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U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen

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USDJPY trade ideas

USD/JPY: hope for BOJ hike and then sell the YENFundamental Analysis The Japanese Yen remains under pressure amid a dovish stance from the Bank of Japan (even if BOJ was to hike next week), while the U.S. Dollar has gained support from the Fed’s hawkish outlook and higher treasury yields. This divergence in monetary policy has continued to drive the pair upward. Basically by holding this pair long, you get paid, a lot. Traders know that. Technical Analysis Let's wait for price to pullback to After touching resistance near 153.30 which is at the same time: support, demand zone and it's located in between 0.5 and 0.618 (key) Fibo levels. A bullish reversal here could set the stage for a retest of the previous highs, with a possible breakout toward 160.00. Before entering, watch for confirmation via volume and RSI, which is currently approaching oversold territory. 👉 Follow me to stay updated on this idea and receive insights on potential entry points, stop-loss levels, and take profits! Let’s trade smarter together! 💹
Long
by zito82
USDJPYAs of January 21, 2025, the USD/JPY exchange rate is approximately 155.800, reflecting a recent strengthening of the yen against the U.S. dollar.  This movement is influenced by expectations of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) potentially raising interest rates, a significant policy shift not seen since the 2008 global financial crisis.  Japan’s top currency diplomat, Atsushi Mimura, has expressed concerns over speculative positions affecting the yen, emphasizing the government’s focus on monitoring market volatility rather than specific yen levels.  Forecasts for the USD/JPY pair vary among financial institutions. UBS has adjusted its outlook, now expecting the exchange rate to reach 150 by the end of 2025, up from a previous estimate of 145, citing a strong U.S. dollar.  Conversely, ExchangeRates.org.uk projects a decline, forecasting the rate to fall to approximately 152.09 in two months, indicating a potential strengthening of the yen.  These projections underscore the dynamic nature of the forex market, influenced by monetary policies, economic indicators, and geopolitical developments.
Short
by HavalMamar
USDJPY: Correction before dropping to 153.00-152.00Hello everyone, Ben here! USDJPY has yet to resume its upward trend. Rumors about potential actions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are beginning to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to gain strength. The 158.46 level represents a strong resistance zone established by the sellers. Strong expectations for an additional interest rate hike by the BoJ this week are also lending support to the JPY. Overall, this influence appears relatively weak but could still provide significant backing for this currency pair. In theory, any upward movement of this major pair might be limited due to trade policy risks from the soon-to-be-inaugurated US President Donald Trump, which have constrained any significant bullish moves for the safe-haven JPY. The focus this week will be on Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated two-day BoJ policy meeting beginning on Thursday. From a technical standpoint, the price is attempting to break out of a major range and test key support levels. A false breakout around the 156.56 level could lead to the price targeting newly formed resistance zones. However, if the price settles below 156.56 or even drops under 155.95, it could trigger strong selling pressure sooner than expected. Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
USDJPY holding the MA50 (1d).USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September. The price has tested, held and consolidated on the MA50 (1d) for the last 4 days (including today). This is a bullish signal, considering also that this is taking place near the bottom of the Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 164.350 (+6.20% rise). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is below its MA trendline, on a sideways pattern that is similar to the September 16th 2024 and December 3rd 2024 bottoms. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
USD/JPY calm in holiday tradeThe yen is almost unchanged on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.37, up 0.06% on the day. We can expect a quiet day, as the US observes Martin Luther King Day and Donald Trump will be sworn in as President. The yen is coming off a busy week, with sharp swings on each of the past three trading days. The Japanese currency gained 0.95% last week, its best week since November. Still, USD/JPY remains high and investors are anxiously awaiting the Bank of Japan rate decision on Jan. 24. There are no tier-1 releases out of Japan this week but investors will be busy keeping an eye on the Bank of Japan rate decision on Friday. The central bank tends not to telegraph its intentions but has hinted at a rate hike and the market will be on the lookout for any hints or signals from BoJ policy makers ahead of the rate decision. The BoJ is widely expected to raise rates to 0.50%, which would be the highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis. After decades of deflation and an ultra-loose monetary policy, inflation has taken root and the BoJ is slowly moving towards normalization. Inflation has been above the BoJ's 2% target for almost three years and higher wage growth means that inflation should remain sustainable as it moves higher. The weak yen is another reason for the BoJ to raise rates and make the yen more attractive to investors. The big question mark is Donald Trump, whose has promised tariffs on US trading partners, which threatens to shake up the financial markets and damage Japan's crucial export sector. The Trump factor is unlikely to prevent a rate hike this week, but supports the case for the BoJ to wait several months before delivering another rate hike. USD/JPY tested support at 155.88 earlier. Below, there is support at 155.39 There is resistance at 156.79 and 157.28
by OANDA
Buy Trade Idea: USD/JPY USD/JPY is currently showing signs of bullish momentum after bouncing off a key support zone near 154.00. The price has retested this significant demand zone and demonstrated rejection, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. Entry: 155.50 Stop Loss (SL): 154.00 Take Profit (TP): 161.50 As the trade progresses, price action should be monitored closely. Stop Loss adjustments can be made to break-even or to secure profits as the price approaches the TP level. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:3, making it a sound trade from a risk management perspective. This trade setup is based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, investor sentiment, and retail sentiment.
Long
by Trade_Navigator010
USDJPY Retest Completion and Bounce BackThe USDJPY pair is currently trading at a price of 156.000, with a target price set at 162. This suggests a potential gain of over 500 pips, indicating a significant upward movement. The market analysis highlights that the pair has recently completed its retesting phase at a critical support level. This retest confirms the strength of the support, as the price has now started to bounce back from this zone. The pattern identified is based on support and resistance, a common and reliable technical strategy in forex trading. A bounce from support often signals a bullish trend, making this an opportune time for buyers. Traders may view this as a favorable entry point, with the potential for strong gains. However, proper risk management and market monitoring are crucial. The setup aligns with technical indicators supporting the bounce scenario. The movement suggests the pair is regaining bullish momentum.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Every reason traders can’t ignore the yen this week The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hold its first policy meeting of the year next week, with markets pricing in a 90% likelihood of a rate hike on January 24. Last year, BoJ rate hikes contributed to the Yen carry trade unwind in early August, coinciding with Bitcoin’s decline to $49,000. This week, the Japanese yen strengthened toward 155.5 per dollar, its highest level in four weeks, driving prices to range lows and suggesting potential further downside. A daily close below the 20-day EMA has brought the 50-day EMA and the monthly pivot point into focus. One potential hurdle for a rate hike could stem from US political developments. Former U.S. President Donald Trump is set to begin his second term in office on Monday, with expectations of executive orders that may disrupt financial markets. Additionally, traders must contend with Japan’s Finance Minister this week reaffirming the government’s readiness to take "appropriate action" to support the yen.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY H4 | Bearish continuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 156.56, which is a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 154.45, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, marking a significant support level and logical target for the trade. The stop loss is set at 158.85, just above the recent swing high, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/JPY Possible bullish movement 1H AnalysisHi guys, we had some good news about the JPY , which made the USD /JPY correct it's price and upward steady movement. Today we have a few very big companies showcasing their earnings, and of course have quite a few important Fundamental events ahead of us, so this is why I am following on the re-stability of the USD/JPY pair. Entry: 156.825 Target: 157.825 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Long
by DG55Capital