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USDJPY trade ideas

Dollar vs. Yen - Long Term Swing Trading Idea - 08-th Jan 25'USDJPY from 20-th Dec' 2024 to 6-th Jan 2025 created A-B-C-D-E formation which is 4-th wave. Then from 156.25 area till 158.55 created 5 waves and finished the trend. Our expectations for the next few days are the price to retrace at least 250 pips till zone of 156.00 and there will find support. Long term idea is to reach 153.00 level in period of one month. EURUSD is at weakest and creating a swing low at levels over 1.0250-1.0300. If EURUSD bounce back to 1.0600 that will confirm the USDJPY trading idea for weaker dollar in next few weeks. Trading idea parameters are as follows. Entry: 158.50 Stop 159.50 Target 153.20
Short
by TradingTie
4
USDJPY Bearish Momentum - Will It Reach 147.640?OANDA:USDJPY is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a strong bearish structure. The price has broken below a key support zone and may now pull back for a potential retest. This level previously acted as support and could now serve as resistance, aligning with a possible bearish continuation. If sellers confirm resistance at this zone, the price is likely to move downward toward the 147.640 target. However, a failure to reject this level could indicate a potential shift in momentum. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the resistance zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Short
by DanieIM
1
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET COMPLETE This chart represents a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's what it indicates: 1. Selling Zone (Yellow Area - Around 151.331) This is a resistance area where sellers are expected to take control, leading to price rejection and a possible downward move. 2. Buyer's Zone (Pink Area - Around 148.800 - 149.000) This is a support area where buyers are likely to step in, causing price to bounce back up. 3. Market Movement & Prediction The price moved up towards the Selling Zone, where it faced resistance and reversed downward (black arrow). It then dropped to the Buyer's Zone, where the trade hit its Target Win (blue arrow with "💪"). The chart suggests a successful short trade from the Selling Zone to the Buyer's Zone. Summary: This analysis shows a successful sell trade from the resistance (151.3) down to support (148.9), hitting the target profit level. It highlights price action behavior around key zones and a well-executed strategy.
Short
by Davidhills_110
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.992. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 147.011 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Usdjpy sell zoneThis is a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) 1-hour timeframe technical analysis from FXCM, indicating a sell trade setup with the following details: 1. Resistance Level: Identified around 149.546, marked in yellow. This is the level where price is expected to face selling pressure. 2. Entry Point: Around 148.990, which aligns with a key resistance zone. 3. Target Level: 147.459, representing the expected price drop where traders may take profit. 4. Market Outlook: The analysis suggests a bearish setup, expecting price rejection from the resistance zone and a downward move toward the support level. 5. Price Action Strategy: The price is likely to consolidate near resistance before making a decisive move downward. This setup signals a potential short (sell) opportunity, anticipating that USD/JPY will decline after hitting resistance, making it favorable for sellers.
Long
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
Short Trade Idea: USDJPY📉 Short Trade Idea: USDJPY 🔻 Short Entry: 148.90 - 149.10 🛑 Stop Loss: 149.65 🎯 Target: 147.00 1:3 Risk Reward Trade 🔎 Trade Rationale: ✅ Bearish Bias on Weekly & Daily TF – Price action aligns with higher timeframe weakness. ✅ Weak Weekly Start (NY Session Monday) – Momentum favors sellers. ✅ Trading Below Last 2 Sessions' Lows – Indicating potential continuation. ✅ Sell Signal Triggered During London Session – Aligns with session-based volatility. 📊 Trade Management: Monitor price action near 147.00 for potential early reaction, adjust SL if needed. 💬 Let me know your thoughts! 📉🚀
Short
by Wealthy_Vikish
USDJPY daily time frame , moving down to the support zone USD/JPY – 1D Chart Analysis (March 4, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Break of Uptrend: The pair had been in an uptrend but recently broke below a key ascending trendline, signaling a shift to a bearish bias. Support Zone Tested: Price recently dropped into the 145.50 - 146.50 demand zone, where buyers attempted to step in. Rejection from 152.14: A clear rejection occurred near 152.14, reinforcing this as a strong resistance zone. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI at 36.89: Close to oversold but still has room for further downside. Bearish Momentum: The RSI has been making lower highs, confirming sustained selling pressure. 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 152.14 (Major resistance and previous rejection level) 150.50 - 151.00 (Local resistance from recent price action) Support: 146.00 - 145.50 (Key demand zone, recently tested) 143.50 - 144.00 (Next major support if price continues down) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios 📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price fails to reclaim 150.50, the pair could continue its downtrend toward 146.00 and possibly 144.00. Short Setup: Entry: 149.50 - 150.00 (on rejection) Stop-loss: Above 151.00 Target: 146.50, then 144.00 📈 Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability) If price reclaims 150.50 and finds support, we could see a retest of 152.14. Long Setup: Entry: Above 150.50 Stop-loss: Below 149.50 Target: 152.14 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bearish, favoring a move towards 146.00 - 144.00. Trade idea: Look for rejection near 150.00 to confirm shorts. Risk management: Keep an eye on 146.00, as a strong bullish reaction could invalidate the bearish setup. Would you like additional confirmation on lower timeframes (4H, 1H)? 📊
Short
by Forexbeats
USDJPY Short Idea - 4H ChartThe USDJPY pair is currently facing resistance at a key supply zone near 150.90 - 151.10, aligning with previous structural resistance and a 200 EMA rejection. The price recently made a lower high within a downtrend, indicating further bearish momentum. Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation in the 150.90 - 151.10 supply zone. 🔹 Stop Loss: Above 151.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts. 🔹 Target: The next demand zone around 148.80 - 149.00, a key support area tested previously. The bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the 200 EMA and fails to break the resistance zone. A rejection from this level could lead to a continuation of the current downtrend. 📉 Watch for: Rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or confirmation from lower timeframes before entering a short position. 🔔 Stay patient and manage risk accordingly! 🚀
Short
by SanchoAT
USDJPY..Short trade ideaUSDJPY Short Trade Idea 📉 🔽 Sell Entry: Only if price consolidates below 150.00 🎯 Target: 149.30 Technical Breakdown: Resistance: 150.80 rejection Support: 150.00 (Key level) Indicators: Alligator’s Lips crossing Jawline → Trend shift signal MACD crossing below 0 → Bearish momentum confirmation Trade Execution Plan: 1️⃣ Wait for price to stay below 150.00 (Avoid false breakouts) 2️⃣ Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, breakdown retest) 3️⃣ Stop-Loss: Around 150.30-150.50 (above consolidation) 4️⃣ Risk-Reward: ~1:2 (Good setup) Would you consider an extended target if momentum strengthens? 🚀
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
2
USD/JPY - Trade Idea In most time frames we are infact Bearish Why I am looking to buy here is because we are on a strong Support level. Previous buys have gone in favour at this level so we will be looking to make a similar trade setup. This trade also has the capabilities to target higher Liquidity so I may hold this trade out for long if its successful. For entry Im looking to target the 1H Demand zone area which is sweeping Liquidity on sell side after taking out the 25% level. Our TP is at a previous supply but once again if we deny that supply we have a potential bullish breakout. Risking 75Pips for 152Pips Good luck to all the traders that might follow
Long
by jamesibartram
1
USD/JPY probability assessment of the next price movement:From analyzing the USD/JPY charts across different timeframes, here is a structured probability assessment of the next price movement: Market Structure Overview: Bearish Trend on Higher Timeframes (4H & 1D) The market has been trending downward, breaking previous lows. A clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChOCH) suggest bearish control. Discount Zones are marked, showing potential reaction areas. Liquidity & Order Flow Price is currently near a discount zone on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H). Premium zones are visible on higher timeframes, meaning a retracement could happen before further downside. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 151.000 - 152.000 Support Zones: 148.000 - 148.350 Equilibrium Levels: Around 150.000 Probability Scenarios: Bearish Continuation (65% Probability) Price is forming lower highs and lower lows. If price fails to break above 150.000 convincingly, a further decline to 148.350 - 148.000 is likely. BOS confirms continued bearish momentum. Bullish Retracement (35% Probability) If price reacts strongly at the discount area, a push toward 150.500 - 151.000 before continuing lower is possible. Confirmation required: A higher low formation and BOS in lower timeframes (15m, 30m). Trading Plan: Short (Sell) Plan - Higher Probability Entry: Around 149.500 - 150.000 (If price shows rejection) Confirmations Needed: Rejection from supply zone + bearish price action (e.g., bearish engulfing) Stop Loss: Above 150.500 Take Profit: 148.350 (1st target), 148.000 (2nd target) Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 Long (Buy) Plan - Lower Probability Entry: 148.350 - 148.000 (If price shows bullish reaction) Confirmations Needed: Strong bullish candles + BOS on lower timeframes Stop Loss: Below 147.800 Take Profit: 150.000 (1st target), 151.000 (2nd target) Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 Final Summary Table Scenario Probability Key Level to Watch SL TP Bearish Continuation 65% 149.500 - 150.000 150.500 148.350 - 148.000 Bullish Retracement 35% 148.350 - 148.000 147.800 150.000 - 151.000 📌 Conclusion: The market remains bearish unless a strong reversal structure forms. Best trade is to wait for a short entry around 149.500 - 150.000 and target 148.350 first. A bullish move is possible but needs confirmation. 🚀 ​
Short
by wizzywise1
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 4, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 16:15 EET. JPY - BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks USDJPY: On Tuesday, the Japanese yen (JPY) strengthened for the second consecutive day, reaching a multi-month high against the US dollar (USD) last week. The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hawkish policy outlook continues to support the JPY, while concerns over the economic consequences of US President Donald Trump's tariff policy have led to a decrease in investor appetite for risky assets and contributed to the yen's strength. Trump's threats regarding Japan's currency depreciation, as well as the low dynamics of US dollar (USD) prices, are other factors exerting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. JPY bulls have not been affected by weak macroeconomic data from Japan, which showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate and a drop in corporate capital spending for the first time in three years. This suggests that the yen's value may continue to rise. Trade recommendation: SELL 149.000, SL 149.800, TP 148.200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY BUY OUTLOOK We are buying USD/JPY at 150.5 because: - *Breakout above resistance*: The pair has broken above the 150.30 resistance level, which is a significant technical level. - *Rally expected*: When a pair breaks above a resistance level, it often triggers a rally, meaning the price is expected to go up. - *Buying opportunity*: By buying at 150.5, we are taking advantage of the potential rally and expecting the pair to continue going up. - *Targeting higher levels*: Our target is likely higher than 150.5, possibly around 151.45 or 152.00, as mentioned in the technical analysis. - *Potential for profit*: If the pair reaches our target, we can sell and make a profit. - We are buying USD/JPY at 150.5 - Our target is 151.7 This means we are expecting the pair to go up by about 120 pips (151.7 - 150.5) and reach our target. If it does, we can sell and make a profit. Overall, buying USD/JPY at 150.5 is a strategic move to take advantage of the potential rally and target higher levels for profit.
Long
by Expert_Travis