USDJPY| Bearish Structure in FocusUSDJPY broke a major lower high on the 4H, creating new external liquidity that has yet to be swept. This shift opened the door for potential bearish continuation.
On the 30-minute, I confirmed bearish intent with a major low taken. Structure aligns, but patience is key — I’m only interested in entries within premium pricing.
Now watching for buy-side liquidity to be swept into my marked order block. That reaction will be the signal for possible downside continuation.
Setup is clear. Execution comes with precision.
— Inducement King 👑
Bless Trading!
USDJPY trade ideas
Potential bullish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 143.79
1st Support: 139.64
1st Resistance: 148.91
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 142.88
Why we like it
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 144.38
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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USD/JPY 1H ShortUSD/JPY 1H – Analysis
🔍 1. Context: Macro Fundamentals
BOJ (Bank of Japan) remains dovish, showing little intention of raising rates significantly.
USD strength continues due to sticky inflation and delayed rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Geopolitical risks and U.S. economic resilience further strengthen the dollar.
This macro backdrop supports bearish JPY bias, hence a long USD/JPY setup aligns with the fundamentals.
🧠 2. Structure and Liquidity Analysis
Price recently swept sell-side liquidity (marked by the dip into demand zone).
Strong bullish reaction from a demand block confirms interest from smart money.
The market has now printed a short-term higher low, signaling a possible intent to create a new leg up.
📌 3. Entry, Stop Loss, Target (SMC-Based)
✅ Entry:
At 144.180–144.250 (refinement inside the lower bullish reaccumulation zone).
This zone represents a mitigation of a lower imbalance and offers a favorable risk-reward long.
❌ Stop Loss:
Below 143.880, beneath the refined demand zone and last liquidity sweep — if broken, the bullish narrative is invalidated in this leg.
🎯 Target 1 (Partial):
145.400 — first major supply zone where prior imbalance sits and price previously reversed. Could see first reaction here.
🎯 Target 2 (Final TP):
146.280 – 146.400 — a higher timeframe buy-side liquidity pool and previous distribution origin.
Risk-to-reward is well-optimized at 1:4+, depending on execution precision.
🔄 4. Price Action Expectations
Price may retest the 144.200–144.250 zone (demand).
If order flow remains bullish, expect a clean break of internal high at 145.180.
Watch for reaction at 145.400, but holding partials for a liquidity run toward 146.280+ is justified.
📉 5. Invalidation Scenario
If price breaks and closes below 143.880, we consider:
The demand was not institutional.
A deeper mitigation into the lower demand block near 142.100–141.800 may be required.
✅ Final Outlook
“USD/JPY has completed a sweep of liquidity and is now forming bullish internal structure. With macro favoring USD strength, and current order flow signaling institutional positioning, a long from 144.200 toward 146.280 is a high-probability setup — provided price protects the latest demand block.”
USD/JPY Battle Lines Drawn at Key Support- CPI on TapUSD/JPY plunged 4.4% into the close of May- The bears have been unable to break the 2021 original slope line, and the immediate focus is on a breakout of near-term range above support.
Initial weekly resistance is now eyed with the May high-week close (HWC) / 61.8% retracement of the May decline at 145.63-146.15- a breach / weekly close above this level would be needed to suggest a larger rebound is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the December low / May high at 148.65 and the 52-week moving average (currently ~150.08). Ultimately a weekly close above the 61.8% retracement of the yearly range / 2022 & 2023 highs at 151.62/95 would be needed o threaten resumption of the broader multi-year uptrend in USD/JPY.
Weekly support rests with the yearly low-week close (LWC) at 143.68 with a close below the 2021 slope needed to fuel another run at key support (multi-year bullish invalidation) at the yearly lows near 139.58-140.49- a region defined by the December 2023 & 2024 lows and the 61.8% retracement of the 2023 advance. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Subsequent support objective seen at the 100% extension of the 2024 decline / July 2023 swing low around 136.51-137.24.
Bottom line: USD/JPY is trading just above multi-year uptrend support with a tight-range in view early in the month. From a trading standpoint, the immediate focus is on a breakout of the 143.68-146.15 range for guidance here with the yearly downtrend vulnerable while above the 2021 trendline. Look for the breakout in the days ahead.
