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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY- IS it a beginning of major bulish trend nowthe USD/JPY pair is currently in a major bullish trend, driven by several key factors: 1. Interest Rate Differentials: The U.S. Federal Reserve maintains higher interest rates compared to the Bank of Japan, attracting capital flows into the U.S. dollar and away from the yen. 2. Dovish Bank of Japan: Despite global tightening, the BOJ remains cautious about raising rates or ending yield curve control, weakening the yen further. 3. Robust U.S. Economic Data: Strong economic indicators from the U.S. (such as inflation, jobs, and GDP growth) continue to support expectations of prolonged higher rates, boosting the dollar.
Long
by SadarExplore
1
USDJPY (Long Update)📊 Trade Breakdown: USDJPY Caught a solid entry and finally seeing the trade work in our favor. I'm targeting the daily FVG (Fair Value Gap), which aligns perfectly with a massive untapped weekly wick sitting above current price. ✅ Entry Zone: Around the 143.1–144 region 🎯 Target Zone: Daily imbalance above 146.600 — expecting price to at least tap into 25% of that weekly wick, which historically gets filled when paired with daily inefficiency. 🔍 Confluences: Daily FVG lining up with weekly wick Want to see the daily close above previous day. Momentum flipping after tapping key liquidity pools 📅 Setup is playing out exactly as planned — patience paying off.
Long
by MillionaireMind717
1
USDJPY Analysis - Potential Reversal at Support LevelThis analysis is based on the recent price action observed in the USDJPY pair on the 15-minute chart. After a clear downtrend, the price formed a potential reversal pattern with the completion of an ABCD formation, where price touched a strong support zone at 145.40. The green trendline confirms the bullish outlook as the market is respecting this level, and a rebound is expected. Trade Idea: Entry: 145.40 (Support level) Target 1: 146.50 Target 2: 146.90 Stop Loss: 145.20 (Below the recent support)
by Hamidd123
1
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers. The price went way below a recently broken resistance. With the absence of impactful fundamental news, the market may continue falling for now. 2️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺 The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily. Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance. I will look for selling from that. Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher. 3️⃣ #NZDJPY 4H time frame 🇳🇿🇯🇵 Before an Australian interest rate decision at night, the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan. I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH. I think that growth will resume soon 4️⃣ #CADCHF 4H time frame 🇨🇦🇨🇭 The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern. I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start of a new bullish wave. A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
2
Impatience Tax in Trading: The Costs of Clicking Too SoonHave you ever thought that maybe some of your losses don’t come from bad trades? Rather, they come from good trades, timed badly? You see the setup, the signal’s almost there, the MACD is leaning in, the candle is flirting with support — and boom, you click. Early. Too early. Price dips a bit more and then shoots upward like a rocket. Your stop gets triggered — you just paid the impatience tax. Welcome to the place where you get taxed for being impatient — a very real, very expensive fee traders pay when their fingers move faster than their reasoning. 🤫 The Impatience Tax — A Silent Killer Dressed as Urgency The impatience tax doesn’t appear on your statement. You won’t see it listed in your commissions, or under slippage, or labeled in red ink like a realized loss. But rest assured, it’s there — nibbling away at your P&L every time you front-run your own strategy. And the worst part? It feels productive. You’re taking initiative, showing conviction, being bold. Except what you're really doing is lighting good setups on fire because you couldn’t wait for one more candle to close. 🧬 The Anatomy of an Early Click Here’s how it usually goes: You spot a setup. You get excited. You skip the checklist. You enter on the 3rd candle instead of the 5th. The market fakes out. You get stopped out. The market then does exactly what you expected — without you. Every trader has lived this story. And it hurts more than a loss from a bad trade. Because this wasn’t a bad idea. It was a good idea butchered by bad timing. 