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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 USDJPY Price Forecast – 1H Timeframe 📈 Bullish Scenario: Price may bounce from the LPP Inducement + HL (Higher Low) area and push upward. The first target would be the upper blue LQ Close zone, which is still untouched. If we observe weakness or an “M-shaped” reaction within that blue zone, a sell setup could be valid (inducement trap). However, if price breaks and closes above the blue zone, further bullish continuation is expected — possibly toward the higher green liquidity zone around 147+. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the HL (blue zone) fails and breaks down, forming a new Lower Low (LL), Then we can expect price to retrace toward the lower green demand zone, around 141.000, which aligns with higher timeframe liquidity and unmitigated demand.
Long
by collegepips
USD/JPY Bull is back to push the price upHi All, Firstly, I want to congrats to traders who short the market for the last few months. Well done!!! Those who is waiting for LONG opportunity, let's get ready for sniper entry. Here is my prediction and entry on USD/JPY. As you can see, the orange zone around $139-$140 is extremely strong zone. Prices reverse 3 times on this level. On 22 March 2025, the closed daily candle was formed a hammer candle and followed by a strong bullish candle next day which indicates potential reversal to upward. The RSI indicator lines were crossed on 22 March 2025. Now, the indicator is showing upward momentum as the both lines are about cross 50%. We also have bullish divergence on the volume indicator. As you can see, the volume was going to sideway where as the price was heading to the orange zone. These confluence is supporting me to enter LONG. Therefore, I entered 3 entry at different price point which is $143.50, $142.996, $144.70.
Long
by RedPanda_Trader
USDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY looks bullish after a test of a recently broken resistance. The price formed a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame after its test and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern then. I believe that the pair will continue growing. Goal - 145.8 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
USD/JPYThe pattern has **four points**: A, B, C, and D, forming two legs: **AB and CD**, which are equal in length and time. There are two types: * **Bullish AB=CD**: Signals a potential reversal to the upside. * **Bearish AB=CD**: Signals a potential reversal to the downside. Fibonacci Guidelines: * The length of AB should be approximately equal to CD. * The time it takes for price to move from A to B should be similar to C to D. * The retracement BC is often: * 61.8% or 78.6% of AB * The projection CD is: * 127.2% or 161.8% of BC
Long
by B9A-88652-NisarAhmad
"USDJPY Crashing from Premium FVG | Liquidity Grab Confirmed!"USDJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe Price tapped deep into the Premium Area, perfectly aligning with a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence. We witnessed a strong bearish reaction — classic Smart Money move in action. Key Observations: Price surged aggressively into the Premium Zone (~79% retracement area). Immediate bearish reaction from the red Fair Value Gap zone. Liquidity sweep confirmed above the previous Strong High. Discount Area below remains unfilled, offering juicy targets. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight: Institutions love to bait breakout traders by pumping into Premium Zones. After collecting stop orders and liquidity above highs, they aggressively reverse, aiming to rebalance into the Discount Area. USDJPY delivered a textbook liquidity grab before the sharp drop! Current Trading Plan: Bearish bias remains intact after the strong reaction. TP1: Mid Discount Area TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep zone SL (for any new shorts): Above the Strong High Remember: 📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities 📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities Stay laser-focused on Smart Money footprints, not noise. 📉 Emotions out, execution sharp!
