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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY SELL OPPORTUNITIES$Here’s a TradingView-style analysis for your USD/JPY chart: --- 📉 USD/JPY Analysis – H1 Timeframe 🔹 Trend: Bearish 🔹 Structure: Price is trading within a descending channel, showing lower highs and lower lows. 🔹 Key Resistance: 147.69 - 148.23 🔹 Potential Scenario: Price is approaching a key resistance zone, which aligns with previous structure. If price rejects this area, it could continue the bearish trend toward the 146.00 zone. A breakout above 148.23 could invalidate the setup and signal bullish momentum. 💡 Watch for: ✔️ Bearish rejection candles at resistance ✔️ Breakout of the channel for confirmation ✔️ Increased volatility from news events 📊 What’s your bias for USD/JPY? Drop your comment below$$
Short
by GBPTRADERR
USD/JPY H4 | Heading into an overlap resistanceUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 148.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements. Stop loss is at 149.45 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 146.53 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Safe-Haven Yen Gains on Economic Risks, BOJ Policy UncertaintyThe yen rose to 147 per dollar, its strongest in five months, as US recession fears fueled safe-haven demand. Trump acknowledged economic risks, while Japan’s GDP growth was revised down to 2.2% from 2.8% due to weak consumption. The BOJ is expected to hold rates in March but may hike later this year. Finance Minister Kato warned of the real-world impact of FX volatility. Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
by ChartMage
USD/JPY Upcoming Trend – Will It Continue Falling?🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: 👉The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its upward momentum against a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD) during the early European session on Monday, driven by expectations of further interest rate hikes from the BoJ. Market participants are increasingly convinced that the BoJ will tighten its policy again, a sentiment reinforced by data released earlier today showing a 1.8% decline in real cash earnings due to persistent inflation. Additionally, strong wage growth from last year is expected to continue, further supporting the case for policy tightening. This has led to rising Japanese government bond (JGB) yields, narrowing the rate gap between Japan and other economies, which in turn strengthens the JPY. 👉Meanwhile, lingering concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump's trade policies and a possible global trade war continue to boost the JPY's appeal as a safe-haven asset. 👉On the other hand, the USD remains under pressure, hovering near its lowest level since November, following Friday's weaker US jobs report. The disappointing data has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement multiple rate cuts this year, further weakening the USD and weighing on the USD/JPY pair. Given this backdrop, the overall market sentiment favors JPY bulls, suggesting that the currency pair is likely to trend lower in the near term. Personal opinion: 👉USD/JPY will continue to decline after disappointing economic data for the USD 👉Technically, in the short term, the USD is recovering slightly when it touches a strong support level - the lowest level since November 5, 2024. However, this upward recovery will not last long. Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support zones combined with trend lines and SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell USD/JPY 147.40 - 147.50 ❌SL: 147.90 | ✅TP: 147.00 – 146.60 – 146.20 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
USDJPY InsightGreetings, Subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - The Green Party has expressed opposition to easing the "debt limit" provision, which is being pursued by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) coalition along with the Social Democratic Party (SPD), following their victory in the German federal election. - President Trump, in an interview with Fox News, was asked whether he expects a recession. While he stated that he does not anticipate a recession, he acknowledged that there could be a transitional period due to the imposition of tariffs, suggesting that he is not ruling out the possibility of an economic downturn. - Japan's Q4 GDP grew by 0.6%, falling short of the market expectation of 0.7%, while household spending also saw a significant decline. Key Economic Events This Week + March 12: U.S. February CPI, Bank of Canada interest rate decision + March 13: U.S. February PPI + March 14: Germany February CPI USDJPY Chart Analysis After breaking out of the upward trend, USDJPY has formed a short-term downtrend and appears to be extending its decline. If the trend continues, the price could drop significantly toward the 144 level. However, if a rebound succeeds at the current level, there is a high likelihood of a rise toward the 150 level.
Short
by shawntime_academy
SPY Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031025Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 145.2/61.80% Chart time frame: D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
by fibonacci6180
USDJPY BUY?At current pice, the market seems to be struggling to go down as per last week Friday daily candle close. Based on Daily and 4HR, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
USD/JPY Struggles as Key Fibonacci Support Comes into FocusUSD/JPY has extended its decline, now testing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 146.95, a key support zone. The pair remains under pressure after failing to reclaim 151.50, where the 38.2% retracement and the 200-day EMA converge. Key Technical Observations: Fibonacci Support Test: The 61.8% retracement level is being challenged, making this a critical decision point. A confirmed breakdown below 146.95 could open the door toward 143.70 (78.6% retracement). Bearish EMAs: The 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA are sloping downward, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Momentum Indicators: RSI is approaching oversold levels, suggesting a short-term bounce could emerge. However, the broader trend remains weak. MACD remains in negative territory, signaling continued downside pressure. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 146.95 (61.8% retracement), 143.70 (78.6% retracement). Resistance: 149.20 (50% retracement) and 151.50 (200-day EMA & 38.2% retracement). USD/JPY is at a critical juncture. Holding 146.95 could trigger a short-term rebound, but failure to do so would reinforce the bearish case, targeting the mid-143s. Bulls need to reclaim at least 149.20 to shift the structure back toward neutral. -MW
by FOREXcom
Surging yen hits 5-month high, wage data mixedThe Japanese yen has started the week with strong gains.  In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.07, down 0.766 on the day. Earlier, the yen strengthened to 146.72, its best level since Oct. 4, 2024. Japan's wage data for January was mixed. Base pay for Japanese workers jumped by 3.1% y/y but more importantly, inflation-adjusted real wages declined by 1.8%. This follows two consecutive months of gains and signals that inflation has outpaced growth. The wage report was released just days before the end of annual wage negotiations at Japan's largest companies. The largest labor union in Japan is demanding large wage hike of 6% and the Bank of Japan wants to see a strong rise in wages in order to keep inflation sustainable at the 2% level. The BoJ has urged companies and workers to reach a deal that significantly raises wages. The central back meets next week and is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Still, the Bank has signaled it plans to continue raising rates during the year. In the US, nonfarm payrolls rose to 151 thousand in February, up from a downwardly revised 125 thousand in January but shy of the market estimate of 160 thousand.  The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% from 4%.  Wage growth eased to 0.3% m/m from a revised 0.4% in January, in line with expectations. Annualized, wages ticked higher to 4%, up from a revised 3.9% in January but below the market estimate of 4.1%. The employment report was decent but the threat of US tariffs continues to cloud the economic outlook. If trade tensions escalate, the Federal Reserve may have to adjust its rate path, depending on how tariffs affect inflation and growth. USD/JPY has pushed below support at 147.26 and is testing support t 147.26. Next is support at 1.46.48 148.51 and 148.98 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA