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USDJPY trade ideas

USDJPY H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 148.61, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fib retracement. Our take profit is set at 147.57, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 149.18 a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USD/JPY: 148.70 cleared as yields and momentum alignAided by the latest leg higher for U.S. Treasury yields following the June U.S. inflation report, USD/JPY closed at the highest level since April on Tuesday, taking out the important 148.70 level in the process. If the pair manages to consolidate the break on Wednesday ahead of separate U.S. PPI data for June, the level may revert to offering support, providing a platform for new long positions to be established with a stop below for protection. The 200-day moving average is the first major hurdle for bulls to overcome, sitting today at 149.63. If it were to be taken out, it would only add to the bullish price action seen recently. Above, 150 will naturally receive some attention given it’s a major big figure, although there’s little visible resistance until 151.00. If USD/JPY were to reverse back below 148.70 and close there, it would provide bulls with some food for thought, opening the door for a potential retest of the uptrend the pair has been sitting in since the start of July. However, the message from momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD is firmly bullish. With the 50-day moving average also starting to curl higher, near-term price momentum is definitely with the bulls, favouring buying dips in this environment.
Long
by FOREXcom
USDJPY| - Bullish Play Within Bearish HTF ContextHTF Overview (4H): Structure is still technically bearish, with buy-side liquidity (BSL) untouched and a major 4H supply OB unmitigated above. Expecting price to seek out that zone before any full reversal. MTF Refinement (30M): Refined structure shows a potential bullish leg forming to push toward the 4H supply. Price is reaching for nearby sell-side liquidity (SSL), acting as inducement. Execution Plan: Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL. Once that occurs and the 30M OB is mitigated, I’ll drop to LTF (1M/5M) to confirm bullish intent with CHoCH or BOS before executing a long. Mindset: Playing the internal bullish wave with precision while respecting higher timeframe narrative. Quick to react if the HTF bias reasserts itself. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 13th, 2025USDJPY 7/13/2025 USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Daily - Bearish 4Hour - Bullish Finally UJ is looking more clear. We’re now able to drop to the 4Hour instead of the Daily TF due to price action reaching a major zone of anticipated reactions. As always we’re looking at two trade scenarios going into the week ahead: Bullish Continuation - UJ is currently sitting at 147.500 resistance and closed there last week. Going into this week we could see the bullish trend continue but we would need to see a clear break of 147.500 resistance to gain confidence. Look for a higher low confirmed above 147.500 followed by strong bullish setups to enter long on. Look to target higher toward major resistance levels like 149.250 area. Bearish Reversal: Despite the strong bullish momentum we saw from last week, a reversal is still possible as price action is near our 147.250 zone. In order to consider bearish setups we would need to see strong rejection from the current level of resistance. Look to target lower toward 145.000 support.
by ForexLeague
USDJPY Analysis : Bullish Channel Strategy & FMFR Zone Reaction🧩 Market Structure Overview USDJPY has been in a strong bullish market structure, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows since the beginning of July. The pair recently created a rising ascending channel, where price action has respected both the upper and lower bounds with clean impulsive and corrective moves. From the 11th to 15th July, USDJPY moved steadily within this bullish channel, forming minor consolidation zones and reacting to short-term supply-demand levels. However, on the 15th, we witnessed a pullback from the upper channel resistance, indicating short-term profit-taking or internal bearish liquidity sweep. 🧠 Current Price Action Now, price is pulling back and approaching a high-confluence demand zone, marked as: FMFR (Fair Market Fill Range): A zone where unfilled buy-side orders are likely resting. SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange): A previous resistance zone, now turned into a potential support base. This area (between 146.80 – 147.00) has multiple confirmations: Past supply zone → broken and retested Strong impulsive bullish move originated here Mid-point of the current bullish channel Psychological level (147.00 round number) The market is now offering a potential buying opportunity from this zone, provided a bullish confirmation pattern is printed on lower timeframes (1H or 30M). 🔍 Key Technical Confluences Bullish Ascending Channel: Clearly respected — suggesting institutional accumulation. Price is now retesting mid-level or base structure of this channel. FMFR Zone: Typically used to spot unbalanced price areas where limit buy orders may rest. Smart money often returns to fill these zones before moving further. SR Flip: The prior supply zone from July 8–10 was broken decisively, and price is now using this same level as support. Liquidity Sweep & Trap: The current rejection from the channel top may have liquidated early longs. That opens room for a smart-money reversal from the deeper FMFR zone. 📌 Trading Plan (Execution-Based Strategy) 🔽 Entry Criteria: Wait for a clear bullish reversal candle within the FMFR zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, morning star). Entry can be refined on the 1H or 30M timeframe using a BOS (Break of Structure) signal. 