Short
by ChartNinjas88
"USDJPY | Smart Money Premium Trap | Mitigation Block Rejection"⚡ USDJPY Analysis – 30M Timeframe | April 30, 2025 📊 Price Action Summary: USDJPY has aggressively tapped into the Premium Zone, aligning perfectly with a Mitigation Block and Fibonacci 61.8% golden pocket. We’re seeing early signs of Smart Money rejection — time to stay sharp! 🧐 🔥 Key Moves: Premium Zone Entry: Price retraced right into the 61.8–70.5% fib region. Mitigation Block respected: A known Smart Money zone where trapped sellers from previous moves get wrecked. Liquidity Build-Up Below: Eyes on the unprotected lows — Smart Money LOVES to grab those. 🧠 What’s Really Going On Behind the Scenes: Retail traders: "It’s bouncing! Let’s go long!" 🟢💸 Smart Money: "Perfect… let’s trap them for liquidity." 🧊📉 This move screams classic Premium Trap — draw them in, then nuke it. ☠️ 🧩 Why This Setup Matters: Mitigation Block + FVG combo = High-probability rejection zone Sellers are likely reloading positions here The Strong High has been established — room to target Weak Lows below 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Entry: Inside or just below the Mitigation Block (confirmation from bearish rejection) Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~142.813) Take Profit Zones: TP1: Mid-discount (~141.400) TP2: Weak Low (~139.899) — the real liquidity target 🎯 💬 Pro Tip: "Mitigation blocks are the sniper’s nest for Smart Money. Get in, get out, get paid." 🎯 Watch the reaction closely inside the purple zone. It’s not just a block — it’s a liquidity recycling station. 🚀 Summary: ✅ Price entered Premium ✅ Mitigation Block tested ✅ Liquidity below waiting ✅ High RRR bearish setup aligning 🧘‍♂️ Be patient. Wait for confirmation. Let Smart Money leave the trail — then follow. ✍️ Save this chart and study how Mitigation Blocks get respected over and over. It’s not magic — it’s mechanics. ➡️ Comment "SNEAKY SHORT" if you're watching the block trap unfold! ➡️ Tag a trader who still doesn’t believe in Premium/Discount theory. 😂📉📈
Short
by ChartNinjas88
USDJPYThis is a 4-hour chart of the USD/JPY currency pair with a technical analysis setup that includes the following key elements: Chart Analysis: Trendline Support: The price is following an ascending trendline, confirmed by higher lows (marked by green arrows). The recent bounce off this trendline signals ongoing bullish momentum. Key Levels & Zones: Daily Supply Zone: Located around 147.80–148.30, which could act as a major resistance if price rallies. Daily Resistance: At approximately 145.735, which price is approaching. Daily Support: Around 142.87, reinforced by trendline confluence. Fibonacci Retracement: Fibonacci levels are drawn from the recent swing low to high: 0.382 ≈ 144.05 0.5 ≈ 144.07 0.618 ≈ 144.51 The price recently bounced from near the 0.618 retracement and is now climbing. Moving Averages: EMA 9 and EMA 21 are both sloping upward, with the 9 EMA (blue) currently at 144.757 and above the 21 EMA (orange), reinforcing a short-term bullish bias. Bullish Scenario (highlighted by arrows): If the price holds above the trendline and the 144.50–144.75 zone, a move toward 145.92 (previous high) is expected. A break above 145.92 could lead to an extension toward 148.28 (1.618 Fib extension), coinciding with the supply zone. Summary: Current Bias: Bullish, as long as price respects the trendline and EMAs. Confirmation for Continuation: A close above 145.735. Invalidation: A sustained break below 143.75 or the trendline could shift the bias bearish.
Long
by Dailypaperfx888
Complete Mapping Analysis — USDJPY (H1 Chart)Strategy Focus: Elliott Wave (Impulse) + AO Divergence + Fibonacci Extensions 🔍 1. Current Wave Structure (Elliott Wave Count) You’ve identified: A completed Wave 3 (impulse). A completed or nearly completed Wave 4 correction. Now projecting Wave 5 to complete the 5-wave impulse. Substructure breakdown: Wave 1-2: Clean impulse and pullback. Wave 3: Strong rally with AO confirming higher momentum peaks. Wave 4: Corrective move, breaking below the internal trendline (initial break), signaling potential end of correction. Wave 5 (projected): Final push upward to complete the motive wave. 📊 2. Fibonacci Extension Targets From Wave 0–3 and Wave 4 retracement: 2.618 extension: ~146.50 2.886 extension: ~146.78 4.236 extension: ~148.22 (Aggressive top for a possible extended fifth) These are possible Wave 5 termination zones. Confluence with previous supply zones increases likelihood of reversal here. 