Get started

U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDJPY trade ideas

Japanese yen tumbles to five-week low on US-China tariff dealThe Japanese yen has started the week with sharp losses. USD/JPY is trading at 148.18, up 1.9% on the day. Earlier, the yen strengthened to 148.59, its strongest level since April 3. The US and China have reached an agreement to slash tariffs on each other's products for 90 days. This would be a major de-escalation in the bruising tariff war between the world's two largest economies. Under the agreement, the US and China will slash tariffs by 115%, leaving US tariffs on China at 30% and China's tariffs on the US at 10%. The tariff agreement has boosted risk appetite, sending global stock markets higher. The deal has weighed on safe-haven assets like the yen, which is sharply lower on Monday. Gold, another safe-haven, has plunged 3.1% today. In Japan, household spending and wage growth were down in March. Household spending decelerated to 0.4% m/m, down sharply from 3.5% in February. Average Cash Earnings declined to 2.1% y/y, down from a downwardly revised 2.7% a month earlier. There was more bad news as service-sentiment for April eased, reflecting concern over US tariffs. These numbers support the case for the Bank of Japan to continue its wait-and-see stance before raising interest rates. The BoJ wants to see inflation remain sustainable at 2%, which will require higher wage growth and stronger consumer spending. Over the weekend, a host of Fed members made public statements. New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Governor Adriana Kugler both noted that current rate policy was in an appropriate place and suggested patience was needed. This message echoed Fed Chair Powell's remarks at last week's FOMC meeting, when he said the Fed would take a wait-and-see attitude due to the uncertainty over US tariffs. USD/JPY has pushed above resistance at 146.83 and 147.48 and is testing resistance at 148.47. Above, there is resistance at 149.04 146.11 and 145.36 are the next support levels
by OANDA
USDJPY BEARISH SETUP ONFIRMED.?USD/JPY Bearish Scenario Analysis Trend: Downtrend (bearish bias confirmed by lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe) Current Price Action: After a failed attempt to sustain above the 148.200 resistance level, USD/JPY has shown rejection patterns such as bearish engulfing candles and increasing selling volume. Price is now breaking below key moving averages (e.g., 50 and 100 EMA), confirming momentum shift to the downside Key Technical Levels Resistance: 148.200 – Strong supply zone, multiple rejections seen here. 1st Bearish Target: 143.900 – Recent swing low and minor support zone; break below confirms bearish continuation. 2nd Bearish Target: 141.600 – Major horizontal support from previous consolidation area. Support: 140.100 – Long-term support level; likely to attract strong buying interest or signal a trend exhaustion. Bearish Scenario Setup 1. Entry Zone: Between 147.500 - 147.800 (pullback/retest of broken structure) 2. Stop Loss: Above 148.500 (just beyond the resistance zone to avoid false breakouts) 3. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 143.900 TP2: 141.600 4. Bonus Target (extended move): 140.100 – if selling momentum continues and macro conditions favor JPY strength.
Short
by Zickey_11
3
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which ofThe MACD indicator shows that the DIFF line has formed a golden cross with the DEA line, and the red histogram has continuously expanded, indicating that the upward trend has been established. At the same time, the RSI indicator has rebounded from the oversold area to the level of 59.777, suggesting that there is still room for the exchange rate to rise. It is worth noting that the CCI indicator has broken through the 200 level, implying that there is a possibility of a short-term technical correction. In terms of volatility analysis, the Bollinger Bands have widened. The upper band is at 147.845 and the lower band is at 139.942, indicating that market volatility is increasing. Currently, the exchange rate is moving within an upward-sloping triangular consolidation pattern. 150 constitutes an important resistance level in the near term, while 146 forms a key support level. In the short term, if the exchange rate can effectively hold above the 148 mark, it will further confirm the continuation of the upward trend. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
"USDJPY Just Printed a Trap — Smart Money Is In. Are You?"🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Setup Alert: USDJPY | 15-Min Timeframe We’re spotting a high-probability bullish continuation setup on USDJPY backed by Smart Money logic. Let’s unpack what’s happening: 🧭 1. Liquidity Grab at the Low Notice how price created a false breakdown below prior structure — a classic liquidity hunt. Late sellers got trapped before price snapped back aggressively, triggering a Bullish Break of Structure (BOS). Smart Money needed to grab liquidity before running price higher. Textbook manipulation. 🟩 2. Refined Entry Zone: Discount + Bullish Order Flow Price has now retraced back to a discount zone, entering the premium-to-discount pullback area. Buyers are expected to defend this level, creating the potential for a bullish continuation. This entry is cleanly defined by a buy-side imbalance (light green area) which overlaps with a bullish order block and internal trendline support. 📐 3. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Setup We’ve got an excellent R:R opportunity here: 🎯 Entry: Near 145.910 ❌ Stop Loss: Just above 146.314 (invalidate bullish bias) ✅ Take Profit Zone: 145.367 (with continuation possible beyond) This gives us roughly a 2.3R setup, highly favorable for swing entries. 🎯 4. Confluence Trendline support holding Bullish BOS confirmed Imbalance filled Liquidity grabbed Order block respected FVG forming structure for propulsion Smart Money is likely to push price back toward internal liquidity highs — and possibly sweep them for a final exit. 📊 Strategy: Wait for bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from this discount zone to confirm entry. Trail stop as structure develops on lower timeframes. This setup can also be compounded if price forms another internal BOS. ⚠️ Risk Reminder: Don’t chase. Let price come to you. Manage risk at all times. One setup doesn’t define the day — consistency wins. 🧪 Summary: USDJPY is giving Smart Money vibes — from the liquidity grab, clean BOS, internal order block, to an excellent R:R setup. This is the kind of trade where you want to be the hunter, not the prey. 💬 Drop a 🔥 if you caught this move. 📩 Tag a trading buddy who needs to learn SMC. 📊 Stay smart. Trade with purpose.
