USDJPY TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level and bullish momentum then a trade for Buy otherwise skip this setup
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY: buy to sellstructure: range
liquidity: from weak swings to structural liquidity
orderblocks: demand and supply point of interests
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live)
Sell Limit 146.00
Stop Loss 146.80
Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days
2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00)
Sell Limit 145.20
Stop Loss 146.00
Take-Profit 1 144.00
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed
Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
NEXT WEEK CHECK USDJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAINEntry: around 146.060)146.110 ✅
Take Profit1 146.210 ✅
Take Profit 2: 146.363 ✅
Last Target: 146.570 ✅
Stop Loss: 145.888❌
*USDJPY| Weekly Breakdown - Bulls Took OverUJ was all bullish this week, no question about it. The chart made it clear—30M structure stayed intact, and market flow shifted heavily in favor of the buyers.
Liquidity was taken along the way, with higher lows stacking up clean, setting the stage for further continuation to the upside.
Not overcomplicating this one—bulls won the battle, and structure confirmed it. Now we look for smart ways to join that strength as price builds momentum into next week.
Stay with the flow, not against it.
Bless Trading!
DOLLAR; ITS A WRAP.We are done with the week. If you've not been profitable no need for panic cause the market never stops running.We will still have plenty of opportunities to come, what's important is to remain calm and sane and prepared for a new week.
Always trust the process and have a lovely weekend.
USDJPY-bias long Bullish indications:
Major support respected
Inverted HS formation in 15 min time frame.
Inverted hammer candle in 4 hr
Bullish divergence in 1 hr
Trend line resistance broken .
Bearish indications:
Lower lows lower highs.
Trade plan bias long @ 140.815
SL:140.429
TP1:141.300
TP2:141.708
Yen Edges Higher as Inflation SurgesThe Japanese yen traded stronger near 145 per dollar, rebounding as Japan’s core inflation rose for the third straight month to 3.7%, its highest since January 2023. The data strengthens expectations that the Bank of Japan may continue policy tightening.
Earlier in the week, the BOJ held rates at 0.5% but highlighted how rising wages are being passed on to consumers, keeping inflation elevated. Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized a data-driven path forward, keeping the door open for more hikes if needed.
The key resistance is at $145.30, while the major support is located at $142.50.
USDJPYUSD (DXY-based futures):
➤ +1,402 → modest net-long position (buying bias)
JPY (Japanese Yen futures):
➤ +144,595 → extremely net-long, near record levels
What This Means:
USD +1,402 = Mild bullish sentiment — large traders are slightly buying USD, but not aggressively.
JPY +144,595 = Very strong bullish sentiment — hedge funds and institutions are heavily buying JPY, suggesting they expect it to strengthen.
This gives a bearish bias for USD/JPY:
If JPY buying continues, USD/JPY may decline.
Bias: Short USD/JPY
Market next move 🔻 Disruptive Analysis – Bearish Scenario
1. Resistance Rejection:
Price has stalled around 145.40, showing hesitation.
The target area (~148.000) hasn't been tested yet, and prior attempts to break higher may face heavy resistance from institutional sell orders or prior supply zones.
2. Range-Bound Structure:
Current price action shows consolidation — multiple small-bodied candles.
Lack of volume or momentum may indicate accumulation or distribution — not necessarily a bullish breakout setup.
3. Potential Bearish Triggers:
If price breaks below 145.00, a short-term bearish move could occur toward:
144.30 – recent swing low support.
143.80 – demand zone based on prior accumulation.
4. Macro Disruptors:
Surprise BoJ intervention or hawkish policy tone could strengthen the Yen.
A dovish Fed statement or poor U.S. economic data could drag USD down sharply.
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📉 Alternate Scenario Chart Sketch (Hypothetical):
148.000 ──────── (Target denied - strong resistance)
↑
Rejection
↓
145.000 ──────── (Breaks support)
↓
144.300 ──────── (First bearish target)
↓
143.800 ──────── (Deeper retracement zone)
CHECK USDJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAINusdjpy sell now ✅
entry point (145.400) (145.300)
TAKE PROFIT 1: (145.000)
TAKE PROFIT 2: (144.500)
LAST TARGET (144.100)
STOP LOSS (145.800)
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart (June 20, 2025)4-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the USD/JPY currency pair's performance, showing a current value of 145.328 with a slight decrease of 0.112 (-0.08%). The chart highlights a recent downward trend following a peak near 145.950, with a shaded area indicating a potential resistance zone around 145.500-145.950. The time frame spans from early June to the present date, with key levels marked at 145.000, 144.478, and higher resistance points.
USDJPY | BullishUSDJPY is in bullish continuation pattern with ascending channel formation and bullish divergence on RSI.
USD/JPY Holding Channel Support – Can Bulls Reach 146.30 ?USD/JPY continues to trade within a clean ascending channel.
Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel near 145.224 – 145.320, which aligns with intraday support.
If this zone holds, a bounce toward 145.774 and then 146.308 is likely.
A break below 144.887 would invalidate the bullish structure.
This is a technical analysis idea – not financial advice.
USD/JPY 2-Hour Forex Chart2-hour candlestick chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 145.513, with a slight increase of +0.074 (+0.05%). The chart shows price movements over the past 2-hour period, with a notable upward trend followed by a recent decline, as highlighted by the shaded area indicating a potential resistance or reversal zone. Key levels such as 145.701 and 145.106 are marked, along with the current time of 04:00.
USD/JPY) Bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY 3-hour chart suggests a bearish reversal setup, based on smart money concepts (SMC), resistance rejection, and price action structure. Here's a full breakdown:
Technical Breakdown – USD/JPY
Big Resistance Zone (~145.800–146.300):
Price has tapped into a major resistance zone (yellow box) twice (highlighted with red arrows).
Both rejections indicate strong seller interest.
The latest candle structure shows clear rejection wick, signaling weakness at resistance.
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Bearish Bias Confirmation:
Bearish structure forming after the second rejection.
Break of the rising trendline could accelerate selling pressure.
A measured move projection (-2.58%) aligns the downside target with the support level at ~142.144.
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Support Zone (~141.800–142.400):
Marked as the likely target zone.
Historically acted as a strong bounce area (visible from late May to early June).
Completion of ABC bearish structure aligns here.
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Indicators & Tools:
200 EMA (144.419): Price currently slightly above it — watching for a close below to strengthen bearish view.
RSI (14): Shows signs of bearish divergence and cooling off from overbought (was above 70 previously).
Volume spike during the rejection suggests institutional selling.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Forecast Summary:
Bias: Bearish toward 142.144
Entry Idea: Look for confirmation of breakdown below trendline (~145.00)
Invalidation: Strong bullish close above 146.300 would break this idea.
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Fake breakout, support, trend line and stop loss for USDJPYI am still bearish on USDJPY. However, you can see from the shorter time frame, there are multiple occasions where fake breakouts happen. This usually stops out the traders with tight SL. Unless you have a clear strategy, after being stopped out from this pair, it is highly likely that you will move on to other pairs/asset classes to find your next pot of gold.
But if you are persistent and have the patience, you will notice this fake breakout patterns. It is getting shorter and shorter. Now, with the support at 142.472, a breakdown will be great as it sends the price to 140 level.
If you wants to short now, it would be better to have a wider SL, say 145.60 , the previous peak where it is more likely not to surpass. A higher SL will mean you cannot be greedy in your position size initially to rein in the gains if it moves in your favour. It is better to have a small position and the market agrees with you than to go on an aggressive mode of say 5-10 contracts position size and shortly market moves against you. The stress would be too much to bear seeing the losses running........
Find one strategy that suits your personality , risk profile and work on it tirelessly.
USDJPYThere is an opportunity for a sell. Usdjpy has been following our analysis recently but lets wait and see.
Bearish AB=CDWhat's up, traders 👋
Let’s look at a clean Bearish AB=CD symmetry pattern playing out on USDJPY.
Price advanced from A → B, corrected sharply into C, then rallied again into D (145.767) — completing the AB = CD symmetry leg into a tight PRZ zone, now showing early signs of rejection.
🧠 Pattern Details:
Precise AB = CD symmetry
PRZ zone plotted with 145.504 (entry) to 145.793 (stop)
First target near 144.65 (100% extension)
Rejection aligns with short-term resistance + SMA 200 below
Textbook CD completion followed by indecision bar at D
Now it’s all about follow-through — we manage from structure, not emotion.
— C. Dela | #TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Major resistance ahead?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. The price could reverse from this level towards our take profit.
Entry: 145.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 146.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 144.62
Why we like it:
There is a pullback. support level.
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USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoringUSDJPY for a selling opportunity around 145.700 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 145.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 145.43
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 144.58
Safe Stop Loss - 145.90
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
