USD/JPY Profit Heist – Are You In or Missing Out?"🔥💰 "USD/JPY NINJA HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Style)" 💰🔥
🌟 Attention Market Robbers & Profit Takers! 🌟
🚨 Thief Trading Alert: USD/JPY "The Ninja" is primed for a BULLISH HEIST!
Based on our stealthy technical & fundamental analysis, we’re locking in a long entry strategy. The plan? Loot profits before the RED ZONE danger hits! Overbought? Maybe. Risky? Sure. But the real robbery happens before the bears wake up! 🏴☠️💸
🎯 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
Buy Limit Orders: Swipe the dip on pullbacks or jump in at key swing lows.
Aggressive? Enter now & ride the wave!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Thief-Style Escape Plan):
Swing Low (5H TF): 143.600 (Adjust based on your risk & lot size!)
Multiple orders? Scale SL wisely—don’t get caught!
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 151.000 (Or escape earlier if the trap triggers!)
Scalpers: Only play LONG—trail your SL & lock in quick loot!
📢 SCALPERS & SWING TRADERS:
Got deep pockets? Ride the wave now!
Small account? Join the swing heist & rob the trend slowly!
📈 WHY USD/JPY?
Bullish momentum + Macro/Fundamental tailwinds!
COT Report, Sentiment, & Intermarket Analysis all hint at more upside! go ahead to check 👉🔗🌏
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news!
Trailing SL = Your best friend! Protect profits & avoid jail (stop-out)!
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USDJPY trade ideas
Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction?USD/JPY: Downtrend Slowing – Recovery Opportunity After Correction?
Hello TradingView community!
Today, let's focus on analyzing the USD/JPY pair, which is showing interesting developments after its recent correction.
🌍 Macro Overview: USD/JPY Under Current Pressures
The market is observing shifts in the dynamics of the USD/JPY pair:
UOB Group's 24-Hour View: The USD experienced a sharp decline from 148.02 on Monday to 144.49, despite being "oversold". This indicates a slowing in the downtrend, though caution remains.
Retest Expected: According to UOB Group, there's a likelihood of USD/JPY retesting the 144.50 level before a more sustained recovery can be expected.
Downside Limited: A drop below 144.50 cannot be ruled out, but based on current momentum, any further weakness is unlikely to reach 144.00.
Resistance Levels: On the upside, resistance levels are noted at 145.20 and 145.55.
Overall, USD/JPY is in a phase of seeking equilibrium after a significant decline.
📊 Technical Analysis & USD/JPY Trading Plan
Based on the USD/JPY chart (H4/M30) you provided:
Overall Trend: The pair has undergone a relatively deep corrective decline after reaching a local peak, but appears to be seeking a strong support zone.
Key Price Levels:
Crucial Resistance (SELL Zone): Clearly at 144.894 - 145.178. This is an confluence area of Fibonacci levels and local highs where selling pressure could emerge strongly.
Important Support (Potential BUY Zone): Around 143.800 - 143.500. This represents a potential bottoming area where demand might be strong enough to push the price higher.
Projected Price Action: After the sharp decline, USD/JPY might retest the 144.50 area. If it holds above key support levels, an upward move towards resistance zones is plausible, as indicated by the arrows on the chart.
🎯 USD/JPY Trading Plan:
BUY ZONE: 143.800 - 143.500
SL: 143.400
TP: 144.000 - 144.200 - 144.500 - 144.800 - 145.000 - 145.200 - 145.500
SELL ZONE: 144.894 - 145.178
SL: 145.300
TP: 144.700 - 144.500 - 144.200 - 144.000 - 143.800 - 143.500
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
US and Japanese Economic Data: Upcoming reports on inflation and employment from both nations could significantly impact Fed and BoJ policy expectations.
BoJ Policy Decisions: Any shifts in the Bank of Japan's stance will create strong volatility for the JPY.
Global Risk Sentiment: Changes in overall market sentiment can also affect JPY crosses.
Trade smart and stay informed! Wishing everyone a successful USD/JPY trading day!
USDJPY Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 145.018.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.793 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | USDJPY correction 📊 Technical Analysis
● Monday's rebound above the 4-month falling trend line was quickly repelled, leaving a “false breakdown” candle; price has returned under the line and is now retesting it as resistance around 144.65.
● The rebound also stopped at the top of the triangle and a small bearish flag formed; the height of the pattern points to the 142.80 support band and the broader channel to 139.90 as continuation.
💡 Fundamental analysis
● Softer U.S. core GDP data drove 2-year Treasury yields to two-week lows, reducing the rate differential that favored the dollar.
Meanwhile, Japanese officials again warned that they “do not rule out any measures” against excessive yen weakening, raising the risk of intervention and discouraging new long USD/JPY positions.
Summary
Short 144.4 - 144.65; break below 143.8 targets 142.8 -> 139.9. Bearish view loses strength with a 4-hour close above 145.30.
