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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY"I am considering a short trade on the USD/JPY pair. On the chart, we can see a potential order block from which we plan to open the short position. Currently, the price is in Phase C of Wyckoff's model, and I am expecting a test of the UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) zone. This implies that the price will likely reverse back to the order block, after which a price decline is expected. My target is set at the previous week's Tokyo session low. This is a high-risk trade, so I will allocate only 1% of the deposit. The stop loss will be tight. SP500 JPY/USD
Short
by TraderNo007_
"USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trend Outlook" In the 4-hour timeframe, the USD/JPY currency pair has recently broken below its ascending trendline, indicating a shift toward a bearish sentiment. The price is currently approaching the key support zone between 151.91 and 152.46, which aligns with the 0.786 and 0.886 Fibonacci retracement levels. This area is expected to act as a significant resistance if the price attempts a pullback. The Ichimoku cloud indicates bearish momentum, with the price positioned below the cloud. Furthermore, the Alligator indicator shows a clear bearish crossover, confirming the continuation of the downward trend. The next potential target for the bearish movement is the 149.03 level, which corresponds to the 1.414 Fibonacci extension and acts as a critical support zone. Conclusion: If the price remains below the 151.91-152.46 resistance zone, further declines toward 149.03 are likely. However, a break above this resistance could invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential reversal. Traders should closely monitor these levels for confirmation of the next price direction.
Short
by arongroups
USD/JPY - H4 - Channel Breakout The USD/JPY pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel Breakout pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. USDJPY Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 154.00, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 151.30 2nd Support – 149.82 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
28
Market Analysis: USD/JPY DipsMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Dips USD/JPY is declining and showing bearish signs below the 154.00 level. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 155.00 and 154.00 levels. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 153.60 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 155.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 154.00 support against the Japanese Yen. The pair even settled below the 153.60 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. A low was formed at 152.33 and the pair is now showing bearish signs. On the downside, the first major support is near 152.20. The next major support is near the 151.50 level. If there is a close below 151.50, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 150.00 support. Any more losses might send the pair toward 148.00. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 155.88 swing high to the 152.33 low. The first major resistance is near a bearish trend line at 153.60. If there is a close above the 153.60 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 154.10 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 155.88 swing high to the 152.33 low. The next major resistance is near 155.05, above which the pair could test 155.00 in the coming days. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Just an update of USDJPY LongBecause I decided to publish my "moves" now, there are positions that are live and developed further from entries. Im just trying to show my approach my reasoning and management. As for technical analysis goes. We had a break down of JPY strength With alot of LTF warnings but now even the daily gave us BOS. With this my confidance rank closed above 90% confirmig confluence with fundemental analysis and I took a long position. For the fundamental analysis the long USDJPY position is fundamentally supported by the policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ, stronger U.S. economic data, yield differentials favoring the USD, and the USD’s relative safe-haven appeal. If the BoJ maintains its accommodative policies and the Fed stays hawkish, USD/JPY could see further upside. so the update, technical analysis, yesterdays bear close did warn us, but thats pretty much it, one signal is just that a signal and nothing more, decisions to actually act need to be derived with confluence and proof. Fundamentals still support the Long position and so does the chart.