-MB
Who wants to join the shorting party? Come onboard now..USDJPYWe have a nice retracement now and the risk reward is also good......
For beginners, again, I wouldn't suggest increasing your position size unless you have a clear profit target to get out. This is volatile pair where one moment you can see nice profits in your account and the next hour , it turns red. It is not the exit nor the entry that I believes create the anxiety but rather the unfinished business of having the money in your pocket.
There, you see profits rising and your fear increases by the minute to ask you take it or else.......and on the other hand, you worry, what if it goes down lower and you missed this opportunity. Every single day, this situation happens and some make money initially only to return back to the market. They then took revenge and bet more only to lose even more until they torn and battered, decides trading is not for them.
I suggest the minimum contract size you can trade with and start from there and learn as you see the price goes up and down. See what it does to your emotions - like riding a roller coaster. You imagined what you can do with the profits had you times 10 but you did not or wished it wasn't a demo account but real live account. Or you hesitated to enter and then it went up like a rocket and you sighed a relief, how lucky/good you were in spotting the market trend.
Trading on a different level reveals your true self much like a mirror and you can be honest about it or continues to fake it. It is up to you!
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 142.40
1st Support: 139.58
1st Resistance: 148.45
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPYMy initial bias was to short USD/JPY; however, the pair has since formed a double bottom pattern, indicating a potential bullish reversal. It has broken through a key resistance level at 144.300. I am now waiting for confirmation of a successful retest of this level before considering a long position.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 143.70, which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 144.74, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 142.81, an overlap support.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that os slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 143.36
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 146.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPYPotential swing trade incoming ( Short )
- creating LLs and LHs
- Hitting daily supply line
- 3rd touch off the downwards trendline
- high wick candles on the lower time frames - sellers are stepping in
- SL just above previouse LH
- TP at major demand zone
- overall downwards trend within the market
boost and comment away guys i want to here your take on this trade
USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📈 USDJPY TRADING ROADMAP
Trading Plan & Market Outlook
The USDJPY pair is currently in a bullish phase and is expected to continue rising toward the Supply Zone between 146.765 – 147.664, as long as price action holds above the key Demand Zone at 142.273 – 141.426.
🔹 Trading Plan:
Primary Trend: Bullish (price heading to supply zone)
Demand Zone (Support): 142.273 – 141.426
→ This zone acts as the trend validation and risk threshold
Supply Zone (Resistance): 146.765 – 147.664
→ Potential target zone for bullish continuation
Risk Management:
As long as price stays above 141.426, the bullish outlook remains valid.
A break below this level may signal a shift in market direction.
📌 Key Notes:
Wait for price action confirmation near zones before taking entry.
Use proper position sizing and risk-reward ratios.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always do your own research and use appropriate risk management.
USDJPY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Yen Rallies as Risk Aversion ReturnsThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 143 per dollar, marking a third consecutive day of gains as investors turned to safe-haven assets following Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran. The operation, aimed at nuclear facilities, heightened global risk aversion. Adding to market uncertainty were renewed U.S. tariff threats by Trump. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated the bank’s readiness to raise interest rates if inflation nears the 2% target.
Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
#USDJPY: +2000 PIPS Big Swing Move! Do not miss outThe cryptocurrency’s price is currently experiencing bearish pressure, and the current trading price is pivotal for determining its future trajectory. A smooth downtrend is anticipated, potentially propelling the price to 124 in the long term. The US dollar is likely to remain bearish, potentially reaching 95 in the US currency index. Three potential target sets are envisaged, and further updates will be provided based on price developments.
Best of luck and ensure safe trading practices.
Team Setupsfx_
Bullish continuation?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 143.98
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 146.07
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY: Bottom formation successful. Strong buy.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.191, MACD = -0.020, ADX = 12.744) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. This is the bottom formation process straight after rebounding on the S1 Zone. The wider pattern is a Descending Triangle and the bottom formation suggests that the new bullish wave is about to be initiated. Go long and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 153.500).
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