. Other notable events include Canada manufacturing sales, New York Empire manufacturing, the Fed Beige Book, and some Fed speak.
USDJPYON DAILY TF the daily structure of USDJPY is currently showing a bullish trend, but it looks like yen will make a bearish turn after the breakout of the ascending bullish channel.
Bank of japan monetary policy could see yen strengthens against dollar
The USDJPY pair is highly sensitive to interest rate decisions and economic indicators.
Traders should keep an eye on the Bank of Japan's monetary policy and the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
The pair's movement can also be influenced by global economic events, such as trade tensions and geopolitical developments.
Bearish Momentum ExpectedPrice rejected from 158.409, forming a potential downward setup. The target near the 151.746 support, the risk-to-reward ratio is favorable at 3.15.
Confirmation of bearish momentum may drive price toward the lower support, aligning with the RSI showing a loss of bullish strength.
Keep an eye on the 156.108 support as an intermediate level before the final target. Trade cautiously! 🚀
SCALPING USDJPY FOLLOW THE TRIPLE TOP PATTERNSmy idea for USDJPY. 30min on 13/01/2025
can this pair goin down to hit 156.500?
please discuss about this thing, comment on below
USD/JPY short There is divergency generated in MACD and stoch has dead crossing in 4 hours time frame.
Similar, other JPY pairs are also showing some divergency patterns.
Short JPY pairs.
USDJPY BULLISH1. We had a Daily Green candle as a confirmation to the Upside.
2. Wait for the price to come to daily pivot on 1H Time Frame with a rejection/Green candle to the Upside or di close of 4H Green candle as First entry and Second entry will be at the yellow zone, if price break below the daily pivot targetting major Resistance from the Monthly Time Frame as TP.
USDJPY POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on USDJPY
The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone, although the Trend remains bullish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the higher part of the market.
The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade.
A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at 1.04480.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
It's time to shortIt's time to short
When placing trades it is obligatory to observe mani management. Our team uses the transaction volume (v) calculated by the formula:
v = D / 30 000, where D - deposit
USDJPY 🇺🇸🇯🇵
BUYSTOP 158.870 TP 158.970
SELLSTOP 157.150 TP 157.050
This strategy does not involve the use of Stop loss, so when placing orders, you should have a clear system of working off negative trades in your arsenal. Our mani-management, mentioned above, allows us to use averaging
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USDJAPY
Trading successfully requires careful planning and effective risk management. For example, in the case of USD/JPY, the buy entry is at 157.50, with three potential take-profit levels at 158.70, 159.50, and 160.80. These targets represent key points where traders may choose to secure their profits as the price moves upward.
To minimize potential losses, a stop-loss point is set at 156.00. This acts as a safety net, automatically closing the trade if the market moves against the planned direction. Setting a stop-loss is essential for managing risks in unpredictable markets.
One of the core principles of trading is to never risk more than you can afford to lose. Using tools such as stop-loss orders and diversifying investments across different assets or markets helps mitigate risks and protect capital.
Success in trading also depends on the ability to learn and adapt. Markets are constantly evolving, and staying informed about trends, indicators, and external factors is crucial for refining strategies. Traders who educate themselves consistently are better equipped to handle changes and challenges.
Discipline and patience are key qualities for any trader. Following a structured plan, setting realistic goals, and avoiding emotional decisions can improve overall performance. Every trade, whether it ends in profit or loss, is an opportunity to learn valuable lessons.
By combining a disciplined approach with solid risk management techniques, traders can maximize their chances of achieving long-term success while navigating the complexities of the financial markets.
USDJPY BUY ANALYSIS FALLING WEDGE PATTERNHere on Usdjpy price form a falling wedge pattern and now try to go up so as line 157.542 has broken price is likely to go up more and trader should go for long with expect profit target of 158.140 and 158.883 . Use money management
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers!
Great to see you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The likelihood of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady has risen, pushing the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield above 4.8% for the first time since November 2023.
- China’s central bank and foreign exchange regulators announced an increase in foreign currency borrowing limits to defend the yuan’s value.
- In Japan, inflationary pressure is mounting, with rice prices surging 63% due to supply shortages. Additionally, base wages have seen their largest increase in 32 years, raising the prospect of a rate hike.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ January 14: U.S. December Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ January 15: U.K. December Consumer Price Index (CPI), U.S. December Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ January 16: U.K. November GDP, Germany December Consumer Price Index (CPI), U.S. December Retail Sales
+ January 17: U.K. December Consumer Price Index (CPI)
USD/JPY Chart Analysis
The price action seen in the 156–158 range is gradually expanding, with highs recently reaching the 159 level. Currently, the pair has retreated back to the 156 level, suggesting that a clear directional move may soon emerge.
1. If the pair breaks above 159, we anticipate an uptrend toward 162.
2. Conversely, if it falls below 156, a decline to 154 appears likely.
Japan's Economic Outlook: Steady Progress Amid UncertaintiesHello,
FX:USDJPY will see downside as Japanese economic data remain positive, with recovery ongoing. The BOJ's outlook appears accurate, as the economy continues to progress steadily. Although uncertainties persist, they are unlikely to prevent the BOJ from raising rates in the future. The current account surplus is now Y3.3525 trillion, with a Y2.6911 trillion surplus anticipated. December bank loans increased by 3.1% year-on-year, following rises of 2.9% in November and 2.6% in October. Robust bank loans indicate that Japan Inc is progressing smoothly. There are uncertainties regarding new US Trump administration policies in 2025. Nonetheless, the domestic economy is stable, with trade with the US being the only question. This will be a solid bearish opportunity that will unfold shortly!
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TradeWithTheTrend3344
USDJPY - Bullish TrendAs the US pairs are showing volatility and $ showing strenght USDJPY seem to be in retracement mode and preparing for the next move up.
Entry can be taken at CMP and SL the last HL which the pair made.