Long
by JureBrumen
2
USD/JPY:Yen Recovers as Interventions and Geopolitical Tensions The Japanese Yen has gained some ground against the U.S. Dollar, leading the USD/JPY pair to settle at 154.30 on Friday. This recovery is fueled by speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the domestic currency. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions are providing further backing for the safe-haven JPY. Though the Yen is finding support, a slight decline in the U.S. Dollar is also helping to limit the upward movement of the currency pair. As noted in our previous discussion, the Dollar Index (DXY) appeared poised for a retracement. However, at the time of writing, the USD has managed to regain some strength against the JPY, trading around 154.72. Analysis from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report suggests a potential reversal in the market's direction. Furthermore, historical seasonality trends indicate a possible shift toward bearish conditions, reflecting patterns observed over the last decade. This raises the possibility of continued bearish momentum for the USD/JPY pair moving forward. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid WeakUSDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Weak U.S. Dollar and Safe-Haven Yen Demand 27/11/2024 Introduction The USDJPY pair is anticipated to hold a slight bearish bias today as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors weigh on the U.S. dollar while favoring the Japanese yen. With falling U.S. Treasury yields, dovish Federal Reserve expectations, and steady demand for safe-haven assets, the yen gains a tactical advantage over the greenback. Let’s delve into the fundamental and technical factors shaping the USDJPY outlook for today. --- Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY 1. Weaker U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as markets digest weak economic data, including slowing consumer confidence and subdued retail sales. These reports reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance on monetary policy, limiting the dollar’s upside potential. 2. Strengthening Japanese Yen The Japanese yen (JPY), often seen as a safe-haven currency, is benefiting from subdued risk sentiment in global markets. Investors seeking refuge amid lingering uncertainties in economic recovery and geopolitical tensions are turning to the yen, bolstering its value against the dollar. 3. Falling U.S. Treasury Yields Declining yields on U.S. Treasuries continue to exert downward pressure on USDJPY. The 10-year yield has dipped as markets price in lower growth prospects and anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. This reduces the appeal of the dollar in yield-sensitive pairs like USDJPY. 4. Japan’s Steady Economic Data Japan’s economy shows resilience, supported by consistent industrial output and improving labor market conditions. These factors strengthen the yen’s position against the dollar. --- Technical Analysis Moving Averages and RSI USDJPY is trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling a bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral but trending toward the oversold region, suggesting potential for further downside. MACD and Key Levels The MACD indicator remains in bearish territory, highlighting sustained downward momentum. Key support is observed at 147.00, while resistance lies at 148.30. A breach below 147.00 could accelerate bearish momentum toward the next major level at 145.80. --- Conclusion USDJPY is poised for a slight bearish bias today, driven by the weakening U.S. dollar, safe-haven yen demand, and falling U.S. Treasury yields. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic releases from the U.S. and Japan, as well as any shifts in global risk sentiment, which could influence intraday movements. --- SEO Tags: - #USDJPYforecast - #USDJPYanalysis - #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingUSDJPY - #JapaneseYenStrength - #USDWeakness - #USDJPYtoday - #ForexMarketOutlook - #USDJPYprediction
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
Buy OpportunityUSD/JPY Bullish Signal – Potential Long Opportunity Instrument: USD/JPY Timeframe: 4H 📈 Entry: 151.95 🎯 Target: 156.55 (+3.03%) 🛑 Stop Loss: 151.05 (-0.59%) Risk-Reward Ratio: ~5.13 (High R/R) Analysis: Trend and Price Movement: USD/JPY is testing a strong support zone near 151.95. Momentum is shifting, with potential for reversal upward based on the curve displayed in the price action. Volume Profile: Dense trading activity is observed around 152.23 and 153.49, indicating possible resistance levels. Current price at a low liquidity zone signals potential for upward breakout. Indicators: The momentum histogram (Squeeze Momentum) shows declining bearish pressure, hinting at a reversal opportunity. Target and Stop Placement: The stop-loss at 151.05 accounts for a significant support level breach. The target at 156.55 aligns with a strong resistance zone and previous highs.
Long
by GODOCM
USDJPY - In a Nutshell @ Year End20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Anything is possible this time of year. A ton of compressed data releases today, be safe! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. Keynote! The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you swim "WITH" the current.
by ANROC
Lingrid | USDJPY potential CHANNEL Breakout. ShortFX:USDJPY is indeed forming a triangle pattern, which often indicates a period of consolidation and price squeeze before a potential breakout. The lower highs suggests ongoing selling pressure, and the price remains trapped within the triangle, moving sideways just above the channel border. Given this context, it's likely that the market could break out to the downside. Price often tends to consolidate at significant levels before making a decisive move, and it seems that the current setup is no exception. If the triangle pattern continues to hold, we could expect the price to move lower to retest the downward trendline. My goal is support level at 149.200 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6
Monthly CLS - Big swing down from weekly Breaker and OBMonthly CLS - Big swing down from weekly Breaker and OB all criteria have been met. I got a small swing position and we have now bias for the next few weeks. I will be shorting every pullback above the CLS Ranges using models 1 and 2. Expecting to make around 20% gain on my account. HTF View you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money in all markets. CLS operates in specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become a better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Short
by Dave-Hunter