USD/JPY Multi-Timeframe Trading Plan – Week AheadUSD/JPY is trending higher short-term but remains below key resistance on the daily chart. The daily timeframe shows an inverted head-and-shoulders forming, with a neckline at 152. Until that breaks, rallies into 148–150 are likely to fade. The 1-hour chart shows a rising wedge from 142 to 148.5 with support around 145.0. Momentum is slowing, warning of potential exhaustion near 148.
On the 15-minute chart, recent price action shows a bull flag and a double bottom, offering buy zones at 146.10–146.30. The plan for early week is to long dips to this zone, targeting 146.80–147.20 with stops below 145.90. Watch for fades around 147.50–148.00 mid-week. A break above 148.00 opens room to 150.00; below 145.00, momentum shifts bearish.
Strategy: Buy pullbacks early in the week; fade rallies near 148 mid-week. Flip long above 148.00 or short below 145.00. Use tight stops and manage risk per trade.
USDJPY trade ideas
BULLISH IDEA ON USDJPYThe DXY is bullish and the JXY is bearish this means we can get to see good bullish momentum in this pair. USDJPY has been in an uptrend for a long time now and we recently saw a divergence that played out yet the higher low still has not been broken so this can be a good buying opportunity as price is at a good support level. Stoploss placed just below the higher low.
USD/JPY market structure with a clear bullish bias Technical Analysis Patterns:
A harmonic pattern is drawn with labeled points X, A, B, C, D forming what appears to be a Gartley or Bat pattern.
Fibonacci ratios (e.g., 0.618, 0.786, 1.618) are marked, typically used to validate harmonic patterns.
Zones:
Resistance Zone: A marked rectangular area around the 148.500 to 149.000 range.
Support Zone: Labeled at the bottom around the 143.500 level.
BOS (Break of Structure): Identified near the 144.500 level indicating a key bullish breakout.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 147.500 – 148.000 (current price 147.971 suggests it is within or near the entry zone).
Target: Marked around 151.000.
Stop Loss: Implied to be below the entry box, possibly near 146.000 or just above.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio is favorable, with a large green “Target” box and a smaller red zone below (Stop Loss).
Trend Analysis:
A strong bullish impulse from point C to D.
Market structure suggests a bullish continuation if resistance is broken.
Indicators/Tools:
Price measurement tools, Fibonacci levels, and drawing tools from TradingView’s toolbar are used.
Conclusion:
The chart depicts a bullish harmonic pattern with a potential long trade setup aiming for a breakout above resistance. The analysis includes well-marked support/resistance, entry/exit zones, and market structure with a clear bullish bias.
market structure with a clear bullish bias .
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025- USDJPY broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 150.00
USDJPY currency pair continues to rise strongly inside the c-wave, which recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 146.00 (top of the previous wave a), 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from March and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from January.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the minor c-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the end of April.
USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 150.00 (target price for the completion of the active c-wave).
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which ofThe MACD indicator shows that the DIFF line has formed a golden cross with the DEA line, and the red histogram has continuously expanded, indicating that the upward trend has been established. At the same time, the RSI indicator has rebounded from the oversold area to the level of 59.777, suggesting that there is still room for the exchange rate to rise. It is worth noting that the CCI indicator has broken through the 200 level, implying that there is a possibility of a short-term technical correction.
In terms of volatility analysis, the Bollinger Bands have widened. The upper band is at 147.845 and the lower band is at 139.942, indicating that market volatility is increasing. Currently, the exchange rate is moving within an upward-sloping triangular consolidation pattern. 150 constitutes an important resistance level in the near term, while 146 forms a key support level. In the short term, if the exchange rate can effectively hold above the 148 mark, it will further confirm the continuation of the upward trend.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
USD/JPYUSD/JPY Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Current Situation:
The USD/JPY pair recently tested the 141.38 level (a key price-time zone) with a false breakout on April 21, followed by a strong rebound.
This bounce held the price above the support zone and triggered a bullish move, pushing the price above the 144.81–144.87 resistance area and closing the week with a potential continuation candle to the upside.
Additional Insight:
This bullish phase may represent a retracement of the bearish impulse that originated from the 149.84–149.63 area, which is marked with the green arrow on the chart.
The broader trend remains bearish, so this could be a technical pullback before the downtrend potentially resumes.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 144.81 / 144.87 → 142.20 → 141.38
Resistance / Target Zone: 149.63–149.84 (crucial area for reassessment)
Lower Bearish Targets (if support breaks): 136.81 and 132.80
Trading Conclusion:
In this context, a continued move to the upside toward the 149.63–149.84 area is expected, but it will be crucial to closely observe price behavior at those levels.
Conversely, if the 141.38 support is breached, we may see a resumption of the broader downtrend with significantly lower targets.
⚠️ Note: The overall market structure remains bearish, meaning this current rally is likely a corrective phase. Caution and confirmation are key before taking action.
Yen Falls Past 145 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen weakened past 145 per dollar, hovering near a one-month low as the U.S. dollar strengthened with improving global trade sentiment and diminishing expectations of near-term U.S. rate cuts. The greenback gained momentum after President Trump announced a preliminary trade deal with the UK, the first since broad U.S. tariffs were introduced last month. He also signaled that tariffs on China could be eased, depending on the outcome of high-level trade talks set for this weekend in Switzerland.
Adding pressure on the yen, Fed Chair Powell dismissed the idea of a preemptive rate cut, citing persistent inflation risks and labor market concerns. In Japan, personal spending rose more than expected in March, suggesting resilience in consumption, though a third straight monthly drop in real wages highlighted broader economic challenges.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
USDJPY Elliott Wave Outlook – Bearish Wave (C) in Progress?USDJPY appears to be unfolding a classic ABC correction following the completion of a 5-wave impulse pattern. Price action recently bounced off the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~140.62), but faces resistance around the 0.5 retracement zone (~144.70), where price is currently testing.
Key levels and confluences:
🔹 EMA cluster around current price
🔹 Potential descending channel
🔹 Major resistance zones: 148.77 (Fib 0.382) & 151.92
🔹 Bearish wave (C) projection could extend toward the 137.99–139.62 area
Unless bulls break decisively above 148.77, bias remains bearish with possible continuation toward the lower boundary of the corrective structure.
Watching closely for price reaction at key EMAs and lower highs for short setups.
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 9, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) rises against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday and reverses part of the previous day's correction from a one-week high. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) March meeting showed that the central bank remains open to further tightening if the economic and price outlook persists. This, along with a rebound in safe-haven demand, is lending support to the Japanese Yen, which, along with the emergence of fresh US Dollar (USD) selling, is keeping the USD/JPY pair below the 144.00 round figure.
Optimism over the start of trade talks between the US and China, which will take place this week in Switzerland, is fading rather quickly amid uncertainty over how a new deal between the world's two largest economies might be structured. In addition, US President Donald Trump has denied that he will reduce tariffs against China, dampening hopes of a speedy resolution to the trade war between the world's two largest economies. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks kept investors on edge and proved to be the key factor that influenced the yen's growth amid the general weakening of the dollar.
Trading recommendation: SELL 145.80, SL 146.00, TP 144.90