🟢 Buy Zone: Between 146.80 – 147.00 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 146.40, well below the FMFR zone and recent wick lows 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 148.20 – Retest of the central channel zone TP2: 149.60 – Next Major Reversal Zone TP3 (Optional): 150.00 psychological round level (if bullish continuation breaks structure) ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: Wait for confirmation — don’t rush into the zone without candle proof. Risk only 1-2% per trade idea. Adjust lot size according to stop-loss distance. Avoid chasing if price closes below 146.40 — structure will be invalid. 🔮 What Could Invalidate This Setup? Clean break below 146.40 support with bearish structure forming (LL, LH) Bearish fundamentals from USD side (e.g., CPI, FOMC impact) A tight channel breakdown without bullish volume 📅 Fundamental Backdrop: USD is currently reacting to macro data and rate expectations. JPY remains weak structurally, unless BOJ introduces surprise tightening. US CPI & Fed commentary may influence short-term volatility and liquidity grabs. 🧠 Conclusion: USDJPY is presenting a high-probability buy setup as it revisits a strong confluence zone formed by FMFR + SR flip. Smart money often re-engages at these levels after liquidity hunts, especially within a bullish structure. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes, and manage risk responsibly. This trade idea is based on price action, structure, and institutional concepts, aiming for a trend continuation with clear invalidation levels.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Is the US dollar taking a breather against the Japanese yen?After the recent rebound of the US dollar following two quarters of decline, the USD/JPY pair has been on an upward trajectory, forming a series of higher highs on both the 4-hour and daily charts. However, the recent drop below the 146.515 level and the formation of a new low suggests a potential shift in trend on the 4-hour timeframe from bullish to bearish. This could signal a possible pullback in the short to medium term, with the first short-term target located at the 146.084 level. The bearish scenario would be invalidated if the price rises above 147.179 and a 4-hour candle closes above that level.
by CFI
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 147.07 1st Support: 145.89 1st Resistance: 149.04 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
XABCD Double Top Hello traders! I hope you’ve had a productive trading week. Let’s take a look at USDJPY, where we’re wrapping up the week with a textbook XABCD Double Top formation. 📍 Structure Overview Price action completed an extended XABCD formation, with D printing a perfect double top around the 147.17 level. The move from C to D aligns closely with the prior XA leg, showing strong symmetry in price. D terminates precisely within the PCZ (Potential Completion Zone), aligning with both 78.6% and 100% extensions. 🎯 Bearish Targets Below If this Double Top confirms with bearish follow-through, the structure offers a clean setup with downside targets: Target 1: 145.35 (100%) Target 2: 144.96 (127.2%) A break below point C (146.13) would further validate the bearish thesis. 🧠 Pattern Highlights XABCD geometry Strong price symmetry Completion into previous high (resistance) Clear target zone for risk-defined trades
Short
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
1
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 146.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 147.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 145.21 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY downtrend resistance at 147.30The USDJPY pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 147.30, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 147.30 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 145.60, followed by 145.10 and 144.65 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 147.30 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 147.70, then 148.14. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 145.30. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USD/JPY 1H chart PATTERNUSD/JPY 1H chart, the pair has broken below an ascending channel, which is typically a bearish signal. The price is currently inside the Ichimoku cloud, indicating uncertainty, but a breakdown seems likely. 📉 Bearish Target Points: 1. First Target: ✅ 146.078 — Near the bottom edge of the Ichimoku cloud and a horizontal support level. 2. Second Target: ✅ 145.300 — Clear support zone below the cloud, also aligns with previous consolidation area. --- 🔎 Additional Notes: A breakdown below the Ichimoku cloud will confirm stronger bearish momentum. Watch for a retest of the lower trendline or cloud support before a deeper drop. Use stop-loss above 146.80 to manage risk if you're trading this setup. Let me know if you want a buy/sell entry recommendation or SL/TP planning.
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
10
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 147.11 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 146.50 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 149.04 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025 - USDJPY broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 151.30 USDJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the resistance level 148.00 and the two resistance trendlines from January and March. The breakout of this resistance area should strengthen the bullish pressure on his currency pair. Given the continuation of the widespread yen sales seen recently across FX markets, USDJPY currency pair index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 151.30 (monthly high from March).
Long
by FxProGlobal
USD/JPY(20250714)Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.02 Support and resistance levels: 148.39 147.88 147.55 146.49 146.15 145.64 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 147.88 If the price breaks through 147.02, consider selling, and the first target price is 146.49
Short
by NicolaZhu