🤝 Impatience Loves Company (And Volatility) Impatience tends to thrive in fast markets. When the price is moving, you feel like you need to act. You notice some breaking news that moves markets, charts start to jiggle and tickers flash — suddenly your FOMO glands kick in. You’re not waiting for confirmation. You’re reacting — to price, to emotion, to fear of missing out. It’s not just beginners either. Even seasoned traders occasionally get sucked in. Why? Because the brain is wired to avoid missing opportunities more than it’s wired to avoid losses. We want in. Now. Before it's “too late.” But here’s a pro secret: the markets tend to always give second chances. You just have to be around to take them. ⏰ Why the Best Traders Wait Let’s talk about patience. Not the zen-monk, meditate-in-a-cave-for-years kind. The market kind. The kind that says: “Nope, not yet.” The kind that closes the platform until the London session starts. The kind that lets a trade go because it didn’t meet all the criteria — even if it was close. Top traders aren’t paid for activity. They’re paid for precision. The entry is 90% of the battle. If you win there, the rest is just management. 🧐 How to Identify an Impatience Habit Want to know if you’re paying the impatience tax regularly? Try this: Look at your last 10 triggered stop loss orders: How many were within a few ticks of reversal? Count your trades per day: Are you averaging more than your strategy demands? Review your entry notes: Did you say things like “close enough” or “looks good”? If the answer is yes, you’re a tax-paying member of the Impatience Society. 👷‍♂️ Build a Buffer: Taming the Trigger Finger So how do you stop paying the Impatience Tax? Start with structure: Use time-based confirmations. Wait for the candle to close. A candle halfway formed is a lie detector test mid-question. Have a rule-based checklist. If a trade doesn’t meet every item, you don’t take it. No exceptions. Use alerts , not entries. Let the price come to you. Your job is to hunt, not chase. Trade fewer setups, better. Less is more when each trade has meaning and clarity. And when in doubt? Wait. The worst that happens is you miss one trade. The best that happens is you finally stop losing money edge by edge. 💵 Impatience Is Expensive. Patience Is Profitable. The market is designed to reward discipline, not urgency. Speed might help you scalp news reactions, but even that requires planned execution. Unchecked impatience is just impulse with a brokerage account. It's important to always remember that you’re not trying to win this trade. You’re trying to win this game for the long run. And winning the game means surviving long enough to let your edge play out — with patience, not panic. 💎 Final Thoughts: Don’t Confuse Action with Progress The financial markets are a cruel place for dopamine seekers. They offer constant motion, flashing lights, and infinite temptation to click before thinking. But progress isn’t about how many trades you take — it’s about how many good ones you wait for. So next time your mouse finger twitches, ask yourself: Is this the plan? Or is this impatience disguised as opportunity seeking instant gratification? Because every early click is a donation to someone else’s P&L. 👉 Your turn : What’s your best (or worst) story of jumping the gun? How have you built patience into your process — or are you still wrestling with the trigger? Let us know in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
28
USDJPYUSD/JPY Interest Rate Differential and Upcoming Economic Data (May–June 2025) Interest Rate Differential Federal Reserve (Fed): Policy rate: 4.25%–4.50% (held steady in May 2025). Outlook: Cautious stance amid mixed economic signals; markets expect no cuts until July 2025 unless inflation reaccelerates. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (unchanged in May 2025, highest since 2008). Outlook: Dovish despite trimming growth and inflation forecasts; further hikes unlikely until 2026 due to U.S. tariff risks and weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1). Differential: ~3.75–4.00% in favor of USD, sustaining a strong yield advantage for the dollar. Upcoming Economic Data and Events United States May 29: GDP Growth Rate QoQ (2nd estimate): Expected to confirm 2.4% QoQ growth, rebounding from Q1 contraction. Core PCE Prices QoQ (2nd estimate): Forecast to ease to 2.6% (from 3.5% in Q1), critical for Fed’s inflation assessment. May 30: Core PCE Price Index MoM/YoY: Key Fed inflation gauge; YoY expected at 2.6% (above 2% target). Fed Communications: FOMC Minutes (May 27) and speeches by Powell, Barkin, and Williams to clarify policy trajectory. Japan BoJ Policy Signals: Focus on U.S. tariff negotiations (24% on Japanese exports) and their impact on growth. Revised 2025 GDP growth to 0.5% (from 1.0%) and core inflation to 2.2% (from 2.7%) . Trade Data: Export performance under U.S. tariffs (autos, machinery) to influence JPY sentiment. Directional Bias for USD/JPY Short-Term (May–June): Bullish USD/JPY Fed’s steady rates vs. BoJ’s dovish hold sustains yield advantage. U.S. economic resilience (rebounding GDP, strong labor market) contrasts with Japan’s contraction. U.S. Tariff Escalation: Could dampen global growth, boosting safe-haven JPY. BoJ Surprise Hike: Unlikely but not impossible if inflation overshoots. Fed Dovish Shift: If U.S. data weakens, rate cut bets may pressure USD. Summary Table Factor USD Impact JPY Impact USD/JPY Bias Fed Rate Hold Strengthens USD – Bullish BoJ Dovish Stance – Weakens JPY Bullish U.S. GDP Rebound Supports USD – Bullish Japan’s GDP Contraction – Pressures JPY Bullish Conclusion: USD/JPY retains a bullish bias in the near term, driven by the Fed’s yield advantage and Japan’s economic fragility. However, escalating U.S. tariffs and safe-haven JPY demand could cap gains. Monitor U.S. inflation data (Core PCE) and BoJ rhetoric for shifts in momentum.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
