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USDJPY trade ideas

Will the BoJ's hawkish approach affect the yen's strength? US equity markets plunged amid growing concerns that the Trump administration's tariffs, set to be announced on April 2, could be aggressively implemented. Goldman Sachs warned that US tariff rates could reach as high as 18%, potentially shaving 1.0% off GDP growth and pushing the unemployment rate to 4.5% this year. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled a continued tightening stance, stating that if persistently rising food prices lead to broader inflation, the central bank would consider raising interest rates. USDJPY broke below the support at 149.50 before retracing to 150.00. However, failing to reenter the channel, the price hovers near the channel’s lower bound. If USDJPY fails to reenter the channel, the price may break below 149.50 again. Conversely, if USDJPY reenters the channel, the price could gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 151.30.
by inkicho_exness
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The White House spokesperson mentioned unfair trade practices in a press briefing, citing examples such as the EU’s 50% dairy tariffs, Japan’s 700% rice tariffs, India’s 100% agricultural tariffs, and Canada’s 300% butter and cheese tariffs. As Japan was specifically mentioned, yen volatility has increased. - Ahead of President Trump’s reciprocal tariff implementation on April 2, discussions within the ECB are strengthening around the need to hold interest rates steady in April, considering the impact of Germany’s fiscal stimulus. This Week’s Key Economic Events + April 1: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Eurozone March CPI + April 2: U.S. March ADP Non-Farm Employment Change + April 4: U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s speech USDJPY Chart Analysis The pair has recently shown strong upward momentum, reaching the 151 level before facing resistance and retreating to the 149 level. As the current support and resistance range is quite narrow, it is crucial to observe the market for further direction. >>If the 151 level is breached, an upward move toward the 154–155 range can be expected. >>If it fails to break above 151, support at the 148–149 range will need to be confirmed. A further breakdown below this level could lead to a decline toward the 144–145 range.
by shawntime_academy
Trade Setup: USDJPYIn this video, I’m sharing a high-probability trade setup on USDJPY, explaining exactly why I am taking a buy, how I arrived at this decision, and my clear target for this trade. 🔍 What You’ll Learn: ✅ Detailed technical breakdown of USDJPY 📊 ✅ How I analyze market structure for trade confirmation 🔎 ✅ Key liquidity zones & areas of value 📉📈 ✅ How to set realistic targets and manage risk 🎯 ✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC) & price action analysis Whether you're a beginner or an advanced trader, this breakdown will help you understand the thought process behind a well-planned forex trade setup. 💡 Watch now and let’s break down the market together! 📌 Drop a comment – Do you agree with this trade setup? What’s your outlook on USDJPY? 🚀 👍 Like & Share this with a trader who needs it!
Long
by DagemFxStudio
USD/JPY - ShortWeekly (Bias Validation) - Price between EMAs → ❌ Ranging - Major Swing Point High: 158.880 Low: 146.543 D1 (Daily): Trend Bias - Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias - Major Swing Point High: 154.804 Low: 146.543 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias
 H4 (4-Hour): Trend Bias - Price below 200EMA & 50EMA on D1 → ✅ Bearish Bias - Major Swing Point High: 151.214 Low: 149.684 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - Price below Weekly VWAP → ✅ Bearish Bias - High-Probability Entry Zones (H4 OTE) - H4 OB (OTE) H1 (1-Hour): Trend Bias - Swing Point High: 150.953 Low: 149.684 - ✅ Break of Structure (BoS) + Volume Imbalance - H4 OB → (OTE) - H1 OB → (OTE) 🔲 Validate with VWAP:
✔ ✅ H1 VWAP must align with H4 OTE before entry
✔ ✅ If price rejects H1 VWAP + OB midpoint, strong trade setup 🔲 Entry Options:
✔ Option 1 (Limit Order Entry): * Place a limit order at the OB midpoint inside OTE * Set stop-loss below OB (for longs) / above OB (for shorts) ✔ Option 2 (EMA Confirmation Entry): * ✅ Enter when 9EMA crosses 21EMA near OTE * ✅ Must have Volume Imbalance Confirmation 🔲 Final Confirmation:
✔ ✅ High Volume on Structure Break → Confirms strong move
✔ ✅ Low Volume on Pullback → Smart money accumulation
Short
by warsam
USDJPY - Key Levels to WatchThe USD/JPY pair is showing an interesting setup on the 4-hour chart—here's what to watch: 🔹 1️⃣ Ascending Channel in Play: The pair is trending within a bullish channel, signaling an overall upward momentum. Traders should keep an eye on this structure for potential opportunities. 🔹 2️⃣ Support Zone Under Test: Price action is near the critical blue-shaded support area at 149.815. This level has historically held as a strong rebound zone. Buyer activity here could determine the next move! 🔹 3️⃣ Potential Scenarios: Bullish Case: A strong bounce from the support zone could propel the price higher, maintaining the channel's bullish trend. Bearish Case: A failure to hold the support level may lead to further declines, possibly testing the lower boundary of the channel. Insights for Traders: Patience is key—monitor the 149.815 zone for signals before committing to a trade. The combination of price patterns and volume data will provide clarity.