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USDJPY ANalysis week 26Fundamental analysis
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged and forecast only a small cut in 2026-2027 due to concerns about high inflation. The number of officials opposing a rate cut this year increased. The Israel-Iran conflict escalated, the US may attack Iran but is waiting for Tehran's response, causing the Japanese Yen to appreciate thanks to its safe-haven role.
Japan and the US have not reached a trade deal, the risk of higher tariffs before the July 9 deadline. The US dollar is near a one-week high, supporting the USD/JPY pair, but investors remain cautious due to the lack of new economic data.
Technical analysis
USDJPY is rising quite strongly and reacting at the resistance zone of 146.200. There is a possibility of a price gap next week, so trading early will be quite risky. The trading range is expected to be clearer at the resistance and support zones. 146,800 and 147,700 are noted as the two important upper boundary zones. 145,400 and 144,400 will be important support zones with a very strong buyer force waiting.
Trading Signals
back to daily support USDJPY touched 148 this morning ahead of US PMI.
According to methodology
1. Resistance Zone:
• The 0.125 level (147.820) acted as a resistance point where selling pressure overwhelmed buying pressure, causing the price to reverse downward. Since the price reached 148.000 (just above 147.820), it tested and failed to sustain above this level, reinforcing its role as a barrier.
2. Daily Support
•The daily support trend line (yellow box) has been an area to watch as price continues to try and get over the 148 hump. Until then, this pair is going to wedge until a break confirmation.
Usdjpy 4Hr chart Analaysis The USD/JPY pair appears to be forming a potential reversal pattern, suggesting a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The key level of 148.55 is anticipated to act as a turning point, with price potentially heading down toward the 141.647 support area in the near term.
SDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle structure that has been forming since early April, with today’s daily candle showing strong bullish momentum above the resistance zone around 147.500. The breakout is clean and backed by volume, which suggests that bulls are in full control. Price action is respecting the trendline structure and has now confirmed a fresh higher high, setting the stage for the next bullish leg. My immediate upside target for this move stands at 157.900.
Fundamentally, the divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to widen. The Fed remains hawkish with inflation still sticky in the US and interest rate cuts being pushed further out. In contrast, the Bank of Japan remains ultra-dovish, with no major policy tightening in sight and continued yield curve control. This policy mismatch is keeping the Yen under consistent selling pressure. Additionally, Japan's core inflation slipped again this week, further reducing the probability of any BOJ rate hike this quarter.
The technical breakout aligns perfectly with the macro narrative. A strong bullish candle breaking structure on the daily suggests momentum will likely continue. With no strong resistance until the 157.900 area, this setup offers a high-conviction long opportunity. Traders should watch for minor pullbacks toward 147.000–146.800 as potential re-entry or add-on zones.
With rising US bond yields, weak Japanese fundamentals, and breakout confirmation on the chart, USDJPY is now well-positioned for a continuation rally. This is a trend-following setup with solid fundamentals and momentum confirmation—ideal conditions for a profitable move in the current forex environment.
U
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakdown from trendline resistance and projecting a move toward a significant downside target.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Trendline Rejection
Price sharply rejected from the descending resistance trendline near 148.00 (red arrow), forming a potential lower high.
This suggests continuation of the broader downtrend structure.
2. Break Below EMA 200
Price has broken below the 200 EMA (144.752), signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
EMA is likely to act as dynamic resistance if price attempts a pullback.
3. Bearish Projection
The chart outlines a measured move downward toward the target point at 139.955, implying a drop of over 5.36% (approximately 770 pips).
The projected path shows lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish structure.
4. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is currently at 29.98, indicating oversold conditions, but this often supports strong momentum in trending markets—suggesting a possible continuation lower after minor retracements.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry: After trendline rejection and EMA 200 break (~144.75)
Target: 139.955
Invalidation: Break above 148.00 resistance trendline
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USD/JPY 2-Hour Forex Chart2-hour performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) from FOREX.com, showing a current exchange rate of 145.498 with a decrease of 0.661 (-0.45%). The chart highlights a recent sharp decline, with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around 145.000 to 146.047. Key levels include 144.721 (support) and 146.047 (resistance), with the price movement tracked over the past two hours.
Mega long for the year 2027-2030Here is an idea for USDJPY pair. Im looking for a long term long position when price sweeps liquidity and react at the OrderBLock and FVG marked in my analysis. First of all, I expect a market shift in the near term, as i marked it(shift soon). Maybe a short position there wont be bad
USDJPYUSDJPY is currently approaching a major breakout zone as it nears the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The pair has broken above the key horizontal resistance area around 145.80–146.00, which previously acted as a strong supply zone. Price is now challenging the descending trendline resistance.
A confirmed breakout and retest of the triangle and resistance zone may open the door for a bullish continuation toward 147.50, and potentially 150.00+, as marked on the chart. However, if the breakout fails, we may see a pullback toward the 145.00–144.80 support region before any further upside.
This setup highlights a potential breakout-retest-continuation scenario. Traders should watch for price action confirmation near the trendline for further direction.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support.
Pivot: 144.67
1st Support: 143.07
1st Resistance: 145.89
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Market next move Disruption of the Bullish USD/JPY Analysis
1. Weak Bullish Momentum
The current bullish attempt is showing small-bodied candles with low follow-through.
Disruption: This suggests a lack of conviction from buyers. If there’s no strong bounce soon, it could indicate distribution rather than accumulation.
2. Volume Imbalance
Notice the recent spike in bearish volume (red bars), especially during the last price drop.
Disruption: Volume is supporting the downtrend, not the rebound. This suggests sellers are still in control.
3. Lower High Structure
The price recently failed to form a higher high and continues forming lower highs and lower lows.
Disruption: This pattern is a classic sign of a continuing bearish trend, contradicting the bullish target.
4. Fundamental Headwinds
The U.S. economic icon (flag) suggests an upcoming high-impact event — likely NFP, GDP, or rate decision.
Disruption: If U.S. data is weak or if there's talk of the Fed pausing rate hikes, USD could weaken, pushing USD/JPY further below 144.000.
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 144.558.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 143.239 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Usdjpy at key near-term support zone?The USD/JPY pair faces a sharp sell-off and slides to near 144.00 on Tuesday. The pair dives significantly as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms its peers after a ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
Easing geopolitical tensions diminish demand for safe-haven assets, such as the US Dollar. During European trading hours, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, slumps to near 98.00.
The demand for the Japanese Yen (JPY) should have weakened too, given its safe-haven status. However, the Asian-Pacific currency is outperforming its peers, except antipodeans, due to the decline in oil prices. ( Dua, 2025)
USD/JPY is trading below the 145.00 mark at the time of writing, during American trading hours, and staying afloat above its 100-day Moving Average, which remains a key near-term support zone.
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 144.27 occurred when the RSI indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, but the strong U.S. labor market data offered a high probability of the dollar strengthening against the yen, which I decided to take advantage of. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 145.06.
The confident growth in U.S. non-farm employment recorded in May exceeded experts' expectations' causing noticeable fluctuations in currency, markets. The publications of data showing the creation of 139,7000 new jobs versus the forecasted 127,000 instantly strengthened the U.S. dollar, putting pressure on the Japanese yen. The yen's reaction to the news was immediate: the currency weakened significantly against the dollar. Investors perceived the data as a signal of the strength of the U.S. economy and the likely continuation of Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy. Furthermore, the stable unemployment rate in the U.S. recorded at 4.2%, also reinforced the market's optimistic sentiment.
Today's data shows that Japan's GDP for the first quarter was revised upward, which helped the yen recover slightly from Friday's losses against the U.S. dollar. However, despite the positive revision, Japan's economy still faces serious challenges. Weak domestic demand and an aging population continue to pressure growth, while geopolitical uncertainty poses additional obstacles. The Bank of Japan maintains a wait-and-see approach and has no plans to raise interest rates for now, which had previously provided good support to the the yen. Strong growth in bank lending also contributed to increased demand for the yen.
USD/JPY 15M CHART PATTERNHere’s a breakdown and analysis of your USDJPY SELL trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe:
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Trade Details:
Entry: 147.280 (Short)
Stop Loss (SL): 147.998 (≈71.8 pips risk)
Targets:
T1: 146.960 (≈32 pips)
T2: 146.600 (≈68 pips)
T3: 146.019 (≈126 pips)
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Risk/Reward Ratios:
Target Reward (pips) R:R Ratio
T1 32 ~0.45:1
T2 68 ~0.95:1
T3 126 ~1.75:1
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Quick Technical Evaluation (Assuming standard price behavior):
Entry near local high? If yes, solid idea to sell after rejection/candle confirmation.
SL Placement: 147.998 is quite wide—possibly above a recent high or resistance zone.
T1 is relatively close, offering a partial TP level but low reward/risk.
T2 provides near 1:1 R:R, which is more balanced.
T3 is aggressive and may require a strong bearish continuation or news catalyst.
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Suggestions:
1. Adjust SL? – If the 147.998 level isn’t key resistance, consider tightening it closer to the swing high (e.g., 147.400–147.500) to improve R:R.
2. Scaling Out – Consider closing part of the position at T1 or T2, then letting the rest run to T3.
3. Monitor Price Action – On the 15m chart, look for bearish continuation (e.g., lower highs, bearish engulfing, MACD crossover, etc.).
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) from FOREX.com, showing a current exchange rate of 144.351 with a slight decrease of 0.063 (-0.04%). The chart highlights a recent sharp upward movement followed by a decline, with key support and resistance levels marked around 144.419 and 145.028, respectively. The time frame spans from late June to early July 2025.