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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Key Resistance & Fibonacci Target ZonesOverview: This USD/JPY daily chart shows a potential bearish reversal setup after a break below key support and trendline structure. The pair has recently dropped below a critical demand zone (highlighted in green), which has now turned into resistance. The price is currently attempting a pullback, and a potential rejection from the resistance zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating a continuation of the downtrend. Key Levels & Technical Analysis: Previous Support Turned Resistance: The green zone represents a significant past support area that has now become resistance after a breakdown. Trendline Break: The upward trendline that supported price action for several months has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.382 (151.265): A minor resistance level for a possible short-term rejection. 0.5 (148.979): A stronger resistance, aligning with structure. 0.618 - 0.786 (145.053 - 143.582): The ultimate bearish targets, coinciding with Fibonacci retracement extensions. Bearish Projection: The expected scenario suggests a short-term retracement towards the 151.265-148.979 resistance zone. If the price faces rejection, a strong bearish continuation could target 145.053 and ultimately 143.582. Trade Plan: 📌 Short Entry: Around 151.265 - 148.979 if price rejects resistance. 🎯 Target 1: 145.053 (0.70 Fibonacci) 🎯 Target 2: 143.582 (0.786 Fibonacci) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 152.000 to invalidate the bearish setup. Conclusion: The overall sentiment for USD/JPY is bearish after breaking a key trendline and support level. Traders should watch for a pullback into the resistance zone, followed by a bearish rejection for a potential short trade. However, a break above 152.000 could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls. 📉 Bearish Bias Until Key Resistance Holds! 📉
Short
by NexusTradesZone
USD/JPY Market Analysis – Potential Reversal or Continuation?This 15-minute chart of USD/JPY displays a clear bullish impulse following a Change of Character (ChoCh) and a Break of Structure (BoS) . Price action has reached a key resistance zone, and traders are now anticipating the next move based on market reactions. Key Observations : 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) : - This indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. - The market rejected lower prices and started forming higher highs and higher lows. 2. b]Break of Structure (BoS) : - This confirms bullish momentum as previous resistance levels are broken. - A strong bullish move suggests demand is dominating. 3. Current Price Action : - The price has approached a liquidity zone (previous high). - Potential rejection at this level suggests profit-taking or a shift in order flow. Possible Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation : - If price retraces into the M15 demand zone (marked on the chart) and finds support, a continuation to the upside is likely. - A break above the current high could push price towards 149.950 or even 150.000. ❌ Bearish Reversal : - If price aggressively rejects the current high and breaks the M15 demand zone , we could see a bearish move towards **149.100 - 148.900**. - This would indicate a deeper correction or potential trend reversal. Trading Plan: - **Wait for confirmation at the M15 demand zone.** - **Look for bullish price action signals for continuation trades.** - **If demand fails, shift bias to bearish setups.** 📌 Conclusion : USD/JPY is at a critical decision point. The next move will depend on whether buyers defend the demand zone or if sellers step in to drive price lower. Stay patient and react to market structure shifts accordingly. 🚀📉
by BeaucoupPips
USDJPY ahead of Japan inflation and retail sales figures The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to appreciate against the US Dollar (USD) as market expectations for additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes gain momentum. This has reinforced a bearish sentiment in the USDJPY currency pair, which remains aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend. From a technical perspective, 152.50 serves as a key resistance level, marking the recent swing high. A potential oversold rally towards this level, followed by rejection, could reinforce the bearish outlook, with downside targets at 149.30, followed by 147.80 and 147.20 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a confirmed breakout above 152.50, coupled with a sustained daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish bias. This could shift momentum toward the upside, opening the possibility for further rallies, with resistance levels at 154.30 and 155.70 acting as potential upside targets. The price action around the 152.50 level remains pivotal in determining the next directional move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
US PCE could be the catalyst for USDJPY to make a stronger moveMARKETSCOM:USDJPY is currently flirting with the area around the 149.00 hurdle. In order to shift our attention to some lower areas, a drop below the lowest point of December 2024 is needed. But what about the US PCEs? Let's dig in... FX_IDC:USDJPY What are your thoughts on this? 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 154.45 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 155.02 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 149.879. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 153.459 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
