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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend?USD/JPY is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 156.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 155.80 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 158.54 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
1
4-hr USD/JPY: Another 200 Pip Rise Not Impossible The Dollar King continues to assert its dominance, with the EUR, GBP, and AUD seeing significant declines over the past weeks. This robust performance is fueled by the Fed’s hawkish comments on fewer rate cuts in 2025, bolstered by last week’s strong NFP and Unemployment data. The USD is poised for further gains in the near term, although a deeper correction may follow. Technically, after amassing hundreds of pips, a conservative pullback seems imminent. USD/JPY recently broke below its 60-period MA, a support level it previously respected, opening the door for a dip. The 23% Fibonacci retracement now serves as the next key support level, where a rebound could align with the pair’s strong upward momentum. A move toward 156.50, or slightly lower, may invite fresh speculative buying. Such activity is expected to drive USD/JPY another 200 pips upward, potentially retesting its highs above 158.60 and reinforcing the pair’s bullish trajectory.
Long
by Trendsharks
USD/JPY: Signs of Exhaustion Amid Yield and RSI DivergenceWhile USD/JPY remains strongly correlated with yields in the belly of the US Treasury curve, that’s not translated to explosive upside recently, a noticeable departure from the trend seen in previous months where rising yields saw dollar-yen rip higher. With the pair unable to hold gains despite the blowout nonfarm payrolls report last Friday, the price action hints of fatigue following the substantial bullish run from the September lows. The inability to follow US Treasury yields higher may also be a sign carry trade flows may be slowing or even stalling. RSI (14) has diverged from price over the past month, and with MACD generating a fresh bearish signal, it points to waning bullish momentum, potentially increasing the risk we may see some form of bearish reversal. With dips below 157 bought over the calendar turn, the risk-reward of going short around current levels does not screen as compelling, suggesting those considering bearish trades may want to wait for a potential retest of Friday’s high of 158.88 before initiating trades. If the price were to be rejected again at this level, it would generate a decent setup, allowing for shorts to be established beneath the level with a tight stop above for protection. 155.89 would be a potential trade target.
Short
by FOREXcom
1
USD/JPY (UJ) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)The USD/JPY pair has been following a clear market cycle, transitioning from distribution to markdown , followed by accumulation , and now entering a bullish markup phase , showcasing strong bullish momentum. Key Observations: Market Phases: Distribution Phase: The bullish move ended near the 162 level , where sellers gained control, initiating a markdown. Accumulation Phase: After a significant markdown, UJ found a base around the 140 level, forming an accumulation phase with demand coming back into the market. Current Phase: The pair has now broken out of accumulation and is in a bullish move, with a well-defined structure of higher highs and higher lows. EMA Surfing and Momentum: The price is currently surfing upward along the EMAs , showing strong trend-following behavior with EMAs acting as dynamic support. The tightening of the EMAs during the accumulation phase has now expanded , supporting the continuation of the bullish move. Scenarios to Watch: Continuation to Targets: USD/JPY could continue its bullish momentum toward the short-term target near 159 and potentially the medium-term target around 162. This aligns with the ongoing strength in the USD and the current bullish structure . Pullback for Reaccumulation: A potential retracement could act as a reaccumulation phase, gathering liquidity before resuming the uptrend.
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 13, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 13-17th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. With price at Monthly and Weekly Supply levels, we have to proceed with caution in the near term. The bias is still bullish until the market gives us a HTF bearish break of structure. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
Consolidation Midweek Rally #9 (Friday Nonfarm Payrolls)On Monday, I observed the price reaching an old high, but I decided to wait until Wednesday to act. My reasoning was based on a daily fractal pattern, along with liquidity formed on Tuesday. I was targeting the Wednesday London session after 2:30 PM NY time, aiming for a return to the 15-minute order block (OB). The liquidity was taken, but the price only moved just under 50% of the Average Daily Range (ADR). Considering that Wednesday marked the third consecutive bullish green candle, I anticipated Thursday would turn bearish, providing a better opportunity on Friday to secure a good number of pips. However, the same strategy I used on Wednesday didn’t yield the expected results. This experience highlighted an important realization: Friday’s move was likely a liquidity run, signaling a strong possibility that the price might turn bearish. With the Commitment of Traders (COT) data showing the USD in a neutral position, this week’s developments will be critical in understanding their stance. There’s now a significant chance we could see a bearish month ahead, with Friday potentially marking the high of the week.
by Bufalodorato
USDJPY: Bullish Recovery After Sharp Correction – Short-Term Buy📈 Trade Details: Entry: Current price 157.823 🎯 Take Profit 1: 158.000 🎯 Take Profit 2: 158.275 🎯 Take Profit 3: 158.500 🛡 Stop Loss: 157.500 💡 Analysis: Earlier today, USDJPY experienced a sharp correction after hitting intraday highs. However, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, supported by strong economic data and market sentiment favoring risk-off assets. The correction appears to be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, presenting a buy opportunity as the pair looks poised to recover toward key resistance levels. A break above 158.000 could open the door for further upward movement, targeting 158.275 and 158.500 in the short term. 🚨 Risk Management: Tight stop-loss placement at 157.500 to protect against unexpected reversals. Adjust take-profit levels based on price action and volatility. Let’s aim for profits and disciplined trading today! 💹
Long
by ValchevFinance
3
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 157.90 Why we likeit: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.23% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 158.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 157.34 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/JPY BEARISH OPPURTUNITY Entry:157.815 TP:156.001 If you use trading patterns as part of confirmations in market direction. You will see a RISING WEDGE PATTERN. This pattern is a BEARISH PATTERN. Now what we want to see is a break of the trend line. Then a nice retest to the trend and an nice beautiful drop.. Take a look at the chart you will see we already have the break of the trend line and the retest now we will be seeing an beautiful drop .. Once price breaks the 157.546 we will we market continue to drop.. Its CEEJAY TRADES feel free to click my profile .
by CEEJAYYTRADES
2
USD/JPY showing weaknessThe USD/JPY pair has been fluctuating within a range. Recent data shows the price closing around 157.30, indicating some stability in the short term. Key support levels are around 156.24, while resistance levels are near 158.421. These levels can act as potential entry or exit points. so 156 will be a good level to short wit a red 4h candle closed near. Nver enter after a green candle only after a 4h bearish candle closed bellow 156.24. SCALP target @156.244 SWING Target @153.160
Short
by miketiger