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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY - Trendline Support to Determine Next Big MoveThe USD/JPY pair has been trading within a well-defined upward trajectory, currently testing key levels around 145.68. The diagonal trendline visible on the chart serves as a critical support level that has consistently propelled the pair higher since mid-April. Should the price respect this trendline in the coming sessions, we could see a temporary pullback before potentially rallying toward the resistance zone around 148.50, highlighted by the upper purple rectangle. However, traders should closely monitor any breaks below this trendline as it would signal a significant shift in momentum and possibly indicate a deeper correction. The pair appears to be consolidating after the recent pullback from May highs, with the trendline interaction likely determining the next directional move. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by financialflagship
USDJPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Retest at Key Demand ZoneUSDJPY is respecting a clean bullish structure after rebounding from the 140.100 base. Price made a higher high near 148.650, followed by a pullback into the previous demand zone around 145.000. Technical Breakdown: Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows indicate a strong uptrend. Demand Zone: Clean reaction from the 145.000 zone, which previously acted as resistance-turned-support. Target Zones: First TP: 147.900 (previous swing high) Final TP: 150.600 (key resistance level) Invalidation Level : Close below 144.800 could invalidate this bullish scenario. If price sustains above 145.000, the bullish trend is likely to continue. As always, manage risk carefully. Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
by Mrshazee
USDJPY analysis week 21Fundamental Analysis USD/JPY recovered slightly on Friday as the USD recovered and traded sideways around the DXY index level of 100.80. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened despite a decline in Japan's GDP, due to its safe-haven status and expectations that the BOJ will not raise interest rates soon. The BOJ kept interest rates at 0.5%, lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% and may pause interest rate hikes until September to monitor the impact of US tariffs. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, no plans to cut in the near term. The Fed Chairman warned that tariffs could increase inflation and reduce growth. Technical Analysis USDJPY is reacting at the 89 EMA. Overall, the uptrend is still maintained for this pair and pay attention to the immediate support level of 144,000, while the pair is still trading above this area, the uptrend is still continuing. The two resistance levels that the pair could reach next week are noted at 147.500 and 148.300. In case the 144.000 trend zone is broken, the pair's slide will be supported by the May low around 142.600.
by TVS-Trader
I Think I Should Just Trade This SetupI Think I Should Just Trade This Setup So long story short, I just: 0. Assess whether price has Seeked Liquidity, or Rebalanced Fair Value to get a clue of current price intention. 1. Wait for Overextended Price (Bearish or Bullish), Higher TF = Better 2. Wait for 4HR up to 15min Divergence + Oversold/Overbought, at least 2 TF with same divergence 3. On 15min, plot your FVA (PDA must be respected). 4. Look for your FVG entry once price has left the FVA. 5. Target nPOCs that align with divergence + price action direction (ex. npoc below price + bearish div + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg) I've been winning "random" trades like this, no TradingView needed, just MT5, and has saved my funded account from imminent death lol. But here's how, if I looked back on those trades, I entered. I mean, this makes sense. Combine Price Action(PDA + FVA Respected) with Volume Momentum. Oh, and just to add. I think nPOCs from previous sessions give a good clue about where price wants to go. For example, npoc below price + bearish div & overbought + premium array respected + bearish orderflow leg = target nPOC. I might have to track tradingview entries to see if this actually works.
by reventioaxie
USDJPY Long Setup – W Pattern + 4H OB ConfluenceAfter price rejected the previous 4H OB with a bearish M-pattern and engulfing confirmation @146.766, the bearish move extended and tapped into a deeper 4H Order Block, where we now see a well-structured W reversal pattern forming @145.310. Below is my technical Confluence. Technical Confluence: ✅ Clear 4H Bullish Order Block acting as demand ✅ Well-formed W pattern with balanced symmetry ✅ Strong bullish rejection candles at the second leg (1H Tweezer Candle) ✅ Price swept liquidity beneath previous lows before reversing — classic smart money signature ✅ Volume spike and slowing bearish momentum confirm potential reversal Trade Rationale: This long entry is taken based on the confluence of a 4H OB and a confirmed W pattern, which often signals a potential reversal or temporary bullish correction. The second leg of the W also aligns with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on lower timeframes, indicating institutional interest. Risk Note: Always manage your risk — even when technicals align perfectly, fundamentals or unexpected news can influence volatility. Keep risk per trade minimal and allow structure to confirm the move.
Long
by The-ultimate-trader
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout: Watch the 145.60 TriggerUSD/JPY remains in a broader uptrend, with buyers defending the 141.00–144.50 support zone on the daily chart. While price has recently pulled back from the 148.50 high, the overall structure remains bullish. On the hourly timeframe, the pair has been moving within a descending channel since May 13. However, a double bottom near 141.80 and a push back toward 145.50 suggest buyers are regaining control. A breakout above the channel resistance at 145.60 could signal the end of the correction and a new leg higher toward 147.00–148.00. The 15-minute chart supports this setup, showing a bull-flag consolidation above 145.20 and rising trendline support near 145.10. Volume has thinned during the flag formation, indicating a potential surge on breakout. Traders should look to buy above 145.60, targeting 146.20 and 146.80, with stops just below 145.00. A break under 145.00 flips the short-term bias bearish, with downside targets at 144.60 and 144.20. Overall, the technicals favor a bullish breakout scenario into the week, provided 145.00 holds. Intraday traders should closely monitor the 145.00–145.60 zone for momentum confirmation.
Long
by BlackCandleTrader
USD/JPY(20250516)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rate is no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to drop to 2.2% in April. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 145.93 Support and resistance levels: 147.26 146.77 146.44 145.42 145.10 144.61 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.93, consider buying, the first target price is 146.44 If the price breaks through 145.42, consider selling, the first target price is 145.10
Short
by Toml1314