USD/JPY at a Crossroads: Bearish Pressure or Reversal Ahead?Economic Factors Influencing USD/JPY: Monetary Policy Divergence: The Federal Reserve has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues its accommodative policies. In December 2024, the BOJ kept interest rates steady at 0.25%, despite internal discussions about potential hikes. REUTERS This policy divergence often leads to a stronger USD against the JPY. Inflation and Economic Data: Japan has recently achieved its 2% inflation target, ending a prolonged deflationary period. However, the yen has weakened significantly, reaching a 37.5-year low of 161 JPY/USD in July 2024. WIKIPEDIA This devaluation impacts trade balances and investor sentiment. Global Risk Sentiment: The yen traditionally serves as a safe-haven currency. Shifts in global risk appetite, influenced by geopolitical events or economic uncertainties, can lead to yen appreciation during risk-off periods. Technical Analysis: The USD/JPY pair has been on a downward trajectory, forming lower lows. Analysts suggest that if the price rises above 150.89, it could signal a trend reversal to the upside. Conversely, a decline below 141.68 may indicate further bearish momentum. CFI TRADING Investment Considerations: Interest Rate Expectations: Monitor announcements from both the Federal Reserve and the BOJ. Changes in interest rate policies can significantly impact the USD/JPY exchange rate. Economic Indicators: Keep an eye on GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation data from both economies, as these metrics provide insights into economic health and potential currency movements. Risk Management: Given the yen's role as a safe-haven asset, global economic or political turmoil can lead to rapid currency fluctuations. Implementing appropriate risk management strategies is essential when trading this pair. In summary, the USD/JPY exchange rate is influenced by a complex interplay of monetary policies, economic indicators, and global risk sentiment. Staying informed about these factors and conducting thorough technical analysis can aid in making informed trading decisions.
by DhandaTheGreat
#USDJPY 4HUSDJPY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently respecting a trendline support, indicating that buyers are maintaining control. Additionally, the presence of a buy engulfing area suggests strong bullish momentum, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price continues to hold above the trendline support, confirming bullish pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered near the trendline support after confirmation of bullish price action. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline support to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The combination of trendline support and a buy engulfing area indicates strong buying interest. A confirmed bullish move from this level can provide better validation for a buy setup.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
5
USDJPY - Longterm viewHere is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . USDJPY is currently trading at around 149.000s . We are still extremely bearish on FX:USDJPY since our last longterm analysis was completed: Scenario 1: SELLS from 148.200 -We broke below the downtrend channel. With the break of the downtrend channel we can expect more sells to come and we should continue the bearish trend on USDJPY slowly digging into lower levels potentially reaching our target of 145.000. Scenario 2: SELLS from 151.250 -We above the downtrend channel - 149.900. If we above our downtrend channel we can expect some short-term buys up to our main Key Level or PBA (Pullback Area) from where we can look to enter into the long-term sells. IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 151.250; possible pullback area - 148.200; breaks below confirming lower levels - 145.000; longterm target (prices from Aug-Sep 2024) Personal opinion: We are currently trading in a downtrend channel and we are expecting more sells to come throughout the next weeks. We do have to be careful as TVC:DXY and TVC:JXY might experience some volatility tomorrow due to the following news: JXY: Tokyo Core CPI y/y DXY: Core PCE Price Index m/m KEY NOTES - USDJPY breaking above 149.900 would result in higher pullbacks. - USDJPY breaking below 148.200 (below the downtrend channel) would confirm sells. - USDJPY is overall extremely bearish. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 27, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining against its US counterpart during the Asian session on Thursday, although it remains near the highest level since October 2024 reached earlier this week. Comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda last week about a potential increase in regular bond purchases led to a further decline in Japanese government bond (JGB) yields. In addition, concerns over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and a positive tone on risks proved to be key factors undermining the yen exchange rate. However, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid growing market confidence that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year amid rising inflation in Japan. Nevertheless, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell has made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates. What's more, previously released U.S. consumer inflation data suggests that the Fed doesn't have much room to cut rates this year. This, in turn, pushed US Treasury bond yields up, widening the yield differential between the US and Japan and limiting the upside potential for the low-yielding Yen. Trading recommendation: BUY 149.200, SL 148.800, TP 150.000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004