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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 145.162. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 142.359 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Yen Stabilizes as Risk Sentiment ImprovesThe Japanese Yen edged up from a two-week low on Thursday but lacked strong momentum, as risk appetite improved after a U.S. court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, reducing demand for safe havens. Concerns over Japan’s rising debt continue to pressure the Yen. Meanwhile, USD/JPY rose for a fourth day, supported by hawkish FOMC minutes, though markets still expect a Fed rate cut. Expectations of a more hawkish Bank of Japan helped limit the Yen’s losses. The key resistance is at $147.10 meanwhile the major support is located at $145.00.
by ChartMage
USDJPY – Rejected at 146.00, downside risk growsUSDJPY reacted strongly at the 146.00 resistance area – a level where price was previously rejected. After a sharp rally, the pair has turned lower and is now heading toward the 144.00 support zone, which aligns with the EMA 34–89 on the H3 chart. The chart shows a small double top pattern forming around the recent highs. If USDJPY continues to struggle below 146.00 and breaks through the 144.00 support, a short-term downtrend may be confirmed, with the next target around 142.50. On the news side: The Japanese Yen is gaining some ground again after the BOJ signaled readiness to adjust its easing policy if inflation consistently exceeds its target. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as expectations grow that the Fed may keep interest rates steady in the upcoming meeting, due to cooler consumer data. Suggested strategy: Consider selling if bearish signals appear around the 145.80–146.00 area, with a short-term target at 144.00.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 144.87, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 146.55, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 143.86, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY Showing potential growthHi there, The USDJPY appears to have reached a support area and formed a demand zone. It is worth noting that the demand zone is not fully formed yet, as there is no clear higher low above it. However, the support area suggests that an upward movement might hold despite the bearish pressure seen on the weekly time frame. There is a resistance level at 143.158, and if the price rises above this resistance, the upward momentum could continue. The levels 143.667 and 144.508 are potential target areas, with a bias toward 145.109. Happy trading, K. Not trading advice
Long
by Khiwe
USDJPY - Will the dollar weakness stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a downward trend and then see the demand zone and buy in that range with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. A credible break of the indicated resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized that investment is more crucial to economic growth than tariffs, reaffirming Japan’s continued commitment to negotiating the removal of U.S. trade tariffs. He also pointed to encouraging signs in the Japanese economy following wage increases and offered an optimistic outlook on the country’s recovery. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, speaking on Wednesday, warned that significant volatility in ultra-long-term bond yields could affect short-term borrowing costs, which in turn might exert a stronger impact on the broader economy. His remarks highlight the BOJ’s growing focus on recent fluctuations in long-dated bond yields, which could influence the board’s decision next month regarding the pace of its bond purchase reduction. Ueda explained that in Japan, short- and medium-term interest rates tend to have more direct influence on the economy than ultra-long yields, due to the maturity structure of household and corporate debt. However, he acknowledged in a parliamentary session that sharp moves in ultra-long yields can also affect long- and even short-term bond yields indirectly. Turning to Friday’s inflation report, expectations suggest that overall inflation remained subdued in April, as falling gasoline prices provided some relief to household budgets. However, core inflation—excluding food and energy—remains stubbornly high. The PCE inflation index is anticipated to have risen 2.2% in April from a year earlier, slightly down from 2.3% in March, marking the lowest level since last September. Federal Reserve officials are still awaiting more data on how newly imposed tariffs are feeding into the broader economy, making it unlikely that the recent moderation in inflation will prompt a rate cut in the near term. Although the Fed’s preferred inflation measure may have reached its lowest point since September, a second consecutive month of encouraging price data is unlikely to be sufficient to justify easing interest rates. According to a survey conducted by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, economists expect Friday’s report—covering inflation, income, and spending—from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to show that consumer prices rose 2.2% year-over-year through April. This would mark the lowest reading since September and a potential turning point in the Fed’s battle against post-pandemic inflation. Goldman Sachs economists noted that falling gasoline prices have more than offset the inflationary impact of new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. However, they cautioned that this dynamic may not last, as retailers are likely to start passing along the added import tax costs to consumers in the coming months. Several Federal Reserve officials, concerned that tariffs could reignite inflation, have stated that they will wait to assess the full impact of these trade policies on the economy before making changes to the federal funds rate—which directly affects borrowing costs on everything from mortgages and auto loans to credit cards.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance. The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance. 🔁 Now We're Back towards 142 Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce. 📌 Outlook and Trading Plan I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity. Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146. That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
24
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY: Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week. Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting. Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend. With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan: Short Setup: Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before. Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position. Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns. Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely. Long Setup: My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions. If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
by SkepticWise
3
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy. Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67 Support : 144.90 , 144.42
Long
by ATFX_Global
USDJPY Breakout the down trend bullish strong now📈 FX:USDJPY Technical Update Timeframe: 1H By Livia 💹 FX:USDJPY has officially broken out of the downtrend, confirmed by a strong bullish candle — momentum is on the buyers' side. ✅ Entry Zone: Support retest at 144.000 🎯 Targets: • TP1: 145.500 • TP2: 148.300 🔍 Price action and structure support continuation to the upside. Wait for clean confirmation on the retest before entering for maximum probability. Trade smart. Risk managed. #Forex #USDJPY #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingSetup #LiviaFX
Long
by LIVIATRACK
3
As Goes USD/JPY, so goes the USD USD/JPY continues to drive impact in broader USD themes and given the fact that there's still considerable carry remaining in the pair, the consequences of a deeper sell-off could bring impact to several macro markets. USD/JPY is about 40% above the early 2021 lows when the carry trade began to build on the back of stronger US inflation, and even as US rate cuts started last year and BoJ rate hikes began, the carry trade only started to unwind - until the bounce from 140.00 in Q3 of last year. That same 140.00 level was back in action in April, right around the time that the USD bounced from a big spot of support on its own chart. And the four weeks that followed showed similar bounces in both markets. The pain for bulls last week was, similarly, felt in both markets. But this week has shown a different tone as a higher-low has held in USD/JPY around 142.50 and for DXY, around the 98.98 Fibonacci level. As looked at in the USD post, there's now the possibility of a monthly doji and if that completes, there's turn potential for the US Dollar. This would need to be supported by continued recovery in USD/JPY and for that, we're likely going to be looking for continued softening in longer-dated Japanese yields. Or else - as the divergence between Japanese and US rates continues to narrow, so too could the motivation for hedges and carry trades to close, putting downward pressure on the pair and the US Dollar. In that scenario, I think USD/CAD and GBP/USD could remain as attractive venues for USD-weakness to play out. But in the opposite, with USD-strength showing, I'm still favoring EUR/USD for USD-strength to continue playing out. And also for the Yen, USD/JPY has been 'trappy' on both sides and I'd instead look to work with Yen-weakness against the British Pound (GBP/JPY) and Yen-strength against the Euro. - js
by FOREXcom
USDJPY | Smart Money Long Setup – Deep Fib + OB Reaction💴 USDJPY | Institutional Long Play with Perfect OB + Fib Confluence Price gave us an aggressive push off the demand zone, showing clear Smart Money accumulation behavior. This setup is high probability based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). 🔍 1. Technical Breakdown Strong impulse move upward Clean pullback into the Order Block Confluence with 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone Price respected the OB zone and printed higher highs That reaction was institutional — no cap 🧢. 🧱 2. Bullish Confluences 🔥 Order Block (OB): Purple demand zone = unmitigated 📐 Fib Sweet Spot: 70.5%–79% = institutional re-entry levels ✅ Strong Wick Rejection: Shows absorption of sell-side liquidity 📈 Market Structure Shift: Break of structure to the upside 🎯 3. Trade Plan Entry: 142.89 (within OB + 70.5%) Stop Loss: 142.00 Take Profit: 145.49 zone This setup targets the -27% fib extension — a classic institutional TP level. ⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio) 💰 Entry: 142.89 🔒 SL: 142.00 📍 TP: 145.49 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:2.9 Solid intraday-to-swing play with clean structure. 🧠 5. Key Confirmation Points Break and close above 144.36 = confirmed bullish intent Price respecting 143.44 OB = bulls still in control SL below OB = protected by demand block 💬 Comment “SMC Long Sniper 💹” if you caught this move! 🔄 Share this if you love OB + fib sniper entries 📌 Save this setup for your next demand zone playbook
Long
by ChartNinjas88
2
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 144.07 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 143.21 Why we like it: There is a pullback supoprt level. Take profit: 145.88 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Market next move 📊 Current Analysis Summary: Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box). Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum. Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation. --- ❌ Disruptive Breakdown: 🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario. 🔴 2. Volume Divergence Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility. 🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000. 🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement. 🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDJPY Breakout - Bullish reversal setup in progress...The price has once again respected the 142.100–142.500 support zone, showing strong buying pressure and a potential trend reversal. 🔍 Market Structure Update: Break of descending trendline ✔ Higher lows forming ✔ Bullish breakout above 144.500 in progress ✔ 🔷Two Bullish Scenarios: 🔹Aggressive Continuation: Break and retest above 144.500 could lead to a sharp push toward the 150.700 resistance zone. 🔹Conservative Entry: A potential retest back into the support zone before the next impulsive leg up. Support Zone: 142.000–142.500 Target Zone: 150.700 Key Level to Break: 144.500 🚨 Watch for confirmation before entering. Always manage your risk and never trade without a plan! 📊 Let me know your bias in the comments – Bullish or Bearish? 👍 Like & Follow for more setups! #USDJPY #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #BreakoutSetup #ForexCommunity
Long
by James-Pipstr
1
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by Thief_Trader