USDJPY trade ideas
LONG POSITION SCALPING USD/JPY🔵 Technical Analysis for USD/JPY:
We are observing a key rebound support area at the current levels.
Entry Zone: Around 142.48
Rationale for the Trade:
Price is positioned at a strong order block area on the 1-hour timeframe.
Expecting a bullish corrective move from the current support zone.
First Target for the Correction: Aiming for the 144.00 level as an initial resistance and profit-taking area.
Stop-Loss Level: A break and close below 141.44 would invalidate the setup.
Note: Proper risk management is essential, as this is a speculative corrective move within a broader market trend.
USD/JPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) oscillates in a narrow trading band at the start of a new week and remains close to a two-week trough touched against its American counterpart on Friday. Mixed signals from the US and China temper hopes for a quick resolution of the trade conflict between the world's two largest economies, which, in turn, offers support to the safe-haven JPY. Moreover, expectations that Japan will strike a trade deal with the US turn out to be another factor underpinning the JPY.
Meanwhile, investors have been scaling back their bets for an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) as rising economic risks from US tariffs overshadow signs of broadening inflation in Japan. This holds back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets, which, along with a modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, acts as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. However, the divergent BoJ-Federal Reserve (Fed) policy expectations should cap the USD and benefit the lower-yielding JPY.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Rise Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 142.09, which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 144.01, which is an overlap resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 140.89, which is a pullback support level.
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with CNBC, “Since China exports five times more to the U.S. than the U.S. does to China, I believe the easing of tensions is up to China.”
- Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jia-kun denied Trump’s claim of a phone call with President Xi Jinping, saying, “As far as I know, there has been no phone call between the two leaders.”
- The Dallas Federal Reserve reported that the general business activity index for Texas manufacturing in April plunged by 19.5 points from the previous month to -35.8. The U.S. Treasury also announced that, excluding the impact of the debt ceiling, its second-quarter borrowing estimate would be $53 billion lower than previously forecast.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 29: U.S. March JOLTS Report
+ April 30: Germany Q1 GDP, Germany April Consumer Price Index, U.S. April ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, U.S. March Core PCE Price Index
+ May 1: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
+ May 2: Eurozone April Consumer Price Index, U.S. April Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. April Unemployment Rate
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The price rose up to the 144 level but faced resistance in that zone as expected. In the short term, a small range between 140 and 144 is likely to form. With the current pullback, we expect a retest of the support level near 140. If this level holds, another upward move toward 144 can be anticipated. The future direction will be determined by whether the pair breaks out of this range to the upside or downside.
USD/JPY Bulls Charging: Can 144.88 Launch the Next Rally?Hello,
USD/JPY: Bulls Charging Up — Bigger Upside in Sight!
Current View:
USD/JPY bounced strongly from 140.00 and bulls are aiming for a bigger breakout. Momentum is building, and if key support levels hold, we could see much higher prices soon.
🔥 Why We’re Bullish:
Strong rebound from 140.00 support.
Price pushing against the 144.00 resistance and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
A break above 144.00 would unlock bigger upside potential.
Fundamentals (U.S. growth + possible BOJ disappointment) favor USD strength.
📈 Bullish Roadmap:
Level Action Next Target
144.00 Breakout and hold needed Move toward 144.881
144.881 (Important) If it holds as support, bullish continuation Rally towards 1M Pivot @ 149.266
149.266 If it holds as support, next move higher Push towards 1Y Pivot @ 152.9069
150.39–152.573 (Caution) 1M resistance zone — watch for possible pullbacks
If cleared: Full bullish extension Aim for Final Target: 155.135
🗓 Events to Watch:
BOJ Policy Meeting → Potential for yen weakness if BOJ disappoints.
U.S. GDP + Non-Farm Payrolls → Could boost USD strength.
⚡ Quick Visual Flow:
➡️ Break above 144.00 ➡️ Hold 144.881 as support ➡️ Target 149.266 ➡️ Break through resistance at 150.39–152.573 ➡️ Target 152.9069 ➡️ Final goal: 155.135
⚠️ Key Cautions:
150.39–152.573 is a major resistance area; expect possible profit-taking or heavy battles here.
If 144.881 fails to hold, short-term pullbacks to 140.00 could reappear — manage stops accordingly.
TL;DR:
✅ Bulls are strong.
✅ Watch 144.00 breakout and 144.881 support hold for bigger upside.
✅ Long-term targets: 149.266 → 152.9069 → 155.135, if major resistance breaks cleanly.
⚡ Stay updated on BOJ and U.S. data for confirmation!
