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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY I Weekly CLS I Model 1 / 2 I COT Bullish ASFYo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh Crypto Analysis— if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Working all timeframes. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. COT Data we can see reduced longs exposure and increasing shorts on JPY contract which is clear signs of bullishness confirmed by decreasing Net positions. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Comment any Coin I ll give you my quick view
Long
by David_Perk
2
Heading into overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 151.42 1st Support: 146.67 1st Resistance: 154.34 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
USDJPY| Bullish Bias - Mitigated OB, Waiting for LTF ConfirmsPair: USDJPY Bias: Bullish Price swept deeper liquidity and has now mitigated a key 30M bullish order block. From the 2H bird’s eye view, structure is still aligned to the upside — but I remain in analysis mode until LTF confirms the shift. No need to force anything — price is doing its job, and I’m waiting for it to speak clearly through confirmation. Bullish structure still in play, but we wait for the perfect moment. #USDJPY #SMC #bullishbias #orderblock #structuretrader #inducementking Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
2
USDJPY BUY Setup🗾 USDJPY BUY Setup – Reversal from Demand Zone (H1 Analysis) 📅 22 July 2025 USDJPY has shown strong bearish momentum recently, but price has now tapped into a clear demand zone (marked in green), which previously acted as a launchpad for bullish moves. 🟦 Entry: Buy @ 146.37 🔵 SL: Below 146.00 (just beneath demand zone) 🟩 TP: 149.10 – targeting the recent H1 structure high 🔍 Why I took this trade: • Clean reaction from a historical demand zone • Strong rejection wick forming on the hourly • RSI divergence and volume exhaustion confirmed the buy • Risk-to-reward ratio > 3:1 ⏳ Waiting for confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) before scaling in further. 📊 Let’s see how this plays out – following price action closely!
Long
by KimFX2025
1
A Dramatic Forecast in USDJPY Using Elliott and FibonacciIn April 2013 Jeff Kennedy of Elliott Wave Institute offered his "Dramatic Forecast Using Elliott and Fibonacci Guidelines" in USDJPY as part of his Elliott Wave Junctures educational podcasts. We have recreated his quarterly JPYUSD chart up to date to verify his predict and to follow up. Jeff''s forecast was realised spot on precisely 2 years later, in April 2015. We have now got a completed ABCD pattern which begs a 61.8 correction to ca. 125 over the course of the next 2-3 years. Note: Inverted log scale of USDJPY.
Long
by KOleg70
1
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish After Breakout Entry Detected )————- ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish After Break : 148.900 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
20
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 147.446, with a slight increase of 0.072 (+0.05%). The chart shows recent price movements, including a notable drop within a highlighted support and resistance zone (light green and pink areas). Buy and sell prices are marked at 147.446 and 147.444, respectively, with additional price levels indicated on the right side ranging from 146.943 to 149.000. The chart includes candlestick patterns and is timestamped up to July 22, 2025.
Long
by Alee_Gold_Trader
1
0721 Impact of Japanese Senate Elections on Yen Exchange Rate Hello traders, 1. I spent the entire weekend following the Japanese Senate elections, as they will determine the fluctuations of the world's largest financing currency—the yen exchange rate. ★ The results are out, and we are currently in scenario two— the ruling coalition suffered a crushing defeat + Shigeru Ishiba refuses to resign. However, senior figures within the Liberal Democratic Party, such as Taro Aso, have publicly stated that they intend to demand Prime Minister Ishiba's resignation for accountability, increasing the pressure on Ishiba to step down. This means we might see "scenario three"—the USD/JPY exchange rate could potentially break through the 151-155 range. ★ Is this the worst-case scenario? Of course not. The worst-case scenario would be if the "far-right party" that campaigned on the slogan "Japan First" achieved a landslide victory in this election. The most notable winner is a marginal far-right party known as the "Reform Party." The Reform Party originated from a YouTube channel during the pandemic, which spread conspiracy theories about vaccines and "global elite conspiracies." NHK estimates that the Reform Party will win up to 22 seats, whereas three years ago, they had only 1 seat in the Senate and currently have only 3 seats in the House of Representatives. ✔ Let's take a look at this big winner's political proposals—stricter immigration restrictions + opposition to globalism + opposition to radical gender policies + reassessment of decarbonization and vaccine policies + massive tax cuts + increased social welfare spending. This means Japan may implement more "radical tax cuts" combined with aggressive economic stimulus through quantitative easing, leading to a more severe depreciation of the yen, increasing the likelihood of the USD/JPY exchange rate rising to the 160 range. ★ What are the risks of a sharp depreciation of the yen? For Asia, the depreciation of the yen typically drags down other Asian currencies collectively, especially under U.S. tariff pressures, where Asian currencies are already under devaluation pressure. A strong depreciation of the yen would mean Japan is taking other Asian countries along with it off a cliff. We need to pay attention to the "passive" depreciation of the renminbi. Asia will feel the pain, but Europe and the U.S. will also suffer. Theoretically, if the USD/JPY exchange rate surges (indicating a sharp depreciation of the yen), it is very advantageous for arbitrage trading with leverage (because the yen becomes cheaper). However, when the yen experiences a severe depreciation, the situation changes. Let me give you a classic example: After Shinzo Abe returned to power at the end of 2012, he launched the "three arrows" economic policy: unlimited quantitative easing monetary policy + fiscal stimulus + structural reform = artificially lowering the yen exchange rate to stimulate exports (the clear goal was to increase the USD/JPY exchange rate) = rapid depreciation of the yen (from 80 in 2012 to 125 in 2015). So what happened then? — A large number of Japanese institutions sold off U.S. bonds, European bonds, and REITs to cash out. The reason is simple: ✔ Japanese financial institutions (such as GPIF, insurance companies, and banks) hold a large amount of dollar/euro assets. When the yen depreciates, the yen-denominated market value of these foreign currency assets skyrockets. Selling off overseas assets is equivalent to cashing out foreign exchange gains in advance. ✔ The proportion of foreign currency assets is too high → must rebalance. Due to the yen depreciation, a large institution that originally allocated 20% of its total assets to foreign currency assets might see that proportion swell to 30% or 40%. This triggers asset allocation restrictions within pension and insurance funds (ALM principles), necessitating the sale of overseas assets and reallocation to yen-denominated assets. ✔ The yen depreciation phase is usually accompanied by an expansion of the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential. If Japanese institutions hedge their dollar assets, the hedging costs become very high (the costs of hedging through FX swaps and forwards rise), so they must also sell off some assets to reduce exposure. Therefore, in 2013, there was a collective sell-off of U.S. and European bonds. Technically: Daily chart, there is a possible Crab Harmonic Pattern. The Crab Harmonic Pattern From the chart, we can see: The upward move from A to B is labeled as 0.762, which falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.618-0.786 for the A-B leg of the Crab pattern. The downward move from B to C is labeled as 0.668, which also falls within the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.382-0.886 for the B-C leg of the Crab pattern. The upward move from C to D is labeled as 1.112, which corresponds to the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.13-1.272 for the C-D leg of the Crab pattern. Based on these Fibonacci ratio relationships, we can identify this price action pattern as a typical Crab harmonic pattern. This type of pattern often suggests that the price may be about to reverse. On the left 4H chart, the broken trendline is suggesting a new possible downtrend to begin . Make a good use of those support positions, sellers of UJ could find a great trade deal. Follow me to get more update on UJ. GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Short
by FUNTRADER-Vera
2
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish From now Price : 147.900 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
USD/JPY : Get Ready for another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USDJPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last daily timeframe analysis, the price started its rally from the 144 zone and, as expected, hit all three targets at 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65, delivering over 500 pips in returns — even reaching as high as 149.2! Once the price broke above 148.65 and swept the liquidity above this level, it faced selling pressure and dropped to 146.9. Currently trading around 148.65, if USDJPY manages to hold below the supply zone between 148.65 and 149.2, we can expect further downside movement. This analysis will be updated with your support! THE DAILY ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
12
USDJPY is continuing its uptrend, let's BUY✏️ OANDA:USDJPY broke the price channel and continued its uptrend at 151,000. The previous h4 candle wick had a liquidity sweep to 147,000, showing that the buyers are dominating the market. The USDJPY trading strategy will mainly BUY to the old peak around 151,000. When the price breaks 147,000, a corrective downtrend will begin to form. 📉 Key Levels Support: 148.200 - 147.200 Resistance: 150.100 - 151.100 Buy trigger: Breakout above 148,800 BUY 147,200 (buyer liquidity zone) Target: 145,000 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
by VHT_Trader
1
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 21 - 25 JulyMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Minutes, BoJ Speech, ECB Decision, UK Sales, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets. 👉 Key topics covered in this episode: — RBA Meeting Minutes — BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida Speech — ECB Interest Rate Decision & Press Conference — UK Retail Sales — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USDJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 146.36 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 147.90 My Stop Loss - 145.68 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/JPY Robbery Route | Enter at Dip, Exit Before Police💥USD/JPY Forex Money Heist Plan 🎯 — Ninja Robbery at 146.000💥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Dear Market Bandits, Money Makers & Risky Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️ Welcome to another Thief Trader-style operation. We've cracked open the USD/JPY vault (aka "The Gopher" 💹), and here's the blueprint to pull off this forex heist like true professionals. 