📉 3. Momentum Confirmation — Awesome Oscillator (AO) You're watching for: Bearish Divergence on AO: Wave 3 had a strong momentum peak. Expect Wave 5 to push higher in price, but AO shows a lower high, signaling weakening momentum. This aligns with classic Wave 5 behavior — price extension with momentum exhaustion. 🧭 4. Entry Strategy Setup: Long entry at Wave 4 bottom. Entry trigger: Initial break → minor pullback → bullish confirmation candle. AO: Turns green after red bars = first sign of momentum recovery. Optional confirmation: Break of short-term structure high (micro Wave 1 in Wave 5). 🎯 5. Take Profit Plan Layered take-profit strategy based on Fibonacci and AO: Target Zone Price Area Action TP1 (Safe) ~1.618 (145.44–145.72) Take partial profit (30–50%) TP2 (Primary) ~2.618 (146.50) Secure majority of profit (80%) TP3 (Max/Stretch) ~4.236 (148.22) Optional final push / runner 🛡 6. Stop Loss Strategy SL placement: Below Wave (4) low (~143.73 zone) or below structure break. Use structure break or strong bearish engulfing as a reason to exit early if momentum fails. ⚠️ 7. Divergence & Reversal Monitoring Once price enters your TP2–TP3 zone: Look for: AO divergence (price high vs. AO lower high). Bearish engulfing candles or microstructure breaks. Weak volume or extended wick rejection. These may indicate Wave 5 completion and the start of Wave A (correction) or a reversal. 🔄 8. Next Play After Wave 5 Completes If divergence confirms and reversal begins: Map corrective structure (ABC). Short from: Break of rising wedge/trendline. AO flips red + break of microstructure. Target retracement: 0.382 to 0.618 retracement of the full Wave 1–5 impulse. Target zone: ~144.80 – 143.70 ✅ Summary: Strategic Flow ✅ Identify Wave 4 completion → Confirm via initial break + minor pullback. ✅ Long entry for Wave 5 → Enter on bullish candle or structural break. ✅ Track AO → Expect divergence at Wave 5 peak. ✅ Use Fibonacci for TP zones. ✅ Exit with confirmation of divergence and reversal signs. ✅ Option to reverse short post-Wave 5.
Long
by AwesomeOscDad
USD/JPY: 145.00, Trendline ResistanceThe net result of the Bank of Japan rate decision has been Yen-weakness, with USD/JPY initially showing an explosive move with a breakout beyond 145.00. That move couldn't hold, however, with an assist from the underside of a bullish trendline helping to cap the weekly highs, leading to a push back-below the 145.00 handle. For next week there's remaining bullish structure, which a recent higher-low at 144.00 that bulls need to defend to retain control. But given the broader backdrop of USD-strength going into FOMC, USD/JPY has bullish continuation potential, with levels at 148.00 and 150.00 as the next significant waypoints overhead. - js
by FOREXcom
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area. - Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge. - Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn) - Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here. Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it. I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck! Here is the close up look of the wedge:
Long
by Uzi-Trades-Forex
4
USDJPY → Price in range, retest of resistanceFX:USDJPY is emerging from local consolidation in hopes of seeing economic data that could support the dollar. The target for this movement could be the liquidity zone at 144.00. The currency pair is trading within a neutral range of 144.14 - 141.64. However, a local consolidation has formed within the range, from which the price has broken out. The main task for the bulls is to hold the defense above 142.75, in which case we will be able to catch the price distribution to the upper border of the global range of 144.14. News ahead, positive data may strengthen the dollar, which will accordingly affect USDJPY, but there is strong resistance at 144.14, whose liquidity pool may trigger a downward rebound. The trend is neutral. Resistance levels: 143.9, 144.14 Support levels: 142.75, 141.98 There are no reasons to exit the global range. Over the past two weeks, this will be the first retest of the 144.14 zone, which in general only increases the chances of a false breakout and correction. Best regards, R. Linda!
by RLinda
8
USDJPY: Bounce on the 17 month Support starting massive rally.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.306, MACD = -0.870, ADX = 40.251) but is on a massive bounce on the S1 Zone, which has been holding since December 25th 2023. That Low last week also approached the 1W MA200. The LH trendline is the Resistance level of this pattern (Descending Triangle) and since the last one hit the 0.786 Fibonacci, we expect this one to hit the 0.618 Fib (TP = 153.500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1