2
USDJPY LONG📘 Trading Journal Entry – USD/JPY Date: May 16, 2025 Timeframe: 2H Pair: USD/JPY Direction: Long (Buy) Entry Price: ~145.5 Stop Loss: 144.818 Take Profit: 149.254 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 🧠 Trade Idea & Reasoning: I’ve re-entered this trade based on strong bullish control of the market. Price has returned to a key support zone near 145.470–145.539, showing signs of holding despite recent downside pressure. Sellers have attempted to push price lower, but failed to break cleanly below — suggesting a liquidity sweep may have occurred (noted near the W.O. level). There is no clear evidence yet that sellers have taken control. The market structure is still bullish, and the recent consolidation near support indicates possible accumulation by buyers. Additionally, price is forming smaller candle bodies (reduced volatility), which may precede an expansion upward. 🔍 Technical Notes: Support Zone Held: 145.470–145.539 range held firm. W.O. Sweep: Potential stop hunt below support zone; a bullish sign. Market Structure: Bullish higher timeframe structure still intact. Risk Managed: Stop placed below liquidity zone to protect capital in case of failure. 🎯 Trade Management Plan: Monitor Tokyo/London session for momentum confirmation. Look for bullish engulfing candles or strong impulse moves to validate re-entry. If price stalls near 147.000, partial profits may be taken. If price re-tests 145.470 and fails again, I may add to the position with tighter risk. 🧾 Reflection: This is a high R:R setup aligned with the prevailing bullish trend. I’m trading based on structure, not emotion, and will stick to my plan. The stop loss placement respects the invalidation zone, and I’m prepared to accept the risk in full.
Long
by AplusFX_FXPreacher
4
USD/JPY Dips FurtherUSD/JPY Dips Further USD/JPY declined below 144.50 and is currently consolidating losses. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 146.10 and 144.90 levels. - There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 146.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 145.00 support against the Japanese Yen. The pair even settled below the 144.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 144.00 and the pair traded as low as 143.72. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low at 144.25. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25. The first major resistance is near the 144.90 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low. If there is a close above the 144.90 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 145.50. The next major resistance is near 146.10, above which the pair could test 147.50 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is near 143.70. The next major support is near the 143.20 level. If there is a close below 143.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 142.00 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Bias with Multi-Market Confluence!📉 USDJPY Technical Breakdown – Yen Strength in Focus 📉 In this video, we take a close look at the USD/JPY, which is currently under pressure and trending to the downside 🔽. The bearish momentum is clear, but there are several key factors to consider before positioning ourselves for a potential short 📊. 🔍 First, it’s important to monitor the equity markets. If we start to see a pullback or sell-off in the stock indices 🏦📉, that could translate into further yen strength, adding weight to a USD/JPY short bias 💴💪. Another key piece of confluence is comparing the DXY (Dollar Index) 📈 with the JXY (Japanese Yen Index) 📉. This gives us deeper insight into the relative strength of each currency and helps confirm our directional bias before entering a trade ⚖️. 🔁 Coming back to the USD/JPY chart, we’re watching for a retracement into a Fibonacci point of interest, which could provide a high-probability area to enter a sell setup. If price reacts from that level and confirms with structure, we could have a clean opportunity for continuation 🔂🎯. ⚠️ This is not financial advice — always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
1
USDJPY Will Explode! BUY! My dear subscribers, USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 143.33 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 143.66 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 145.34 2nd Support – 143.81 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
29
USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support. The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50. Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38. ** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins ** Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 145.90 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 146.83 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 144.35 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets