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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Trading RangeUSDJPY saw some corrections late on Friday. Overall, the pair remains sideways in a wide range of 143,000-145,100 and has yet to establish a clear continuation trend. The wider band in the sideways trend is extended at 146,000 and 142,000. The trading strategy will be based on the band that is touched. Pay attention to the breakout as it may continue the strong trend and avoid trading against the trend when breaking. Support: 143,000, 142,000 Resistance: 145,000, 146,000
by VHT_Trader
Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?USDJPY – Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support? 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Outlook USDJPY has faced strong downside pressure recently as risk-off sentiment boosts demand for the Japanese Yen, following escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied on geopolitical concerns but is struggling to sustain momentum near the 98.30 resistance zone. Despite the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, JPY is acting as a safe haven in current global risk conditions. Traders are awaiting next week’s monetary policy decisions from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, but forward guidance could spark major volatility. According to UOB Group, the dollar's recovery potential is weakening, and further downside toward 142.20 is possible, unless price reclaims the 144.60–144.95 resistance zone. 📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart 🔸 Trend Structure USDJPY remains in a mild downtrend, but price has bounced from the 143.074 key support zone. A recovery towards 144.624 is in play, but that zone must be cleared for bullish continuation. 🔸 EMA Outlook Price is currently testing the EMA 89 and 200 — a rejection from this area could trigger another move down. EMA 13 & 34 are now acting as short-term dynamic support. 🔸 Key Price Zones Resistance: 144.60 – 145.26 Support: 143.07 – 142.20 🧠 Market Sentiment Risk aversion continues to dominate as geopolitical headlines drive sentiment. The Yen is benefitting from capital protection flows despite Japan’s dovish stance. Large funds may be starting to hedge by rotating into JPY from elevated USD levels. 🎯 Trading Scenarios for June 13 📌 Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Rejection at Resistance) Entry: 144.60 – 144.90 Stop-Loss: 145.30 Take-Profit: 143.60 → 143.07 → 142.50 📌 Scenario 2 – Long Setup (Rebound from Support) Entry: 143.10 – 143.20 Stop-Loss: 142.70 Take-Profit: 144.00 → 144.60 ✅ Wait for confirmation at key levels — avoid trading in the middle of the range when volatility is headline-driven. ✅ Conclusion USDJPY remains trapped between strong resistance at 145.26 and buying interest at 143.07. If risk sentiment persists, the Yen may continue to strengthen. However, central bank decisions next week (Fed & BoJ) will be the major catalysts for any medium-term breakout.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Yen Rallies as Risk Aversion ReturnsThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 143 per dollar, marking a third consecutive day of gains as investors turned to safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran. The operation, aimed at nuclear facilities, heightened global risk aversion. Adding to market uncertainty were renewed U.S. tariff threats by Trump. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated the bank’s readiness to raise interest rates if inflation nears the 2% target. Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
by ChartMage
1
USD/JPY(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.73 Support and resistance levels: 145.09 144.58 144.25 143.21 142.88 142.37 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.73, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.25 If the price breaks through 143.21, consider selling in, the first target price is 142.88
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
trend lineUSD/JPY Technical Analysis – 1H Chart Price is currently testing a key confluence support zone formed by the ascending channel's lower boundary and the horizontal level at 142.78. A bullish rejection candle suggests a potential rebound toward the 143.88 resistance level. If this level breaks, further upside toward the upper channel boundary is likely. However, a confirmed break below 142.78 could signal bearish continuation. Monitor price action closely for confirmation.