Long
by XTDB
USDJPY Week 14 29032025Our point of reference is what the market has provided. The pair was supplied from price 158.750 on 10-01-2025 making that price level our resistance. Price failed to push below 146.750 on 11-03-2025 and this will serve as a demand price. Price has retraced to 38% of the bearish move. Therefore in the short term, the pair is bullish. The market can play out the following scenarios. It can be complete bullishness that completes the retracement or It can be 61% retracement or The move can void the retracement bias and the main move becomes bullish And long term is bearish. So if you want to buy, you can entry price 150 (buy stop) take profit 152.5 stop loss 149.25 lot size 0.01 For those of us who wants to sell, we let the bulls run out entry price 146.750 (sell stop) take profit 140 stop loss 150 lot size 0.01 Disclaimer: Not a trading advice, practice on demo account from your broker If you like my post give it boost so that others can find it. If you disagree with my bias, leave a comment and let's chat
Short
by topekekere
USDJPY SHORT Same setup from previous week, Price respected structure, going to look for an opportunity again Market structure bearish DW Entry at both Weekly and Daily Weekly Rejection at AOi Previous Weekly Structure Point Daily Rejection at AOi Previous Structure point Daily Around Psychological Level 149.000 H4 Candlestick rejection Levels 9.99 Entry 95% REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient : Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat! : Christ is King.
Short
by mobbie_zw
USD/JPY 4H – Bearish Setup Forming?The pair is rejecting a major supply zone, signaling potential downside movement. A liquidity sweep paired with imbalance zone may have fueled this reversal, and price is now testing lower levels. 📊 Key Observations: ✔ Supply Zone Rejection: Price reacted strongly from the 151.200–151.500 zone. ✔ Liquidity Grab ($$$): Stops above the highs may have been taken before the sell-off. ✔ Imbalance (IMB) & Demand Zone: The 147.600–147.800 area remains untested and could act as a target. 🔎 Trade Idea: A short position could be considered upon a retracement into the smaller supply zone (150.600–150.900), targeting the demand zone below.
Short
by Marshall-FX
USDJPY Bullish OutlookHere is my analysis for USDJPY for the coming weeks. Price is approaching correctively towards the Lower time frame 0.618-0.500 area or Golden ratio, price is currently forming a Running Flat pattern and may react from that Buy zone area. Another scenario, price may be forming an Expanding Flat pattern or may go lower between 0.786-0.618 area before price reacts towards the upside. Once the price reacts on the Buy zone, it will be expected to impulsively towards the Sell zone area or Higher time frame 0.618-0.500 or Golden ratio. From there, we might be expecting a long-term Bearish Outlook.
Long
by TheDarkHorse93
USD/JPY BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG Hello, Friends! Previous week’s red candle means that for us the USD/JPY pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 150.465. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
ShortYesterday, I opened a short position during the Asian session and published my trade set up , but I ended up manually closing the position before the US open becauseI was a bit anxious about US GDP data.  But the main concern was the price was hovering around the major support and resistance area and I could see valid reasons to go long as well. The obvious reason for the long position was the price was forming big inverted head and shoulder patterns.    So, if the price broke above the resistance area, there would have been a great upside potential.   However, after the US session opened, I ended up opening a short position.  The reasons are written in the article I published yesterday.  Please read that article that is linked below. But another argument I would like to add for the bear scenario is this. In Nov-Dec 2024, we had a very similar set up ( dark blue rectangular box in the chart.)   At the time, the price was also forming the inverted head and shoulder at the same support/resistance zone.  Once it broke the resistance line, it took off to the upside.   And that same scenario can unfold this time as well. However, what is different between Dec 2024 period and the current period are: 1) VWAP (volume weighted average price) drawn from the major low in 24th Sept  was working as support but this time the same VWAP is working as resistance.   2) MACD and RSI were moving from bear zone to the bull zone, but this time they are moving to the downside from the bull zone.   Therefore, I think the momentum is to the downside this time. The only time will tell. My current short position is quite small. However, once the direction becomes more clear I plan to add more position because the move to the downside from here can be quite significant.
Short
by EbonyFalcon