02-06-2025 _ Short Term Bearish Idea _ USDJPY H41- Price is moving in a strong down trend.
2- Rising Trendlind breakout and retest.
3- Convergence
4- After pullback, one can expect a push to the downside.
USDJPY trade ideas
USD/JPY(20250604)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Logan: We should focus on achieving the 2% inflation target rather than trying to make up for past inflation shortfalls; Bostic: We still think there may be a rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.47
Support and resistance levels:
145.19
144.55
144.13
142.81
142.39
141.75
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 144.13, consider buying in, with the first target price of 144.55
If the price breaks through 143.47, consider selling in, with the first target price of 142.81
USD/JPY Technical OutlookA Head and Shoulders pattern has formed on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. The key neckline zone lies between 142.400 and 142.000 .
A confirmed break below this neckline, followed by a clean retest, would present a high-probability short opportunity. This pattern indicates a possible shift in momentum, with sellers beginning to gain control of the market.
Stop loss for USDJPYNow , if you have not followed the story of this pair, USDJPY, please go read my strategy here
That is the big big picture, like looking at the forest from the helicopter view.
Now, let's go into the woods to see clearer. In the 4H chart, we can see that we are now locked in a range between 142.46 and 144.48 price level.
Assuming you want to short after you are convinced of my take on US dollar story and safe haven assets like Yen, Euro,etc , then where would you put your SL ?
25 May and 4 Jun - there were two resistance points where price fails to break above. Now, our price is going to revisit this resistance zone again. If you based on the high of 29 May candle as the point to place your SL, it appears too high. It was a false breakout on hindsight.
I am placing my own SL on the 3rd red candle around 145.433. I calculated I can short 0.8 contract with a 50 points SL and I would need to pay around 189 . This fulfils my 2% per trade principle based on 1000 capital.
With this in mind, to add on to my winners, I would have to make sure that I do not allow my emotions of greed and fear to magnify my SL nor increase my position size unnecessarily. This is very important. No matter how confident you think the market is going with you, anything can happen in the market and if you are WRONG, how much are you willing to pay? If you do it on impulse with pre calculation, then your emotions will take over especially if you get stopped out and wanted to do a revenge trade. Oh, tell me about it, so many times I have done that and lost money !
Hope this is useful for some of you.......
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
usdjpy 1H-buyPEPPERSTONE:USDJPY 1hour chart currently I'm in buy position. reason behind it 4 hour chart price currently sitting on key support level and I can see some upside price rejection ( previous demand zone) In 1 hour chart I can see price garbed some liquidity & price pushed up to create some kind of market structure shift.
USDJPY starting bullish move?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day.
Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year.
The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer.
US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect.
The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
USDJPY Sell analysis/ideaThis analysis is based on the daily and 4-hour timeframes and is executed based on trend formation, reversal trading, and breakouts. Complete explanation in the video!
USDJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.192.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.216 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY FALLAs per the analysis the trend is down in 1 hour and 1 day chart, USDJPY is retesting its resistance level again, time to take the trade with good risk reward.
RSI + EMA + FVG + Order Block + Volume = ✔
USDJPY: Will This CRT FVG Hold After the PWL Sweep?Price action on USDJPY reflects a clean execution of Candle Range Theory (CRT). Following a sweep of the Previous Week’s Low (PWL), price reacted from a higher timeframe demand zone, grabbing sell-side liquidity before printing a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS confirmed a shift in market intent and set the stage for a retracement into a clearly defined Fair Value Gap (FVG). I refined the entry on the 4H chart, waiting for price to return to the FVG zone, with risk placed just below the sweep wick. The target is mapped to the next logical supply above a cluster of equal highs and prior inefficiency. This setup reflects a high-conviction CRT play, built from top-down analysis and confluences rooted in market structure, liquidity, and imbalance logic.
USD/JPY H1 | Overlap Resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci RetracementUSD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 143.88 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 144.55 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 143.02 which is a swing-low support.
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USD/JPY Bearish Setup from Lower High RejectionUSD/JPY showing signs of rejection at previous resistance, forming a potential lower high. The bearish setup aligns with overall downward momentum. RSI remains below the 60 level, suggesting limited bullish strength. Watching for continuation to the downside, targeting a break below 142.00 while managing risk above 143.84 resistance.
CHECK USDJPY SIGNALS READ CAPTAIN USDJPY buy signals
TRADE
Entry point 👉 142.976
Take profit Target 145.100
Stop loss 142.314
20 pips already running profit
Follow money Menagment
USDJPY sellPEPPERSTONE:USDJPY 15m chart price reached to FVG level. As bias already on sell side im looking for sell from here.
Senario
1. trend bias sell
2. 15m price reached previous FVG level
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance.
The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance.
🔁 Now We're Back towards 142
Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce.
📌 Outlook and Trading Plan
I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity.
Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146.
That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USDJPY Weekly overview Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025The purple line is the optional TP for traders who wants to have 2 steps take profit points. BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks could make market move faster in its direction. avoid trading around his speech.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
USDJPY : Daily ChartUSDJPY :: Daily Chart
Head and shoulders pattern
Wait for a Neckline Breakout
Support & Neckline :142.400-141.900