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Japan's Economic Outlook: Steady Progress Amid UncertaintiesHello,
FX:USDJPY will see downside as Japanese economic data remain positive, with recovery ongoing. The BOJ's outlook appears accurate, as the economy continues to progress steadily. Although uncertainties persist, they are unlikely to prevent the BOJ from raising rates in the future. The current account surplus is now Y3.3525 trillion, with a Y2.6911 trillion surplus anticipated. December bank loans increased by 3.1% year-on-year, following rises of 2.9% in November and 2.6% in October. Robust bank loans indicate that Japan Inc is progressing smoothly. There are uncertainties regarding new US Trump administration policies in 2025. Nonetheless, the domestic economy is stable, with trade with the US being the only question. This will be a solid bearish opportunity that will unfold shortly!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily H&S pattern forming (Retest of the neckline)
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 143.000
This trade has high potential to create bullish structure
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.11
Entry 90
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USD/JPY 1H Chart AnalysisStructure: Bullish, with higher highs (H1) and higher lows consistently forming.
Key Zone: A demand zone around 143.00 – 143.20. Price could pull back here for liquidity before continuing higher.
Current Price: Consolidating near 143.70 after a strong impulse.
Bias: Bullish, as long as price holds above 143.00. Watching for a possible dip into demand before resuming the uptrend toward 144.20 highs.
USDJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The market is trading on 143.69pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 141.93
Recommended Stop Loss - 144.60
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.40
Support and resistance levels:
144.89
144.33
143.97
142.83
142.47
141.91
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33
If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
How To Use The MACD Indicator In 3 Steps Have you ever heard of buying the dip?
Listen I was watching a short news report on CNBC.
It was about how the youngest workforce Gen Z..is now doing blue collar.Am from jumping on a call
With a young buddy of mine.He told he got me, if I ever need a blue collar job in the mines as a truck operator.
Am so happy to know I have options in case I decide to settle down.
I started trading a long time ago.
And the #1 indicator for dip buying has always been the MACD.
So how does it work?
👉When the 12 day moving average crosses above the 26 day moving average.This signals a buy signal.
👉Also notice the historical power bars.When they turn dark green.
👉Also the increase of demand and supply*
*Supply and demand come from macro economics.
Shout out to Mike Maloney for shedding light on this forex pair.I began to follow this particular one about 2 years ago after watching a video he did on gold and silver.
Now will I get a blue collar job? Maybe but I am happy that I sacrificed my time to learn how to trade the financial markets.
Rocket boost this content to learn more 🚀
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn how to use Risk Management And Profit Taking Strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
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USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup: Key Resistance at 144.939 and TaEntry Point: ~144.037
Stop Loss: ~144.939 (above the recent resistance zone)
Resistance Zone: Between 144.037 and 144.939 (highlighted by purple area)
First Target Point (EA Target Point): ~139.731 (Bearish target if reversal happens)
Second Target Point (Bullish EA Target Point): ~148.737
Current Price:
As of the chart, price is around 143.743, slightly below the entry point.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above 144.939, expect strong bullish momentum toward 148.737.
Confirmation: Look for strong bullish candles with volume above the resistance zone.
Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to break 144.939 and shows bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), a pullback toward 144.037 or even down to 139.731 is likely.
Additional Notes:
The orange circles highlight key points where price respected trendlines and support zones — showing strong buyer interest.
A rising trendline (drawn underneath recent lows) supports the ongoing bullish structure.
Risk-Reward seems well balanced: small risk (~90 pips) for a potential reward (~400+ pips).
Summary:
Bias: Cautiously bullish, but watch carefully around the 144.939 resistance.
Action: Wait for a clean breakout or a rejection pattern before deciding.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 28, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated in a narrow range in Monday's Asian session and paused its recent pullback from a multi-month high reached last week against its U.S. counterpart. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did not support President Donald Trump's statement that tariff talks with China are underway. That tempered optimism about a quick resolution to trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and provided some support for the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, traders pushed back expectations of an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to rising economic risks from US tariffs. However, signs of rising inflation in Japan leave the door open for further BoJ rate hikes this year, which is a big divergence from bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing. This keeps USD bulls on the defensive and also serves as a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen.
Trading recommendation: SELL 143.20, SL 143.60, TP 142.50
USDJPY Long Setup – Fundamental + Sentiment AlignmentAfter a full macro, COT, and sentiment analysis for this week, USDJPY stands out as the cleanest opportunity.
✅ Strong USD support: solid economic growth, persistent inflation, and elevated Treasury yields.
✅ Extremely weak JPY: Bank of Japan remains dovish, with low inflation and no sign of tightening policy.
✅ Risk sentiment: Stable to positive, favoring continuation of USD strength.
Bias: Long USDJPY
Risk: Unexpected shifts in US data or global risk-off shocks.
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