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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Potential Bearish RetestThe USD/JPY pair has been in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel for an extended period. Recently, price action has broken above the channel, but it is now facing resistance around the 150.35 level. Retest Zone: The pair is currently retesting the broken trendline, and if it fails to sustain above this level, a rejection could lead to further downside. Bearish Expectation: If the price fails to reclaim 150.35, a move towards the 147.00 support zone is likely. Confirmation: A strong bearish candle from this level could indicate a reversal, confirming the downward move. Traders should watch for price action signals at the retest level before making decisions.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
151.00 Cracks: Is USD/JPY’s Rally Over? Key Levels AheadFrom a fundamental perspective, the USD/JPY exchange rate retreated from around the 151.00 level. Despite the poor Japanese PMI data on Monday, investors bought the Japanese yen influenced by the hawkish outlook of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The minutes of the January meeting showed that policymakers tend to tighten policies when appropriate. The BoJ governor also stated that the degree of monetary easing will be adjusted once the 2% inflation target is achieved. Technically, the overnight breakout above the 150.00 psychological mark and the 200 - period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4 - hour chart is a bullish signal. Indicators on the daily chart also support appreciation, and pullbacks may present buying opportunities. If the rate breaks below 150.00, it may accelerate its decline to support levels such as 149.30 - 149.25. Failure to hold these levels indicates that the rebound momentum has been exhausted and the trend may turn bearish. Conversely, if it stabilizes above 151.00, the upward resistance levels are successively 151.30, 151.75 (the 200 - day SMA), and it may even rise to 153.00. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
USD/JPY H4 | Falling to Fibonacci confluence supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 150.11 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements. Stop loss is at 149.30 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh SurgeMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Surge USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 151.00 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 149.55 and 150.00 levels. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 150.30 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 148.20 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 148.80 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 149.55. The pair climbed above 150.00 and traded as high as 150.94. It is now consolidating gains and there was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 148.18 swing low to the 150.94 high. The current price action above the 150.00 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 150.95. The first major resistance is near 151.20. If there is a close above the 151.20 level and the RSI moves above 70, the pair could rise toward 152.50. The next major resistance is near 153.20, above which the pair could test 155.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 150.30 and a bullish trend line, below which the bears could gain strength. The next major support is visible near the 149.55 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 148.18 swing low to the 150.94 high. If there is a close below 149.55, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 148.40 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 147.50 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USD/JPY.. Treand line break out...The USD/JPY trade setup you've described appears to focus on a bullish trend line breakout, but there are inconsistencies in the terminology and risk-reward structure that need clarification. Here's a refined interpretation and analysis: --- ### *Trade Setup Rationale* 1. *Entry Point 149.500 *: Likely triggered by a bullish breakout above a descending trend line (resistance). Entry might be near the breakout level, *assuming the price retests the trend line (now support)*. - Example: If the breakout occurs around *150.00, a pullback to **150.00-151.00* could serve as the entry zone. 2. *Take Profit (TP) Targets* (mislabeled as "support"): - *TP1: 152.60* (near prior resistance or a measured move). - *TP2: 154.80* (extension of the bullish momentum, possibly a multi-month high). 3. *Stop Loss (SL): 148.25* (placed below the trend line/swing low to protect against false breakouts). --- ### *Risk-Reward Considerations* - *Scenario: Entry at **150.00, SL at **148.25* (175 pips risk). - TP1 (152.60): *+260 pips* (1:1.5 risk-reward). - TP2 (154.80): *+480 pips* (1:2.7 risk-reward). - *Note*: Wider stops may suit swing traders, but ensure alignment with your strategy. --- ### *Key Factors to Validate* 1. *Trend Confirmation*: Confirm bullish momentum with indicators (e.g., RSI >50, MACD crossover). 2. *Fundamentals*: Monitor BoJ intervention risks or Fed policy shifts impacting USD/JPY. 3. *Price Action*: Watch for a clean breakout with volume support and no false spikes. --- ### *Adjusted Trade Plan* - *Buy Entry: On confirmed trend line breakout (e.g., daily close above **151.00*). - *TP1: **152.60* (partial profit). - *TP2: **154.80* (final target). - *SL: **148.25* (strict risk management).