💼🎭💵 🚨 Strategy Overview This isn't just a trade – it’s a well-researched, precision-timed robbery mission based on technicals, macro analysis, sentiment, and the bigger global picture. Expect action near critical zones – especially the moving average barricade, where police (aka risk) is waiting. Stay sharp. 🔓 Entry Point – Unlock the Vault 📈 Watch for bullish pullbacks near 146.000. Whether it's a dip, zone test, or wick bounce — you’re looking to layer buy limit orders like a seasoned thief using DCA tactics. Enter on swings or any bullish confirmation. Heist Window is Open. 🛑 Stop Loss – Escape Route 📍 SL near 143.000 (1D swing low) — adjust based on your capital and position size. 💡 Don’t go blind — SL is your backup plan, not an optional accessory. Custom-fit it based on how many entries you’re stacking. 🎯 Target – Vault Exit Point 🏁 151.000 or exit before resistance heat catches on. No greedy thieves here — precision exit is key. Lock profits, vanish in style. 🕶️💼💸 🧲 Scalpers Take Note Only long side raids are valid. Scalping against the trend? That's walking into a trap. Use trailing SLs and protect your loot. Small bag or big vault — play your game smart. 🎯💰 📢 Fundamental Boosters USD/JPY’s bullish run isn’t random — it’s backed by: 📊 Macro shifts, 📈 COT reports, 🧠 Sentiment drivers, 📉 Intermarket trends, And a whole mix of thief-level intel 🔍 🧭 Dive deeper before acting. The map’s been provided. 🔗🌍 🗞 News Traps Ahead – Move Cautiously 🚫 Avoid new trades during major releases 🔁 Use trailing SLs on open positions 💡 Position management is a thief’s best defense. Risk management keeps you in the game. 🎯🧠 🔥💖 Support the Heist Crew Smash that ❤️‍🔥 Boost Button to keep our robbery engine running. Each boost = strength for our crew. 💬 Share the love, spread the intel, and trade like a rogue with brains. 🤝💵 👀 Stay tuned for more high-profile FX heists from Thief Trader. Until next time — loot wisely, vanish clean. 🐱‍👤💨
Long
by The-Thief
USDJPY Analysis : Bullish Channel Strategy & FMFR Zone Reaction🧩 Market Structure Overview USDJPY has been in a strong bullish market structure, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows since the beginning of July. The pair recently created a rising ascending channel, where price action has respected both the upper and lower bounds with clean impulsive and corrective moves. From the 11th to 15th July, USDJPY moved steadily within this bullish channel, forming minor consolidation zones and reacting to short-term supply-demand levels. However, on the 15th, we witnessed a pullback from the upper channel resistance, indicating short-term profit-taking or internal bearish liquidity sweep. 🧠 Current Price Action Now, price is pulling back and approaching a high-confluence demand zone, marked as: FMFR (Fair Market Fill Range): A zone where unfilled buy-side orders are likely resting. SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange): A previous resistance zone, now turned into a potential support base. This area (between 146.80 – 147.00) has multiple confirmations: Past supply zone → broken and retested Strong impulsive bullish move originated here Mid-point of the current bullish channel Psychological level (147.00 round number) The market is now offering a potential buying opportunity from this zone, provided a bullish confirmation pattern is printed on lower timeframes (1H or 30M). 🔍 Key Technical Confluences Bullish Ascending Channel: Clearly respected — suggesting institutional accumulation. Price is now retesting mid-level or base structure of this channel. FMFR Zone: Typically used to spot unbalanced price areas where limit buy orders may rest. Smart money often returns to fill these zones before moving further. SR Flip: The prior supply zone from July 8–10 was broken decisively, and price is now using this same level as support. Liquidity Sweep & Trap: The current rejection from the channel top may have liquidated early longs. That opens room for a smart-money reversal from the deeper FMFR zone. 📌 Trading Plan (Execution-Based Strategy) 🔽 Entry Criteria: Wait for a clear bullish reversal candle within the FMFR zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, morning star). Entry can be refined on the 1H or 30M timeframe using a BOS (Break of Structure) signal. 🟢 Buy Zone: Between 146.80 – 147.00 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 146.40, well below the FMFR zone and recent wick lows 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 148.20 – Retest of the central channel zone TP2: 149.60 – Next Major Reversal Zone TP3 (Optional): 150.00 psychological round level (if bullish continuation breaks structure) ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: Wait for confirmation — don’t rush into the zone without candle proof. Risk only 1-2% per trade idea. Adjust lot size according to stop-loss distance. Avoid chasing if price closes below 146.40 — structure will be invalid. 🔮 What Could Invalidate This Setup? Clean break below 146.40 support with bearish structure forming (LL, LH) Bearish fundamentals from USD side (e.g., CPI, FOMC impact) A tight channel breakdown without bullish volume 📅 Fundamental Backdrop: USD is currently reacting to macro data and rate expectations. JPY remains weak structurally, unless BOJ introduces surprise tightening. US CPI & Fed commentary may influence short-term volatility and liquidity grabs. 🧠 Conclusion: USDJPY is presenting a high-probability buy setup as it revisits a strong confluence zone formed by FMFR + SR flip. Smart money often re-engages at these levels after liquidity hunts, especially within a bullish structure. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes, and manage risk responsibly. This trade idea is based on price action, structure, and institutional concepts, aiming for a trend continuation with clear invalidation levels.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1