USDJP WEEKLY UPDATESHello folks, if you're following
this idea since, then the higher chances are, you win the trade on my short idea before.
Now I'm expecting lows again, This idea is on weekly gap to be filled.
Chart are on 4HTF. this idea are on weekly.
It might retrace, but the weekly timeframe still on bearish.+
This is not a financial advice, follow for more.
USDJPY trade ideas
Why Yen — When the Dollar Pays 4.5%?USD/JPY recently dropped to its lowest level since September 2024, hovering near the weekly moving average. The market buzzes with concerns over potential U.S. instability and speculation that a Trump administration could weigh on the dollar — prompting some investors to seek safety in the yen.
However, the yield story tells a different tale.
The U.S. still offers an attractive 4.5% overnight interest rate, while Japan lags far behind at just 0.5%. With USD currently undervalued, the yield differential may once again tilt investor preference back toward the dollar.
Looking ahead, a potential rebound toward resistance at 148.639 could be in play in the coming weeks.
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USDJPY - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in blue and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.79
Support and resistance levels:
143.94
143.51
143.23
142.34
142.06
141.63
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23
If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 25.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has reacted off the 140.00 support levels (as well as the 200 EMA on the Daily chart).
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on intraday charts.
Powerful break of structure which leaves no question about bullish force.
Current consolidation - Demand needs to be built before continuation.
Notes:
Price is currently at a historic support level however has not closed above daily supply, we are still in the area of doing so.
Manage your risk, take the trade with confirmations only.
Trade news gradually improves - Supporting USD to rise again🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ The USD/JPY pair extended its gains to approach the 144.00 level early Friday, driven by renewed demand for the U.S. dollar following a Bloomberg report suggesting that China is considering suspending the 125% tariff on certain U.S. imports. The pair largely ignored Tokyo’s hotter-than-expected CPI inflation data.
Personal opinion:
➡️ USD/JPY continues to rise thanks to positive news from the Trump administration’s negotiations with Asian countries. Although good Japanese economic data supports the JPY, the focus is still on the active trade war and it supports the USD
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 143.00 - 144.40
❌SL: 142.50 | ✅TP: 143.80 - 144.40
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
BOJ Faces Inflation ChallengeThe Japanese yen weakened to around 143 per dollar on Friday, reversing Thursday’s gains as the U.S. dollar rebounded on easing global trade tensions. President Trump reassured markets that U.S.-China trade talks are ongoing, despite China’s denial, and optimism over talks with Japan and South Korea also supported the dollar. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by clarifying he never intended to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
In Japan, Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 3.4% in April, the highest in two years, posing a challenge for the Bank of Japan as it balances rising inflation with external risks from U.S. tariffs. The BOJ is expected to keep rates steady.
Key resistance is at 144.00, with further levels at 145.90 and 146.75. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
Consolidatin followed by 3 weeks sell of with the net shorts being added. Price still didn't reach liquidity so in my opinion we have still bearish smart money sentiment. So we got framework and bias now we need to look for setups. Which I will again use my CLS method.
/b]
Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
EUR/NZD Short and USD/JPY ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USDJPY – Searching for a Bottom After a Brutal DropSince the start of the year, USDJPY has been in an almost free fall, losing nearly 2,000 pips and breaking multiple key supports, including the critical 150 level.
Yesterday, we even saw a spike below 140, a level not touched for quite some time.
🔄 However, after that spike, the pair reversed sharply to the upside, showing strong demand in that area.
Interestingly, this zone was tested at the start of 2024 and again back in September, adding even more technical relevance.
📊 Despite the poor outlook for the USD overall, I now expect a meaningful rebound from here, aiming for a retest of the former 146 support, which has now turned into resistance.
💡 Trading Plan:
I will be looking to buy dips near the current support, targeting a 1:3 Risk/Reward setup toward the 146 resistance area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.