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USDJPY trade ideas

June 4th Update Reports: ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) This is a monthly report by the institute for Supply Management (ISM) Basically, provides a look into economic health of the U.S services sector, which includes industries such as finance, healthcare, retail, and professional services. The four key subcomponents are Business activity, new orders, employment, and supplier deliveries. We are looking for a score over 50 which represents expansion in the services sector, and you guessed it below 50 indicates contraction. The last report was 51.6 up from 50.8 in March that shows modest expansion in services sector. How does it relate to USD/JPY: This significantly influences this currency pair due to it being a leading indicator of U.S. economic health A score above 51.6 would show more expansion the forecast is currently 52 there is a possibility this could make the dollar more attractive to investors compared to yen and increase price. Why? If yields on U.S. Treasuries increase, it could make the dollar more attractive to investors compared to yen A score above 50 but lower than 51.6 concerns me Targets: Buy: 144.780 (open and close above) Sell: 143.655 (open and close below) If you took the call from yesterday and are still in trade, be sure to protect your position anything can happen, and we want to lock in profits.
by OrangeSodaOfficial
2
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is trading near our buy entry level at 143.99, a pullback support Our take profit is set at 145.06, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 142.49, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
1
USDJPY InsightWelcome, everyone! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to hit the booster and subscribe! Key Points - Japanese local media, including Kyodo News, reported that the U.S. and Japan are likely to hold the 5th round of high-level tariff negotiations later this week in the U.S. - The Eurozone’s preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose by 1.9% YoY, slightly below the market forecast of 2.0%. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates this Thursday, and further stimulus measures are anticipated through the end of the year. - Caroline Leavitt, White House Press Secretary, stated that “dialogue between the U.S. and China will take place soon,” reaffirming that communication between President Trump and President Xi Jinping remains valid and active. - The U.S. job openings in April stood at 7.39 million, exceeding the market expectation of 7.10 million, suggesting continued strength in the U.S. labor market. This Week’s Major Economic Events + June 4: Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision + June 5: ECB Interest Rate Decision + June 6: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls for May, U.S. May Unemployment Rate USDJPY Chart Analysis The pair has recently shown significant movement around the 144 level. The downtrend has been completely broken, and in the short term, USDJPY is expected to fluctuate within the 140–149 range. Due to resistance at higher levels, there's a strong chance the price could fall back to the 140 support zone. However, if the pair turns upward, a rise toward the 149 level is also likely.
Short
by shawntime_academy
USDJPY Sell- Go for sell if setup given - could be just a small move, manage your trade - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
Short
by Vincent-DA
UsdJpy could break 142 and fall 500 pipsSince early May, I’ve been highlighting the 142 support zone on USDJPY as a potential reversal area — with a suggested upside target at 146. The market respected this level twice, reversing from 142 and rallying past 146 both times. However, last week’s move into 146 was sharply rejected, forming a strong daily Pin Bar exactly at resistance — a classic sign of exhaustion. Now, price is rolling back toward support, and after multiple tests of the 142 zone, we may be very close to a downside break. 🧩 Add to this the fact that DXY also looks ready to break lower, and the probability of a USDJPY fall increases even more. 📉 Trading Plan: Sell rallies, with invalidation above 146, and a target at 137, aiming for a 1:2 risk-reward setup. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
19
Prices are testing the 142.55 support level.Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Tuesday that the central bank would raise interest rates if the economy re-accelerates, adding that wage growth must regain momentum. Currently, Trump's tariff policies have dimmed the economic outlook, making it potentially not the optimal time for a rate hike. However, policymakers stand ready to raise rates if the economy rebounds after a brief pullback. The remarks bolstered the Japanese yen, with prices now testing the 142.55 support level. A decisive break below this level would form a lower low, confirming the continuation of the downtrend and shifting bearish targets toward the 140.01 support level. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: sell@144.50-145.00 TP:143.00-142.50
Short
by Ashbur
USD/JPY – Bearish Opportunity DevelopingThe pair is currently showing signs of potential reversal after a sharp bullish retracement that reached a previously respected supply zone. Price action is reacting to a key area where sellers have shown strength in the past, suggesting that this upward move could be a liquidity grab before a new leg down. On the 1-hour timeframe, the RSI has entered overbought territory, signaling a possible momentum exhaustion. This aligns with a technical structure where the market has maintained a bearish bias despite the recent recovery rally. The broader context still supports a downside continuation, especially considering the macro pressure from U.S. monetary policy divergence and the yen’s historical reaction to overextended bullish waves in this pair. 📊 We’re watching for signs of confirmation, such as bearish engulfing patterns or rejections with volume divergence, which could strengthen the bearish thesis in this region. Patience and discipline remain key — we're not trading the noise, we're trading the reaction to structure.
Short
by cdsolta
Tuesday follow up Today we have the JOLTS JOB REPORT due at 10am est Key takeaways Job openings, Quits Rate, and Hires vs Openings Job openings: a higher number shows strong demand for labor hinting at a tight labor market Quits Rate: A higher quit rate could mean workers are confiednt they can find better opportunities Hires V Openings: When job openings are on the rise faster than hires that could show a skill mismatch or labor shortage This report will cover April 2025, the report typically has a 5 week lag, and the April data should reflect employment conditions as of late March. As it relates to USD/JPY: A strong report reflects the status of job openings and quits this will show strengthen USD. A stronger labor market could increase expectations the fed might raise interest rates or keep them higher for longer A weaker report could lead to more consolidation or a stronger yen which result in a decreasing dollar We are looking for an increased value from 7.192 on the last report or around that same value Yesterday's trade: I typically don't trade early in the week but per my callout on my last idea if you took my buy reversal there was minimum drawback if you used proper analysis ie: wait for open and close below price for sell and above for buy ideally you would want to get in around 142.706, however the reversal took place at 142.429 If you entered on at the price 142.579 there was minimal drawback. I entered at 142.706 price is currently at 143.570 please use correct risk management for account growth
by OrangeSodaOfficial
10
Why I Think USDJPY Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends, Happy Tuesday! I wanted to share my USDJPY analysis and why I think it will sell. This is only a technical analysis so please check the news and cross-reference your own charts. Here is what I am looking at: - Momentum is picking up for the sellers with red candles forming on H4, H1 and M15. - The stoch is facing down, both lines have crossed below 80, slow line (orange) is above the fast line (blue) which is a bearish confirmation for me. Additional information: - I will also wait to see if both lines of the stoch cross below 50 to confirm the down trend. - I will be setting sell stops and using previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs. Good luck if you decide to take this trade, let me know how it goes. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
4
BOJ Hawkish Tone Fails to Lift YenThe Japanese yen fell past 143 per dollar on Tuesday, ending a three-day gain, despite BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at potential rate hikes if conditions improve. Ueda pointed to steady recovery and firm corporate performance. A stronger U.S. dollar also weighed down the yen, as markets shrugged off weak U.S. data and rising trade tensions. Trump's plan to double metal tariffs further pressured Japan’s steel sector. Investors await upcoming labor and spending data. The key resistance is at $143.50 meanwhile the major support is located at $142.85.
by ChartMage