USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 142.577.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 141.626 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY Trade Setup – H1 Chart📉The pair continues to respect its descending channel, recently rejecting the upper trendline and testing the Adaptive Moving Average (AMA).
📊 Additionally, the Chaikin Oscillator has dipped below zero, signaling weakening buying pressure.
#TradeIdea
🔽 Sell USDJPY on confirmed consolidation below 143.200
🎯 TP1: 142.400
🎯 TP2: 142.000
Yen Strengthens on Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen firmed to around 143.6 per dollar, heading for a weekly gain of over 1% as inflation data came in stronger than expected. Core inflation surged to 3.5%, its highest in more than two years, while headline inflation held at 3.6%, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ may maintain its tightening stance.
The yen also benefited from continued dollar weakness tied to U.S. fiscal worries. Earlier, Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato denied discussing exchange rates with U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit, dismissing rumors of joint currency intervention.
USD/JPY faces resistance at 148.60, with further upside levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support lies at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
USDJPY Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 143.33 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 143.66
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY WEEKLY PLAN: Demand Zone Breakdown in Sight?USDJPY is approaching a critical support zone around 140.771, which has acted as a demand area multiple times in the past. However, the structure appears vulnerable, suggesting a potential bearish continuation.
📌 Main scenario:
If price breaks and closes below 140.771, it could signal a shift in sentiment.
Further downside could lead price toward the next support level at 132.147, and potentially the strong demand zone at 126.637.
⚠️ Watch for confirmation of a clean break. The current demand is "unfresh", increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction if buyers fail to defend it.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 142.57, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 143.57 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 141.69, below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Disclaimer
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USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Bias with Multi-Market Confluence!📉 USDJPY Technical Breakdown – Yen Strength in Focus 📉
In this video, we take a close look at the USD/JPY, which is currently under pressure and trending to the downside 🔽. The bearish momentum is clear, but there are several key factors to consider before positioning ourselves for a potential short 📊.
🔍 First, it’s important to monitor the equity markets. If we start to see a pullback or sell-off in the stock indices 🏦📉, that could translate into further yen strength, adding weight to a USD/JPY short bias 💴💪.
Another key piece of confluence is comparing the DXY (Dollar Index) 📈 with the JXY (Japanese Yen Index) 📉. This gives us deeper insight into the relative strength of each currency and helps confirm our directional bias before entering a trade ⚖️.
🔁 Coming back to the USD/JPY chart, we’re watching for a retracement into a Fibonacci point of interest, which could provide a high-probability area to enter a sell setup. If price reacts from that level and confirms with structure, we could have a clean opportunity for continuation 🔂🎯.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 145.18
1st Support: 142.56
1st Resistance: 146.70
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2 profit targets for USDJPYThe peak for this pair was around 160+ in Jun 2024 and it falls to a lower high to 157 on Jan 25.
From here onwards, it has gone south in direction with the red bearish trend line remaining intact.
A fake bullish candle on 12 May 25 took many traders by surprise and killed many shortists, including me, not once but twice.
Now on the 4H chart, I present you 2 shorting opportunity with relatively good risk rewards ratio. The first one should touch the green bullish trend line and break down. Thereafter, we should witness it going down to around 142.90 level.
Ideally, it should comes to the 140 support price level but let's take one step at a time.......
As usual , please DYODD
(Warning - This pair though liquid is volatile and may not suit beginners who want a peaceful night sleep. Your profits can quickly turn back to losses and vice versa within the days. Patience required and a strong heart)
USDJPY – The downtrend continues, channel still leads the wayLooking at the D1 chart, USDJPY remains firmly within the descending channel that has persisted since the end of 2024. Every time the price approaches the upper boundary of the channel, selling pressure reappears – and the recent touch around the 147.012 area is no exception.
After being rejected at this strong resistance zone, the price has turned lower and is now forming a pullback structure within the prevailing trend. EMA34 and EMA89 continue to slope downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
If the price gets rejected again around the 145–146 region, the correction pattern may complete, opening up room for a drop toward the support zone at 142.343, or even deeper toward the channel bottom near 137.168.
In summary, the primary trend remains bearish – and the preferred strategy now is "sell on rally" when the price nears the upper resistance of the channel. Patience and watching for price action will be key.
USDJPY 4HR Technical & Fundamental AnalysisUSDJPY 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The U.S. dollar has declined approximately 5% since April 2, influenced by:
Fiscal Instability: Rising national debt and policy uncertainties have led to increased investor caution.
Speculative Positions: Hedge funds have shifted to significant short positions on the dollar, reflecting bearish sentiment.
Reuters
🔍 Technical Perspective
On the 4H chart, USDJPY continues to display a bearish market structure, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. We identified a minor key support at 143.700, which was recently broken—marking the beginning of institutional-level accumulation (sell orders).
After this accumulation, liquidity was swept within the zone, suggesting that institutions were hunting stops before preparing for a downward distribution phase.
Although the initial entry is now late, a potential retracement back into the minor key zone may offer a trading opportunity.
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 143.550
🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 144.180
🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): Next minor support zone around 142.800
Meanwhile, rising bond yields in Japan have attracted institutional investors, challenging the popular carry trade strategy where traders borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding currencies. (Source: Business Insider)
Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical risks have led investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven currencies—especially the yen. (Source: BPF News)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support.
The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50.
Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bullish USDJPYThis is a bullish counter-trend trade setup on USD/JPY, aiming to catch a reversal or retracement. The trader is betting on a short-term bullish move, with a good RRR and a TP just below the 200 EMA — a smart technical consideration. However, caution is advised since price is still under the EMA, indicating possible bearish continuation unless a strong breakout occurs.
USDJPY (Long Update)📊 Trade Breakdown: USDJPY
Caught a solid entry and finally seeing the trade work in our favor. I'm targeting the daily FVG (Fair Value Gap), which aligns perfectly with a massive untapped weekly wick sitting above current price.
✅ Entry Zone: Around the 143.1–144 region
🎯 Target Zone: Daily imbalance above 146.600 — expecting price to at least tap into 25% of that weekly wick, which historically gets filled when paired with daily inefficiency.
🔍 Confluences:
Daily FVG lining up with weekly wick
Want to see the daily close above previous day.
Momentum flipping after tapping key liquidity pools
📅 Setup is playing out exactly as planned — patience paying off.