Short
by ChartNinjas88
Risk assets rally amid trade talk developmentsFollowing the agreement between the United States (US) and China to temporarily reduce tariffs, there has been a notable unwinding of safe-haven assets and an increase in demand across risk. Recent developments show the US is preparing to lower levies from 145% to 30%, while China is set to decrease tariffs from 125% to 10%. Safe-haven assets weighed Along with the Swiss franc (CHF) and Spot Gold versus the US dollar (XAU/USD), the Japanese yen (JPY) is on the back foot today. The USD/JPY currency pair is up 2.0% today and has rallied nearly 4.0% on the month, poised to snap a four-month losing streak. USD/JPY bulls to remain on the offensive, targeting ¥149.00? Technically, support remains clear on the monthly scale of USD/JPY at ¥140.31, a base that is complemented by the Relative Strength Index demonstrating signs of rebounding from the 50.00 threshold (and the lower boundary of a falling wedge taken from 86.72 and 56.82). Buyers certainly have room to stretch their legs on the monthly timeframe, with resistance calling for attention at ¥160.20. As long as the unit closes above the ¥148.28 high (9 April) on the daily chart today, this will not only provide support around ¥148.15 to work with but also unlock the door for further upside towards the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥149.68. This is closely shadowed by another layer of possible resistance between ¥150.99 and ¥150.16, as well as Fibonacci resistance at ¥152.05-¥151.61. If you drill down to the H1 chart, you will note another support that warrants attention at ¥147.43. Should daily price fail to close above ¥148.28, I will closely monitor H1 support from ¥147.43 as another potential floor, with an immediate upside objective at ¥149.00, followed by the 200-day SMA at ¥148.69, as mentioned above. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Long
by FPMarkets
USDJPY will it go higher?Hello everyone! I want share my idea about USDJPY. last few week we saw USD weaker than other Currencies, but now we see Trend Change after test 140.000 LVL. If we look at JPY index we will see price moving with strong seller but still uptrend, i think JPY will move lower and dollar will still dominant in the race. If we look at technical with simple Support/Resistance strategy price going higher it broke some resistance levels and had pretty nice reactions from supports i think price will brake easy 140 LVL and will go to check 151 Resistance. Soon we will have China and America meeting which will be about rates, i think it will affect at dollar index and it is starting place which is signal the meeting will go well. FOR COLLABORATION TEXT ME DM! ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!
