USDJPYA drop on this first thing on Monday or even Sunday would be wonderful for another buy position by OJ20031
UsdJpy Trade IdeaUJ has been in a clean range between 149 and 140.6. Once price tapped into 140.6 we ended up getting a clean flip of structure with bullish structures staying strong throughout the week. We ended last week at resistance being 149 but we're still overall bullish! Which means I'll personally still be looking for longs for the new week. I would want to see price pullback and retest either 147.100 or 145.930 before going long on the pair. The last HL within the range is 145.930 so as long as price stays above that level then we are definitely still long within the range. I'll look target the resistance level at 149. Longby OfficialJ234
USDJPY : A closer look A closer observation on the confluences between wave relationship from different points insinuate a high probable topping at 161.95 (see previous posting on the longer- term wave relationship). There is a possibility of a 5 wave completion to the downside and a current corrective upside in play. Interestingly, price breached the supporting trendline to see it moving back up to retest the trendline . Further upside could still be in play with areas at 150.43 - 150.61 ( 50% retracement & 1.27 of wave a from red b) or higher 153.12 -153.17 (61.8% retracement & 1.618 of wave a from red b) and probably retesting the underside of the trendline. The following move down will be interesting with risk at 161.95 against what is about to unfold in the third wave if the count is not invalidated.by micchua0
USDJPY may come down now!USDJPY may come down now! Resistance zone is between 147.286 & 146.875 Consolidation zone is between 144.594 and 144.121 I have analyzed the chart using SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE ZONES . According to my analysis the price may get downsides from resistance zone now. Seller may put pressure in the market. they may take control now. My analysis suggests that Entry point :- 146.870 Take profit :- 145.335 Stop loss :- 148.403 Shortby PraveenTrader1Updated 3
USD/JPY Under Pressure: A Guide to Shorting OpportunitiesMarket Sentiment and Positioning: Monitoring the sentiment in the forex market can provide insights into the overall positioning of traders. If sentiment shifts towards bearishness for the dollar based on the above factors, it could create a self-fulfilling prophecy as more traders take short positions. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical events can significantly influence currency markets. For instance, any escalation in trade tensions, conflicts, or uncertainty surrounding U.S. foreign policy could lead to a flight to safety, where investors prefer holding the yen over the dollar, thus providing a rationale for shorting USD/JPY. Economic Slowdown in the U.S.: Recent economic indicators from the U.S. may suggest a slowdown, such as declining GDP growth, rising unemployment, or decreasing consumer confidence. If these trends continue, they can lead to a bearish outlook for the USD, prompting traders to short USD/JPY.Shortby FtradeFXArabic2214
Fundamentals Favoring a Bullish USDJPY:What Traders Need to KnowIn today's trading environment, the USD/JPY currency pair presents a bullish opportunity. Here are some key fundamentals that support this bias, along with an explanation of utilizing probabilities for positioning long trades. Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias on USD/JPY 1. Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Monetary Policy: The BoJ has maintained its accommodative monetary policy, refraining from committing to predefined rate hikes for the remainder of the year. This stance is likely to weaken the Japanese Yen against the U.S. Dollar as traders anticipate continued divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and the BoJ. 2. U.S. Economic Growth: Recent data indicates a pickup in U.S. economic growth without significant inflationary pressures. This environment supports a stronger U.S. Dollar as it suggests that the Federal Reserve may not need to cut rates aggressively, contrary to some market expectations. 3. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the forex market is leaning towards a bullish outlook for the U.S. Dollar, particularly against currencies like the Yen, which is under pressure due to Japan's economic conditions and the BoJ's policies. Utilizing Probabilities for Long Positions in USD/JPY When trading, I prioritize using probabilities to enhance my decision-making process. In conclusion, by focusing on probabilities and key fundamental indicators, I am strategically positioning myself for potential long trades in USD/JPY. This method not only enhances my trading confidence but also provides a structured approach to navigating market volatility effectively. Let's dive into my comprehensive top-down analysis together: 12M: 2W: 1H: Longby Jasminex1x2Updated 5
Slight Bullish Bias Driven by Key Fundamentals on USDJPY.USDJPY Analysis for 04/10/2024: Slight Bullish Bias Driven by Key Fundamentals On October 4, 2024, the USDJPY currency pair displayed a slight bullish bias, influenced by several fundamental factors and market conditions. These elements provided upward momentum for the pair, making it an attractive opportunity for traders. Below is an in-depth analysis of the key drivers that shaped the bullish sentiment in USDJPY: 1. Strong US Dollar Momentum The primary factor behind the bullish bias in USDJPY on October 4, 2024, was the ongoing strength of the US dollar. The release of positive U.S. economic data, particularly strong non-farm payrolls and robust manufacturing data, bolstered investor confidence in the U.S. economy. This economic resilience reaffirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve would maintain its hawkish stance on interest rates, potentially keeping rates elevated for a longer period. As a result, the USD gained strength across the board, driving USDJPY higher as traders moved into dollar-denominated assets. The higher yields offered by U.S. assets compared to Japanese assets provided additional support for the dollar, causing upward pressure on the pair. 2. Diverging Central Bank Policies The monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues to be a significant driver of the USDJPY pair. While the Federal Reserve remains committed to its tightening cycle to combat inflation, the BoJ has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy. The BoJ’s reluctance to shift away from its low interest rate environment has kept the Japanese yen under pressure, creating a favorable environment for a bullish USDJPY bias. Investors are increasingly focused on the Fed's hawkish stance, especially as the BoJ remains committed to keeping yields low, which has created a significant interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan. This yield differential is a core reason why USDJPY is supported at higher levels, as traders are incentivized to seek higher returns in USD-denominated assets. 3. Rising U.S. Treasury Yields Another key factor supporting the bullish bias in USDJPY on October 4, 2024, was the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. With the Fed’s monetary tightening policy expected to continue, yields on longer-term U.S. Treasuries increased, making U.S. bonds more attractive to global investors. Higher yields provide better returns for holding USD assets, further boosting the demand for dollars. In contrast, Japanese yields remain suppressed due to the BoJ's yield curve control policy, which keeps interest rates near zero. This divergence in bond yields between the U.S. and Japan continues to make the yen less appealing compared to the dollar, adding to the bullish momentum in USDJPY. 4. Safe-Haven Demand Shift Traditionally, the Japanese yen is considered a safe-haven currency, attracting demand during times of global uncertainty. However, on October 4, 2024, the risk sentiment in global markets was relatively stable, with investors favoring the U.S. dollar as the dominant safe-haven currency. This shift in safe-haven demand towards the USD rather than the yen has supported the bullish bias in USDJPY. With no major geopolitical risks materializing and the U.S. economy showing signs of strength, investors found the USD a more attractive safe-haven asset, further driving up USDJPY as risk aversion eased. Conclusion: USDJPY Outlook The combination of a strong U.S. dollar, monetary policy divergence, rising U.S. Treasury yields, and a shift in safe-haven demand contributed to the slightly bullish bias in USDJPY on 04/10/2024. As long as the BoJ maintains its accommodative stance and the Federal Reserve continues with its tightening cycle, USDJPY could remain on an upward trajectory. Traders should continue to monitor both U.S. economic data and BoJ policy announcements, as these will play a crucial role in shaping the future direction of the pair. A continued rise in U.S. yields, along with solid U.S. economic growth, may further support the bullish bias, while any signs of policy changes from the BoJ could lead to increased volatility in USDJPY. Keywords for SEO: - USDJPY analysis - USDJPY bullish bias - USDJPY forecast - Federal Reserve interest rates - US Dollar strength - Bank of Japan policy - USDJPY technical analysis - U.S. Treasury yields impact - Diverging central bank policies - Trading USDJPY - Safe-haven currency shift - USDJPY daily update - USDJPY bullish outlookLongby PERFECT_MFG0
USDJPY POSSIBLE SELL OPPORTUNITY The NFP report on Friday came positive after the non farm payroll report increased to 254 superseding the previous month report of 159. In this coming week, we anticipate FOMC & inflation rate report. we’re looking forward to seeing further sell opportunity around 154.136 if we encounter new sellers.Shortby Cartela2210
It will be bullish candle next weekYen is strengthening it has hit a yearly low, time to wipe out is shorter. I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart if we get the confirmation. Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution - No liquidity raid = No trade - Never buy high and never sell low “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔Longby Dave-HunterUpdated 8
USD-JPY Potential Short! Sell! Hello,Traders! USD-JPY went up sharply But the pair is about to Hit a horizontal resistance Level of 149.500 and as The pair is locally overbought We will be expecting a local Bearish correction Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Shortby TopTradingSignals2219
Shorting USDJPYPlease note i do not use a stop loss i pregressivly add as it goes up and down. I manage my own risk with smaller lot sizes but multiple. Have a great weekend. Happy trading This is not financial advice. IAMShortby MillionaireMind71712
EURJPY: WeeklyPrice action in this zone sends a signal. Maybe signal for sell position. In this case, our stop loss and take profit will be as follows: EP: 152 SL: 164 TP: 128by ejamshidi712
"USD/JPY Buy Setup Pending Strong Support Confirmation"USD/JPY monthly structure is currently exhibiting an OLHC (Open Low High Close) pattern, signaling a potential buy setup. At the moment, we are still following the short-term sell trend until a significant support level is established, which will mark a favorable point for buying. This strong support is expected to form with the appearance of a bullish TDI (Traders Dynamic Index) cross on the daily timeframe. Currently, two key confirmations are present on the daily chart: a bullish divergence and an Open Low structure. The only element missing for a full buy confirmation is the bullish TDI cross, which will indicate increased buying momentum in the market. My target level for this trade is 145.895 , aligning with the Monthly Open. Please trade with caution. If you find this analysis helpful, kindly support it with a like, share, or comment.Longby ezeepipsUpdated 4
ujif price holds around here, i might take a stab at this, maybe hold longer, as we are currently open high way, want sellers to trim abit, then 2nd wave on buyers. to long. Longby FormedzeusUpdated 1
USD/JPY Poised for Gains as DXY StrengthensThe US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its upward momentum as Treasury yields recover from recent losses, bolstering the Greenback’s strength. However, this rally may soon face headwinds, with growing market expectations of additional rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. Traders are now focusing on the upcoming US Flash Manufacturing PMI, which is due for release within the hour. The PMI data will offer a fresh perspective on the health of the US manufacturing sector, and any surprise in the numbers could influence the Greenback’s near-term trajectory. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to show a slight improvement, reflecting stabilizing economic conditions, but traders remain alert for any deviations from the forecast. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 50% probability that the Fed could reduce rates by as much as 75 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of the year. This potential easing has kept some investors cautious, as it could curb the USD’s long-term gains. From a technical standpoint, we are seeing a key opportunity in the USD/JPY pair, which has rebounded from a strong demand area. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that retail traders are still heavily short on the USD/JPY, while institutional "smart money" appears to be shifting its stance, reducing its bearish exposure. This setup aligns with our previous analysis, where we highlighted the potential for a long position as the pair regains upward momentum. As the USD/JPY continues to rebound from this demand zone, the conditions remain favorable for a long trade. The shift in sentiment among institutional traders, combined with the recovery in Treasury yields and the strength of the DXY, supports the case for further upside. However, traders should remain cautious as the Fed’s rate cut expectations may still influence broader USD sentiment in the months ahead. For now, the focus remains on the US PMI release and its impact on both Treasury yields and the USD. Should the data come in stronger than expected, it could provide additional fuel for the DXY’s rally, further reinforcing the bullish outlook for USD/JPY. Conversely, weaker-than-expected PMI data could reignite concerns about the Fed’s dovish outlook, potentially pausing the Greenback's current rally. We continue to monitor the situation closely, with a bullish setup in USD/JPY remaining a key focus in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.Longby FOREXN1Updated 114
Midweek Rally #5 Friday Tradei was expecting bullish as you could see from previous publish. ill post more so we can be more confidentLongby Bufalodorato1
USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY - Short Trade to the downside NFP This is only for educational purposes.Shortby Nii_BillionsUpdated 8
USDJPY / BY BREAKING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price has broken out above 147.218, and there is currently bullish pressure , The price is attempting to reach a supply zone between 148.626 and 149.340. For the uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break above this supply zone. If successful, the price could then aim for the next target at 150.790 (the supply line). If the price fails to hold above 147.218 during a retest, this could signal a decline , Breaking below 147.218 might lead to a drop towards favorable value gaps (FVG) at 145.363 and 144.332. Supply zone : 148.626 and 149.340. Demand zone : 142.546 and 141.687. FVG : 145.363 and 144.332. Longby ArinaKarayi113
SELL USDJPYIn todays session we are monitoring USDJPY for selling opportunity. Our first entry is at current price 144.727 and will add more sells when prices goes for the highs of 145.725. Our tight stop loss is at 146.219 and our targets are as low as 142.586. Use proper risk management and best luck to you all. Shortby GeminiWealthGroupUpdated 101033
Might be a bigger top in USDJPY forming. I've been consistent in my net bullish bias on USDJPY since 150. The TA made sense and at the time it seemed silly to me that all of a sudden absolutely everyone, with no Forex experience, all suddenly were entirely certain the USDJPY was going to crash. I've been a Forex trader a long time. Seen a lot of people come and go. If the game was as simple as look for a big red candle and scary news headline to position for the imminent crash, people would do better. What actually happens in Forex is most people get mauled and move on. With all that said, I do not think the USDJPY may be at a high. I also think USDJPY has broken out and we'll ultimately go higher. But I think we're now at a point where the USDJPY crash narrative actually makes sense from a TA perspective. And people are not talking about it anymore. Now they're saying the Yen is collapsing. Shortby holeyprofitUpdated 8
USD/JPY rebound HAPPENED!As I mentioned yesterday there wasn't enough momentum signified by the RSI. Even though it was a slow PB it still occurred. (Momentum + Volume =Volatility) you just have to understand the market bias. Have a good day of trading!Longby BIGlimbo3
INVERSE Head and Shoulder. USD JPY.. 145.000 entry priceUSD JPY.. 1. resistance breakout . 2. Has to turn support 3.WE seen a reversal Head and shoulder pattern forming on the daily time frame Exercise patience . and hop in for buys ..Longby icharlesdj4
USD/JPY Analysis: Price Retreats from One-Month HighUSD/JPY Analysis: Price Retreats from One-Month High The USD/JPY chart shows that yesterday (3 October), the price slightly surpassed the 147.230 level, marking the highest point since 3 September. This is significant as it indicates a new swing high, identified by the ZigZag indicator (in purple), which hasn’t been seen in months. Bullish arguments for the USD/JPY chart today: → The price is within an ascending channel (shown in blue), illustrating an upward trajectory for the US dollar. This follows a period where the yen gained strength, pushing the exchange rate below the psychological threshold of 140 yen per dollar. → After the price broke above the upper boundary of the blue channel (signifying overbought conditions), a correction (such as to the channel's median) appears appropriate. Bearish argument: → The brief breach above the prior swing high (indicated by an arrow) may have created a bull trap and triggered stop-losses for sellers positioned just above the 3 September high. Today’s decline supports the view that the break above 147.230 was a false breakout. What’s next for USD/JPY? Much will depend on the fundamentals. On Friday, traders are closely watching US labour market data (to be released at 15:30 GMT+3), which could influence US interest rate expectations. Meanwhile, the yen's movement is affected by uncertainties surrounding Japan’s upcoming prime ministerial change. According to Reuters, recent comments from Shigeru Ishiba have fuelled expectations that Japan's rate hikes might be delayed. Additionally, demand for safe-haven assets is impacting USD/JPY as markets assess the effects of rising tensions in the Middle East on the global economy. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.by FXOpen226