Potential Continue The Bearish Trend Of USD/JPYwe can see USD/JPY right now is on eliot wave cycle, and based trend line i make here there is so much potential for the price to down again if don't break the resistance area.
USDJPY trade ideas
USDJPY; Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:USDJPY
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of USDJPY, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI
The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40
USDJPY-30 Min ChartSell the USDJPY
If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 143.0 support level.
Stop Loss 144.4
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback.
Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism.
The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut.
Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
USDJPY M30 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the M30 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.61, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 144.15, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.32, a swing low support.
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usdjpy buy tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move
USD/JPY short-term longThe pair is currently trading at the 4H support area (143.500 - 143.700) and I expect the price to reach at least 143.900
Entry = 143.600
Take profit = 143.900
Trade safe!
USDJPY TRADE USDJPY has dropped. We're clear to the downside.
All we need to do is to manage our trade to maximize profits.
USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
USDJPY - placed reasonable high? What's next??#USDJPY.. market placed 144.20-25 day high in yesterday and that is a very reasonable high.
If market hold it in that case we can expect drop from here.
Don't be lazy here.
Good luck
Trade wisely
USDJPY is showing an historical patternThe USDJPY is forming a head and shoulders pattern and has a very clear support line at 140.
If the price goes below this line, we could see a big drop in the pair, with the first easy target at 130 and a second, more difficult target at 120. The risk is very low, and also, currency pairs allow you to use leverage to earn much higher profits.
USDJPY 15M BULLS START TO SHOW THERE MUSCLES :))))As we can see we have been rejected @ a VERY STRONG SUPPORT AREA, and small time frame give us good BULLISH FORMATION (Creating LL/HL with DIVERGANCE)
Im looking to hold at list 1 lot, as i believe this could be a bottom for a START OF MASSIVE BULL RUN (ONLY TIME WILL TELL)
As usual will update everything here
Thanks
Bullish bouncer off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 143.37
1st Support: 142.71
1st Resistance: 144.50
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USD/JPY Trendline Now as ResistanceDespite the massive move of weakness in USD in Q2, USD/JPY has held up relatively well, especially over the past two months.
The 140.00 level held the lows in April and then it was the 142.50 level. The bullish trendline connecting those two points had some additional higher-low context.
But as looked at last week, the 145.00 zone was now set up as possible lower-high resistance and that last bounce from the trendline found sellers there, leading to a breach earlier this week.
Now that trendline is showing up as resistance potential. Notably bears were unable to stretch down for re-test of 142.50, and if we do end up with a larger short squeeze in the USD, the pair could become interesting on the long side again. For that, the 145.00 level remains key and buyers will first need to take that out to exhibit some element of control on a shorter-term basis. - js
Potential bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 143.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 144.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.79
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 144.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 144.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Strong bearish candles indicate seller dominance. No bullish structure has formed; instead, it looks like a **continuation of the bearish trend**.
4H ORDER BLOCK UNMITIGATED STRATEGY📉 USDJPY – Short Bias Below Supply Zone (4H Mitigated OB Bearish)
Timeframe: 30m
Bias: Bearish
Type: Intraday / Swing Setup
📌 Key Observations:
Price recently tapped into a 4H Mitigated Order Block (OB) around 144.360 – 144.049 and showed rejection with strong bearish wicks.
This zone aligns with a previous supply area and is marked by confluence from the McGinley Dynamic 50 & 200 EMA.
A short was executed at 144.162, with a stop above the OB at 144.476.
Target is set at 142.500, near previous demand structure and liquidity sweep.
🧠 Trade Rationale:
The 4H bearish OB was mitigated during the Tokyo session with low momentum, followed by a London and NY session rejection.
The pair formed a lower high and is now trading below key moving averages, indicating a possible continuation to the downside.
Multiple sessions show rejection from the same OB area – reinforcing its strength.
Increased volume on the down candle confirms institutional presence.
🎯 Trade Details:
Entry: 144.162
Stop Loss: 144.476
Take Profit: 142.500
RRR: 5.9:1
Position Size: 228,000
Current PnL: +606.12 USD (Floating)
🔍 Next Steps:
Monitor for any signs of bullish order blocks forming around 143.200 or 142.900 as partial TP zones.
Move SL to breakeven once price breaks 143.400.
Trump threatens tariff on Japan as deadline looms, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is negative ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.06, up 0.47%.
The US and Japan are racing to reach a trade deal before a deadline of July 9. There are some serious roadblocks to a deal, including the current US tariff of 25% on Japanese cars and opening Japan's agricultural sector, particularly rice. President Trump has insisted that Japan import American-grown rice, but the Japanese government says that is unacceptable.
Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akawaza said earlier this week that Japan would not "sacrifice the agricultural sector", while Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said that foreign rice imports would threaten Japan's food security.
It's a shortened week in the US due to the Fourth of July holiday on Friday. The US will release the June employment report on Thursday, with all eyes on nonfarm payrolls.
Nonfarm payrolls eased slightly in May to 137 thousand from 147 thousand and the downward trend is expected to continue, with a consensus of 110 thousand for June. This would mark the weakest pace of job growth since 2020, with the exception of a meltdown in job growth in Oct. 2024.
The Federal Reserve will also be monitoring the nonfarm payroll report. The US labor market has been weakening and the Fed is concerned that the jobs market could show a sharp deterioration. Currently, the most likely date for the next Fed rare cut is September, but a soft NFP reading south of 90 thousand would boost the case for a cut at the July 30 meeting.
The Fed has maintained a wait-and-see stance since Nov. 2024 but that is expected to change in the fourth quarter, where we could see up three rate cuts.
USDJPY SELLBy utilizing levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
