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USDJPY trade ideas

Usd/Jpy 02-May-2025 AnalysisDisclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
USD/JPY ANALYSIS📈 Technical Analysis Report – USD/JPY The USD/JPY pair is exhibiting a strong bullish correction following a recent phase of dollar weakness against the yen. Price action has regained momentum, moving above key moving averages, which reinforces the bullish technical outlook. At present, the pair is trading near the 100 level on major technical indicators, suggesting potential for further upside. Expectations are for a continued rise from the 143 area towards the 148 level in the upcoming sessions, provided the bullish momentum remains intact. 📌 Key Notes: Bullish momentum strengthening above moving averages. Target zones identified between 143 and 148. Monitoring price behavior around critical resistance levels. ⚠️ Risk Warning: Effective risk management and capital discipline remain essential for sustainable success in financial markets. Always ensure proper position sizing and avoid overexposure. Wishing all traders continued success! 📊 #Forex #USDJPY #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalOutlook #RiskManagement #TradingSuccess
Long
by ramibakour8
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: Overal we can see strong bearish sentiment in the COT. and price will most likely continue lower - in the longterm. Because those short must be closed one day and it will be below the lows. Also if Market makers wants to build longs they will be also doing it below the lows. For new there is forming counter trend buy setup which I will probably take but its not point of this sentiment analysis. This is bigger picture view and if Market makers are bearish my longs countertrend trades will be taken with 1/2 risk than usually /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
26
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Breakout ahead of NFPThe U.S. Dollar plunged more nearly 12% off the yearly high against the Japanese Yen with USD/JPY rebounding off support at last week near the 2024 low. Initial resistance now in view at the 100% extension of the recent advance at 146.11 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement at 147.14- both levels of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Broader bearish invalidation is eyed at the 1.6185% extension / 2022 weekly high close at 148.67/73. Ultimately, a break / daily close below 140.25 is needed to mark downtrend resumption with the subsequent support seen at the March high-day close (HDC) / March high at 137.35/91 and the 78.6% retracement at 134.65. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 147.14 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 140.25 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline. -MB
by FOREXcom
Yen slides as BoJ cuts growth forecastThe Japanese yen continues to lose ground and is sharply lower on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.36, up 0.92% on the day. Earlier, the yen weakened to 144.74, its weakest level since April 10. There were no surprises from the Bank of Japan, which maintained its key interest rate at 0.5% in a unanimous vote. The BoJ has signaled that it plans to continue hiking rates and normalize policy, but the turmoil caused by US President Trump's tariff policy may delay the next rate increase until after the summer. The BoJ board cut its growth and inflation forecasts in its quarterly outlook report. The growth forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2026 was slashed to 0.5% from 1.1% in January and inflation is not expected to remain sustainable at 2% until the second half of 2026, a year later than in the January forecast. The forecast noted that US tariffs would dampen Japan's economy by weighing on global trade and consumer and businesses confidence would be impacted due to the "heightened uncertainties" over the tariffs. The markets expected a soft US GDP release for Q1 but the 0.3% q/q decline was well below the market estimate of 0.2%. This followed a strong 2.4% gain in the fourth quarter of 2024. The surprise decline was driven by Trump's tariffs, as imports surged ahead of the tariffs taking effect and consumer spending declined. The weak GDP figure raised the probability of further rate cuts and the markets are looking for up to four rate cuts before the end of the year. The Fed is in a wait-and-see mode, with little chance of a cut in May, but further economic deterioration could force the Fed to cut in June.
by OANDA
USDJPY feels like it's about to break the weekly downtrendLast week weekly candle closed as a bullish pinbar, signalling buying pressure. It has tried to break upwards twice this week already and I believe the third time would be the charm before we end the week with NFP. However, the road up would be tough with all the FVGs hence TP1 and 2 is relatively close to each other. Please do not risk more than 1% per trade。 If you like the idea, please help like the post and comment down your thoughts below! I would love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by MidasEdge
Technicals USDJPY Key Level (Horizontal Resistance) A horizontal resistance zone around 143.90 has been tested multiple times. Price is currently retesting this zone, marked as an "Entry Zone", suggesting a potential breakout or rejection. 2. Price Structure Prior downtrend bottomed near 140.00, then formed higher lows, showing a potential trend reversal. Current price is approaching the resistance with strong bullish candles, indicating possible momentum buildup. 3. Volume Volume spikes align with swing highs and lows, suggesting these moves were backed by stronger participation. 4. Scenarios Outlined Bullish Path (Black Arrow): Breakout above the entry zone could lead to targets near 147.00–150.00, continuing a bullish reversal. Bearish Path (Red Wave): Rejection at the resistance may cause a drop toward 140.00, forming a ranging or distribution pattern. The Fed (USD) maintains relatively high interest rates, while the BoJ (JPY) continues a dovish stance, creating upward pressure on USD/JPY.