Long
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
3
USD/JPY: Long Opportunity at Weekly Demand ZoneThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently pulling back into a significant weekly demand area, presenting a promising opportunity for traders looking to enter long positions. This area historically denotes strong buying interest, suggesting potential upward momentum. In contrast, the 6J1! Yen futures market displays a bearish sentiment, with many retail traders positioning against this bullish signal in USD/JPY. This divergence in market sentiment could create unique trading opportunities for those who can effectively interpret technical indicators and retail positioning. Yen Futures To capitalize on this potential rebound, a pending order has been set on the CFD for USD/JPY, with a buy limit positioned just above the demand zone. Effective risk management, including a stop-loss just below the demand area, is essential as traders navigate this evolving landscape. In summary, the combination of strong demand at critical levels and contrasting sentiment in the futures market presents a strategic trading scenario for bullish plays in USD/JPY. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY analysis week 14🌐Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25% - 4.50% range and forecast core PCE inflation to average 2.8% by year-end. The higher-than-expected inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for an extended period. Investors are concerned that these tariffs could add to global inflationary pressures and trigger a recession. In Japan, the Tokyo CPI rose sharply in March, boosting expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year. The hot inflation data also supported the Yen's appreciation against other currencies. 🕯Technical Analysis USDJPY is still in a bullish recovery. The pair is facing support at 149.200, preventing further declines. The weekly high around 151.100 is still acting as key resistance before the pair breaks out to 152.000. Conversely, if the trend breaks at 149.200, weekly support is seen at 148.300. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 151.300-151.100 SL 150.500 SELL USDJPY 152.000-152.200 SL 152.400 BUY USDJPY 149.300-149.100 SL 148.900
by TVS-Trader
USD/JPY Nears 200-dma Re-Test After 150 DefenseUSD/JPY has continued to snag bears with several bear traps so far this year. While there was a series of lower-lows in the first part of March, as the USD was plummeting against most major currencies, USD/JPY has turned around over the past three weeks, and is now nearing a re-test of the 200-day moving average. The 150.77 Fibonacci level held the highs on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of this week, and that now becomes a spot of higher-low support potential for pullback scenarios. For next resistance, the 151.51 Fibonacci level is nearing confluence with the 200-day moving average, and the 151.95 level remains important. If bulls can stretch the move, that seems a logical area to look for a pause in the trend. - js
by FOREXcom
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal (Inverse Head & Shoulders)📌 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders 📌 Analysis: The chart showcases an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. The price has successfully broken out of the downward trendline, indicating potential upside movement. 🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed during the previous retracement. 🔹 Head: The lowest point of the pattern, marking strong support. 🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed with a breakout above resistance. 📈 Trading Plan: ✅ Entry (Buy): After a confirmed breakout and possible retest. 🎯 Target: 153.988 - 154.672 (2.74% potential gain). 🔻 Support: 149.883 - 148.837 (Stops should be placed accordingly). 📊 Conclusion: If the price maintains above the breakout level, we may see a strong rally toward the resistance target. Watch for volume confirmation and pullback retests before entering a trade.
Long
by PIPsOptimizer
USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank . Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.600) Day / scalping trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 152.400 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day/Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Yen Slides as Tariff Concerns LoomMacro: - The Japanese yen weakened in the last few days as markets eyed the potential impact of upcoming US reciprocal tariffs on key Japanese exports. - Minutes from the BoJ's Jan meeting showed policymakers remain open to further rate hikes, depending on wage growth and inflation data. - Recent comments from US President Trump helped ease the concerns about the escalating tariff war, boosting the overall market's sentiment. Technical: - USDJPY broke the descending channel to give the first glimpse of a potential trend reversal. The price is hovering around its previous swing high, waiting for a clear breakout to determine the upcoming trend. - If USDJPY breaks above 151.00 and EMA78, the price may surge further to retest the following resistance at 154.70. - On the contrary, remaining below resistance at 151.00 may prompt a retest to the broken descending channel and the support at 148.60. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
USDJPY previous support now resistance retest at 151.21The USDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 151.21 (critical level), 152.20, 153.04 Support Levels: 149.17, 148.26, 147.22 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from the 151.21 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 149.17, with extended declines targeting 148.26 and 147.22 over the longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 151.21 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 152.20, followed by 153.04. Conclusion: The market sentiment remains bearish, with 151.21 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favoring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lies up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 149.95 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 148.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY Price ActionHello Traders, As you can see, the price dropped from the previous supply zone and has formed a new one. Along the way, it created both internal and external liquidity, which helps strengthen the newly formed zone — a common pattern we see repeatedly. Remember, just because price didn’t move as expected and hit your stop loss, it doesn’t mean your analysis was wrong. That’s exactly why we use stop losses — to protect our capital before chasing profit. I’ve marked the internal and external liquidity, along with the new supply and demand zones on the chart. As always, without liquidity, there’s no valid zone confirmation. Risk management is key — that’s all you really need. Wishing you all the best and happy trading. Thank you!
Short
by SuvashishFx