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USD/JPY Technical Analysis – March 6, 2025 Market Structure & Price Action USD/JPY is currently trading at 149.182, showing a weak bullish reaction but still respecting the broader descending trendline resistance. The pair has been following a well-defined bearish channel, making lower highs and lower lows. Key Observations: 📉 Trendline Rejection: The price has tested the descending trendline and faced rejection, indicating sustained bearish pressure. 📊 Double Top Formation: A potential double top near 149.500 further supports a bearish outlook. 🔵 Support Zone at 148.900 - 149.000: This level has acted as strong demand previously. However, repeated retests weaken its reliability. 📌 Break and Retest Setup: If the price breaks below the support, a continuation to 148.000 and possibly 146.500 is likely. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 148.900 could trigger a sharper decline toward the 147.500 - 146.500 range, as highlighted in the projected move. A failure to hold above the descending trendline signals strong selling momentum. Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend 148.900 support, the price could retest 149.500 or even attempt a breakout towards 150.000. However, the overall trend remains bearish, favoring further downside. Conclusion: Bias: Bearish 📉 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: 149.500 – 150.000 ✅ Support: 148.900 – 147.500 A break below the support zone could accelerate selling pressure, aligning with the downtrend structure.
Short
by MangoMan4
Jpy Crossroads for 2025USD/JPY enters 2025 at a crossroads. Rising US yields, hawkish Fed pivot, and expansionary fiscal policies could fuel more dollar strength, but BoJ moves and carry trade vulnerabilities may keep yen downside in check. The year ahead promises to be an eventful one.In 2025. Many financial institutions expect the yen to gradually appreciate towards the end of the year. Technically, it seems we already finished wave 3, and we are about to begin wave 4. We can with that escenario visit the support area again.
by TRADINGACPVIP
1
USD/JPY H1 Analysis: Key Levels and Market TrendsThe USD/JPY pair has shown significant movements in the H1 timeframe, with key levels to watch for potential trading opportunities. Recently, the pair tested the 148.720 level, indicating a possible support zone. Resistance is observed near the 151.135 level, which could act as a barrier for upward movements. Key levels to monitor: Support: 145.720, 145.235 Resistance: 151.135, 150.650 The market has been volatile, with notable price swings between 15 Feb 2015 and 5 Mar 2015. Traders should keep an eye on these levels for potential breakouts or reversals. The recent price action suggests a consolidation phase, which could lead to a decisive move in either direction. #Forex #USDJPY #TradingAnalysis #MarketTrends #SupportResistance #TradingStrategies #ForexSignals #PriceAction
Short
by IRGELD
USDSJPY continuation of the selling pressure below 152.50Bearish Scenario: The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD) as expectations for additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes gain traction. This has reinforced a bearish sentiment in the USD/JPY pair, which remains aligned with the longer-term downtrend. From a technical perspective, 152.50 serves as a key resistance level, marking the recent swing high. If an oversold rally occurs and faces rejection at 152.50, the bearish outlook is likely to persist, with downside targets at 149.30, followed by 147.80 and 147.20 over a longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 152.50, accompanied by a sustained daily close above this level, would negate the bearish bias. This could shift momentum toward the upside, paving the way for further gains, with 154.30 and 155.70 emerging as potential resistance levels. Conclusion: The 152.50 level remains the key pivot for determining the next directional move. A rejection from this resistance would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above it could signal a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price action around this level for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
ANALYSIS OF USDJPYFundamental View Earlier on Wednesday, during a news conference, BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated that the central bank has no immediate plans to sell its large holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). He also reaffirmed that the BOJ’s monetary policy is not intended to manipulate currency rates. He however declined to comment on U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks on Monday criticizing Japan and China as intentionally weakening their currencies. For the rest of the week, the economic calendar is packed with high important events that could drive significant market movements. Later Today at 5:15PM GMT+4, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change will be released, providing insight into private sector job growth. Meanwhile, 141k has been forecasted denoting a 42k decrease from the previous month of February. While At 6:45 PM GMT+4, the Final Services PMI is set for release, with expectations that it will remain unchanged from the previous month of February. Shortly after, the ISM Services PMI will be in focus, with a forecast of 52.5, slightly lower than the previous 52.8. On Thursday, markets will turn their attention to the U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims, a key indicator of labor market health. Finally, on Friday markets attention would be shifted to the U.S. Jobs Report for February, a crucial release that could set the tone for future Federal Reserve policy decisions. These data points have the tendency to drive markets hence causing volatilities, accompanied with potential risk and reward. Technical View The USD/JPY remains supported around the key 149 level, acting as a strong barrier. In the previous session, the pair briefly dipped to 148.09, but buyers pushed it back toward the 149 zone. A decisive break below this critical support could be triggered by a fresh market catalyst. Given the upcoming high-impact news releases in the cause of the week, if the United States dollar losses momentum further, bears could take advantage of this, hence driving the pair toward 147.36, followed by the 145 psychological level. Further downside pressure could see a move toward the 142 zone. Conversely, if the U.S. dollar strengthens, the pair could rally, with bulls targeting 151, a level where price previously faced rejection. A successful break above this resistance could open the door for a push toward 154. Breakouts beyond these levels remain possible, depending on market dynamics. Meanwhile, the RSI sits at 38.24, just above the 30 oversold thresholds, suggesting there is still room for downside movement before testing overbought conditions. For now, the market remains relatively quiet, awaiting the next catalyst.
by CFI
USD/JPY: Short-Term Bullish Opportunity with Conservative RiskTrade Setup: Symbol: USD/JPY Direction: LONG Entry: 149.95 Stop Loss: 149.65 Target 1: 150.40 Target 2: 150.80 Risk:Reward: 1:1.5 (primary) / 1:2.8 (extended) Analysis: USD/JPY is showing signs of bullish momentum after consolidating near the 149.80 level. Price action on multiple timeframes indicates a potential upside break. The recent higher lows on the 15-minute chart, combined with decreasing bearish momentum on larger timeframes, create a favorable entry opportunity with controlled risk. Strategy: Enter long on a break above current consolidation, just below the key 150.00 psychological level. This conservative entry aims to catch the early momentum while maintaining tight risk parameters. The 30-pip stop loss protects capital while still respecting visible technical support levels. Risk Management: Move stop to breakeven after 20 pips of favorable movement. Consider splitting your position to secure profits at the first target while allowing the remainder to reach the extended target. Always be ready to exit if strong reversal patterns emerge, regardless of stop placement. Key Levels to Watch: 150.00: Psychological resistance 150.40: First resistance target 150.80: Second resistance target 149.65: Key support level Trade within your risk tolerance and adjust position sizing accordingly. Good luck!
Long
by ShlomoYahbes
USDJPY: Consolidating below the uptrend channel!Dear Traders! Recently, USDJPY has made a strong breakout, completely exiting the uptrend and stabilizing below a new support level, as highlighted on the 1-hour chart. The pair is currently trading around 149.20. This stability above the new support is driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have boosted risk-off sentiment and increased demand for the U.S. Dollar as a safe-haven asset. However, expectations of a BoJ rate hike and concerns over a global trade war continue to support the Japanese Yen, keeping gains limited below the lower boundary of the previous uptrend channel.
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
USDJPY H4 | Bullish BounceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 149.29, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 151.39, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is placed at 148.08, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
USD/JPY – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !📌🚀 🔹 Asset: USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Reversal Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above 150.060 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below 149.481 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: 150.709 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: 151.582 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): 150.060 - 149.481 = 0.579 risk per unit 📈 Reward to TP1: 150.709 - 150.060 = 0.649 (1:1.12 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: 151.582 - 150.060 = 1.522 (1:2.63 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of a falling wedge, a strong bullish reversal pattern. 📌 Support Rejection: The price tested 149.481 support and showed buying pressure. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above 150.060 to confirm bullish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above 150.060, it could push toward 150.709, and further to 151.582. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 149.481 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 150.060 – Breakout Level / Long Entry 🔴 150.709 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 151.582 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above 150.060 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (150.060) after TP1 (150.709) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at 150.709, let the rest run toward 151.582. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (150.060) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above 150.060 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above 150.060 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from 149.481 support suggests a potential reversal. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.12 to TP1, 1:2.63 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #ForexTrading 📉 #USDJPY 📊 #TradingNews 📰 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #Trading 📈 #Finance 💵 #ProfittoPath 🚀 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #ForexTrader 💸 #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #ForexSignals 📊 #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #ForexAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bullish 🐂 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝
Long
by ProfittoPath
1
USDJPY InsightHello, dear subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has proposed the "REARM Europe Plan" to the leaders of the EU's 27 member states. This plan aims to secure at least €800 billion for increased defense spending by suspending EU fiscal rules. - In Germany, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), Christian Social Union (CSU), and Social Democratic Party (SPD) have agreed to establish a €500 billion fund for infrastructure investment. - As of March 4, the U.S. has officially announced tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, with the affected countries responding with retaliatory tariffs. This Week’s Key Economic Events + March 5: U.S. February ADP Nonfarm Employment Change + March 6: ECB Interest Rate Decision + March 7: U.S. February Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Fed Chair Powell’s Speech USDJPY Chart Analysis The uptrend has been broken, leading to a downward trend. Recently, the price found support around the 148 level and successfully rebounded. There is a high probability of a rapid rise toward the 151 level. If 151 is breached, further gains toward 155 can be expected. However, if it fails to break through resistance, a drop toward 147 may occur, maintaining the current trend.
Long
by shawntime_academy