Long
by piporia
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 143.94 1st Support: 142.68 1st Resistance: 144.52 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to ur take profit. Entry: 144.11 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 145.07 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 142.00 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY: Bottom formation successful. Strong buy.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.191, MACD = -0.020, ADX = 12.744) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. This is the bottom formation process straight after rebounding on the S1 Zone. The wider pattern is a Descending Triangle and the bottom formation suggests that the new bullish wave is about to be initiated. Go long and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 153.500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
USDJPY Over the past year, the yen has appreciated significantly against the dollar. Interest Rate Decisions Federal Reserve (Fed): The Fed’s policy rate remains at 4.25–4.50%, with markets increasingly expecting a rate cut as US inflation data cools and labor market data softens. Bank of Japan (BoJ): The BoJ’s short-term policy rate is set at 0.5% (unchanged since March 2025), and the central bank continues a cautious approach, with no recent hikes or major policy shifts. 10-Year Government Bond Yields US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Recently declined to around 4.348% after softer US inflation data, reflecting expectations of Fed easing. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Stands at approximately 1.45%, having edged lower amid strong demand at recent bond auctions and the BoJ’s continued yield curve control. Implications for USDJPY The narrowing yield differential between US and Japanese 10-year bonds (now roughly 2.93%) is a key driver of the yen’s recent strength against the dollar. As US yields fall on expectations of Fed rate cuts, the appeal of the dollar over the yen diminishes, supporting further yen appreciation. The BoJ remains cautious, but with inflation in Japan still below target and growth subdued, there is little pressure for rate hikes, keeping the policy gap wide but shrinking as the Fed pivots dovish. Conclusion The USDJPY has weakened as US yields fall and the Fed signals a dovish tilt, while the BoJ holds steady. The pair is likely to remain under pressure if US yields continue to decline and the Fed moves closer to rate cuts, narrowing the US-Japan yield gap further. #USDJPY
Short
by Shavyfxhub
The US dollar retreats as the Japanese yen stages a resurgence.The USD/JPY has continued to decline, hitting a low of around 143.50 during the European session, marking a new weekly low. In terms of exchange rate dynamics, the key support level lies at 142.500, which has withstood multiple tests recently without being breached. A valid break below this level would open up further downward space, with the next support to be monitored at 141.78 (lower Bollinger Band). On the upside, resistance is seen near 145.500, a level that has repeatedly formed phased highs and suppressed price rebounds. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Short
by Ashbur
USD/JPY bounces off trend but risks tilted to downsideWith equity markets well off their earlier lows, the USD/JPY is also bouncing back, although it is not out of the woods yet with risks remaining tilted to the downside amid signs of weak inflation data and Trump's tariff threats. Technically, the USD/JPY has been in consolidation mode, but a potential break of the trend line could trigger a sharp drop towards 142.00 and then 140.00. For now, the trend line is providing support, but with the dollar slumping against other currencies, the USDJPY could also take a tumble should we see renewed weakness in stocks. Resistance comes in at around 144.00. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
by okako_trading
USD/JPY) bearish Technical Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: --- Trend & Price Action The chart shows a descending trendline connecting recent lower highs, indicating a downtrend. Current price: 143.548 Price has recently rejected off the trendline and started to fall, suggesting continued bearish momentum. A red arrow marks the rejection point, emphasizing a key resistance area. --- Technical Indicators EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): At 144.459 — the price is currently below the EMA, reinforcing the bearish outlook. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI (14) values: around 35.45, which is near the oversold threshold (30) but not quite there yet. Indicates increasing bearish momentum but no reversal signal yet. --- Support Levels Identified 1. Support Level (Target 1): ~142.280 First target point for bears. Likely to see some reaction or consolidation here. 2. Big Support Level (Target 2): ~140.382 A stronger, more significant support zone and a deeper bearish target if the first support breaks. --- Bearish Target Scenario The projected path (in black lines) suggests: A further drop into the 142.280 zone. If that breaks, a continuation toward the 140.382 level. This suggests a swing trade setup favoring short positions if the price respects the current rejection zone. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion Bias: Bearish Resistance Confirmed: Rejection from descending trendline and below EMA200. Bearish Targets: Short-term: 142.280 Medium-term: 140.382 Risk Management: Watch RSI for potential bullish divergence near the second support zone, which could indicate reversal or consolidation. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is strengthening for the second day in a row against a weakened US Dollar (USD) and is moving further away from the two-week low reached the day before. The market's initial reaction to news of trade talks between the US and China faded rather quickly after US President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs. This, along with rising geopolitical tensions, curbs investors' appetite for risky assets and maintains the yen's status as a safe-haven currency. In addition, the yen is further supported by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may tighten monetary conditions amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. On the other hand, the US Dollar looks vulnerable near one-month lows as weaker US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday confirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in September. This, in turn, led the USD/JPY pair to fall below 143.50 in the last hour. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.30, SL 144.30, TP 141.30
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004