Long
by elmakacho
USD/JPY Breaks Out – Bulls Eye 149.35 Fibonacci TargetUSD/JPY surged nearly 2%, breaking above both its 50-day SMA and short-term downtrend line, signaling a potential trend reversal: 📈 Strong bullish candle, clearing the 146.50–147.50 zone 📊 RSI climbing through 60, showing accelerating bullish momentum 📉 MACD crossing the zero line, reinforcing the bullish signal 🔺 Next upside targets: 149.35 = 50% Fib retracement of the Dec–April decline 151.60 = 61.8% Fib and near 200-day SMA Staying above 146.30 keeps the bias bullish. A close above 149.35 would open the door for a potential run toward 154.80. -MW
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY 145 Support -> 148 ResistanceIt's a fast start to the week for the FX market and the U.S. Dollar recovery has shifted into another gear. CPI data headlines this week's economic calendar and that can certainly carry some punch, but the past two weeks have been big for USD/JPY with rate meetings out of both Japan and the U.S., with the net being a massive move in the pair after the test at 140.00 in late-April. The 148 level is big as this is a Fibonacci level that held the highs twice earlier in April. And from the four-hour chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern could be argued with that price playing a role as the neckline in the pair. This can keep the door open for breakouts, although the move is already quite stretched from shorter time frames as that resistance has come into play. For support, there's a few spots of interest, such as the 147.50 psychological level or the trendline projection that had held resistance into the end of last week, which currently plots around 146.20. Of course, 145.00 is of interest as well, although a 300 pip retracement might not be the most enticing lead-in for longs. For next resistance, the 150.00 level looms large as this was last in-play around the time of the 'liberation day' announcement. - js
by FOREXcom
Impatience Tax in Trading: The Costs of Clicking Too SoonHave you ever thought that maybe some of your losses don’t come from bad trades? Rather, they come from good trades, timed badly? You see the setup, the signal’s almost there, the MACD is leaning in, the candle is flirting with support — and boom, you click. Early. Too early. Price dips a bit more and then shoots upward like a rocket. Your stop gets triggered — you just paid the impatience tax. Welcome to the place where you get taxed for being impatient — a very real, very expensive fee traders pay when their fingers move faster than their reasoning. 🤫 The Impatience Tax — A Silent Killer Dressed as Urgency The impatience tax doesn’t appear on your statement. You won’t see it listed in your commissions, or under slippage, or labeled in red ink like a realized loss. But rest assured, it’s there — nibbling away at your P&L every time you front-run your own strategy. And the worst part? It feels productive. You’re taking initiative, showing conviction, being bold. Except what you're really doing is lighting good setups on fire because you couldn’t wait for one more candle to close. 🧬 The Anatomy of an Early Click Here’s how it usually goes: You spot a setup. You get excited. You skip the checklist. You enter on the 3rd candle instead of the 5th. The market fakes out. You get stopped out. The market then does exactly what you expected — without you. Every trader has lived this story. And it hurts more than a loss from a bad trade. Because this wasn’t a bad idea. It was a good idea butchered by bad timing. 🤝 Impatience Loves Company (And Volatility) Impatience tends to thrive in fast markets. When the price is moving, you feel like you need to act. You notice some breaking news that moves markets, charts start to jiggle and tickers flash — suddenly your FOMO glands kick in. You’re not waiting for confirmation. You’re reacting — to price, to emotion, to fear of missing out. It’s not just beginners either. Even seasoned traders occasionally get sucked in. Why? Because the brain is wired to avoid missing opportunities more than it’s wired to avoid losses. We want in. Now. Before it's “too late.” But here’s a pro secret: the markets tend to always give second chances. You just have to be around to take them. ⏰ Why the Best Traders Wait Let’s talk about patience. Not the zen-monk, meditate-in-a-cave-for-years kind. The market kind. The kind that says: “Nope, not yet.” The kind that closes the platform until the London session starts. The kind that lets a trade go because it didn’t meet all the criteria — even if it was close. Top traders aren’t paid for activity. They’re paid for precision. The entry is 90% of the battle. If you win there, the rest is just management. 🧐 How to Identify an Impatience Habit Want to know if you’re paying the impatience tax regularly? Try this: Look at your last 10 triggered stop loss orders: How many were within a few ticks of reversal? Count your trades per day: Are you averaging more than your strategy demands? Review your entry notes: Did you say things like “close enough” or “looks good”? If the answer is yes, you’re a tax-paying member of the Impatience Society. 👷‍♂️ Build a Buffer: Taming the Trigger Finger So how do you stop paying the Impatience Tax? Start with structure: Use time-based confirmations. Wait for the candle to close. A candle halfway formed is a lie detector test mid-question. Have a rule-based checklist. If a trade doesn’t meet every item, you don’t take it. No exceptions. Use alerts , not entries. Let the price come to you. Your job is to hunt, not chase. Trade fewer setups, better. Less is more when each trade has meaning and clarity. And when in doubt? Wait. The worst that happens is you miss one trade. The best that happens is you finally stop losing money edge by edge. 💵 Impatience Is Expensive. Patience Is Profitable. The market is designed to reward discipline, not urgency. Speed might help you scalp news reactions, but even that requires planned execution. Unchecked impatience is just impulse with a brokerage account. It's important to always remember that you’re not trying to win this trade. You’re trying to win this game for the long run. And winning the game means surviving long enough to let your edge play out — with patience, not panic. 💎 Final Thoughts: Don’t Confuse Action with Progress The financial markets are a cruel place for dopamine seekers. They offer constant motion, flashing lights, and infinite temptation to click before thinking. But progress isn’t about how many trades you take — it’s about how many good ones you wait for. So next time your mouse finger twitches, ask yourself: Is this the plan? Or is this impatience disguised as opportunity seeking instant gratification? Because every early click is a donation to someone else’s P&L. 👉 Your turn : What’s your best (or worst) story of jumping the gun? How have you built patience into your process — or are you still wrestling with the trigger? Let us know in the comments!
Education
by TradingView
34
USDJPY Weekly CLS I Model 2 I Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
21
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy