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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 155.575, which is an overlap resistance close to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 154.51, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 156.62, a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
usdjpyUSD/JPY mitigating in a daily order block demand area means the price is retracing into a zone of institutional buying interest where previous unfilled buy orders might reside. This mitigation process often results in consolidation or bullish reactions as these orders are triggered, potentially setting the stage for an upward move. Traders watch for signs of rejection, such as wicks or bullish candlestick patterns, as confirmation to enter long positions, with stops placed below the demand zone's low. However, if the zone fails to hold, it could signal bearish continuation, requiring careful risk management.
Long
by junrietadle2
1
UsdJpy Trade IdeaWith UJ coming back underneath a resistance level from a previous range I decided to short the pair for a 1:3rr. We had a clean bearish flip once price came above the resistance with price failing to continue bullish structures. USD had news at 8:30 but bearish structures still held. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into the support range around 152. Just around 152 is a weekly level of resistance that has been respected multiple times so having targets around that level would be ideal.
Short
by OfficialJ23
USDJPY: Anticipating a Bearish Move After Key Resistance TestUSDJPY is shaping up for a potential short setup, but patience is key as we wait for price to hit a critical resistance zone. Let’s break it down: The Setup Price is currently on a bullish push, targeting the highlighted zone at 154.332. This resistance level is a key area where sellers could regain control. Once price enters this zone, I’ll be watching closely for signs of exhaustion or reversal to enter short. The Plan 1️⃣ Entry Zone: I’m looking to go short from the 154.332 area, anticipating that the bullish momentum will lose steam here. 2️⃣ Stop Loss: My stop loss is placed at 155.397, safely above the resistance to protect against invalidation. 3️⃣ Take Profit: My primary target is the 152.242 support level, offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio. Why This Makes Sense This setup combines structure and momentum. The resistance at 154.332 aligns with previous price reactions, making it a strong area to expect sellers to step in. By positioning in this zone, I’m aiming to catch the reversal early without waiting for traditional confirmation. Mindset Tip: "It’s not about chasing trades; it’s about letting the market come to you. Know your levels, define your risk, and trust your process."
Short
by CurlyTrader_xo
UPDATE ON USD/JPY SHORTSUSD/JPY 30M - As you can see price has played out beautifully overnight providing us with deeper profits on the short positions we could have looked to have placed from the Supply Zone given. With us break the last low that was set in the market price is confirming more to us that it is printing clear bearish structure, providing us with lower highs and lower lows. This trade is currently running + 198 pips. (+ 10%) 10RR I believe now the high set where we entered in from initially above is now protected and we shouldn't see a break in that should the bearishness continue. What should follow is a new lower high. If you are yet to get involved in this market I will have a look for some potential trading opportunities for you all and post them separately to this update. Any questions with regards to this drop me a message or comment below!
Short
by Lukegforex
Im already in the short from the Weekly BreakerTargeting the first liquidity in the discount. It has much more potential for the downside, but not a straight move. Will be monitoring for the re-entry. --------------------------------------------- Hi traders, welcome to this trade breakdown. Its situation has played out and I traded with decent gains. I'm still in the position and I expect more downside coming however my TP is in the 50% of the CLS range. The goal of this post is to show you briefly my unique method of reading the market by understanding CLS. Let's put it all together 🧩 Follow me I will be posting more educational posts like this one and don't hesitate to ask any questions in the comment. 📍HTF Level - Weekly breaker / FVG 📍Price just approaching the Daily and Weekly CLS range 📍If the next weekly candle closes inside then more sell of is confirmed. At this moment, I took partial profit and SL is on the break even. 📍HTF view What is CLS? You may never hear about them. Just find out about them on Google or their website. This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are simply market maker. I cannot say that this is exactly how the market works. But I have spent countless hours directing the behaviour of CLS. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and hope this post helps you understand my view Dave Hunter
Short
by Dave-Hunter
10
USD/JPY Analysis: Fundamental and Technical Outlook FX:USDJPY The recent price action in USD/JPY, characterized by a significant break through the upper pitchfork boundary with substantial momentum and volume, suggests an important moment for the currency pair. This technical development aligns with several fundamental factors influencing both the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen. Technical Analysis: Breakout Confirmation: The breach of the upper pitchfork boundary indicates strong bullish momentum. However, to validate this move, it's essential to observe whether the price can sustain above this level or if it will retest and potentially fall back into the previous channel. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The 150 level serves as a critical support. A decline below this threshold could signal a return to the long-term consolidation range between 80 and 150, which persisted for 27 years prior to 2022. Resistance: If the price reclaims the upper channel, we may see the continuation of the uptrend with huge momentum. Fundamental Analysis: Bank of Japan Hawkish Stance: The BOJ has recently adopted a more hawkish tone, hinting at potential policy tightening. Governor Kazuo Ueda has indicated progress toward sustained wage-driven inflation, suggesting that interest rate hikes could be on the horizon. Japanese Intervention: Japan’s Finance Minister has expressed concerns over excessive yen depreciation, hinting at possible intervention if the yen weakens too much. This stance aims to prevent the yen from falling to levels that could harm the economy by increasing import costs. Federal Reserve's (Fed) Dovish Shift: In contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve appears to be concerned with the current economical development, especially about the unemployment level, with discussions around more potential rate cuts emerging. This dovish outlook is influenced by concerns over rising U.S. debt levels and a slowing economy. U.S. Debt: The U.S. is grappling with escalating debt, with the debt-to-GDP ratio nearing 100%. This situation is reminiscent of the economic conditions preceding the DotCom Bubble from 2000, raising concerns about potential economic instability. Not mentioning that the US credit card debt is record high. More to read about this: nypost.com www.wsj.com www.marketwatch.com www.cnbc.com Outlook: The convergence of these technical and fundamental factors suggests that USD/JPY may not revisit recent highs in the near term. Instead, the pair could stabilize within the 140-150 range as the market seeks equilibrium amid contrasting monetary policies and economic conditions in the U.S. and Japan. Risk Management: Given the inherent volatility and unpredictability of forex markets, it's crucial to implement robust risk management strategies. Market dynamics can shift rapidly, and while current analyses provide a framework, they are not guarantees of future performance. Always conduct thorough research and remain adaptable to changing market conditions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
by akvil3
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 19, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) rose against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, although it lacked bullish confidence amid uncertainty over the timing of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) next interest rate hike. In addition to this, risk-on sentiment reflected in the overall positive tone in the equity markets may be contributing to the safe-haven yen's decline. That said, geopolitical risks and lower US Treasury yields could prevent a significant downside for the low-yielding yen. In addition, speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene to support the national currency may deter bears from aggressively betting on the yen. The focus will now shift to Japan's consumer inflation data and global PMIs due out later this week. Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said Tuesday that “it is crucial to raise wages for all generations with an economic package.” He also noted that he is “aiming for the cabinet to approve the economic package soon.” At the time of writing the analysis, the USD/JPY pair is consolidating on the latest round of declines just above the 154.10 level, having lost 0.36% on the day. Trade recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected !!USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Safe-Haven Yen Demand and Fed's Dovish Outlook 19/11/2024 Introduction USDJPY is expected to exhibit a slight bearish bias today, influenced by a combination of safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen (JPY), a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, and weaker U.S. economic sentiment. Traders are closely monitoring geopolitical and economic developments, which continue to favor the yen over the dollar in today’s market conditions. This article explores the key drivers behind USDJPY’s expected movement and provides actionable insights for traders. --- Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY Today 1. Increased Demand for Safe-Haven Yen The Japanese yen, a traditional safe-haven currency, continues to attract investors amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over global economic growth. Elevated risk aversion in financial markets is driving capital flows into the yen, adding downward pressure on USDJPY. 2. Dovish Federal Reserve Weighing on USD The Federal Reserve’s recent dovish tone, signaling a pause in interest rate hikes, has weakened the U.S. dollar’s appeal. Softer U.S. inflation and mixed labor market data have reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain its cautious approach. This sentiment limits USD strength, favoring a bearish outlook for USDJPY. 3. Bank of Japan Policy Stability Supporting Yen Although the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains committed to its accommodative monetary policy, recent comments suggest that further adjustments could be considered if inflation remains persistent. The stability in BoJ policy, combined with speculative expectations for eventual normalization, has lent support to the yen, strengthening its position against the U.S. dollar. 4. Technical Indicators Highlight Bearish Momentum From a technical perspective, USDJPY is trading below key resistance levels, and momentum indicators signal further downside potential. The pair's failure to break above its 50-day moving average reinforces the bearish sentiment, aligning with today’s fundamental factors. --- Technical Analysis Indicators Moving Averages and RSI USDJPY is trading below its 50-day moving average, signaling bearish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending lower but remains above oversold levels, indicating the potential for further declines. MACD and Volume Analysis The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a bearish crossover, confirming downward momentum. Volume analysis reflects increasing selling pressure, which supports today’s bearish bias. --- Conclusion Given the safe-haven demand for the yen, the dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve, and supportive technical indicators, USDJPY is expected to maintain a slight bearish bias today. Traders should remain vigilant for any geopolitical developments or surprise economic data that could influence the pair’s direction. --- SEO Tags: - #USDJPYforecast - #USDJPYanalysis - #USDJPYtechnicalanalysis - #ForexTradingUSDJPY - #JapaneseYenStrength - #USDWeakness - #USDJPYtoday - #ForexMarketInsights - #USDJPYprediction
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USD/JPY Shows Potential for RecoveryThe Japanese Yen (JPY) has pared some of its gains against the USD in the Asian trading session, as investors remain cautious about the timing of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Expectations around President-elect Donald Trump's policies have also supported U.S. Treasury yields, weakening the JPY. However, the potential for a sharp depreciation in the JPY seems limited, as there are concerns that Japan may intervene in the foreign exchange market to support its currency. Geopolitical risks may also provide some support for the JPY, while a restrained USD is likely to influence the USD/JPY pair. Traders are waiting for U.S. housing market data for further cues. Looking at the technical chart, the pair is recovering and continuing its upward momentum, supported by a strong level at 154.1. Although the resistance at 155.2 is a challenge and may not be breached immediately, after a pullback to the 154.5 support, the pair could gain momentum to break through that resistance. Overall, despite some limiting factors, the outlook for a USD/JPY recovery remains positive, provided support at 154.1 holds and resistance at 155.2 is cleared in the near term. This is my view — what do you think?
by Alisa_Rokosz
Buy to Sell Potential for 200Pips+From the initial idea, waiting for price to break and close below 154.30 has been satisfied. Now, we'll look to sell. Sell entry @154.81. Since price is currently about 60 pips away from our sell position, a buy-to-sell could be feasible here. So, I'll be looking at price coming down to 154.20, from where I'll buy up to our sell position. This should give about 1:3 R . Then, we'll have a Sell Limit Order @154.81 to target 153.55 for a minimum R of 1:3.5.
by Ieios
USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 153.91, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement Our take profit will be at 155.58, which is an overlap resistance close to 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 152.50, which is an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
5
USDJPY InsightHello, dear subscribers! Thank you for joining me today. Please share your personal opinions in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Despite consecutive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.50%. - The gap between the Federal Funds Rate and market rates appears to stem from prevailing expectations of a U.S. "no landing" scenario and the risk of resurging inflation. - The Biden administration has approved Ukraine's use of U.S.-supplied long-range missiles for strikes on Russian territory. - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that any further adjustments to monetary easing will depend on future economic, price, and financial conditions. This Week's Economic Calendar - November 19: Eurozone October CPI - November 20: U.K. October CPI - November 22: Japan October CPI USD/JPY Chart Analysis USD/JPY faced resistance near the 157 level and experienced a slight pullback. However, it seems to be attempting a rebound, and the current rally is expected to form a peak in the 158–159 range. Following the peak, the pair is projected to retreat toward the 149 level. If movements deviate from expectations, strategies will be adjusted promptly.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Sell USD/JPY Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 154.42, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 153.18 2nd Support – 152.55 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6