Long
by xxChartWhizxx
USD/JPY Massive Support into BoJThe 140.00 level in USD/JPY has so far held the lows in 2025 after that price did the same in 2024. There was just one day of testing below that price last year and it was around the weekly open of the first FOMC rate cut for the last cycle. Sellers couldn't find much momentum below and a couple days later, when the Fed did actually cut, price put in a higher-low and then eventually reversed in Q4. But at this stage it looks more and more like we'll see eventual tightening of rates between the U.S. and Japan as inflation in Japan remains elevated and growth in the US somewhat weak. Timing remains the issue and USD/JPY has brewed several bear traps already this year. It seems unlikely that the BoJ will be too aggressive towards rate moves with the uncertainty of tariffs looming overhead, but tonight's rate decision is a quarterly meeting meaning the Bank will issue updated outlooks, and when they last did this on January 27th it allowed for a lower-low in USD/JPY that continued to spiral lower until the 140.00 bounce that showed last week. For resistance, 145.00 is a major level as this was prior support that hasn't yet been tested as resistance. - js
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Rejected at Trend ResistanceUSD/JPY extended more than 6.2% off the yearly low with price registering an intraday high at 148.65 on Monday before reversing lower. The focus now shifts back to this turn from downtrend resistance with initial support now in view. A closer look at Japanese Yen price action shows USD/JPY trading within the confines of embedded ascending pitchfork extending off the lows. The lower parallel now converge on near-term support at the May opening-range high (ORH) at 145.92 and the 38.2% retracement of the April advance / objective weekly open at 145.30/37 - a break / close below this slope would suggest a more significant high was registered this week / threaten resumption of them broader downtrend. Subsequent support objectives seen at the May open / 61.8% retracement at 143.05/24 with the yearly low-day close (LDC) at 141.56 . Initial resistance is eyed along-the median-line and is backed by key levels at 148.67/74 and the March high-day close (HDC) / 200 day moving average near 149.50/60 - a breach / close above this region is ultimately needed to validate a breakout of the yearly downtrend / suggest a larger trend reversal is underway. The first major technical consideration in the event of a breakout is eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the yearly range / 2022 & 2023 highs at 151.63/94 - look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Bottom line: USD/JPY has responded to confluent downtrend resistance with the pullback now approaching initial support and the first test for the bulls. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the lower parallel IF price is heading for a breakout here with a close above the 200-day moving average needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. -MB
by FOREXcom
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 145.89 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 144.44 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 148.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY..4h chart pattern..USD/JPY sell trade idea: **Trade Setup:** - **Entry:** 146.60 (current market price) - **Target:** 143.90 (270 pips profit potential) - **Potential Move:** -1.84% decline from entry **Key Considerations:** 1. **Support Levels:** - 145.00 (psychological level & recent swing low) - 144.50 (2023 resistance-turned-support) - Your target at 143.90 sits just above the 143.50 major support 2. **Resistance:** - 147.00-147.50 (recent highs) - 148.00 (multi-decade resistance) 3. **Fundamentals:** - Watch for BOJ intervention risk if JPY weakens further - US-Japan yield spreads remain key driver - Next FOMC meeting (Sep 20) could impact USD 4. **Risk Management:** - Consider stop above 147.50 (90 pips risk for 270 pip reward = 1:3 RR) - Price above 147.80 would invalidate bearish structure **Alternative Scenario:** If price stalls at 145.00, you may consider taking partial profits and moving stop to breakeven. Would you like me to suggest specific trade management strategies or analyze this with technical indicators?
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5